Rosternomics
Justin Hollander

Justin Hollander

★ active

General manager for the Mariners (2023–present).

4 seasons with salary-era data across 1 stint. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

Titles0
Pennants0
Playoffs1
Record296–252
Win %0.540
+21.4WAB — wins above budget33rd/195 execs
+25.8Talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation)32nd/195 execs
2.34Acquisition leverage — playoff pts each bought win added, given the roster it joined (did you buy where wins matter?)8th/195 execs
+18.1WAR surplus (era-neutral, win-equiv)22nd/195 execs
+66Roster surplus $M18th/195 execs

How the roster was sourced

Share of gross-positive acquired fWAR by channel (vs. league average).

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+18.6
Trade+5.6
Free agency-8.2
Rule 5 / minor draft+0.0
Sourcing mix: 61% draft · 4% FA · 34% trade · 0% R5

Tenure breakdown

TeamRoleYearsSzns WAB WAB/yr TAB WAR surp HG Trade FA R5 AcqLev W-L% POPenWS Surp $M
Mariners GM 2023–present 3 +21.4 +7.13 +25.8 +18.1 +18.6 +5.6 -8.2 +0.0 2.34 0.540 1 +66
Career total (1985+ data) 4 +21.4 +25.8 +18.1 +18.6 +5.6 -8.2 +0.0 2.34 0.540 1 +66

Players acquired — 46 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year fWAR
Bryan Woo P SEA Draft 2023 +8.7
Bryce Miller P SEA Draft 2023 +5.1
Luke Raley OF SEA Trade 2024 +3.6
Jorge Polanco 2B/SS SEA Free agency 2025 +2.6
Dominic Canzone DH/OF SEA Trade 2023 +2.2
José Caballero 2B/SS SEA Draft 2023 +1.9
Cade Marlowe OF SEA Draft 2023 +0.9
Emerson Hancock P SEA Draft 2023 +0.8
Leo Rivas 2B/SS SEA Draft 2024 +0.7
Cole Young 2B SEA Draft 2025 +0.7
Jose Ferrer P SEA Trade 2025 +0.6
Ryan Bliss 2B SEA Trade 2023 +0.4
Ben Williamson 3B SEA Draft 2025 +0.4
Isaiah Campbell P SEA Draft 2023 +0.3
Jhonny Pereda C SEA Trade 2026 +0.3
Jorge Polanco 2B/SS SEA Trade 2024 +0.3
Trent Thornton P SEA Trade 2023 +0.3
Luis Urías 2B/3B SEA Trade 2023 +0.2
Cooper Criswell P SEA Trade 2026 +0.1
Alex Hoppe P SEA Trade 2025 +0.1
Connor Joe 1B/OF SEA Free agency 2026 +0.1
Josh Naylor 1B SEA Free agency 2025 +0.1
Will Wilson 2B/3B SEA Free agency 2026 +0.1
Luis Castillo P SEA Free agency 2025 +0.0
Jhonathan Díaz P SEA Free agency 2024 -0.0
Harry Ford C SEA Draft 2025 -0.0
Víctor Robles OF SEA Free agency 2024 -0.0
Ryder Ryan P SEA Draft 2023 +0.0
Gregory Santos P SEA Trade 2024 -0.0
Kirby Snead P SEA Free agency 2024 -0.0
Austin Voth P SEA Free agency 2024 -0.0
Seby Zavala C SEA Trade 2023 -0.0
Ty Adcock P SEA Draft 2023 -0.1
Blas Castano P SEA Draft 2025 -0.1
Logan Evans P SEA Draft 2025 -0.1
Tommy La Stella 2B/3B SEA Free agency 2023 -0.1
Casey Legumina P SEA Trade 2025 -0.1
Rhylan Thomas OF SEA Trade 2024 -0.1
Mitch Garver C/DH SEA Free agency 2023 -0.2
Jesse Hahn P SEA Free agency 2024 -0.2
Tyler Locklear 1B SEA Draft 2024 -0.2
Josh Simpson P SEA Trade 2026 -0.2
Troy Taylor P SEA Draft 2024 -0.2
Juan Then P SEA Draft 2023 -0.2
Jason Vosler 1B/3B SEA Free agency 2023 -0.2
Rob Refsnyder OF SEA Free agency 2025 -0.8

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.