RRosternomics
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Andy MacPhail

Born Apr 5, 1953 · age 73

Engineered the Minnesota Twins' improbable 1987 and 1991 World Series titles, then led front offices for the Cubs, Orioles, and Phillies — the son and grandson of Hall of Fame executives.

13 seasons with salary-era data across 3 stints. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

Overview

Titles2
Pennants2
Playoffs2
Record1008–1097
Win %0.479
-2.1GM WAR — wins above a replacement GM (org-adjusted, shrunk; per season) ±4.1128th/195 execs
6.4Depth — 2+ WAR regulars per season (the breadth that drives TAB, not stars)90th/195 execs
-5.5Dead WAR — WAR/yr bled by sub-replacement players (closer to 0 = better)120th/195 execs
31%Dead money — payroll on <0.5-WAR players (lower = better)68th/195 execs
$5MCheap-talent surplus — $/yr of value from cost-controlled (pre-arb/arb) players above their pay; the selection engine, and the stickiest GM skill we track135th/195 execs
$4MDrafted surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own draftees (the develop-from-the-draft engine)116th/195 execs
$2MTraded-for surplus — cheap-talent surplus from cost-controlled players he acquired via trade101st/195 execs
$-0MInt'l surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own international signees169th/195 execs
-41.3TAB — talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation), tenure total176th/195 execs
-43.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + the non-repeatable luck of converting talent to wins)179th/195 execs
2.38Acquisition Leverage — playoff pts per acquired WAR, graded once in the year each deal's wins arrive (the repeatable decision skill)70th/195 execs
-136Roster surplus $M147th/195 execs

Tenure breakdown

TeamRoleYearsSzns WAB WAB/yr TAB WAR surp HG Trade FA R5 AcqLev W-L% POPenWS Surp $M
▸ Orioles GM 2008–2011 4 -47.8 -11.95 -49.3 -47.3 +58.0 +44.4 -25.1 +1.4 0.12 0.413 ––– -113
▸ Cubs GM 2001–2002 2 -12.0 -5.99 +6.0 -9.1 +41.2 -6.5 -5.3 +0.0 2.33 0.478 ––– -16
▸ Twins GM 1986–1992 7 +15.9 +2.27 +2.0 -26.0 +134.7 -39.8 -34.0 +0.2 3.39 0.517 222 -7
Career total (1985+ data) 13 -43.9 -41.3 -82.5 +233.9 -1.8 -64.4 +1.6 2.38 0.479 22 2 -136

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

by valueby volume

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+233.9
Trade-1.8
Free agency-64.4
Rule 5 / minor draft+1.6
Sourcing mix: 67% draft · 13% FA · 20% trade · 0% R5

Roster value distribution — career average — depth vs. stars

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR, averaged across Andy MacPhail's seasons. Bars = his rosters; the black line = the league-average player at each slot. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge.

