RRosternomics
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Twins MIN

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GM: Andy MacPhail

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.83× league · TAB -5.2
-5.2TAB — talent above budget16th/26
-5.5WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)19th/26
9.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars1st/26
-7.0dead WAR — sub-replacement drag22nd/26
34%dead money %13th/26
0.457win %22nd/26
26.8roster fWAR21st/26
-3surplus $M (value vs cost)13th/26
$14Mpayroll $M20th/26

Roster

CFKirby Puckett 125GShane Mack 43GJohn Moses 23G
LFDan Gladden 133GShane Mack 23GJohn Moses 16G
RFJohn Moses 52GShane Mack 51GGene Larkin 47G
SSGreg Gagne 135GAl Newman 48GScott Leius 12G
2BNelson Liriano 99GAl Newman 89GFred Manrique 67G
3BGary Gaetti 151GAl Newman 28GBrian Harper 3G
1BKent Hrbek 120GGene Larkin 28GPaul Sorrento 15G
STARTERSKevin Tapani 3.5WARMark Guthrie 3.4WARAllan Anderson 2.1WARRoy Smith 1.0WARScott Erickson 0.8WAR
CBrian Harper 120GJunior Ortiz 68GLenny Webster 2G
DHGene Larkin 42GRandy Bush 24GCarmen Castillo 23G
BULLPEN★ Rick Aguilera 32svTerry Leach 0hJuan Berenguer 0hGary Wayne 0hTim Drummond 0hJack Savage 0hRich Garces 0hLarry Casian 0h
CBrian Harper 120 · Junior Ortiz 68 · Lenny Webster 2
1BKent Hrbek 120 · Gene Larkin 28 · Paul Sorrento 15
2BNelson Liriano 99 · Al Newman 89 · Fred Manrique 67
3BGary Gaetti 151 · Al Newman 28 · Brian Harper 3
SSGreg Gagne 135 · Al Newman 48 · Scott Leius 12
LFDan Gladden 133 · Shane Mack 23 · John Moses 16
CFKirby Puckett 125 · Shane Mack 43 · John Moses 23
RFJohn Moses 52 · Shane Mack 51 · Gene Larkin 47
DHGene Larkin 42 · Randy Bush 24 · Carmen Castillo 23
SPKevin Tapani 3.5 · Mark Guthrie 3.4 · Allan Anderson 2.1 · Roy Smith 1.0 · Scott Erickson 0.8
BP★ Rick Aguilera 32 · Terry Leach 0 · Juan Berenguer 0 · Gary Wayne 0 · Tim Drummond 0 · Jack Savage 0 · Rich Garces 0 · Larry Casian 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1990 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Kevin Tapani 26 pre-arb 283.5 0.1 +1.5
Mark Guthrie 24 pre-arb 243.4 0.1 +1.4
Brian Harper 30 FA-elig 1342.9 0.5 +0.8
Shane Mack 26 arb 1252.6 0.1 +1.1
Kent Hrbek 30 FA-elig 1432.6 2.1 -1.0
Greg Gagne 28 FA-elig 1382.5 0.8 +0.3
Kirby Puckett 30 FA-elig 1462.4 2.8 -1.7
Gary Gaetti 31 FA-elig 1542.3 0.5 +0.5
Allan Anderson 26 arb 312.1 0.3 +0.6
Terry Leach 36 FA-elig 551.5 0.4 +0.3
Junior Ortiz 30 – 711.4 – –
Rick Aguilera 28 arb 561.3 0.6 -0.1
Roy Smith 28 FA-elig 321.0 0.4 +0.1
Al Newman 30 arb 1440.9 0.3 +0.1
Scott Erickson 22 pre-arb 190.8 0.1 +0.3
Nelson Liriano↔ TOR 26 arb 530.5 0.1 +0.1
Paul Abbott 22 pre-arb 70.4 0.1 +0.1
Scott Leius 24 pre-arb 140.4 0.1 +0.1
John Candelaria↔ TOR 36 FA-elig 340.4 0.4 -0.2
Larry Casian 24 pre-arb 50.3 0.1 +0.0
Tim Drummond 25 arb 350.2 0.1 -0.0
Randy Bush 31 FA-elig 730.1 0.3 -0.3
Lenny Webster 25 pre-arb 20.1 0.1 -0.1
Chip Hale 25 pre-arb 10.0 0.1 -0.1
Gary Wayne 27 pre-arb 38-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Doug Baker 29 FA-elig 3-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Rich Garces 19 – 5-0.0 – –
Rich Yett 27 arb 4-0.1 0.1 -0.1
David West 25 pre-arb 29-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Juan Berenguer 35 FA-elig 51-0.1 0.8 -0.8
Paul Sorrento 24 pre-arb 41-0.2 0.1 -0.2
Jack Savage 26 – 17-0.2 – –
Fred Manrique 28 – 69-0.4 – –
Jim Dwyer 40 FA-elig 37-0.5 0.2 -0.5
Pedro Munoz 21 pre-arb 22-0.7 0.1 -0.4
John Moses 32 FA-elig 115-0.8 0.4 -0.8
Dan Gladden 32 FA-elig 136-1.0 0.7 -1.1
Gene Larkin 27 arb 119-1.2 0.2 -0.7
Carmen Castillo 32 FA-elig 64-1.8 0.6 -1.3

