RRosternomics
David Stearns

David Stearns

★ active

Born Feb 18, 1985 · Manhattan, NY · age 41

Built the small-market Milwaukee Brewers into a regular postseason team through a disciplined, analytical approach, then returned home to run the New York Mets as president of baseball operations.

10 seasons with salary-era data across 2 stints. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

Overview

Titles0
Pennants0
Playoffs5
Record767–688
Win %0.527
+3.4GM WAR — wins above a replacement GM (org-adjusted, shrunk; per season) ±4.923rd/195 execs
6.6Depth — 2+ WAR regulars per season (the breadth that drives TAB, not stars)77th/195 execs
-4.3Dead WAR — WAR/yr bled by sub-replacement players (closer to 0 = better)40th/195 execs
30%Dead money — payroll on <0.5-WAR players (lower = better)57th/195 execs
$38MCheap-talent surplus — $/yr of value from cost-controlled (pre-arb/arb) players above their pay; the selection engine, and the stickiest GM skill we track27th/195 execs
$18MDrafted surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own draftees (the develop-from-the-draft engine)21st/195 execs
$20MTraded-for surplus — cheap-talent surplus from cost-controlled players he acquired via trade16th/195 execs
$0MInt'l surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own international signees132nd/195 execs
+44.5TAB — talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation), tenure total22nd/195 execs
+49.2WAB — realized wins (TAB + the non-repeatable luck of converting talent to wins)18th/195 execs
3.20Acquisition Leverage — playoff pts per acquired WAR, graded once in the year each deal's wins arrive (the repeatable decision skill)37th/195 execs
-263Roster surplus $M170th/195 execs

Tenure breakdown

TeamRoleYearsSzns WAB WAB/yr TAB WAR surp HG Trade FA R5 AcqLev W-L% POPenWS Surp $M
Mets POBO/GM 2024–present 2 -8.5 -4.23 +1.2 -91.7 +7.3 +4.2 +5.1 -0.9 3.09 0.505 1 -445
Brewers POBO/GM 2016–2022 6 +57.6 +9.61 +43.3 +52.3 +29.4 +46.4 -18.1 +0.0 3.25 0.536 4 +182
Career total (1985+ data) 10 +49.2 +44.5 -39.4 +36.7 +50.7 -13.0 -0.9 3.20 0.527 5 -263

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+36.7
Trade+50.7
Free agency-13.0
Rule 5 / minor draft-0.9
Sourcing mix: 21% draft · 36% FA · 43% trade · 0% R5

Roster value distribution — career average — depth vs. stars

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR, averaged across David Stearns's seasons. Bars = his rosters; the black line = the league-average player at each slot. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge.