Players acquired — 241 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr Lev
Brad Radke P MIN Draft 1991 12 +38.4 +3.2 –
Chuck Knoblauch 2B MIN Draft 1989 7 +33.6 +4.8 –
Adam Jones OF BAL Trade 2008 11 +29.6 +2.7 0.3
Manny Machado 3B BAL Draft 2010 7 +22.6 +3.2 –
Kevin Tapani P MIN Trade 1989 7 +22.6 +3.2 0.3
Shane Mack OF MIN Trade 1990 5 +17.9 +3.6 1.2
Mark Prior P CHC Draft 2001 4 +17.3 +4.3 –
J. J. Hardy SS BAL Trade 2010 6 +14.3 +2.4 0.3
Brian Harper C MIN Free agency 1988 6 +13.3 +2.2 9.1
Rick Aguilera P MIN Trade 1989 11 +12.2 +1.1 0.8
Geovany Soto C CHC Draft 2001 6 +11.6 +1.9 –
Scott Erickson P MIN Draft 1989 6 +11.4 +1.9 –
Moisés Alou OF CHC Free agency 2001 3 +10.7 +3.6 1.4
Matt Clement P CHC Trade 2002 3 +10.0 +3.3 3.5
Jonathan Schoop 2B BAL Intl FA 2008 6 +9.6 +1.6 –
Chris Tillman P BAL Trade 2008 6 +9.0 +1.5 –
LaTroy Hawkins P MIN Draft 1991 6 +8.1 +1.4 –
Ryan Theriot 2B/SS CHC Draft 2001 4 +7.7 +1.9 –
Dylan Bundy P BAL Draft 2011 4 +7.3 +1.8 –
Matt Lawton OF MIN Draft 1991 7 +7.1 +1.0 –
Luke Scott DH/OF BAL Trade 2008 3 +6.1 +2.0 0.5
Mark Guthrie P MIN Draft 1987 6 +5.7 +1.0 –
Mychal Givens P BAL Draft 2009 6 +5.5 +0.9 –
Eddie Guardado P MIN Draft 1990 10 +5.5 +0.5 –
Brian Matusz P BAL Draft 2008 6 +5.2 +0.9 –
Rich Becker OF MIN Draft 1990 3 +5.2 +1.7 –
Carl Willis P MIN Free agency 1990 4 +5.2 +1.3 6.2
Chili Davis DH/OF MIN Free agency 1991 2 +5.1 +2.5 14.4
John Smiley P MIN Trade 1992 1 +5.0 +5.0 32.7
Marty Cordova OF MIN Draft 1989 3 +4.8 +1.6 –
Caleb Joseph C BAL Draft 2008 3 +4.3 +1.4 –
Pat Meares SS MIN Draft 1990 4 +4.3 +1.1 –
Mike Trombley P MIN Draft 1989 6 +4.3 +0.7 –
Dan Gladden OF MIN Trade 1987 4 +4.3 +1.1 0.3
Rich Hill P CHC Draft 2002 3 +4.2 +1.4 –
Jeff Reboulet 2B/SS MIN Draft 1986 4 +4.2 +1.0 –
Jack Morris P MIN Free agency 1991 1 +4.1 +4.1 17.7
Bill Mueller 3B CHC Trade 2001 2 +4.0 +2.0 6.5
Mark Bellhorn 2B/3B CHC Trade 2001 1 +3.9 +3.9 3.4
Jason Bere P CHC Trade 2001 2 +3.8 +1.9 11.7
Juan Berenguer P MIN Free agency 1987 3 +3.4 +1.1 0.7
Koji Uehara P BAL Draft 2009 3 +3.2 +1.1 –
Willie Banks P MIN Draft 1987 3 +3.2 +1.1 –
Scott Leius 3B MIN Draft 1986 4 +3.0 +0.7 –
Jeff Reardon P MIN Trade 1987 3 +2.8 +0.9 0.2
Joe Borowski P CHC Trade 2002 2 +2.7 +1.3 1.5
Alex Gonzalez SS CHC Trade 2001 2 +2.6 +1.3 1.1
Fred McGriff 1B CHC Trade 2001 2 +2.4 +1.2 4.5
Terry Leach P MIN Free agency 1990 2 +2.3 +1.2 0.7
Roy Smith P MIN Free agency 1987 4 +2.1 +0.5 0.0
Julián Tavárez P CHC Trade 2001 1 +2.1 +2.1 8.1
Tom Edens P MIN Free agency 1991 2 +2.0 +1.0 2.6
Jeff Fassero P CHC Trade 2001 2 +2.0 +1.0 6.5
Tom Gordon P CHC Trade 2001 2 +1.9 +1.0 5.7
Mike Pagliarulo 3B MIN Free agency 1991 2 +1.8 +0.9 9.7
Bill Krueger P MIN Trade 1992 1 +1.7 +1.7 10.2
Junior Ortiz C MIN Trade 1990 2 +1.6 +0.8 0.7
Freddie Toliver P MIN Trade 1988 2 +1.6 +0.8 10.1
Les Straker P MIN Trade 1987 2 +1.4 +0.7 –
Matt Stairs DH/OF CHC Trade 2001 1 +1.4 +1.4 5.1
Robert Andino 2B/SS BAL Trade 2009 2 +1.3 +0.6 0.0
Ryan Flaherty 2B/3B BAL Rule 5 2011 3 +1.3 +0.4 –
Troy Patton P BAL Trade 2011 2 +1.3 +0.7 0.0
Larry Casian P MIN Draft 1987 3 +1.2 +0.4 –
