Rosternomics
Mike Chernoff

Mike Chernoff

★ active

Born 1980 · age 46

General manager for the Guardians (2016–present).

Across the full 11-season sample, the measured profile stands out most for payroll-adjusted roster quality (97th percentile), championship leverage per acquired WAR (96th percentile), and cheap-talent surplus (94th percentile).

11 seasons with salary-era data across 1 stint. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

1 pennant · 7 playoff appearances · 917–746 (0.551)

Percentile Rankings

vs. execs with toyrs exp.
PoorAverageGreat
Trade Decision Quality
Roster Construction
Depth
6.9
Dead WAR
-4.2
Dead money %
34%
PoorAverageGreat
Talent Creation
Cheap-talent surplus
$59M
Drafted surplus
$18M
Traded-for surplus
$17M
Int'l surplus
$7M
Results & Efficiency
GM WAR
+5.9
TAB
+107.9
WAB
+131.4
$ / WAR
$2.2M
Net WAR/trade
-0.10

Overview

TeamRoleYear Pay
$M
Rel
Pay
Surp
$M
Surp
WAR
Dead
%
Cheap
$M
Draft
$M
Trd
$M
Int'l
$M
$ /
WAR
WAR Depth Dead
WAR
HG Trade Net/
Trd
FA R5 RFA PPA CPA WAB TAB W-L% POPenWS
Guardians GM 2016 94–67 $82 65 +54 +16.7 34% +70 +30 +17 +23 $1.8M 41.8 8.0 -3.4 +30.5 -1.2 -0.41 -2.8 -9.4 +0.39 5.66 0.37 +18.0 +12.9 0.584
Guardians GM 2017 102–60 $122 93 +79 +23.4 19% +65 +21 +17 +27 $2.0M 58.6 11.0 -1.9 +4.0 +0.2 +0.06 -1.6 +0.0 -2.52 0.97 1.80 +20.9 +25.2 0.630
Guardians GM 2018 91–71 $143 109 +20 +5.9 38% +54 +23 +8 +23 $2.7M 47.8 9.0 -5.4 -0.1 -17.7 -1.96 -18.2 +0.0 +0.02 3.25 1.09 +7.9 +12.5 0.562
Guardians GM 2019 93–69 $125 96 +23 +7.1 26% +57 +40 +17 +0 $2.5M 45.1 9.0 -4.5 +0.0 +1.2 +0.25 -2.9 +0.0 +0.92 6.53 0.59 +11.5 +11.4 0.574
Guardians GM 2020 35–25 $87 74 +43 +5.9 19% +38 +40 -2 +0 $4.2M 17.9 2.0 -2.7 +0.0 -0.4 -0.44 -1.7 +2.1 +1.96 3.50 1.09 +0.0 +0.0 0.583
Guardians GM 2021 80–82 $45 36 +46 +14.3 53% +49 +20 +29 +0 $1.4M 28.5 5.0 -3.7 +0.0 +18.8 +2.69 +1.7 +0.0 +0.49 0.24 0.07 +11.1 +6.6 0.494
Guardians GM 2022 92–70 $65 45 +86 +23.5 22% +84 +34 +49 +0 $1.4M 40.7 8.0 -6.6 +26.5 -3.3 -0.56 -0.5 +0.0 +0.06 6.95 0.60 +20.1 +16.0 0.568
Guardians GM 2023 76–86 $93 60 +22 +5.6 51% +41 +2 +27 +0 $2.6M 28.9 7.0 -6.1 +23.6 +0.7 +0.11 -4.6 +0.0 +1.20 1.15 0.14 +0.5 +0.8 0.469
Guardians GM 2024 92–69 $91 57 +57 +13.6 42% +67 -9 +13 +0 $2.3M 35.6 7.0 -4.1 +15.0 -4.0 -0.45 -4.3 +0.0 +0.14 3.06 0.23 +17.8 +8.4 0.571
Guardians GM 2025 88–74 $80 51 +34 +8.4 43% +37 -2 -2 +0 $2.4M 28.9 3.0 -4.6 +4.9 +0.3 +0.08 +0.6 +0.0 +0.75 0.58 0.10 +14.6 +2.7 0.543
Guardians GM 2026 74–73 $72 44 +78 +16.9 27% +82 +0 +9 +0 $2.0M 32.5 7.0 -3.1 +5.2 +0.0 +0.00 -0.4 +0.0 +0.10 2.14 0.19 +9.1 +11.4 0.503
Career total (1985+ data) $1005 66 +543 +141.3 34% +59 +18 +17 +7 $2.2M 406.3 6.9 -4.2 +109.6 -5.4 -0.10 -34.6 -7.2 +0.32 3.03 0.64 +131.4 +107.9 0.551 71