Players acquired — 201 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr Lev
Christian Yelich OF MIL Trade 2018 9 +28.2 +3.1 24.0
Corbin Burnes P MIL Draft 2016 5 +17.9 +3.6
William Contreras C MIL Trade 2022 4 +16.7 +4.2 8.7
Willy Adames SS MIL Trade 2021 4 +15.9 +4.0 19.0
Juan Soto OF NYM Free agency 2024 2 +8.8 +4.4 33.4
Manny Piña C MIL Trade 2016 6 +7.5 +1.2 0.1
Travis Shaw 3B MIL Trade 2017 2 +6.9 +3.5 12.9
Yasmani Grandal C MIL Free agency 2019 1 +5.7 +5.7 15.5
Garrett Mitchell OF MIL Draft 2022 5 +5.5 +1.1
Eric Thames 1B/OF MIL Free agency 2016 3 +5.2 +1.7 7.1
Luis Urías 2B/3B MIL Trade 2019 3 +5.1 +1.7 4.3
Kolten Wong 2B MIL Free agency 2021 2 +4.9 +2.5 15.3
Jonathan Villar 2B/SS MIL Trade 2016 3 +4.6 +1.5 0.6
Omar Narváez C MIL Trade 2020 3 +4.6 +1.5 6.7
Keon Broxton OF MIL Trade 2016 3 +4.4 +1.5 0.4
Chase Anderson P MIL Trade 2016 3 +4.3 +1.4 0.0
Aaron Ashby P MIL Draft 2018 5 +4.1 +0.8
Jesús Aguilar 1B MIL Trade 2017 2 +4.0 +2.0 3.6
Sean Manaea P NYM Free agency 2024 3 +3.9 +1.3 7.2
Nolan McLean P NYM Draft 2025 2 +3.4 +1.7
Jace Peterson 2B/3B MIL Free agency 2019 3 +3.3 +1.1 3.9
Junior Guerra P MIL Trade 2016 3 +3.3 +1.1 0.4
Luis Torrens C NYM Trade 2024 3 +3.2 +1.1 2.2
Clay Holmes P NYM Free agency 2024 2 +3.1 +1.6 10.0
Avisaíl García OF MIL Free agency 2019 2 +2.7 +1.4 5.3
Mike Moustakas 3B MIL Free agency 2019 2 +2.7 +1.4 2.5
Víctor Caratini C MIL Trade 2022 2 +2.6 +1.3 6.2
Keston Hiura 1B/2B MIL Draft 2017 3 +2.6 +0.9
Jose Iglesias SS NYM Trade 2024 1 +2.5 +2.5 6.6
Jhoulys Chacín P MIL Free agency 2017 2 +2.4 +1.2 8.5
Hoby Milner P MIL Free agency 2020 3 +2.4 +0.8 3.2
Hunter Renfroe OF MIL Trade 2021 1 +2.4 +2.4 10.5
Wade Miley P MIL Free agency 2018 2 +2.3 +1.1 4.7
Chris Carter 1B/DH MIL Free agency 2016 1 +2.2 +2.2 0.4
Eric Lauer P MIL Trade 2019 2 +2.1 +1.0 11.5
Luis Severino P NYM Trade 2024 1 +2.1 +2.1 5.6
Jeremy Jeffress P MIL Trade 2017 7 +2.0 +0.3
Joel Payamps P MIL Trade 2022 2 +1.7 +0.9 2.2
Carson Benge OF NYM Draft 2026 1 +1.7 +1.7
Reed Garrett P NYM Trade 2024 2 +1.7 +0.8 2.4
Brad Boxberger P MIL Free agency 2021 2 +1.6 +0.8 4.6
Colin Rea P MIL Free agency 2021 2 +1.5 +0.7 1.4
Christian Scott P NYM Draft 2024 2 +1.5 +0.8
Aaron Hill 2B MIL Trade 2016 1 +1.5 +1.5 0.3
Tyrone Taylor OF NYM Trade 2024 2 +1.5 +0.8 2.7
Brooks Raley P NYM Free agency 2025 4 +1.4 +0.4 0.5
Brett Anderson P MIL Free agency 2019 2 +1.3 +0.7 6.9
Gio Gonzalez P MIL Free agency 2019 2 +1.2 +0.6 1.8
Harrison Bader OF NYM Free agency 2024 1 +1.2 +1.2 3.2
Freddy Peralta P NYM Trade 2026 1 +1.2 +1.2 0.6
Luke Weaver P NYM Free agency 2025 1 +1.1 +1.1 0.5
Erik Kratz C MIL Trade 2018 1 +1.1 +1.1 3.8
Huascar Brazobán P NYM Trade 2025 2 +1.1 +0.5 1.9
Dedniel Núñez P NYM Draft 2024 2 +1.0 +0.5
Neil Walker 2B MIL Trade 2017 1 +1.0 +1.0 3.0
Jordan Lyles P MIL Trade 2018 2 +1.0 +0.5 1.2
Jedd Gyorko 2B/3B MIL Free agency 2020 1 +0.9 +0.9 10.6
Griffin Canning P NYM Free agency 2024 1 +0.9 +0.9 4.9
Robert Gasser P MIL Trade 2022 2 +0.8 +0.4
Bo Bichette SS NYM Free agency 2026 1 +0.8 +0.8 0.4
Eric Sogard 2B MIL Free agency 2016 1 +0.7 +0.7 4.6
Eduardo Escobar 3B MIL Trade 2021 1 +0.7 +0.7 3.7
Drew Pomeranz P MIL Trade 2019 1 +0.7 +0.7 2.1
Oliver Drake P MIL Trade 2017 2 +0.7 +0.4 1.6
Rowdy Tellez 1B MIL Trade 2021 2 +0.7 +0.3 1.6
Phil Maton P NYM Trade 2024 1 +0.7 +0.7 1.8
Jonathan Davis OF MIL Free agency 2021 1 +0.6 +0.6 2.5
Andrew McCutchen OF MIL Free agency 2022 1 +0.6 +0.6 2.6
Owen Miller 1B/2B MIL Trade 2022 1 +0.6 +0.6 1.7
Jacob Nottingham C MIL Trade 2016 4 +0.6 +0.2
J. D. Martinez DH/OF NYM Free agency 2024 1 +0.6 +0.6 1.6
A. J. Minter P NYM Free agency 2025 2 +0.6 +0.3 1.6