Kevin Millwood P BAL Trade 2009 1 +1.1 +1.1 0.1
Chip Hale 2B/3B/DH MIN Draft 1987 4 +1.1 +0.3 –
Tom Herr 2B MIN Trade 1988 1 +1.1 +1.1 7.1
Tommy Hunter P BAL Trade 2011 5 +1.0 +0.2 0.0
Alan Benes P CHC Free agency 2002 2 +1.0 +0.5 1.0
Scott Stahoviak 1B MIN Draft 1991 2 +1.0 +0.5 –
Michael Tucker OF CHC Trade 2001 1 +1.0 +1.0 3.9
Corey Patterson OF BAL Free agency 2010 3 +0.9 +0.3 1.0
Antonio Alfonseca P CHC Trade 2002 2 +0.9 +0.5 0.7
Damian Miller C CHC Trade 2002 1 +0.9 +0.9 4.3
Mike Dyer P MIN Draft 1986 1 +0.9 +0.9 –
Dan Serafini P MIN Draft 1992 2 +0.9 +0.4 –
Matt Albers P BAL Trade 2008 3 +0.9 +0.3 0.0
Shawn Estes P CHC Free agency 2002 1 +0.8 +0.8 3.9
Mike Remlinger P CHC Free agency 2002 3 +0.8 +0.3 0.6
Mike Gonzalez P BAL Free agency 2009 2 +0.7 +0.3 0.1
Pedro Strop P BAL Trade 2011 2 +0.7 +0.3 0.0
Tyler Wilson P BAL Draft 2011 2 +0.7 +0.4 –
Oscar Salazar OF BAL Trade 2008 2 +0.7 +0.4 0.1
Mark Reynolds 1B/3B BAL Trade 2011 2 +0.7 +0.4 0.0
Craig Tatum C BAL Trade 2010 1 +0.7 +0.7 0.1
Neal Heaton P MIN Trade 1986 1 +0.7 +0.7 0.2
Mark Hendrickson P BAL Free agency 2008 2 +0.6 +0.3 0.0
Darren Lewis OF CHC Free agency 2002 1 +0.6 +0.6 0.6
Sergio Mitre P CHC Draft 2001 3 +0.6 +0.2 –
John Moses OF MIN Free agency 1988 1 +0.6 +0.6 9.9
Rich Hill P BAL Trade 2009 1 +0.5 +0.5 0.0
Nelson Liriano 2B MIN Trade 1990 1 +0.5 +0.5 0.3
Lance Cormier P BAL Free agency 2008 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.1
Steve Johnson P BAL Trade 2009 2 +0.4 +0.2 –
Kam Mickolio P BAL Trade 2008 2 +0.4 +0.2 –
George Sherrill P BAL Trade 2008 2 +0.4 +0.2 0.1
Delino DeShields 2B CHC Free agency 2001 2 +0.4 +0.2 2.3
Angel Echevarria 1B/OF CHC Free agency 2001 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.4
Terry Jorgensen 3B MIN Draft 1987 3 +0.4 +0.1 –
Michael Aubrey 1B BAL Trade 2009 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.0
Robert Machado C CHC Trade 2002 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.5
Keith Atherton P MIN Trade 1986 2 +0.4 +0.2 0.1
Doug Baker 2B/SS MIN Trade 1989 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.3
John Candelaria P MIN Trade 1990 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.2
Oliver Drake P BAL Draft 2008 3 +0.3 +0.1 –
César Izturis SS BAL Free agency 2008 2 +0.3 +0.2 0.0
Paul Bako C CHC Trade 2002 1 +0.3 +0.3 1.9
Donnie Hill 2B MIN Free agency 1992 1 +0.3 +0.3 1.7
Jay Payton OF BAL Trade 2008 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.2
Juan Mateo P CHC Intl FA 2001 1 +0.2 +0.2 –
Ryan O'Malley P CHC Intl FA 2002 1 +0.2 +0.2 –
Félix Pie OF CHC Intl FA 2001 1 +0.2 +0.2 –
Chris Stynes 3B CHC Free agency 2002 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.3
Brent Brede OF MIN Draft 1990 2 +0.2 +0.1 –
Eric Bullock OF MIN Free agency 1987 1 +0.2 +0.2 1.1
Bill Latham P MIN Trade 1986 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.0
Charlie Lea P MIN Free agency 1988 1 +0.2 +0.2 1.5
Dan Naulty P MIN Draft 1992 1 +0.2 +0.2 –
Vic Rodríguez 2B/3B MIN Trade 1989 1 +0.2 +0.2 –
David Weathers P CHC Trade 2001 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.7
