Rosternomics
Carter Hawkins

Carter Hawkins

★ active

General manager for the Cubs (2021–present).

Across the full 6-season sample, the measured profile stands out most for future-foundation returns (96th percentile), roster depth (81st percentile), and drafted-player surplus (79th percentile). The clearest contrast is cost per win (10th percentile): the measured clubs have paid more per unit of positive WAR than most peers.

6 seasons with salary-era data across 1 stint. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

0 pennants · 2 playoff appearances · 492–480 (0.506)

Percentile Rankings

vs. execs with toyrs exp.
PoorAverageGreat
Trade Decision Quality
Roster Construction
Depth
7.7
Dead WAR
-5.6
Dead money %
30%
PoorAverageGreat
Talent Creation
Cheap-talent surplus
$29M
Drafted surplus
$14M
Traded-for surplus
$6M
Int'l surplus
$1M
Results & Efficiency
GM WAR
-0.2
TAB
-1.8
WAB
-11.4
$ / WAR
$4.3M
Net WAR/trade
+0.18

Overview

TeamRoleYear Pay
$M
Rel
Pay
Surp
$M
Surp
WAR
Dead
%
Cheap
$M
Draft
$M
Trd
$M
Int'l
$M
$ /
WAR
WAR Depth Dead
WAR
HG Trade Net/
Trd
FA R5 RFA PPA CPA WAB TAB W-L% POPenWS
Cubs GM 2021 71–91 $125 99 -53 -16.3 41% +27 +1 +22 +4 $4.0M 22.7 6.0 -8.4 -0.5 +14.6 +2.44 +0.6 +0.0 +1.48 0.16 0.05 -10.8 -11.4 0.438
Cubs GM 2022 74–88 $144 101 -48 -13.1 46% +23 +32 -6 +1 $4.3M 26.1 4.0 -7.1 +18.1 +5.1 +1.02 +11.6 +0.0 +0.02 0.36 0.07 -8.0 -8.2 0.457
Cubs GM 2023 83–79 $159 104 +5 +1.3 17% +45 +32 +10 +5 $3.5M 41.4 8.0 -3.6 +4.8 -2.2 -0.45 -8.5 +0.0 -0.04 3.46 0.25 +0.6 +6.7 0.512
Cubs GM 2024 83–79 $215 133 -65 -15.5 32% +22 +14 +1 -5 $5.2M 36.0 10.0 -5.2 +5.7 -11.1 -0.86 +6.2 +0.0 +0.51 3.78 0.25 -2.6 -1.7 0.512
Cubs GM 2025 92–70 $201 129 -22 -5.5 20% +23 +2 +13 +0 $4.1M 44.7 10.0 -4.5 +4.7 +0.2 +0.02 -7.5 +0.0 -0.94 4.33 0.35 +6.8 +7.4 0.568 ✓
Cubs GM 2026 89–73 $230 142 -45 -10.6 26% +33 +0 -5 +0 $4.7M 43.8 8.0 -4.7 +0.2 +0.4 +0.21 +5.8 +0.0 -0.06 5.30 0.38 +2.6 +5.4 0.549 ✓
Career total (1985+ data) $1074 118 -227 -59.8 30% +29 +14 +6 +1 $4.3M 214.7 7.7 -5.6 +33.0 +6.9 +0.18 +8.1 +0.0 +0.80 3.06 0.24 -11.4 -1.8 0.506 2– –

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+33.0
Trade+6.9
Free agency+8.1
Rule 5 / minor draft+0.0
Sourcing mix: 31% draft · 47% FA · 22% trade · 0% R5

Trades

Trades made — 0 deals credited to Carter Hawkins, best expected value first; surplus is realized value in $M

No graded trades on record for this executive.

