RRosternomics
Mike Girsch

Mike Girsch

★ active

General manager for the Cardinals (2018–present).

9 seasons with salary-era data across 1 stint. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

Overview

Titles0
Pennants0
Playoffs4
Record675–613
Win %0.524
-1.0GM WAR — wins above a replacement GM (org-adjusted, shrunk; per season) ±5.2102nd/195 execs
6.0Depth — 2+ WAR regulars per season (the breadth that drives TAB, not stars)109th/195 execs
-4.0Dead WAR — WAR/yr bled by sub-replacement players (closer to 0 = better)30th/195 execs
32%Dead money — payroll on <0.5-WAR players (lower = better)84th/195 execs
$37MCheap-talent surplus — $/yr of value from cost-controlled (pre-arb/arb) players above their pay; the selection engine, and the stickiest GM skill we track29th/195 execs
$17MDrafted surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own draftees (the develop-from-the-draft engine)24th/195 execs
$2MTraded-for surplus — cheap-talent surplus from cost-controlled players he acquired via trade99th/195 execs
$1MInt'l surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own international signees99th/195 execs
-0.9TAB — talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation), tenure total83rd/195 execs
+10.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + the non-repeatable luck of converting talent to wins)47th/195 execs
2.33Acquisition Leverage — playoff pts per acquired WAR, graded once in the year each deal's wins arrive (the repeatable decision skill)73rd/195 execs
-194Roster surplus $M155th/195 execs

Tenure breakdown

TeamRoleYearsSzns WAB WAB/yr TAB WAR surp HG Trade FA R5 AcqLev W-L% POPenWS Surp $M
Cardinals GM 2018–present 7 +10.8 +1.54 -0.9 -54.8 +64.4 +1.3 -22.4 +0.0 2.33 0.524 4 -194
Career total (1985+ data) 9 +10.8 -0.9 -54.8 +64.4 +1.3 -22.4 +0.0 2.33 0.524 4 -194

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+64.4
Trade+1.3
Free agency-22.4
Rule 5 / minor draft+0.0
Sourcing mix: 48% draft · 16% FA · 36% trade · 0% R5

Roster value distribution — career average — depth vs. stars

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR, averaged across Mike Girsch's seasons. Bars = his rosters; the black line = the league-average player at each slot. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge.