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+109.6
Trade-5.4
Free agency-34.6
Rule 5 / minor draft-7.2
Sourcing mix: 67% draft · 10% FA · 21% trade · 1% R5

Trades

Trades made — 0 deals credited to Mike Chernoff, best expected value first; surplus is realized value in $M

No graded trades on record for this executive.

Players acquired — 174 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr RFA PPA CPA
Shane Bieber P CLE Draft 2016 7 +21.5 +3.1
Steven Kwan OF CLE Draft 2022 5 +18.0 +3.6
Andrés Giménez 2B CLE Trade 2021 4 +13.3 +3.3 +4.22 0.2% 0.04%
Emmanuel Clase P CLE Trade 2021 5 +9.6 +1.9 0.5% 0.14%
Tanner Bibee P CLE Draft 2023 4 +9.4 +2.3
Cade Smith P CLE Draft 2024 3 +7.4 +2.5
Gavin Williams P CLE Draft 2023 4 +7.0 +1.8
Josh Naylor 1B CLE Trade 2021 4 +7.0 +1.8 +1.96 0.1% 0.02%
Amed Rosario SS CLE Trade 2021 3 +5.9 +2.0 +4.22 0.6% 0.18%
Parker Messick P CLE Draft 2025 2 +5.3 +2.7
Bo Naylor C CLE Draft 2022 3 +4.9 +1.6
Cal Quantrill P CLE Trade 2020 4 +4.9 +1.2 +1.96 2.0% 0.63%
Aaron Civale P CLE Draft 2016 5 +4.6 +0.9
Zach Plesac P CLE Draft 2016 5 +4.4 +0.9
Brayan Rocchio SS CLE Draft 2023 3 +4.1 +1.4
Edwin Encarnación 1B/3B/DH CLE Free agency 2017 2 +3.9 +1.9 2.5% 4.70%
Andrew Miller P CLE Trade 2016 3 +3.7 +1.2 6.1% 0.40%
Joey Cantillo P CLE Draft 2024 3 +3.5 +1.2
Chase DeLauter DH/OF CLE Draft 2026 1 +3.3 +3.3
Brad Hand P CLE Trade 2018 3 +2.7 +0.9 -0.17 1.5% 0.52%
Logan Allen P CLE Draft 2023 2 +2.6 +1.3
Jordan Luplow OF CLE Trade 2018 3 +2.6 +0.9 +0.01 16.0% 1.40%
Hunter Gaddis P CLE Draft 2022 4 +2.5 +0.6
Austin Hedges C CLE Free agency 2023 4 +2.3 +0.6 0.1% 0.02%
James Karinchak P CLE Draft 2017 4 +2.2 +0.5
Óscar Mercado OF CLE Trade 2018 2 +2.1 +1.1 +0.00
Óliver Pérez P CLE Free agency 2018 4 +2.1 +0.5 3.3% 1.13%
Trevor Stephan P CLE Rule 5 2020 2 +2.1 +1.1
Travis Bazzana 2B CLE Draft 2026 1 +2.0 +2.0
Daniel Schneemann 2B/OF CLE Draft 2024 3 +2.0 +0.7
César Hernández 2B CLE Free agency 2019 2 +1.9 +0.9 17.3% 5.44%
Austin Jackson OF CLE Free agency 2017 1 +1.9 +1.9 1.8% 3.33%
Erik Sabrowski P CLE Draft 2024 3 +1.8 +0.6
Enyel De Los Santos P CLE Free agency 2021 2 +1.7 +0.9 6.8% 0.59%
Eli Morgan P CLE Draft 2017 4 +1.7 +0.4
Myles Straw OF CLE Trade 2021 4 +1.7 +0.4 +0.20 0.5% 0.13%
Franmil Reyes DH/OF CLE Trade 2020 2 +1.6 +0.8 +4.07 7.4% 2.30%
Matt Festa P CLE Trade 2025 2 +1.5 +0.8 0.5% 0.08%
Dan Otero P CLE Trade 2016 2 +1.5 +0.8 8.9% 0.57%
Slade Cecconi P CLE Trade 2024 2 +1.3 +0.7 +0.30 0.4% 0.07%
Angel Martínez OF CLE Draft 2024 1 +1.2 +1.2
Mike Napoli C/1B CLE Free agency 2016 1 +1.2 +1.2 6.8% 0.44%
Yasiel Puig OF CLE Trade 2019 1 +1.2 +1.2 +4.07 7.7% 0.70%
Gabriel Arias SS CLE Draft 2022 3 +1.1 +0.4
