Build any hypothetical MLB trade — drop in players from any roster, add cash, and get each side's expected surplus and WAR from the Bayesian model that grades every real trade since 1985.
Trade Calculator →Or look up a real one: 
MIL won the biggest deal of 2026 by +$12M →
The model grades who won each 2026 deal. Now you weigh in. One verdict per fan, final once cast.
MIL gets
BOS gets
LAD gets
DET gets
TOR getsLAD getsTOR gets
ANA gets
PHI gets
CHW gets
TEX gets
WSN gets
TBR getsCHW getsBOS gets
BAL getsTBR gets
MIA gets
NYY getsMIA gets
NYM getsMIL gets
CLE gets
SFG getsWins/season above a replacement GM — an average front office on the same budget — org-adjusted & shrunk. How it's built →
| Executive | Teams | Yrs | GM WAR | Titles | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Friedman | LAD TBR |
21 | +9.3 | 3 |
| 2 | Erik Neander | TBR |
10 | +9.1 | 0 |
| 3 | Brandon Gomes | LAD |
5 | +5.9 | 2 |
| 4 | Mike Chernoff | CLE |
11 | +5.9 | 0 |
| 5 | Matt Arnold | MIL |
6 | +4.9 | 0 |
| 6 | Chris Antonetti | CLE |
16 | +4.2 | 0 |
All 30 front offices in one view — who runs each team, total payroll, the year-over-year spend change, competitive regime, record & postseason — for any year since 1985. Leading 2026 so far:
| Team | Head of baseball ops | Regime | Record | Payroll | Δ Pay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brewers |
Matt Arnold | WINDOW | 85–53 | $119M | +10M |
| 2 | Rays |
Erik Neander | WINDOW | 82–55 | $78M | +17M |
| 3 | Dodgers |
Andrew Friedman | CONTEND | 82–55 | $360M | +28M |
| 4 |  Braves |
Alex Anthopoulos | FORCED-SPEND | 82–56 | $228M | +39M |
| 5 |  Cubs |
Jed Hoyer | CONTEND | 78–60 | $225M | +23M |
| 6 | Yankees |
Brian Cashman | CONTEND | 78–60 | $271M | +26M |
Every team's competitive story, traced from the data.
Career org-adjusted skill — the headline number, over a full tenure. How it's built →
| Executive | Teams | Seasons | GM WAR | Titles | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Friedman | LAD TBR |
21 | +9.3 | 3 |
| 2 | Erik Neander | TBR |
10 | +9.1 | 0 |
| 3 | Pat Gillick | BAL PHI  SEA TOR |
20 | +7.0 | 3 |
| 4 | John Schuerholz | ATL  KCR |
23 | +6.5 | 2 |
| 5 | Brandon Gomes | LAD |
5 | +5.9 | 2 |
| 6 | Jeff Luhnow |  HOU |
9 | +5.9 | 1 |
Draft Value Over Slot: career fWAR each pick produced above what its draft slot historically returns. Hit DVOS (drafting position players above slot) is the reliable position skill.
| Scouting Director | Teams | Drafts | DVOS | Hit DVOS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roy Clark | ATL |
10 | +193.4 | +204.7 |
| 2 | Mike Arbuckle | PHI |
8 | +147.5 | +187.7 |
| 3 | Brian Sabean | NYY SFG |
6 | +132.9 | +107.5 |
| 4 | Logan White | LAD |
7 | +130.3 | +118.8 |
| 5 | John Barr | BAL NYM SFG |
11 | +128.0 | +142.8 |
| 6 | Eddie Bane | ANA |
7 | +123.5 | +125.7 |
The 10 picks whose career WAR most exceeded what their draft slot × position × age cohort historically produces. Settled cohorts only (drafts ≤ 2018). The patron saint is Mike Trout — #25 overall in 2009.
| Player | Year | Pick | Team | Pos | School | Career WAR | DVOS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albert Pujols | 1999 | #402 |  STL |
IF | HS | 88 | +87 |
| 2 | Barry Bonds | 1985 | #6 |  PIT |
OF | COLL | 110 | +87 |
| 3 | Jeff Bagwell | 1989 | #109 | BOS |
IF | COLL | 80 | +78 |
| 4 | Mike Trout | 2009 | #25 | ANA |
OF | HS | 85 | +77 |
| 5 | Mike Mussina | 1990 | #20 | BAL |
P | COLL | 70 | +64 |
| 6 | Randy Johnson | 1985 | #36 | WSN |
P | COLL | 66 | +63 |
| 7 | Mookie Betts | 2011 | #172 | BOS |
IF | HS | 63 | +62 |
| 8 | Clayton Kershaw | 2006 | #7 | LAD |
P | HS | 71 | +61 |
| 9 | Mike Piazza | 1988 | #1390 | LAD |
C | COLL | 59 | +59 |
| 10 | Aaron Judge | 2013 | #32 | NYY |
OF | COLL | 64 | +59 |
Every number on the site, built in the open — the model, the formula, and a worked example for each.