Players acquired — 144 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr RFA PPA CPA
Pete Crow-Armstrong OF CHC Trade 2021 3 +18.4 +6.1 +3.12 – –
Dansby Swanson SS CHC Free agency 2022 4 +15.8 +4.0 – 16.4% 1.17%
Seiya Suzuki DH/OF CHC Draft 2022 5 +15.7 +3.1 – – –
Michael Busch 1B CHC Trade 2024 3 +8.0 +2.7 -2.52 8.3% 0.55%
Cody Bellinger 1B/OF CHC Free agency 2022 2 +6.4 +3.2 – 15.1% 1.06%
Shota Imanaga P CHC Draft 2024 3 +5.8 +1.9 – – –
Alex Bregman 3B CHC Free agency 2026 1 +5.5 +5.5 – 30.8% 2.02%
Matt Boyd P CHC Free agency 2024 2 +5.0 +2.5 – 15.2% 1.20%
Jameson Taillon P CHC Free agency 2022 3 +5.0 +1.7 – 5.5% 0.39%
Marcus Stroman P CHC Free agency 2021 2 +4.7 +2.3 – 0.7% 0.14%
Kyle Tucker OF CHC Trade 2025 1 +4.5 +4.5 – 20.0% 1.53%
Ben Brown P CHC Trade 2022 3 +4.4 +1.5 +0.04 – –
Carson Kelly C CHC Free agency 2024 2 +4.2 +2.1 – 11.8% 0.95%
Patrick Wisdom 3B CHC Trade 2021 3 +3.9 +1.3 – 0.4% 0.12%
Miguel Amaya C CHC Draft 2023 4 +3.6 +0.9 – – –
Christopher Morel DH/OF CHC Draft 2022 2 +3.3 +1.6 – – –
Mike Tauchman OF CHC Free agency 2023 2 +2.7 +1.4 – 5.9% 0.42%
Javier Assad P CHC Draft 2022 4 +2.5 +0.6 – – –
Rafael Ortega OF CHC Trade 2021 2 +2.3 +1.1 – 0.3% 0.08%
Cade Horton P CHC Draft 2025 2 +2.2 +1.1 – – –
Matt Shaw 3B CHC Draft 2025 2 +2.2 +1.1 – – –
Colin Rea P CHC Trade 2025 2 +2.2 +1.1 – 7.8% 0.66%
Drew Smyly P CHC Trade 2022 2 +1.9 +0.9 – 0.4% 0.09%
Frank Schwindel 1B CHC Trade 2021 1 +1.5 +1.5 – 0.3% 0.11%
Daniel Palencia P CHC Draft 2023 4 +1.4 +0.4 – – –
Brad Keller P CHC Trade 2025 1 +1.3 +1.3 – 5.4% 0.47%
Matt Duffy 3B CHC Trade 2021 1 +1.2 +1.2 – 0.2% 0.06%
Adrian Sampson P CHC Free agency 2021 1 +1.0 +1.0 – 0.5% 0.10%
Tyrone Taylor OF CHC Trade 2026 1 +1.0 +1.0 -2.38 5.1% 0.39%
Sergio Alcántara 2B/3B/SS CHC Trade 2021 1 +1.0 +1.0 – 0.2% 0.05%
David Peterson P CHC Trade 2026 1 +1.0 +1.0 – 4.9% 0.37%
Caleb Thielbar P CHC Free agency 2024 1 +0.9 +0.9 – 4.7% 0.41%
Andrew Chafin P CHC Trade 2021 1 +0.9 +0.9 – 0.2% 0.05%
Julian Merryweather P CHC Trade 2023 2 +0.9 +0.4 – 3.1% 0.22%
Michael Conforto OF CHC Free agency 2026 1 +0.8 +0.8 – 4.1% 0.31%
Mark Leiter P CHC Free agency 2021 3 +0.8 +0.3 – 0.1% 0.02%
Nick Madrigal 2B/3B CHC Trade 2021 2 +0.8 +0.4 +7.94 0.1% 0.02%
Zach McKinstry 3B/OF CHC Trade 2022 1 +0.8 +0.8 +0.01 0.3% 0.06%
Yan Gomes C CHC Free agency 2021 2 +0.7 +0.3 – 0.3% 0.06%
Reese McGuire C CHC Free agency 2025 1 +0.7 +0.7 – 2.8% 0.25%
Drew Pomeranz P CHC Trade 2025 1 +0.7 +0.7 – 2.8% 0.25%
Christian Bethancourt C CHC Trade 2024 1 +0.6 +0.6 – 2.3% 0.16%
Andrew Kittredge P CHC Trade 2025 1 +0.6 +0.6 – 2.4% 0.21%
Trevor Williams P CHC Trade 2021 1 +0.6 +0.6 – 0.1% 0.03%
Hayden Wesneski P CHC Trade 2022 2 +0.5 +0.3 +0.01 – –
Jordan Wicks P CHC Draft 2023 3 +0.5 +0.2 – – –
Wade Miley P CHC Trade 2022 1 +0.5 +0.5 – 0.2% 0.04%
