RRosternomics
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Twins MIN

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GM: Andy MacPhail

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.93× league · TAB +10.3
+10.3TAB — talent above budget3rd/26
+9.0WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)9th/26
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars14th/26
-3.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag6th/26
16%dead money %4th/26
0.556win %6th/26
43.6roster fWAR3rd/26
+6surplus $M (value vs cost)5th/26
$28Mpayroll $M16th/26

Roster

CFKirby Puckett 149GJ.T. Bruett 20GJarvis Brown 9G
LFShane Mack 150GDarren Reed 18GPedro Munoz 7G
RFPedro Munoz 117GGene Larkin 43GDarren Reed 25G
SSGreg Gagne 141GJeff Reboulet 36GScott Leius 10G
2BChuck Knoblauch 154GJeff Reboulet 13GDonnie Hill 7G
3BScott Leius 125GMike Pagliarulo 37GJeff Reboulet 22G
1BKent Hrbek 104GGene Larkin 55GTerry Jorgensen 13G
STARTERSJohn Smiley 5.0WARKevin Tapani 4.5WARScott Erickson 1.9WARPat Mahomes 0.7WARMike Trombley 0.6WAR
CBrian Harper 133GLenny Webster 49GDerek Parks 7G
DHChili Davis 115GRandy Bush 23GKirby Puckett 9G
BULLPEN★ Rick Aguilera 41svCarl Willis 0hMark Guthrie 0hTom Edens 0hGary Wayne 0hBob Kipper 0hDavid West 0hLarry Casian 0h
CBrian Harper 133 · Lenny Webster 49 · Derek Parks 7
1BKent Hrbek 104 · Gene Larkin 55 · Terry Jorgensen 13
2BChuck Knoblauch 154 · Jeff Reboulet 13 · Donnie Hill 7
3BScott Leius 125 · Mike Pagliarulo 37 · Jeff Reboulet 22
SSGreg Gagne 141 · Jeff Reboulet 36 · Scott Leius 10
LFShane Mack 150 · Darren Reed 18 · Pedro Munoz 7
CFKirby Puckett 149 · J.T. Bruett 20 · Jarvis Brown 9
RFPedro Munoz 117 · Gene Larkin 43 · Darren Reed 25
DHChili Davis 115 · Randy Bush 23 · Kirby Puckett 9
SPJohn Smiley 5.0 · Kevin Tapani 4.5 · Scott Erickson 1.9 · Pat Mahomes 0.7 · Mike Trombley 0.6
BP★ Rick Aguilera 41 · Carl Willis 0 · Mark Guthrie 0 · Tom Edens 0 · Gary Wayne 0 · Bob Kipper 0 · David West 0 · Larry Casian 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1992 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Kirby Puckett 32 FA-elig 1605.9 3.0 +1.7
Shane Mack 28 arb 1565.2 1.1 +2.9
John Smiley 27 FA-elig 345.0 3.4 +0.5
Chuck Knoblauch 23 pre-arb 1554.5 0.3 +3.2
Kevin Tapani 28 arb 344.5 0.5 +3.0
Brian Harper 32 FA-elig 1402.3 2.5 -0.7
Scott Erickson 24 pre-arb 321.9 0.4 +1.0
Kent Hrbek 32 FA-elig 1121.8 3.1 -1.7
Chili Davis 32 FA-elig 1381.7 2.8 -1.5
Bill Krueger↔ WSN 34 FA-elig 271.7 0.7 +0.6
Carl Willis 31 FA-elig 591.5 0.3 +0.9
Tom Edens 31 arb 521.4 0.1 +1.0
Mark Guthrie 26 arb 541.4 0.3 +0.8
Pedro Munoz 23 pre-arb 1271.3 0.2 +0.9
Greg Gagne 30 FA-elig 1461.2 1.9 -1.0
Scott Leius 26 pre-arb 1290.9 0.2 +0.5
Rick Aguilera 30 FA-elig 640.8 2.3 -1.7
Pat Mahomes 21 pre-arb 140.7 0.1 +0.5
Jeff Reboulet 28 – 730.7 – –
Mike Trombley 25 – 100.6 – –
Lenny Webster 27 arb 530.6 0.1 +0.3
Gary Wayne 29 arb 410.5 0.2 +0.2
Willie Banks 23 pre-arb 160.4 0.1 +0.2
Donnie Hill 31 FA-elig 250.3 0.4 -0.2
Paul Abbott 24 pre-arb 60.1 0.1 -0.0
Larry Casian 26 – 60.1 – –
J.T. Bruett 24 – 560.1 – –
Terry Jorgensen 25 – 220.0 – –
Derek Parks 23 – 7-0.0 – –
Gene Larkin 29 arb 115-0.1 0.9 -1.0
David West 27 – 9-0.1 – –
Mauro Gozzo 26 – 2-0.2 – –
Luis Quinones 30 – 3-0.2 – –
Darren Reed↔ WSN 26 pre-arb 14-0.3 0.0 -0.3
Bernardo Brito 28 – 8-0.3 – –
Jarvis Brown 25 pre-arb 35-0.4 0.1 -0.4
Mike Pagliarulo 32 FA-elig 42-0.5 1.2 -1.6
Bob Kipper 27 FA-elig 25-0.6 1.0 -1.5
Randy Bush 33 FA-elig 100-0.9 0.5 -1.2

Key additions (new vs 1991)

PlayerfWAR
John Smiley5.0
Bill Krueger1.7
Pat Mahomes0.7
Jeff Reboulet0.7
Mike Trombley0.6
Donnie Hill0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 1991)

Player1991 fWAR
Jack Morris4.1
Terry Leach0.9
Dan Gladden0.6
Junior Ortiz0.2
Denny Neagle0.1
Paul Sorrento0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

1992 payroll
$27.8M

What the front office was committed to as of 1992, 1992–1998. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (14)

PlayerAgeSvc1992199319941995199619971998
John Smiley276.000$3.4MFREE AGENT
Kent Hrbek3211.000$3.1M$3.1M$3.1MFREE AGENT
Kirby Puckett328.000$3.0M$5.3M$5.3M$6.3MFREE AGENT
Chili Davis3211.000$2.8MFREE AGENT
Brian Harper3213.000$2.5M$2.4MFREE AGENT
Rick Aguilera307.000$2.3M$2.4M$3.3M$2.5M$3.5M$3.1M$2.8M
Greg Gagne309.000$1.9MFREE AGENT
Mike Pagliarulo328.000$1.2M$322kFREE AGENT
Bob Kipper277.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Bill Krueger349.000$690kFREE AGENT
Randy Bush3310.000$450k$250kFREE AGENT
Donnie Hill319.000$400kFREE AGENT
Carl Willis318.000$325k$500k$500kFREE AGENT
Luis Quinones309.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc1992199319941995199619971998
Shane Mack285.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Gene Larkin295.000$950kFREE AGENT
Kevin Tapani283.000$485kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Guthrie263.000$270kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gary Wayne293.000$155kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tom Edens315.000$138kFREE AGENT
Lenny Webster273.000$115kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mauro Gozzo263.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Terry Jorgensen253.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David West274.000—ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (15)

PlayerAgeSvc1992199319941995199619971998
Scott Erickson242.000$425kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chuck Knoblauch231.000$325kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Leius262.000$175kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Munoz232.000$155kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Abbott242.000$126kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jarvis Brown251.000$112kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Willie Banks231.000$110kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pat Mahomes210.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darren Reed262.000$30kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bernardo Brito28–—
J.T. Bruett240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Larry Casian262.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Derek Parks230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Reboulet280.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Trombley250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Twins 1992; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.