Brandon Sproat P NYM Draft 2025 1 +0.6 +0.6
Devin Williams P NYM Free agency 2025 1 +0.6 +0.6 0.3
Jared Young 1B/DH NYM Free agency 2024 1 +0.6 +0.6 0.3
Dan Vogelbach 1B/DH MIL Trade 2020 1 +0.6 +0.6 7.6
Ben Gamel OF MIL Trade 2018 2 +0.5 +0.3 1.4
Jared Hughes P MIL Free agency 2017 1 +0.5 +0.5 1.4
Josh Lindblom P MIL Free agency 2019 1 +0.5 +0.5 10.1
Anthony Swarzak P MIL Trade 2017 1 +0.5 +0.5 1.5
Joakim Soria P MIL Trade 2018 1 +0.5 +0.5 1.6
Peter Strzelecki P MIL Draft 2022 2 +0.4 +0.2
Danny Young P NYM Free agency 2024 2 +0.4 +0.2 0.4
Stephen Vogt C MIL Trade 2017 1 +0.4 +0.4 1.2
Tyler Rogers P NYM Trade 2025 1 +0.4 +0.4 2.0
Blaine Boyer P MIL Free agency 2016 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.1
Pablo Reyes OF MIL Free agency 2021 1 +0.3 +0.3 1.6
Cory Spangenberg 2B/3B MIL Free agency 2019 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.9
Carlos Torres P MIL Free agency 2016 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.1
Curtis Granderson OF MIL Trade 2018 1 +0.3 +0.3 1.1
David Phelps P MIL Trade 2020 1 +0.3 +0.3 3.9
Jhan Mariñez P MIL Trade 2016 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.1
Hunter Strickland P MIL Trade 2021 1 +0.3 +0.3 1.9
Kirk Nieuwenhuis OF MIL Trade 2016 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.1
José Castillo P NYM Trade 2025 1 +0.3 +0.3 1.4
Paul Blackburn P NYM Trade 2024 2 +0.3 +0.1 0.4
Max Kranick P NYM Trade 2025 1 +0.3 +0.3 1.5
Rico Garcia P NYM Trade 2025 1 +0.3 +0.3 1.5
Jake Cousins P MIL Trade 2021 2 +0.2 +0.1
Dan Jennings P MIL Free agency 2018 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.9
Luke Maile C MIL Free agency 2020 1 +0.2 +0.2 1.1
Justin Hagenman P NYM Rule 5 2025 1 +0.2 +0.2
Gregory Soto P NYM Trade 2025 1 +0.2 +0.2 1.1
Kevin Herget P NYM Trade 2025 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.8
Cedric Mullins OF NYM Trade 2025 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.8
Mario Feliciano C MIL Draft 2016 2 +0.1 +0.0
Derek Fisher OF MIL Trade 2021 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.3
Thomas Pannone P MIL Free agency 2022 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.2
Chris Devenski P NYM Free agency 2024 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.8
Daniel Duarte P NYM Free agency 2025 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
MJ Melendez OF NYM Free agency 2026 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Ryne Stanek P NYM Free agency 2025 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.3
Jonah Tong P NYM Draft 2025 1 +0.1 +0.1
Xavier Cedeño P MIL Trade 2018 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.5
Tommy Milone P MIL Trade 2017 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.3
Tyler Austin 1B MIL Trade 2019 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.2
Ben Rowen P MIL Trade 2016 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Mike Brosseau 3B MIL Trade 2022 1 +0.1 +0.1 2.6
Trevor Richards P MIL Trade 2021 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.7
Luis García P NYM Trade 2026 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Yohan Ramírez P NYM Trade 2024 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.2
Luis Robert OF NYM Trade 2026 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.1
Tyler Zuber P NYM Trade 2025 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.3
John Axford P MIL Trade 2021 3 -0.0 -0.0
Phil Bickford P MIL Trade 2016 -0.0
Nick Franklin 2B MIL Free agency 2018 -0.0
Blaine Hardy P MIL Free agency 2021 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.2
Alex Jackson C MIL Trade 2022 -0.0
Mark Mathias 2B/OF MIL Trade 2019 1 +0.0 +0.0