Ben Lively P CLE Free agency 2023 2 +1.1 +0.6 2.4% 0.18%
Patrick Bailey C CLE Trade 2026 1 +1.1 +1.1 +0.32 2.6% 0.23%
Mike Freeman 2B CLE Free agency 2018 2 +1.0 +0.5 6.2% 0.56%
Kyle Manzardo 1B/DH CLE Trade 2023 2 +1.0 +0.5 +0.97
Matt Boyd P CLE Free agency 2024 1 +0.9 +0.9 2.7% 0.21%
Tyler Olson P CLE Trade 2017 3 +0.9 +0.3 0.5% 0.93%
Luis Ortiz P CLE Trade 2025 1 +0.9 +0.9 -0.39 0.5% 0.09%
David Fry DH CLE Trade 2022 1 +0.8 +0.8 +0.14
Colin Holderman P CLE Free agency 2025 1 +0.8 +0.8 1.9% 0.17%
Will Brennan OF CLE Draft 2022 2 +0.7 +0.4
Tyler Clippard P CLE Free agency 2019 1 +0.7 +0.7 4.5% 0.41%
Luke Maile C CLE Free agency 2022 1 +0.7 +0.7 4.8% 0.42%
Phil Maton P CLE Trade 2019 3 +0.7 +0.2 +0.58 0.4% 0.03%
Kolby Allard P CLE Free agency 2025 1 +0.6 +0.6 0.4% 0.07%
Tyler Freeman OF CLE Draft 2022 3 +0.6 +0.2
Tim Herrin P CLE Draft 2023 3 +0.6 +0.2
Jakob Junis P CLE Free agency 2025 1 +0.6 +0.6 0.3% 0.06%
Kevin Plawecki C CLE Trade 2019 1 +0.6 +0.6 +0.25 3.7% 0.34%
Rajai Davis OF CLE Trade 2016 1 +0.6 +0.6 6.4% 0.41%
Jay Bruce OF CLE Trade 2017 1 +0.6 +0.6 0.6% 1.08%
Ramón Laureano OF CLE Trade 2023 1 +0.6 +0.6 0.9% 0.11%
Nick Goody P CLE Trade 2016 2 +0.5 +0.2 +0.30 0.6% 1.16%
Jefry Rodríguez P CLE Trade 2018 1 +0.5 +0.5 +0.10 3.0% 0.28%
Josh Donaldson 3B CLE Trade 2018 1 +0.5 +0.5 1.7% 0.58%
Reynaldo López P CLE Trade 2023 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.4% 0.05%
Adam Cimber P CLE Trade 2018 2 +0.3 +0.2 -0.17 1.4% 0.13%
Alex Cobb P CLE Trade 2024 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.8% 0.06%
Xzavion Curry P CLE Draft 2022 1 +0.3 +0.3
Boone Logan P CLE Free agency 2017 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.3% 0.54%
Konnor Pilkington P CLE Draft 2022 2 +0.3 +0.1
Tommy Hunter P CLE Trade 2016 1 +0.3 +0.3 1.7% 0.11%
Foster Griffin P CLE Trade 2026 1 +0.3 +0.3 -0.57 0.8% 0.07%
Pedro Avila P CLE Trade 2024 1 +0.3 +0.3 +0.41 0.8% 0.06%
Ernie Clement 2B/3B CLE Draft 2017 1 +0.2 +0.2
Nic Enright P CLE Draft 2025 1 +0.2 +0.2
Brandon Guyer OF CLE Trade 2016 2 +0.2 +0.1 +0.75 5.6% 0.37%
Petey Halpin OF CLE Draft 2025 2 +0.2 +0.1
Nolan Jones OF CLE Draft 2022 1 +0.2 +0.2
Michael Kelly P CLE Free agency 2023 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.3% 0.03%
Blake Parker P CLE Free agency 2021 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.1% 0.02%
Brad Miller SS CLE Trade 2019 1 +0.2 +0.2 1.3% 0.12%
Eddie Rosario OF CLE Trade 2021 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.1% 0.02%
A. J. Cole P CLE Trade 2019 1 +0.2 +0.2 1.5% 0.14%
Nathaniel Lowe 1B CLE Trade 2026 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.5% 0.04%
Jo Adell OF CLE Trade 2026 1 +0.2 +0.2 -0.19 0.6% 0.05%
