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Orioles BAL

201169–93 (0.426)
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GM: Andy MacPhail

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2011, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$87M
Surplus $M
-45
Win %
0.426
TAB
-16.9
WAB
-11.8
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
16.2
Dead money %
64%
Depth Players
4.0
Dead WAR
-10.2

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2011 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

BMatt Wieters132
RCraig Tatum30
RJake Fox10

1B

RDerrek Lee⇄85
RMark Reynolds44
LChris Davis⇄17
LLuke Scott12
RJake Fox6
RBrandon Snyder5
LNick Markakis3
RCraig Tatum1
BMatt Wieters1

2B

RRobert Andino94
BBrian Roberts39
RRyan Adams26
LBlake Davis18
BCésar Izturis3

3B

RMark Reynolds114
RRobert Andino22
BJosh Bell21
LChris Davis⇄14
LBlake Davis1
BCésar Izturis1

SS

RJ.J. Hardy129
RRobert Andino30
BCésar Izturis12
BPedro Florimón4
LBlake Davis2

LF

RNolan Reimold73
LFelix Pie67
LLuke Scott45
LMatt Angle14
LKyle Hudson8
RJake Fox5
RRobert Andino3
BJosh Bell1

CF

RAdam Jones148
LMatt Angle16
LFelix Pie6
LKyle Hudson2

RF

LNick Markakis157
RNolan Reimold8
LFelix Pie3
LMatt Angle2
BJosh Bell1

DH

RVladimir Guerrero137
RNolan Reimold6
LLuke Scott4
LFelix Pie3
BMatt Wieters3
RJake Fox2
RAdam Jones2
BJosh Bell2
BCésar Izturis1
RBrandon Snyder1
LKyle Hudson1
LNick Markakis1

Starters

LZack Britton2.3 WAR
RJeremy Guthrie1.8 WAR
RChris Tillman1.1 WAR
RAlfredo Simon0.9 WAR
RTommy Hunter⇄0.4 WAR
RBrad Bergesen0.1 WAR
RJake Arrieta-0.1 WAR
RChris Jakubauskas-0.1 WAR
LJo-Jo Reyes⇄-0.3 WAR
RMitch Atkins-0.4 WAR
RRick VandenHurk-0.4 WAR
LBrian Matusz-1.2 WAR

Bullpen

★ RKevin Gregg22 sv
RJim Johnson18 h
LClay Rapada5 h
RJason Berken5 h
RJeremy Accardo2 h
LTroy Patton2 h
RKoji Uehara⇄0 h
LMichael Gonzalez⇄0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2010)

PlayerfWAR
J.J. Hardy4.5
Zack Britton2.3
Pedro Strop0.5
Tommy Hunter0.4
Mark Reynolds0.1
Willie Eyre0.1

Key subtractions (gone from 2010)

Player2010 fWAR
Kevin Millwood1.1
Corey Patterson0.9
David Hernandez0.7
Matt Albers0.0
Scott Moore0.0
Will Ohman0.0

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Orioles. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2011; everyone else is shown as a 2011 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Matt Wieters 2011 +5.0 +51.4 0.5 +51.0 $0.1M 1.28× –
J.J. Hardy 2011 +4.5 +47.2 5.8 +41.3 $1.3M 1.32× –
Zack Britton 2011 +2.3 +27.0 0.4 +26.6 $0.2M 1.49× –
Adam Jones 2011 +2.5 +24.0 3.2 +20.8 $1.3M 1.22× –
Jeremy Guthrie 2011 +1.8 +20.9 5.8 +15.2 $3.3M 1.49× –
Jim Johnson 2011 +1.2 +13.2 1.0 +12.2 $0.8M 1.34× –
Chris Tillman 2011 +1.1 +8.6 0.4 +8.2 $0.4M 1.02× –
Nolan Reimold 2011 +1.3 +8.5 0.4 +8.1 $0.3M 0.83× –
Alfredo Simon 2011 +0.9 +7.6 0.4 +7.2 $0.4M 1.02× –
Robert Andino 2011 +1.4 +6.4 0.4 +6.0 $0.3M 0.56× –
Koji Uehara↔ 2011 +1.1 +6.1 2.0 +4.1 $1.7M 0.67× –
Tommy Hunter↔ 2011 +0.4 +3.1 0.3 +2.9 $0.7M 1.02× –
Troy Patton 2011 +0.5 +2.9 0.4 +2.5 $0.8M 0.67× –
Pedro Strop↔ 2011 +0.5 +2.6 0.2 +2.4 $0.4M 0.67× –
Willie Eyre 2011 +0.1 +0.5 0.1 +0.4 $1.2M 0.67× –
Zach Phillips 2011 +0.1 +0.3 0.4 -0.1 $7.0M 0.67× –
Brandon Snyder 2011 -0.0 -0.0 0.4 -0.4 – 0.56× –
Clay Rapada 2011 -0.0 -0.1 0.4 -0.5 – 0.67× –
Matt Angle 2011 -0.1 -0.5 0.4 -0.9 – 0.83× –
Nick Markakis 2011 +1.5 +9.7 10.6 -0.9 $7.3M 0.83× –
Cesar Izturis 2011 +0.1 +0.5 1.5 -1.0 $14.7M 0.61× –
Pedro Florimón 2011 -0.1 -0.6 0.4 -1.0 – 0.61× –
Jake Arrieta 2011 -0.1 -1.0 0.4 -1.4 – 1.02× –
Pedro Viola 2011 -0.2 -1.0 0.4 -1.4 – 0.67× –
Jake Fox 2011 -0.3 -1.2 0.4 -1.6 – 0.52× –
Chris Davis↔ 2011 -0.4 -1.6 0.1 -1.7 – 0.56× –
Josh Rupe 2011 -0.4 -1.9 0.5 -2.3 – 0.67× –
Jo-Jo Reyes↔ 2011 -0.3 -2.3 0.1 -2.4 – 1.02× –
Ryan Adams 2011 -0.5 -2.3 0.3 -2.6 – 0.56× –
Jeremy Accardo 2011 -0.3 -1.6 1.1 -2.7 – 0.67× –
Kyle Hudson 2011 -0.5 -3.1 0.1 -3.1 – 0.83× –
Jason Berken 2011 -0.6 -3.0 0.4 -3.4 – 0.67× –
Rick Van Den Hurk 2011 -0.4 -3.4 0.1 -3.5 – 1.02× –
Josh Bell 2011 -0.8 -3.5 0.4 -3.9 – 0.58× –
Mark Reynolds 2011 +0.1 +0.6 5.3 -4.8 $44.6M 0.58× –
Michael Gonzalez↔ 2011 +0.0 +0.2 5.2 -5.1 $162.7M 0.67× –
Derrek Lee↔ 2011 -0.1 -0.4 5.5 -5.8 – 0.56× –
Luke Scott 2011 -0.1 -0.4 6.4 -6.8 – 0.83× –
Kevin Gregg 2011 -0.4 -4.7 4.2 -8.9 – 1.34× –
Brian Roberts 2011 -0.0 -0.2 10.0 -10.2 – 0.56× –
Brian Matusz 2011 -1.2 -9.4 1.4 -10.8 – 1.02× –
Vladimir Guerrero 2011 -0.6 -3.3 7.6 -10.9 – 0.69× –
Felix Pie 2011 -2.2 -14.9 1.0 -15.9 – 0.83× –
Brad Bergesen 2011 +0.1 +0.4 0.4 -0.0 $5.5M 0.67× –
Blake Davis 2011 +0.0 +0.1 – – – 0.56× –
Chris Jakubauskas 2011 -0.1 -0.5 – – – 0.67× –
Craig Tatum 2011 -0.0 -0.0 – – – 0.52× –
Mark Hendrickson 2011 -0.1 -0.3 – – – 0.67× –
Mark Worrell 2011 -0.3 -1.7 – – – 0.67× –
Mitch Atkins 2011 -0.4 -3.1 – – – 1.02× –
Total—+16.0+175.886.7+94.9—

