RRosternomics
BP

Buster Posey

★ active

Born Mar 27, 1987 · Leesburg, GA · age 39

A franchise-icon catcher and three-time World Series champion who moved directly into the front office as the San Francisco Giants' head of baseball operations.

2 seasons with salary-era data across 1 stint. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

Overview

Titles0
Pennants0
Playoffs0
Record123–136
Win %0.475
-0.3GM WAR — wins above a replacement GM (org-adjusted, shrunk; per season) ±7.884th/195 execs
4.5Depth — 2+ WAR regulars per season (the breadth that drives TAB, not stars)157th/195 execs
-4.2Dead WAR — WAR/yr bled by sub-replacement players (closer to 0 = better)35th/195 execs
18%Dead money — payroll on <0.5-WAR players (lower = better)3rd/195 execs
$24MCheap-talent surplus — $/yr of value from cost-controlled (pre-arb/arb) players above their pay; the selection engine, and the stickiest GM skill we track63rd/195 execs
$5MDrafted surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own draftees (the develop-from-the-draft engine)100th/195 execs
$-10MTraded-for surplus — cheap-talent surplus from cost-controlled players he acquired via trade193rd/195 execs
$0MInt'l surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own international signees141st/195 execs
-1.8TAB — talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation), tenure total84th/195 execs
-0.7WAB — realized wins (TAB + the non-repeatable luck of converting talent to wins)75th/195 execs
0.53Acquisition Leverage — playoff pts per acquired WAR, graded once in the year each deal's wins arrive (the repeatable decision skill)146th/195 execs
-120Roster surplus $M134th/195 execs

Tenure breakdown

TeamRoleYearsSzns WAB WAB/yr TAB WAR surp HG Trade FA R5 AcqLev W-L% POPenWS Surp $M
Giants POBO 2025–present 1 -0.7 -0.69 -1.8 -20.4 +0.2 +2.2 +6.0 +0.0 0.53 0.475 -120
Career total (1985+ data) 2 -0.7 -1.8 -20.4 +0.2 +2.2 +6.0 +0.0 0.53 0.475 -120

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+0.2
Trade+2.2
Free agency+6.0
Rule 5 / minor draft+0.0
Sourcing mix: 3% draft · 71% FA · 26% trade · 1% R5

Roster value distribution — career average — depth vs. stars

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR, averaged across Buster Posey's seasons. Bars = his rosters; the black line = the league-average player at each slot. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge.

Players acquired — 29 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr Lev
Willy Adames SS SFG Trade 2025 2 +4.3 +2.1 2.9
Luis Arráez 1B/2B SFG Free agency 2026 1 +3.6 +3.6 1.5
Justin Verlander P SFG Free agency 2025 1 +2.2 +2.2 1.7
Rafael Devers 3B SFG Trade 2025 2 +1.2 +0.6 1.0
Tyler Mahle P SFG Free agency 2026 1 +0.7 +0.7 0.3
Daniel Susac C SFG Trade 2025 1 +0.7 +0.7
Bryce Eldridge 1B/DH SFG Draft 2025 1 +0.6 +0.6
Dominic Smith 1B/OF SFG Free agency 2025 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.3
Drew Gilbert OF SFG Trade 2025 2 +0.2 +0.1
Sam Hentges P SFG Free agency 2025 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.1
Caleb Kilian P SFG Free agency 2025 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.1
Andrew Knizner C SFG Trade 2025 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.2
JT Brubaker P SFG Free agency 2025 2 +0.1 +0.0 0.3
Joey Lucchesi P SFG Free agency 2025 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Blade Tidwell P SFG Trade 2026 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.1
Jason Foley P SFG Free agency 2025 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Adrian Houser P SFG Free agency 2025 -0.0
Buddy Kennedy 2B/3B SFG Free agency 2025 -0.0
Joel Peguero P SFG Rule 5 2025 2 +0.0 +0.0
Dylan Smith P SFG Trade 2026 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Ryan Borucki P SFG Free agency 2026 -0.1
Jared Oliva OF SFG Free agency 2026 -0.1
José Buttó P SFG Trade 2025 -0.2
Eric Haase C SFG Free agency 2026 -0.2
Harrison Bader OF SFG Free agency 2026 -0.4
Will Brennan OF SFG Free agency 2026 -0.4
Carson Whisenhunt P SFG Draft 2025 1 -0.4 -0.4
Jerar Encarnacion OF SFG Trade 2025 1 -0.5 -0.5 0.1
Matt Gage P SFG Free agency 2025 1 -0.8 -0.8 0.4

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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