Jake Petricka P MIL Free agency 2019 -0.0
Drew Rasmussen P MIL Draft 2018 1 -0.0 -0.0
Corey Ray OF MIL Draft 2016 -0.0
Pedro Severino C MIL Free agency 2021 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.2
Justin Topa P MIL Trade 2020 2 +0.0 +0.0
Patrick Weigel P MIL Trade 2021 -0.0
Mike Zagurski P MIL Free agency 2017 -0.0
Eddy Alvarez 2B/3B NYM Trade 2024 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Xzavion Curry P NYM Free agency 2026 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Carl Edwards P NYM Free agency 2025 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Justin Garza P NYM Trade 2025 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Joey Gerber P NYM Trade 2025 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Dom Hamel P NYM Draft 2025 -0.0
Frankie Montas P NYM Free agency 2024 -0.0
Guillo Zuñiga P NYM Free agency 2026 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Ryan Weber P MIL Trade 2021 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Alec Asher P MIL Trade 2018 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.1
Ji Man Choi 1B MIL Trade 2018 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Donnie Hart P MIL Trade 2019 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Joe Hudson C NYM Trade 2024 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Tyler Jay P NYM Trade 2024 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Luke Barker P MIL Draft 2022 -0.1
Quintin Berry OF MIL Free agency 2017 -0.1
Lewis Brinson OF MIL Trade 2016 -0.1
Alex Claudio P MIL Free agency 2019 2 -0.1 -0.1 1.1
Trevor Gott P MIL Free agency 2021 -0.1
Deolis Guerra P MIL Free agency 2018 -0.1
Jandel Gustave P MIL Trade 2021 -0.1
Ryon Healy 1B/3B MIL Free agency 2019 -0.1
Jay Jackson P MIL Free agency 2019 -0.1
J. C. Mejía P MIL Trade 2021 1 -0.1 -0.1 0.0
Connor Sadzeck P MIL Free agency 2021 -0.1
Ethan Small P MIL Draft 2022 -0.1
Aaron Wilkerson P MIL Trade 2016 1 -0.1 -0.1
Jordan Zimmermann P MIL Free agency 2021 -0.1
Eric Orze P NYM Draft 2024 -0.1
Jonathan Pintaro P NYM Draft 2025 -0.1
Hayden Senger C NYM Draft 2025 1 -0.1 -0.1
Julio Teherán P NYM Free agency 2024 -0.1
Brandon Waddell P NYM Free agency 2024 -0.1
Jesse Winker OF NYM Free agency 2025 1 -0.1 -0.1 0.1
Rob Scahill P MIL Trade 2016 1 -0.1 -0.1 0.0
Austin Warren P NYM Trade 2025 1 -0.1 -0.1 0.3
Alec Bettinger P MIL Draft 2017 -0.2
J. P. Feyereisen P MIL Trade 2019 1 -0.2 -0.2
Justin Grimm P MIL Free agency 2019 -0.2
J. J. Hoover P MIL Free agency 2018 -0.2
Logan Morrison 1B/OF MIL Free agency 2020 -0.2
Luis Perdomo P MIL Free agency 2021 -0.2
Bobby Wahl P MIL Trade 2019 -0.2
Andrew Susac C MIL Trade 2016 1 -0.2 -0.2 0.0
Tyler Saladino 3B/SS MIL Trade 2018 1 -0.2 -0.2 0.3
Jason Alexander P MIL Draft 2022 -0.3
Zack Godley P MIL Free agency 2021 -0.3
Boone Logan P MIL Free agency 2018 -0.3
Ángel Perdomo P MIL Trade 2020 -0.3
Alex Wilson P MIL Free agency 2019 -0.3
Blade Tidwell P NYM Draft 2025 -0.3
Ray Black P MIL Trade 2020 1 -0.3 -0.3 0.0
Eric Yardley P MIL Trade 2020 1 -0.3 -0.3 1.5
Daniel Robertson 2B/3B/SS MIL Free agency 2021 -0.4
Miguel Sánchez P MIL Intl FA 2016 -0.4
José Siri OF NYM Trade 2024 -0.4
Trevor Kelley P MIL Free agency 2021 -0.5
Ty Adcock P NYM Free agency 2024 -0.5
Alex Carrillo P NYM Draft 2025 -0.5
Jorge Polanco 2B/SS NYM Free agency 2025 -0.6
Matt Bush P MIL Trade 2022 -0.7
Jesse Winker OF MIL Trade 2022 -0.8
Jake Diekman P NYM Free agency 2024 -0.8
Matt Albers P MIL Free agency 2018 -0.9
Jackie Bradley OF MIL Free agency 2021 -1.7

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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