Yonder Alonso 1B CLE Free agency 2017 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.3% 0.09%
Brandon Barnes OF CLE Free agency 2017 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.4% 0.13%
Peyton Battenfield P CLE Draft 2023 1 +0.1 +0.1
Marlon Byrd OF CLE Free agency 2016 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.4% 0.03%
Zack Collins C CLE Free agency 2023 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.1% 0.01%
Delino DeShields OF CLE Trade 2019 1 +0.1 +0.1 +1.05 0.6% 0.18%
Estevan Florial OF CLE Trade 2023 1 +0.1 +0.1 +1.91 0.2% 0.02%
Perci Garner P CLE Trade 2016 1 +0.1 +0.1
Connor Gillispie P CLE Draft 2024 1 +0.1 +0.1
Codi Heuer P CLE Free agency 2025 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.1% 0.01%
Zak Kent P CLE Trade 2024 1 +0.1 +0.1 +0.17
Ryan Lavarnway C CLE Free agency 2019 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0% 0.00%
Evan Marshall P CLE Free agency 2017 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.4% 0.13%
Adam Rosales 2B/3B/SS CLE Free agency 2018 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.3% 0.11%
Peter Strzelecki P CLE Trade 2024 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.2% 0.01%
René Rivera C CLE Trade 2021 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0% 0.00%
Craig Breslow P CLE Trade 2017 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.1% 0.17%
Joba Chamberlain P CLE Trade 2016 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.6% 0.04%
Nick Wittgren P CLE Trade 2019 2 +0.1 +0.1 -0.14 2.6% 0.24%
Paul Sewald P CLE Trade 2025 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.1% 0.01%
Wes Parsons P CLE Trade 2024 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.3% 0.02%
Alex Call OF CLE Trade 2022 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.5% 0.04%
Scott Barlow P CLE Trade 2023 1 +0.0 +0.0 -0.77 0.1% 0.01%
Melky Cabrera OF CLE Free agency 2018 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.1% 0.05%
Oscar González OF CLE Draft 2022 1 -0.0 -0.0
Carlos Hernández P CLE Free agency 2025 1 -0.0 -0.0 0.0% 0.00%
James Hoyt P CLE Trade 2018 1 +0.0 +0.0 -0.05 0.0% 0.00%
CJ Kayfus 1B/OF CLE Draft 2025 1 -0.0 -0.0
Sandy León C CLE Free agency 2021 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.2% 0.02%
Owen Miller 1B/2B CLE Trade 2020 1 -0.0 -0.0 +1.96
Doug Nikhazy P CLE Draft 2025 1 +0.0 +0.0
Dom Nuñez C CLE Free agency 2024 -0.0
Andrew Walters P CLE Draft 2024 1 +0.0 +0.0
Matt Moore P CLE Trade 2023 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0% 0.01%
Oliver Drake P CLE Trade 2018 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.1% 0.05%
Hunter Wood P CLE Trade 2019 1 +0.0 +0.0 +0.61 0.1% 0.01%
Christian Arroyo 2B CLE Trade 2020 1 +0.0 +0.0 +0.61 0.0% 0.00%