Jake Marisnick OF CHC Trade 2021 1 +0.5 +0.5 – 0.1% 0.03%
Trayce Thompson OF CHC Trade 2021 1 +0.5 +0.5 – 0.1% 0.02%
Kevin Gausman P CHC Trade 2026 1 +0.5 +0.5 – 2.7% 0.21%
Clay Holmes P CHC Trade 2026 1 +0.5 +0.5 -2.38 2.7% 0.21%
Aaron Civale P CHC Trade 2026 1 +0.5 +0.5 – 2.5% 0.19%
Michael Fulmer P CHC Free agency 2023 2 +0.4 +0.2 – 1.4% 0.10%
Chris Martin P CHC Trade 2022 1 +0.4 +0.4 – 0.2% 0.03%
David Robertson P CHC Trade 2022 1 +0.4 +0.4 – 0.2% 0.03%
Moisés Ballesteros DH CHC Draft 2025 1 +0.3 +0.3 – – –
Colten Brewer P CHC Free agency 2023 1 +0.3 +0.3 – 1.1% 0.07%
Alexander Canario OF CHC Draft 2023 2 +0.3 +0.1 – – –
Porter Hodge P CHC Draft 2024 1 +0.3 +0.3 – – –
Jacob Webb P CHC Free agency 2025 1 +0.3 +0.3 – 1.5% 0.12%
Ryan Brasier P CHC Trade 2025 1 +0.3 +0.3 – 1.2% 0.11%
Jorge López P CHC Trade 2024 1 +0.3 +0.3 – 1.1% 0.07%
Ryan Rolison P CHC Trade 2026 1 +0.3 +0.3 – 1.7% 0.13%
Yency Almonte P CHC Trade 2024 1 +0.2 +0.2 -2.52 0.8% 0.05%
Tucker Barnhart C CHC Free agency 2022 1 +0.2 +0.2 – 0.8% 0.06%
Riley Martin P CHC Draft 2026 1 +0.2 +0.2 – – –
Esteban Quiroz 2B CHC Trade 2022 1 +0.2 +0.2 – – –
Nelson Velázquez DH/OF CHC Draft 2022 2 +0.2 +0.1 – – –
Mychal Givens P CHC Trade 2022 1 +0.2 +0.2 – 0.1% 0.02%
Garrett Cooper 1B/DH CHC Trade 2024 1 +0.2 +0.2 – 0.7% 0.04%
Ryan Zeferjahn P CHC Trade 2026 1 +0.2 +0.2 -0.06 0.8% 0.06%
Codi Heuer P CHC Trade 2021 1 +0.2 +0.2 +7.94 0.0% 0.01%
Justin Dean OF CHC Trade 2026 1 +0.2 +0.2 – 1.1% 0.09%
Steven Brault P CHC Free agency 2022 1 +0.1 +0.1 – 0.0% 0.01%
Tom Cosgrove P CHC Trade 2025 1 +0.1 +0.1 – 0.2% 0.02%
Luke Little P CHC Draft 2023 2 +0.1 +0.1 – – –
Kohl Stewart P CHC Free agency 2021 1 +0.1 +0.1 – 0.0% 0.00%
Héctor Neris P CHC Trade 2024 1 +0.1 +0.1 – 0.5% 0.03%
Jesús Tinoco P CHC Trade 2024 1 +0.1 +0.1 – 0.3% 0.02%
Hunter Bigge P CHC Trade 2024 1 +0.1 +0.1 – 0.2% 0.01%
Ty Blach P CHC Free agency 2026 1 +0.0 +0.0 – 0.2% 0.02%
Owen Caissie OF CHC Draft 2025 1 +0.0 +0.0 – – –
Narciso Crook OF CHC Draft 2022 – -0.0 – – – –
Tyler Duffey P CHC Free agency 2023 – -0.0 – – – –
Shane Greene P CHC Free agency 2023 1 +0.0 +0.0 – 0.1% 0.01%
Robert Gsellman P CHC Free agency 2022 – -0.0 – – – –
Tyler Ladendorf 2B CHC Free agency 2021 – -0.0 – – – –
Owen Miller 1B/2B CHC Free agency 2026 1 +0.0 +0.0 – 0.0% 0.00%
Nicholas Padilla P CHC Draft 2022 – -0.0 – – – –
Yacksel Ríos P CHC Free agency 2026 1 +0.0 +0.0 – 0.2% 0.01%
Vince Velasquez P CHC Free agency 2026 1 +0.0 +0.0 – 0.2% 0.02%
Shawn Armstrong P CHC Trade 2024 1 +0.0 +0.0 – 0.2% 0.01%
Nick Burdi P CHC Trade 2023 1 +0.0 +0.0 – 0.0% 0.00%
Joe Biagini P CHC Trade 2021 1 +0.0 +0.0 – 0.0% 0.00%
Eric Stout P CHC Trade 2022 1 +0.0 +0.0 – 0.0% 0.00%
Enoli Paredes P CHC Trade 2024 1 +0.0 +0.0 – 0.1% 0.01%
Gabriel Arias SS CHC Trade 2026 1 +0.0 +0.0 – 0.1% 0.01%
