Rosternomics
Buster Posey

Buster Posey

★ active

Born Mar 27, 1987 · Leesburg, GA · age 39

A franchise-icon catcher and three-time World Series champion who moved directly into the front office as the San Francisco Giants' head of baseball operations.

Across the full 2-season sample, the measured profile stands out most for avoidance of dead payroll (98th percentile), future-foundation returns (87th percentile), and net WAR per trade (84th percentile). The clearest contrast is traded-for surplus (2nd percentile): players acquired by trade have created less surplus value than for most peers. Because the sample covers fewer than five seasons, those comparisons are descriptive rather than stable.

2 seasons with salary-era data across 1 stint. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

0 pennants · 0 playoff appearances · 146–178 (0.451)

Percentile Rankings

vs. execs with toyrs exp.
PoorAverageGreat
Trade Decision Quality
Roster Construction
Depth
5.5
Dead WAR
-6.2
Dead money %
19%
PoorAverageGreat
Talent Creation
Cheap-talent surplus
$25M
Drafted surplus
$5M
Traded-for surplus
$-6M
Int'l surplus
$0M
Results & Efficiency
GM WAR
-0.3
TAB
-14.4
WAB
-19.3
$ / WAR
$5.0M
Net WAR/trade
+0.83

Overview

TeamRoleYear Pay
$M
Rel
Pay
Surp
$M
Surp
WAR
Dead
%
Cheap
$M
Draft
$M
Trd
$M
Int'l
$M
$ /
WAR
WAR Depth Dead
WAR
HG Trade Net/
Trd
FA R5 RFA PPA CPA WAB TAB W-L% POPenWS
Giants POBO 2025 81–81 $152 97 -21 -5.3 12% +36 +10 -0 +0 $4.1M 32.6 7.0 -4.2 +1.2 +6.1 +1.01 +3.8 +0.0 +0.49 0.88 0.11 -0.6 -1.3 0.500
Giants POBO 2026 65–97 $187 115 -91 -21.7 26% +14 +0 -11 +0 $6.0M 22.9 4.0 -8.1 +0.0 +0.5 +0.27 -1.4 +0.0 +0.47 0.13 0.05 -18.7 -13.0 0.401
Career total (1985+ data) $338 106 -112 -27.0 19% +25 +5 -6 +0 $5.0M 55.5 5.5 -6.2 +1.2 +6.6 +0.83 +2.4 +0.0 +0.48 0.53 0.08 -19.3 -14.4 0.451 –– –

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+1.2
Trade+6.6
Free agency+2.4
Rule 5 / minor draft+0.0
Sourcing mix: 14% draft · 17% FA · 68% trade · 0% R5

Trades

Trades made — 24 deals credited to Buster Posey, best expected value first; surplus is realized value in $M

2025 · SFG / NYM Jul 30, 2025
SFG · Buster Posey +$13.6M
Blade Tidwell, José Buttó, Drew Gilbert
NYM · David Stearns −$13.6M
Tyler Rogers
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · SFG / MIN Dec 10, 2025
SFG · Buster Posey +$3.2M
Daniel Susac
MIN · Derek Falvey −$3.2M
Miguel Caraballo
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · SFG / SDP Aug 3, 2026
SFG · Buster Posey +$0.8M
Miguel Mendez, Joniel Hernandez
SDP · AJ Preller −$0.8M
Robbie Ray
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · ATL / SFG Aug 2, 2026
ATL · Alex Anthopoulos +$4.8M
Tyler Mahle
SFG · Buster Posey −$4.8M
Anthony Molina
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · SFG / MIA Nov 21, 2025
SFG · Buster Posey +$0.0M
Joey Wiemer
MIA · Peter Bendix +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · SFG / DET Mar 30, 2026
SFG · Buster Posey +$2.4M
Dylan Smith
DET · Scott Harris −$2.4M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · PHI / SFG Aug 3, 2026
PHI · Dave Dombrowski +$0.8M
Luis Arráez, Caleb Kilian
SFG · Buster Posey −$0.8M
Ramon Marquez, Marty Gair
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · SFG / KCR Nov 11, 2025
SFG · Buster Posey +$3.2M
Logan Martin
KCR · J.J. Picollo −$3.2M
Mason Black
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · SFG / CIN Jan 29, 2025
SFG · Buster Posey +$4.8M
Braxton Roxby
CIN · Nick Krall −$4.8M
Taylor Rogers
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · SFG / NYM Jun 7, 2025
SFG · Buster Posey +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
NYM · David Stearns +$0.0M
Justin Garza
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · BOS / SFG Aug 3, 2026
BOS · Craig Breslow +$2.4M
Carlos Gutierrez, Erik Miller
SFG · Buster Posey −$2.4M
Marcelo Mayer
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · SFG / MIL Mar 30, 2026
SFG · Buster Posey +$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
MIL · Matt Arnold −$0.8M
Luis Matos
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · SFG / SEA Jun 29, 2026
SFG · Buster Posey +$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
SEA · Jerry Dipoto −$0.8M
Buddy Kennedy
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · SFG / MIA Jan 22, 2026
SFG · Buster Posey +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
MIA · Peter Bendix +$0.0M
Carlos Martinez
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · HOU / SFG Jan 30, 2026
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Kai-Wei Teng
SFG · Buster Posey +$0.0M
Jancel Villarroel
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · TBR / SFG Feb 6, 2025
TBR · Erik Neander +$3.2M
cash / PTBNL
SFG · Buster Posey −$3.2M
Osleivis Basabe
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · SFG / MIA Jan 15, 2025
SFG · Buster Posey +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
MIA · Peter Bendix +$0.0M
William Kempner
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · KCR / SFG Jul 31, 2025
KCR · J.J. Picollo +$0.8M
Mike Yastrzemski
SFG · Buster Posey −$0.8M
Yunior Marte
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · SFG / ANA Jun 8, 2025
SFG · Buster Posey +$3.2M
cash / PTBNL
ANA · Perry Minasian −$3.2M
LaMonte Wade
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · SFG / NYY Jul 31, 2025
SFG · Buster Posey +$8.8M
Jesus Rodriguez, Trystan Vrieling, Carlos De La Rosa, Parks Harber
NYY · Brian Cashman −$8.8M
Camilo Doval
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · SFG / NYY Aug 3, 2026
SFG · Buster Posey +$2.4M
Henry Lalane, Kaeden Kent
NYY · Brian Cashman −$2.4M
Heliot Ramos
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · SFG / TOR Apr 4, 2026
SFG · Buster Posey +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
TOR · Ross Atkins +$0.0M
Tyler Fitzgerald
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · CLE / SFG May 9, 2026
CLE · Chris Antonetti +$4.8M
Patrick Bailey
SFG · Buster Posey −$4.8M
Matt Wilkinson, Draft pick (#29)
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · BOS / SFG Jun 15, 2025
BOS · Craig Breslow +$5.6M
Kyle Harrison, James Tibbs III, Jose Bello, Jordan Hicks
SFG · Buster Posey −$5.6M
Rafael Devers
Too soon to call unsettled