Tim Drummond P MIN Trade 1989 2 +0.2 +0.1 0.0
Willie Eyre P BAL Free agency 2011 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Chris Waters P BAL Trade 2008 1 +0.1 +0.1 –
Jeff Bittiger P MIN Free agency 1987 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Carmelo Castillo DH/OF MIN Trade 1989 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
John Christensen OF MIN Free agency 1988 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.4
Roy Lee Jackson P MIN Free agency 1986 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Denny Neagle P MIN Draft 1989 1 +0.1 +0.1 –
Ryan Freel OF BAL Trade 2009 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Guillermo Quiroz C BAL Trade 2008 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Gary Matthews OF CHC Trade 2001 1 +0.1 +0.1 1.1
Shane Rawley P MIN Trade 1989 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
L. J. Hoes OF BAL Draft 2008 – -0.0 – –
Zach Phillips P BAL Trade 2011 1 -0.0 -0.0 –
Clay Rapada P BAL Free agency 2011 – -0.0 – –
Ashur Tolliver P BAL Draft 2009 – -0.0 – –
Justin Turner 3B BAL Trade 2008 – -0.0 – –
Mike Wright P BAL Draft 2011 3 -0.0 -0.0 –
Will Cunnane P CHC Free agency 2001 – -0.0 – –
Todd Dunwoody OF CHC Free agency 2001 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Mike Fyhrie P CHC Trade 2001 – -0.0 – –
Adam Greenberg PH/PR CHC Draft 2002 1 +0.0 +0.0 –
Trenidad Hubbard OF CHC Free agency 2001 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Pat Mahomes P CHC Free agency 2002 – -0.0 – –
Donovan Osborne P CHC Free agency 2002 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Karl Best P MIN Trade 1988 – -0.0 – –
J. T. Bruett OF MIN Draft 1988 1 +0.0 +0.0 –
Rich Garcés P MIN Intl FA 1987 1 +0.0 +0.0 –
Germán González P MIN Intl FA 1986 1 +0.0 +0.0 –
Oscar Muñoz P MIN Trade 1992 – -0.0 – –
Greg Olson C MIN Trade 1989 1 +0.0 +0.0 –
Todd Ritchie P MIN Draft 1990 1 +0.0 +0.0 –
Roy Smith P MIN Trade 1986 4 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Lee Tunnell P MIN Free agency 1989 – -0.0 – –
Scott Watkins P MIN Draft 1992 1 +0.0 +0.0 –
Will Ohman P BAL Trade 2010 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Sean Henn P BAL Trade 2009 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Xavier Avery OF BAL Draft 2008 – -0.1 – –
Parker Bridwell P BAL Draft 2010 – -0.1 – –
Rhyne Hughes 1B BAL Trade 2009 – -0.1 – –
Chris Jakubauskas P BAL Free agency 2011 – -0.1 – –
Frank Mata P BAL Trade 2010 – -0.1 – –
Chad Moeller C BAL Free agency 2008 – -0.1 – –
Guillermo Rodríguez C BAL Free agency 2008 – -0.1 – –
Ron Coomer 1B/3B CHC Free agency 2001 – -0.1 – –
Micah Hoffpauir 1B/OF CHC Draft 2002 1 -0.1 -0.1 –
Mike Cook P MIN Trade 1988 – -0.1 – –
George Frazier P MIN Trade 1986 1 -0.1 -0.1 0.1
Joe Klink P MIN Trade 1986 – -0.1 – –
Tippy Martinez P MIN Free agency 1988 – -0.1 – –
Damian Miller C MIN Draft 1990 – -0.1 – –
Randy Niemann P MIN Free agency 1987 – -0.1 – –
Frank Pastore P MIN Free agency 1986 – -0.1 – –
Steve Shields P MIN Trade 1989 – -0.1 – –
Kelvin Torve 1B MIN Trade 1988 – -0.1 – –