Edward Cabrera P CHC Trade 2026 – -0.1 – -1.05 – –
Clint Frazier OF CHC Free agency 2021 – -0.1 – – – –
Taylor Gushue C/1B CHC Trade 2021 – -0.1 – – – –
Caleb Kilian P CHC Draft 2022 1 -0.1 -0.1 – – –
Scott Kingery SS/OF CHC Free agency 2025 – -0.1 – – – –
Nick Martini DH/OF CHC Free agency 2021 – -0.1 – – – –
Ryan Meisinger P CHC Free agency 2021 – -0.1 – – – –
Jack Neely P CHC Trade 2024 – -0.1 – +2.67 – –
Locke St. John P CHC Free agency 2021 – -0.1 – – – –
Luis Vázquez 3B/SS CHC Draft 2024 – -0.1 – – – –
Tony Wolters C CHC Free agency 2021 – -0.1 – – – –
Jared Young 1B CHC Draft 2022 1 -0.1 -0.1 – – –
Michael Hermosillo OF CHC Trade 2021 1 -0.1 -0.1 – 0.0% 0.01%
Gavin Hollowell P CHC Trade 2024 1 -0.1 -0.1 – 0.1% 0.01%
Brad Boxberger P CHC Free agency 2022 – -0.2 – – – –
Dylan Carlson OF CHC Free agency 2026 – -0.2 – – – –
Hunter Harvey P CHC Free agency 2025 – -0.2 – – – –
Brendon Little P CHC Draft 2022 – -0.2 – – – –
Corbin Martin P CHC Free agency 2026 – -0.2 – – – –
Nate Pearson P CHC Trade 2024 1 -0.2 -0.2 -2.56 0.7% 0.05%
Austin Romine C CHC Free agency 2021 – -0.2 – – – –
Andrelton Simmons SS CHC Free agency 2022 – -0.2 – – – –
Erich Uelmen P CHC Draft 2022 – -0.2 – – – –
Kevin Alcántara DH/OF CHC Draft 2024 1 -0.3 -0.3 – – –
Greg Deichmann OF CHC Trade 2021 – -0.3 – +2.31 – –
Chris Flexen P CHC Free agency 2025 – -0.3 – – – –
Eric Hosmer 1B CHC Free agency 2023 – -0.3 – – – –
Adam Morgan P CHC Free agency 2021 – -0.3 – – – –
Eli Morgan P CHC Trade 2024 – -0.3 – -0.93 – –
Ryan Pressly P CHC Trade 2025 – -0.3 – -0.94 – –
Edwin Ríos 1B/3B/DH CHC Free agency 2023 – -0.3 – – – –
Andrew Romine 3B/SS CHC Free agency 2021 – -0.3 – – – –
Justin Turner 3B CHC Free agency 2025 – -0.3 – – – –
Luke Farrell P CHC Trade 2022 1 -0.3 -0.3 – 0.0% 0.00%
Jeremiah Estrada P CHC Draft 2022 – -0.4 – – – –
Brandon Hughes P CHC Draft 2022 – -0.4 – – – –
Phil Maton P CHC Free agency 2025 – -0.4 – – – –
Miles Mastrobuoni 3B CHC Trade 2023 1 -0.4 -0.4 -0.03 0.1% 0.01%
Jon Berti 3B CHC Free agency 2025 – -0.5 – – – –
Anderson Espinoza P CHC Draft 2022 – -0.5 – – – –
Manuel Rodríguez P CHC Draft 2021 – -0.5 – – – –
Trent Thornton P CHC Free agency 2026 – -0.5 – – – –
Ethan Roberts P CHC Draft 2022 1 -0.7 -0.7 – – –
Eric Sogard 2B CHC Free agency 2021 – -0.7 – – – –
Trey Mancini 1B/DH/OF CHC Free agency 2023 – -0.8 – – – –
Matt Swarmer P CHC Draft 2022 – -0.8 – – – –
Matt Mervis 1B/DH CHC Draft 2023 – -1.1 – – – –

Trade-side columns: RFA is playoff-readiness percentage points added to the future roster foundation. It grades the franchise's entire side of a trade, so the same score repeats for every player acquired in that package. PPA/CPA remain player-level arrival-year probability points.

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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