Rosternomics

Cubs CHC

200267–95 (0.414)
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GM: Andy MacPhail

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2002, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$74M
Win %
0.414
TAB
-1.0
WAB
-16.4
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
34.6
Dead money %
24%
Depth Players
8.0
Dead WAR
-4.5

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2002 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RJoe Girardi88
BTodd Hundley79
RRobert Machado22
RMike Mahoney16

1B

LFred McGriff137
LHee-Seop Choi22
BMark Bellhorn22
RAngel Echevarria13

2B

BMark Bellhorn77
BBobby Hill55
LDelino DeShields41
RChris Stynes20
BAugie Ojeda10

3B

BBill Mueller103
RChris Stynes40
BMark Bellhorn36
RKevin Orie12
BAugie Ojeda5

SS

RAlex Gonzalez142
BAugie Ojeda16
BMark Bellhorn12
BBobby Hill1

LF

RMoises Alou122
LRoosevelt Brown48
RDarren Lewis22
RAngel Echevarria8
RChad Hermansen2
RMario Encarnacion2
BMark Bellhorn1

CF

LCorey Patterson147
RChad Hermansen28
RDarren Lewis18
LRoosevelt Brown13
RMoises Alou1

RF

RSammy Sosa150
RAngel Echevarria11
RDarren Lewis9
RChad Hermansen5
RMoises Alou4
LRoosevelt Brown4
LDelino DeShields1

DH

LFred McGriff2
RMoises Alou2
LRoosevelt Brown1
BTodd Hundley1

Starters

RMatt Clement4.2 WAR
RKerry Wood3.7 WAR
RJon Lieber3.1 WAR
RMark Prior3.0 WAR
RAlan Benes1.0 WAR
RCarlos Zambrano0.8 WAR
RJason Bere0.7 WAR
RPat Mahomes-0.0 WAR
RJuan Cruz0.0 WAR
LSteve Smyth-0.5 WAR

Bullpen

RAntonio Alfonseca19 sv
RJoe Borowski11 h
RKyle Farnsworth6 h
RPat Mahomes2 h
RWill Cunnane1 h
LJeff Fassero0 h
RTom Gordon0 h
LDonovan Osborne0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2001)

PlayerfWAR
Matt Clement4.2
Mark Bellhorn3.9
Mark Prior3.0
Moises Alou1.4
Alex Gonzalez1.0
Alan Benes1.0

Key subtractions (gone from 2001)

Player2001 fWAR
Kevin Tapani3.1
Julian Tavarez2.1
Ricky Gutierrez1.8
Rondell White1.7
Matt Stairs1.4
Eric Young Sr.1.3