Players acquired — 117 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr Lev
Paul Goldschmidt 1B STL Trade 2018 6 +21.3 +3.6 6.9
Nolan Arenado 3B STL Trade 2021 5 +18.3 +3.7 16.8
Miles Mikolas P STL Trade 2018 7 +15.4 +2.2 5.6
Brendan Donovan 2B/OF STL Draft 2022 4 +10.1 +2.5
Lars Nootbaar OF STL Draft 2018 6 +9.7 +1.6
Willson Contreras C STL Free agency 2022 3 +8.2 +2.7 5.9
Masyn Winn SS STL Draft 2023 3 +7.8 +2.6
Sonny Gray P STL Free agency 2023 2 +7.4 +3.7 3.3
Iván Herrera C/DH STL Draft 2022 4 +6.2 +1.6
Giovanny Gallegos P STL Trade 2018 6 +5.6 +0.9 0.0
Andre Pallante P STL Draft 2022 4 +4.4 +1.1
Marcell Ozuna DH/OF STL Trade 2018 2 +4.0 +2.0 2.5
Jordan Montgomery P STL Trade 2022 2 +4.0 +2.0 9.2
JJ Wetherholt 2B STL Draft 2026 1 +3.7 +3.7
Alec Burleson 1B/OF STL Draft 2022 3 +3.5 +1.2
Matthew Liberatore P STL Draft 2022 5 +3.3 +0.7
Michael McGreevy P STL Draft 2024 3 +2.8 +0.9
Kyle Leahy P STL Draft 2023 3 +2.7 +0.9
Steven Matz P STL Free agency 2021 4 +2.7 +0.7 4.4
Pedro Pagés C STL Draft 2024 3 +2.6 +0.9
Nolan Gorman 2B STL Draft 2022 3 +2.3 +0.8
Dustin May P STL Free agency 2025 1 +2.1 +2.1 2.8
JoJo Romero P STL Trade 2022 3 +2.1 +0.7 2.6
John Gant P STL Trade 2018 3 +2.1 +0.7 1.6
Kwang Hyun Kim P STL Draft 2020 2 +1.9 +0.9
Jordan Walker OF STL Draft 2023 2 +1.8 +0.9
Jose Quintana P STL Trade 2022 1 +1.8 +1.8 12.3
Kyle Gibson P STL Free agency 2023 1 +1.4 +1.4 1.3
Chris Stratton P STL Trade 2022 2 +1.3 +0.7 1.9
Victor Scott OF STL Draft 2024 1 +1.1 +1.1
Matt Svanson P STL Trade 2023 2 +1.0 +0.5
Phil Maton P STL Trade 2025 1 +1.0 +1.0 0.9
Zack Thompson P STL Draft 2022 2 +0.9 +0.4
Erick Fedde P STL Trade 2024 2 +0.9 +0.4 0.8
Michael Siani OF STL Trade 2024 1 +0.9 +0.9 1.0
Riley O'Brien P STL Trade 2023 2 +0.8 +0.4 0.3
Ryan Fernandez P STL Draft 2024 2 +0.7 +0.3
Luis García P STL Free agency 2021 1 +0.7 +0.7 2.9
Brad Miller SS STL Free agency 2020 1 +0.7 +0.7 2.5
Corey Dickerson OF STL Free agency 2022 1 +0.6 +0.6 4.2
Tyson Ross P STL Trade 2018 1 +0.6 +0.6 0.8
Packy Naughton P STL Trade 2022 2 +0.5 +0.3 2.9
Génesis Cabrera P STL Trade 2018 2 +0.4 +0.2
Nathan Church OF STL Draft 2025 2 +0.4 +0.2
Richie Palacios 2B/OF STL Trade 2023 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.9
George Soriano P STL Trade 2026 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.6
J. A. Happ P STL Trade 2021 1 +0.4 +0.4 1.5
Andrew Kittredge P STL Trade 2024 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.3
José Rondón SS STL Free agency 2020 1 +0.3 +0.3 1.1
Tyler Webb P STL Trade 2018 3 +0.3 +0.1 0.1
Randy Arozarena OF STL Draft 2019 1 +0.2 +0.2
José Fermín 2B/3B/OF STL Trade 2022 3 +0.2 +0.1
Gordon Graceffo P STL Draft 2024 2 +0.2 +0.1
Jon Lester P STL Trade 2021 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.6
Shawn Armstrong P STL Trade 2024 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.2
Justin Bruihl P STL Trade 2026 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.2
Hunter Dobbins P STL Trade 2026 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.2
Brandon Crawford SS STL Free agency 2024 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.1
Austin Dean OF STL Trade 2020 2 +0.1 +0.0 0.2
Ben DeLuzio OF STL Draft 2022 1 +0.1 +0.1
Bud Norris P STL Free agency 2018 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.2
Yohel Pozo C/DH STL Free agency 2025 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.2
Thomas Saggese 2B/SS STL Trade 2023 1 +0.1 +0.1
Chasen Shreve P STL Trade 2018 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.1
Nick Wittgren P STL Free agency 2022 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.6
Bruce Zimmermann P STL Free agency 2026 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.1
Guillo Zuñiga P STL Draft 2023 1 +0.1 +0.1
Jacob Barnes P STL Trade 2023 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.2
Anthony Veneziano P STL Trade 2025 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.1
Nabil Crismatt P STL Trade 2020 -0.0
Jesus Cruz P STL Draft 2020 1 +0.0 +0.0
Andre Granillo P STL Draft 2025 1 +0.0 +0.0
Joe Hudson C STL Free agency 2018 -0.0
Adam Kloffenstein P STL Trade 2023 1 +0.0 +0.0
Ryan Loutos P STL Draft 2024 -0.0
Óscar Mercado OF STL Free agency 2022 1 +0.0 +0.0
John Nogowski 1B STL Trade 2020 -0.0
Matt Pushard P STL Draft 2026 1 +0.0 +0.0
Nick Raquet P STL Draft 2025 1 +0.0 +0.0
Chris Roycroft P STL Draft 2024 1 +0.0 +0.0
Cory Spangenberg 2B/3B STL Free agency 2022 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Nelson Velázquez DH/OF STL Free agency 2026 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.1
Jake Walsh P STL Draft 2022 1 +0.0 +0.0
Adalberto Mejía P STL Trade 2019 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.1
Ali Sánchez C STL Trade 2021 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.1
Brandon Waddell P STL Trade 2021 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Tres Barrera C STL Free agency 2023 -0.1
Seth Elledge P STL Trade 2018 -0.1
Dominic Leone P STL Trade 2018 1 -0.1 -0.1 0.2
T. J. McFarland P STL Free agency 2021 1 -0.1 -0.1 1.1
Andrew Miller P STL Free agency 2018 1 -0.1 -0.1 1.2
Juniel Querecuto 2B/3B STL Free agency 2022 -0.1
Kramer Robertson SS STL Draft 2022 -0.1
Drew Rom P STL Trade 2023 -0.1
Ricardo Sánchez P STL Trade 2020 -0.1
Jared Shuster P STL Free agency 2025 -0.1
Aaron Brooks P STL Free agency 2022 -0.2
Adolis García OF STL Draft 2018 -0.2
José Barrero SS STL Free agency 2024 -0.2
John King P STL Trade 2023 2 -0.2 -0.1 0.3
James Naile P STL Draft 2022 -0.2
Ryne Stanek P STL Free agency 2026 -0.2
Irving Lopez 2B/3B STL Draft 2023 -0.3
Max Moroff 2B/SS STL Free agency 2020 -0.3
Taylor Motter SS STL Free agency 2022 -0.3
Rangel Ravelo 1B/DH STL Trade 2019 -0.3
Ramón Urías 3B STL Free agency 2018 -0.3
Matt Wieters C STL Free agency 2019 -0.3
Jimmy Crooks C STL Draft 2025 -0.4
Casey Lawrence P STL Free agency 2023 -0.4
Roel Ramírez P STL Trade 2018 -0.4
Andrew Suárez P STL Free agency 2023 -0.4
Luken Baker 1B/DH STL Draft 2023 1 -0.5 -0.5
Juan Yepez 1B/DH/OF STL Draft 2022 1 -0.5 -0.5
César Prieto 2B/3B/SS STL Trade 2023 -0.6
Justin Williams OF STL Trade 2018 1 -0.7 -0.7 0.0
Drew VerHagen P STL Free agency 2022 -0.8

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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