Players acquired — 31 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr RFA PPA CPA
Willy Adames SS SFG Trade 2025 2 +4.5 +2.3 – 3.3% 0.45%
Luis Arráez 1B/2B SFG Trade 2026 1 +3.8 +3.8 – 0.4% 0.17%
Rafael Devers 3B SFG Trade 2025 2 +3.4 +1.7 +5.87 1.2% 0.15%
Justin Verlander P SFG Free agency 2025 1 +2.3 +2.3 – 2.0% 0.25%
Drew Gilbert OF SFG Trade 2025 2 +1.8 +0.9 +1.40 – –
Bryce Eldridge 1B/DH SFG Draft 2025 1 +1.6 +1.6 – – –
Daniel Susac C SFG Trade 2025 1 +1.0 +1.0 +0.89 – –
Anthony Molina P SFG Trade 2026 1 +0.9 +0.9 +0.84 0.1% 0.04%
Tyler Mahle P SFG Trade 2026 1 +0.8 +0.8 – 0.1% 0.04%
Sam Hentges P SFG Free agency 2025 1 +0.5 +0.5 – 0.1% 0.03%
Dylan Smith P SFG Trade 2026 1 +0.5 +0.5 +0.59 0.1% 0.03%
Adrian Houser P SFG Free agency 2025 1 +0.4 +0.4 – 0.1% 0.02%
Dominic Smith 1B/OF SFG Free agency 2025 1 +0.4 +0.4 – 0.4% 0.05%
Blade Tidwell P SFG Trade 2026 1 +0.4 +0.4 +1.40 0.1% 0.02%
Caleb Kilian P SFG Trade 2026 1 +0.3 +0.3 – 0.0% 0.02%
JT Brubaker P SFG Free agency 2025 2 +0.1 +0.0 – 0.3% 0.04%
Joey Lucchesi P SFG Free agency 2025 1 +0.1 +0.1 – 0.1% 0.01%
Jason Foley P SFG Free agency 2025 1 +0.0 +0.0 – 0.0% 0.00%
Buddy Kennedy 2B/3B SFG Free agency 2025 – -0.0 – – – –
Joel Peguero P SFG Rule 5 2025 2 +0.0 +0.0 – – –
Ryan Borucki P SFG Free agency 2026 – -0.1 – – – –
Jared Oliva OF SFG Free agency 2026 – -0.1 – – – –
José Buttó P SFG Trade 2025 – -0.2 – +1.40 – –
Eric Haase C SFG Free agency 2026 – -0.2 – – – –
Andrew Knizner C SFG Free agency 2026 1 -0.2 -0.2 – 0.2% 0.03%
Harrison Bader OF SFG Free agency 2026 – -0.4 – – – –
Will Brennan OF SFG Free agency 2026 – -0.4 – – – –
Carson Whisenhunt P SFG Draft 2025 – -0.4 – – – –
Osleivis Basabe 2B/SS SFG Trade 2025 – -0.5 – +0.10 – –
Jerar Encarnacion OF SFG Trade 2025 1 -0.5 -0.5 – 0.1% 0.01%
Matt Gage P SFG Free agency 2025 1 -0.8 -0.8 – 0.5% 0.05%

Trade-side columns: RFA is playoff-readiness percentage points added to the future roster foundation. It grades the franchise's entire side of a trade, so the same score repeats for every player acquired in that package. PPA/CPA remain player-level arrival-year probability points.

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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