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Cubs. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2002; everyone else is shown as a 2002 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Matt Clement 2002 +4.2 +74.4 2.5 +71.9 $0.6M 2.19×
Sammy Sosa 2002 +5.1 +82.9 15.0 +67.9 $3.0M 2.05×
Kerry Wood 2002 +3.7 +64.7 3.7 +61.0 $1.0M 2.19×
Mark Prior 2002 +3.0 +47.1 0.2 +46.9 $0.1M 1.96×
Jon Lieber 2002 +3.1 +48.4 5.8 +42.5 $1.9M 1.96×
Mark Bellhorn 2002 +3.9 +37.1 0.2 +36.9 $0.1M 1.20×
Joe Borowski 2002 +1.5 +15.6 0.2 +15.3 $0.2M 1.34×
Bill Mueller 2002 +2.3 +15.8 3.2 +12.6 $1.4M 0.85×
Fred McGriff 2002 +2.4 +15.6 7.2 +8.3 $3.0M 0.81×
Carlos Zambrano 2002 +0.8 +6.4 0.2 +6.2 $0.3M 1.02×
Darren Lewis 2002 +0.6 +4.1 0.5 +3.6 $0.8M 0.83×
Antonio Alfonseca 2002 +0.7 +7.0 3.5 +3.5 $5.4M 1.34×
Moises Alou 2002 +1.4 +9.0 6.0 +3.0 $4.4M 0.83×
Jason Bere 2002 +0.7 +5.9 3.4 +2.5 $4.7M 1.02×
Roosevelt Brown 2002 +0.4 +2.4 0.3 +2.1 $0.7M 0.83×
Robert Machado 2002 +0.5 +2.0 0.1 +1.9 $0.2M 0.52×
Corey Patterson 2002 +0.2 +1.5 0.2 +1.3 $1.0M 0.83×
Alex Gonzalez 2002 +1.0 +5.0 4.2 +0.8 $4.1M 0.61×
Tom Gordon 2002 +0.4 +2.3 1.6 +0.7 $3.7M 0.67×
Delino DeShields 2002 +0.4 +1.6 1.2 +0.3 $3.6M 0.56×
Chris Stynes 2002 +0.2 +1.1 1.2 -0.2 $5.4M 0.58×
Juan Cruz 2002 +0.0 +0.0 0.2 -0.2 $23.9M 0.67×
Donovan Osborne 2002 +0.0 +0.2 0.5 -0.3 $14.0M 0.67×
Jeff Fassero 2002 +0.3 +1.4 2.2 -0.8 $8.5M 0.67×
Augie Ojeda 2002 -0.5 -2.2 0.2 -2.5 0.61×
Chad Hermansen 2002 -0.5 -3.2 0.1 -3.3 0.83×
Joe Girardi 2002 -0.5 -2.1 1.5 -3.6 0.52×
Jesus Sanchez 2002 -0.5 -2.5 1.4 -3.9 0.67×
Kyle Farnsworth 2002 -0.5 -4.9 0.4 -5.3 1.34×
Todd Hundley 2002 +0.3 +1.1 6.5 -5.4 $25.5M 0.52×
Alan Benes 2002 +1.0 +8.3 1.02×
Angel Echevarria 2002 +0.4 +1.7 0.56×
Bobby Hill 2002 +0.4 +2.0 0.56×
Courtney Duncan 2002 +0.0 +0.2 0.67×
Francis Beltran 2002 -0.3 -1.5 0.67×
Hee-Seop Choi 2002 -0.4 -1.8 0.56×
Kevin Orie 2002 +0.2 +0.9 0.58×
Mario Encarnacion 2002 -0.2 -1.4 0.83×
Mike Mahoney 2002 +0.1 +0.5 0.52×
Pat Mahomes 2002 -0.0 -0.0 0.67×
Ron Mahay 2002 -0.5 -2.7 0.67×
Scott Chiasson 2002 -0.2 -1.0 0.67×
Steve Smyth 2002 -0.5 -4.4 1.02×
Will Cunnane 2002 -0.0 -0.2 0.67×
Total+34.6+438.373.4+363.7

Trades

Every graded 2002 deal involving the Cubs — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 10 total.

Current & Historical Payroll

2002 payroll
$73.7M

What the front office was committed to as of 2002, 2002–2008. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (21)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Sammy Sosa3313.000$15.0M$16.0M$16.0MFREE AGENT
Fred McGriff3816.000$7.2MFREE AGENT
Todd Hundley3312.000$6.5MFREE AGENT
Moises Alou3512.000$6.0M$9.5M$9.5MFREE AGENT
Jon Lieber328.000$5.8MFREE AGENT$3.5M
Alex Gonzalez298.000$4.2M$5.8M$2.6MFREE AGENT
Jason Bere319.000$3.4MFREE AGENT
Bill Mueller316.000$3.2MFREE AGENT
Jeff Fassero3911.000$2.2MFREE AGENT
Tom Gordon3414.000$1.6MFREE AGENT
Joe Girardi3713.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Delino DeShields3312.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Chris Stynes297.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Darren Lewis3412.000$500kFREE AGENT
Donovan Osborne3310.000$450kFREE AGENT
Joe Borowski317.000$235k$410k$2.0M$1.7MFREE AGENT
Robert Machado296.000$84kFREE AGENT
Alan Benes307.000FREE AGENT
Angel Echevarria316.000FREE AGENT
Ron Mahay317.000FREE AGENT
Pat Mahomes3110.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Kerry Wood254.000$3.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Antonio Alfonseca305.000$3.5MFREE AGENT
Matt Clement274.000$2.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesus Sanchez274.000$1.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Farnsworth263.000$410kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Roosevelt Brown263.000$255kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Bellhorn275.000$224kFREE AGENT
Chad Hermansen243.000$78kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Will Cunnane285.000FREE AGENT
Kevin Orie295.000FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Mark Prior210.000$250kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Augie Ojeda272.000$240kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Corey Patterson222.000$228kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Cruz231.000$215kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Zambrano211.000$200kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Mahoney29
Mario Encarnacion26
Scott Chiasson24
Courtney Duncan271.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hee-Seop Choi230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Francis Beltran22
Steve Smyth24
Bobby Hill240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2002 acquisition stacked onto Cubs's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.