Trades

Every graded 2011 deal involving the Orioles — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 6 total.

2011 · BAL / TEX
BAL · Andy MacPhail +$79.2M
Tommy Hunter, Chris Davis
TEX · Jon Daniels −$79.2M
Koji Uehara
BAL came out ahead by $79.2M
2011 · BAL / TEX
BAL · Andy MacPhail +$12.0M
Pedro Strop
TEX · Jon Daniels −$12.0M
Mike Gonzalez
BAL came out ahead by $12.0M
2011 · TEX / BAL
TEX · Jon Daniels +$6.4M
Randy Henry, Greg Miclat
BAL · Andy MacPhail −$6.4M
Taylor Teagarden
TEX came out ahead by $6.4M
2011 · TEX / BAL
TEX · Jon Daniels +$1.6M
Nick Green
BAL · Andy MacPhail −$1.6M
Zach Phillips
TEX came out ahead by $1.6M
2011 · LAD / BAL
LAD · Ned Colletti +$1.6M
Jarret Martin, Tyler Henson
BAL · Andy MacPhail −$1.6M
Dana Eveland
LAD came out ahead by $1.6M
2011 · BAL / PIT
BAL · Andy MacPhail +$8.8M
Aaron Baker
PIT · Neal Huntington −$8.8M
Derrek Lee
BAL came out ahead by $8.8M

Current & Historical Payroll

2011 payroll
$86.9M

What the front office was committed to as of 2011, 2011–2017. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Brian Roberts338.131$10.0M$10.0M$10.0MFREE AGENT
Vladimir Guerrero3615.000$7.6MFREE AGENT
J.J. Hardy2812.164$5.8M$7.0M$7.0M$7.0M$11.5M$12.5M$14.0M
Derrek Lee3512.125$5.5MFREE AGENT
Michael Gonzalez338.000$5.2MFREE AGENT
Kevin Gregg337.002$4.2M$5.8MFREE AGENT
Cesar Izturis319.074$1.5MFREE AGENT
Josh Rupe286.000$475kFREE AGENT
Mark Hendrickson379.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Nick Markakis275.000$10.6MFREE AGENT
Luke Scott334.144$6.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremy Guthrie324.130$5.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Reynolds273.138$5.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Jones253.139$3.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremy Accardo294.021$1.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Felix Pie263.012$985kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Fox284.000$424kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jo-Jo Reyes263.007$136kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Willie Eyre323.000$111kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rick Van Den Hurk264.000$68kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (30)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Koji Uehara362.000$2.0MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Matusz241.062$1.4MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jim Johnson282.165$975kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Wieters251.129$452kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Bergesen251.160$434kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Berken271.132$426kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robert Andino272.094$422kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Arrieta250.116$419kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Tillman230.133$417kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alfredo Simon302.012$414kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Viola280.084$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Clay Rapada302.127$414kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Florimón240.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Angle250.043$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach Phillips240.091$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Bell24–$414k
Nolan Reimold271.144$414kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Snyder240.033$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Troy Patton251.073$414kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zack Britton230.000$360kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Adams24–$301k
Tommy Hunter241.090$265kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Strop260.094$217kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Davis251.120$147kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Hudson240.028$68kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mitch Atkins25–—
Mark Worrell28–—
Craig Tatum282.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Blake Davis27–—
Chris Jakubauskas322.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2011 acquisition stacked onto Orioles's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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