David West P MIN Trade 1989 2 -0.1 -0.1 0.1
Dave Winfield OF MIN Free agency 1992 1 -0.1 -0.1 0.1
Alberto Castillo P BAL Trade 2008 1 -0.2 -0.2 –
Omir Santos C BAL Trade 2008 – -0.2 – –
Billy Petrick P CHC Draft 2002 – -0.2 – –
Jarvis Brown OF MIN Draft 1986 1 -0.2 -0.2 –
Mauro Gozzo P MIN Free agency 1992 – -0.2 – –
Dwight Lowry C MIN Free agency 1987 – -0.2 – –
Mike Mason P MIN Free agency 1988 – -0.2 – –
Joe Niekro P MIN Free agency 1988 1 -0.2 -0.2 0.3
Carlos Pulido P MIN Intl FA 1989 1 -0.2 -0.2 –
Luis Quiñones 2B/3B/SS MIN Free agency 1992 – -0.2 – –
Jack Savage P MIN Trade 1989 – -0.2 – –
Paul Sorrento 1B MIN Trade 1988 1 -0.2 -0.2 –
Jeremy Accardo P BAL Free agency 2010 – -0.3 – –
Jake Fox OF BAL Trade 2010 – -0.3 – –
Eider Torres SS/DH BAL Trade 2008 – -0.3 – –
Mark Worrell P BAL Free agency 2011 – -0.3 – –
Troy O'Leary OF CHC Free agency 2002 – -0.3 – –
Bernardo Brito DH/OF MIN Trade 1992 2 -0.3 -0.1 –
Jim Deshaies P MIN Free agency 1992 1 -0.3 -0.3 0.3
Mike Durant C MIN Draft 1991 – -0.3 – –
Orlando Mercado C MIN Free agency 1988 – -0.3 – –
Al Newman 2B/SS MIN Trade 1987 2 -0.3 -0.2 0.5
Randy St. Claire P MIN Free agency 1989 – -0.3 – –
Jim Winn P MIN Free agency 1988 – -0.3 – –
Mitch Atkins P BAL Free agency 2010 – -0.4 – –
Cla Meredith P BAL Trade 2009 – -0.4 – –
Josh Rupe P BAL Free agency 2010 – -0.4 – –
Steven Tolleson 2B/3B BAL Free agency 2011 – -0.4 – –
Jae Kuk Ryu P CHC Intl FA 2001 – -0.4 – –
Steve Carlton P MIN Free agency 1988 – -0.4 – –
Steve Dunn 1B MIN Draft 1988 – -0.4 – –
Fred Manrique 2B MIN Trade 1990 – -0.4 – –
Brian Raabe 2B/3B MIN Draft 1990 – -0.4 – –
George Tsamis P MIN Draft 1989 – -0.4 – –
Scott Moore 1B/3B BAL Trade 2008 2 -0.4 -0.2 0.0
Rick van den Hurk P BAL Trade 2010 1 -0.4 -0.4 0.0
Todd Hundley C CHC Trade 2002 1 -0.4 -0.4 0.3
Kyle Hudson OF BAL Draft 2008 – -0.5 – –
Eric Karros 1B CHC Trade 2002 – -0.5 – –
Jim Dwyer OF MIN Trade 1988 2 -0.5 -0.2 2.9
Derek Lee OF MIN Trade 1992 – -0.5 – –
Derek Parks C MIN Draft 1986 – -0.5 – –
Chris Pittaro 2B/3B MIN Trade 1986 – -0.5 – –
Kevin Gregg P BAL Free agency 2011 – -0.6 – –
Vladimir Guerrero OF BAL Free agency 2011 – -0.6 – –
Wally Backman 2B MIN Trade 1988 – -0.6 – –
Bob Kipper P MIN Free agency 1991 – -0.6 – –
Alex Cintrón SS BAL Free agency 2008 – -0.7 – –
Ron Mahay P CHC Free agency 2001 – -0.7 – –
Dan Masteller 1B/OF MIN Draft 1989 – -0.7 – –
Pedro Muñoz OF MIN Trade 1990 3 -0.7 -0.2 –
Danys Báez P BAL Trade 2009 1 -0.7 -0.7 0.0
Félix Pie OF BAL Trade 2009 2 -0.8 -0.4 0.1
Taylor Teagarden C BAL Trade 2011 – -0.8 – –
Billy Beane OF MIN Trade 1986 – -0.8 – –
Pat Mahomes P MIN Draft 1988 1 -0.8 -0.8 –
Endy Chávez OF BAL Free agency 2011 – -0.9 – –
Garrett Atkins 3B BAL Free agency 2009 – -1.2 – –
Josh Bell 3B BAL Trade 2009 – -1.3 – –
Luis Montañez OF BAL Trade 2008 – -1.4 – –
Ty Wigginton 1B/3B BAL Free agency 2009 – -1.7 – –
Carmelo Castillo DH/OF MIN Free agency 1990 1 -1.9 -1.9 0.0
Denny Hocking 2B/SS MIN Draft 1989 4 -2.5 -0.6 –
Dave McCarty 1B/OF MIN Draft 1991 – -3.5 – –

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.