Stuart Fairchild OF CLE Trade 2026 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.1% 0.01%
Ian Gibaut P CLE Trade 2022 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0% 0.00%
Cody Bolton P CLE Trade 2025 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0% 0.00%
Craig Yoho P CLE Trade 2026 1 +0.0 +0.0 -0.10 0.0% 0.00%
Anthony Gose OF CLE Free agency 2019 1 -0.1 -0.1 0.0% 0.01%
Bryan Lavastida C CLE Draft 2022 -0.1
Dominic Leone P CLE Free agency 2020 -0.1
Sandy León C CLE Trade 2019 1 -0.1 -0.1 0.2% 0.02%
Cody Morris P CLE Draft 2022 1 -0.1 -0.1
Kyle Nelson P CLE Draft 2017 -0.1
Alexi Ogando P CLE Free agency 2017 -0.1
Peyton Pallette P CLE Draft 2026 -0.1
Nick Sandlin P CLE Draft 2018 2 -0.1 -0.0
Tanner Tully P CLE Draft 2022 -0.1
Meibrys Viloria C CLE Free agency 2022 -0.1
Alex Young P CLE Trade 2022 1 -0.1 -0.1 0.1% 0.01%
Lane Thomas OF CLE Trade 2024 1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.48 1.2% 0.09%
Tyler Beede P CLE Free agency 2024 -0.2
Ryan Flaherty 2B/3B CLE Free agency 2019 -0.2
Daniel Johnson OF CLE Trade 2018 -0.2 +0.10
Max Moroff 2B/SS CLE Trade 2018 -0.2 +0.01
Hanley Ramírez SS CLE Free agency 2019 -0.2
Neil Ramírez P CLE Free agency 2017 -0.2
Domingo Santana OF CLE Free agency 2020 -0.2
Beau Taylor C CLE Free agency 2019 -0.2
José Tena 3B CLE Draft 2023 -0.2
Michael Martínez 2B/OF CLE Trade 2017 1 -0.2 -0.2 0.1% 0.19%
Leonys Martín OF CLE Trade 2018 1 -0.2 -0.2 +0.00 0.7% 0.24%
Jeff Beliveau P CLE Free agency 2017 -0.3
Connor Brogdon P CLE Free agency 2025 -0.3
Jon Edwards P CLE Free agency 2018 -0.3
Daniel Norris P CLE Free agency 2023 -0.3
Dan Robertson OF CLE Free agency 2016 -0.3
George Valera DH/OF CLE Draft 2025 1 -0.3 -0.3
Mike Zunino C CLE Free agency 2022 -0.3
Will Benson OF CLE Draft 2022 -0.4
Rhys Hoskins 1B CLE Free agency 2026 -0.4
Richie Palacios 2B/OF CLE Draft 2022 -0.4
Anthony Castro P CLE Trade 2022 -0.5 +0.11
Nolan Jones OF CLE Trade 2025 1 -0.5 -0.5 +1.09
Jhonkensy Noel OF CLE Draft 2024 1 -0.5 -0.5
Juan Uribe 3B/SS CLE Free agency 2016 -0.5
Will Wilson 2B/3B CLE Draft 2025 -0.5
Bryan Shaw P CLE Free agency 2021 5 -0.6 -0.1 2.6% 0.20%
Cam Gallagher C CLE Free agency 2023 -0.7
Johnathan Rodríguez OF CLE Draft 2024 -0.7
Jake Bauers 1B/OF CLE Trade 2018 -0.8 -0.05
Kirk McCarty P CLE Draft 2022 -0.8

Trade-side columns: RFA is playoff-readiness percentage points added to the future roster foundation. It grades the franchise's entire side of a trade, so the same score repeats for every player acquired in that package. PPA/CPA remain player-level arrival-year probability points.

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

drag to zoom · double-click to reset