Key additions (new vs 1989)

PlayerfWAR
Shane Mack2.6
Terry Leach1.5
Junior Ortiz1.4
Scott Erickson0.8
Nelson Liriano0.5
Paul Abbott0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 1989)

Player1989 fWAR
Frank Viola3.2
Mike Dyer0.9
Jeff Reardon0.6
Terry Jorgensen0.2
Victor Rodríguez0.2
Tim Laudner0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

1990 payroll
$14.1M

What the front office was committed to as of 1990, 1990–1996. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (17)

PlayerAgeSvc1990199119921993199419951996
Kirby Puckett306.000$2.8M$3.2M$3.0M$5.3M$5.3M$6.3MFREE AGENT
Kent Hrbek309.000$2.1M$2.6M$3.1M$3.1M$3.1MFREE AGENT
Greg Gagne287.000$833k$1.7M$1.9MFREE AGENT
Juan Berenguer3512.000$750kFREE AGENT
Dan Gladden327.000$700k$1.1MFREE AGENT
Carmen Castillo328.000$550k$600kFREE AGENT
Brian Harper3011.000$500k$625k$2.5M$2.4MFREE AGENT
Gary Gaetti319.000$500kFREE AGENT
John Moses328.000$395kFREE AGENT
Terry Leach369.000$370k$530kFREE AGENT
John Candelaria3615.000$362kFREE AGENT
Roy Smith286.000$355kFREE AGENT
Randy Bush318.000$350k$500k$450k$250kFREE AGENT
Jim Dwyer4017.000$240kFREE AGENT
Doug Baker296.000$115kFREE AGENT
Fred Manrique289.000—FREE AGENT
Junior Ortiz308.000—$450kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (8)

PlayerAgeSvc1990199119921993199419951996
Rick Aguilera285.000$648kFREE AGENT
Al Newman305.000$350kFREE AGENT
Allan Anderson264.000$300kARB 3FREE AGENT
Gene Larkin273.000$228kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nelson Liriano263.000$131kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rich Yett275.000$120kFREE AGENT
Shane Mack263.000$105kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Drummond253.000$102kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (14)

PlayerAgeSvc1990199119921993199419951996
Gary Wayne271.000$115kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Tapani261.000$102kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Guthrie241.000$102kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Abbott220.000$100kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chip Hale251.000$100kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Erickson220.000$100kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Larry Casian240.000$100kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Leius240.000$100kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Munoz210.000$100kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Sorrento241.000$100kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lenny Webster251.000$100kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David West252.000$100kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rich Garces190.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jack Savage26–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Twins 1990; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.