Rosternomics

Rosternomics — MLB Trade Values & Trade Calculator

Look up every baseball trade since 1985, build hypothetical deals, and see what every player is worth.

Rosternomics is a free MLB trade calculator and trade values database built on a Bayesian model that grades every MLB trade since 1985 on what each player was expected to produce at the time vs. what he actually delivered. Build any hypothetical trade in the trade calculator, look up the verdict on any historical deal in the trade database, and see how every front office stacks up on GM rankings. We also track DVOS — the draft value over slot — for every scouting director since 1985.

League view → Every team, any season: who ran it, and how they did on WAB, TAB, surplus, and postseason result. Trade Calculator → Build any hypothetical MLB trade. Drop in players from any roster, add cash, see every asset's expected surplus and WAR — calibrated by the same Bayesian model that grades every real trade since 1985. Trade Database → Every MLB trade since 1985, graded two ways — expected value at the time vs. what each side realized. Filter by player, team, position, GM, prospects; sort and export. GM Leaderboard → All 195 decision-makers ranked, sortable by every metric, with full career profiles, sourcing mix, and acquisition ledgers. Draft Database → Every pick from 41 drafts (1985–2026), with team, scouting director, GM, signing bonus, and a Bayesian Expected WAR ± band for each slot × position × age. Filter by year, team, position, school (HS/college), DVOS, pick range. Scouting Directors → All 172 since 1985 ranked by DVOS — draft value over slot — split into early-round selection and the rare late-round and hitter-drafting skills.

On this date · 38 years ago

A trade from this day in MLB history, graded with full hindsight. Every trade on June 3 →

June 3, 1988 CLE Buddy BlackKCR Pat Tabler CLE won · +9.1 WAR

Biggest trades of 2026

The latest deals across MLB, graded the moment they happen — expected value at the time, then tracked as it plays out. All 2026 trades →

1. Jan 21 NYM Freddy PeraltaMIL Brandon Sproat MIL +$3M unsettled 2. Feb 2 TBR Ben WilliamsonSEA Brendan DonovanSTL Jurrangelo Cijntje STL +$6M unsettled 3. May 9 CLE Patrick BaileySFG Draft pick (#29) CLE +$31M unsettled 4. Feb 9 MIL Kyle HarrisonBOS Caleb Durbin BOS +$18M unsettled 5. Jan 22 TEX MacKenzie GoreWSN Alejandro Rosario WSN +$9M unsettled 6. Jan 20 NYM Luis RobertCHW Luisangel Acuña NYM +$6M unsettled 7. Jan 13 ARI Nolan ArenadoSTL Jack Martinez ARI +$18M unsettled 8. Jan 7 CHC Edward CabreraMIA Owen Caissie MIA +$11M unsettled

Recent trades

The latest deals across MLB, graded the moment they happen — expected value at the time, then tracked as it plays out. All 2026 trades →

Jun 2, 2026 PIT cash / PTBNLMIN Justin Lawrence unsettled May 27, 2026 DET Juanmi VasquezTOR Connor Seabold unsettled May 25, 2026 WSN Carson PalmquistCOL cash / PTBNL unsettled May 22, 2026 COL Andrew BakerPHI cash / PTBNL unsettled May 21, 2026 CIN Zach McCambleyMIA Rece Hinds unsettled May 19, 2026 CHW Joe RockTBR Oliver Dunn unsettled May 17, 2026 TOR cash / PTBNLLAD Eric Lauer unsettled May 16, 2026 OAK Jackson NoveCHW Junior Perez unsettled

All-time leaders — Wins Above Budget

Wins Above Budget: games won above what the team's payroll predicted. The headline resource-controlled measure of front-office performance.

ExecutiveTeamsSeasonsWABTitles
1 Andrew Friedman LAD TBR 21 +192.7 3
2 John Schuerholz ATL KCR 23 +180.5 2
3 Billy Beane OAK 18 +175.2 0
4 Chris Antonetti CLE 16 +143.4 0
5 Pat Gillick BAL PHI SEA TOR 20 +139.7 3
6 Erik Neander TBR 10 +125.3 0

See the full all-time leaderboard →

Active leaders — Wins Above Budget

Current decision-makers only — who's building the best teams for their budget right now.

ExecutiveTeamsSeasonsWABTitles
1 Andrew Friedman LAD TBR 21 +192.7 3
2 Chris Antonetti CLE 16 +143.4 0
3 Erik Neander TBR 10 +125.3 0
4 Mike Chernoff CLE 11 +122.6 0
5 Brian Cashman NYY 28 +86.4 3
6 Matt Arnold MIL 6 +67.9 0

See the full active leaderboard →

All-time leaders — Scouting Directors (DVOS)

Draft Value Over Slot: career fWAR each pick produced above what its draft slot historically returns — the scouting analog of WAB. Hit DVOS (drafting position players above slot) is the reliable position skill; pitcher value-over-slot doesn't repeat.

Scouting DirectorTeamsDraftsDVOSHit DVOS
1 Roy Clark ATL 10 +194.3 +203.5
2 Mike Arbuckle PHI 8 +150.3 +188.7
3 Brian Sabean NYY SFG 6 +134.3 +107.9
4 Logan White LAD 7 +131.5 +118.6
5 John Barr BAL NYM SFG 11 +129.0 +143.4
6 Sandy Johnson TEX 11 +126.3 +57.4

See the full scouting-director leaderboard →

Biggest Draft Steals of All Time

The 10 picks whose career WAR most exceeded what their draft slot × position × age cohort historically produces by the same number of years post-draft. Settled cohorts only (drafts ≤ 2018, ≥7 yrs to play out). The patron saint is Mike Trout — #25 overall, college OF in 2009, and the headline +DVOS in the entire database.

PlayerYearPickTeamPosSchoolCareer WARDVOS
1 Albert Pujols 1999 #402 STL IF HS 88 +87
2 Barry Bonds 1985 #6 PIT OF COLL 110 +87
3 Jeff Bagwell 1989 #109 BOS IF COLL 80 +78
4 Mike Trout 2009 #25 ANA OF HS 85 +77
5 Mike Mussina 1990 #20 BAL P COLL 70 +64
6 Randy Johnson 1985 #36 WSN P COLL 66 +63
7 Mookie Betts 2011 #172 BOS IF HS 63 +62
8 Clayton Kershaw 2006 #7 LAD P HS 71 +61
9 Mike Piazza 1988 #1390 LAD C COLL 59 +59
10 Aaron Judge 2013 #32 NYY OF COLL 64 +59

See the full draft database →