Rosternomics

Marlins MIA

202669–69 (0.500)
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President of baseball ops: Peter Bendix · GM: Gabe Kapler · partial season

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2026, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$58M
Win %
0.500
TAB
+14.0
WAB
+10.1
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
36.0
Dead money %
44%
Depth Players
6.0
Dead WAR
-3.2
Farm System
Total Proj. WAR
76.6
Pitching Proj. WAR
31.5
Hitting Proj. WAR
45.1

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2026 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

Joe Mack85
LLiam Hicks59
RAgustín Ramírez22
RBrian Navarreto21

1B

LKyle Stowers49
LGriffin Conine12
LGraham Pauley11
RLeo Jiménez11
RDeyvison De Los Santos3

2B

BXavier Edwards133
RJavier Sanoja9
RLeo Jiménez7

3B

RJavier Sanoja101
RConnor Norby53
LGraham Pauley40
RLeo Jiménez40

SS

ROtto Lopez133
RJavier Sanoja8
RLeo Jiménez1

LF

RHeriberto Hernández98
LKyle Stowers31
REsteury Ruiz25
LGriffin Conine13
RJavier Sanoja10

CF

LJakob Marsee128
REsteury Ruiz24
RJavier Sanoja3

RF

LOwen Caissie82
REsteury Ruiz47
LGriffin Conine33
LKyle Stowers21
RJavier Sanoja14
RHeriberto Hernández5

DH

LLiam Hicks42
RAgustín Ramírez27
RChristopher Morel22
LOwen Caissie15
LGriffin Conine15
RConnor Norby12
LKyle Stowers11
RLeo Jiménez9
RHeriberto Hernández5
BXavier Edwards2
LJakob Marsee1
RDeyvison De Los Santos1
ROtto Lopez1
RRece Hinds1

Starters

RSandy Alcantara3.5 WAR
REury Perez2.4 WAR
RMax Meyer2.3 WAR
RJanson Junk1.6 WAR
RRyan Gusto0.8 WAR
RTyler Phillips0.4 WAR
RLake Bachar0.2 WAR
RPete Fairbanks0.1 WAR
RChris Paddack0.1 WAR
LCade Gibson-0.0 WAR
LBraxton Garrett-0.0 WAR
LJohn King-0.3 WAR
Robby SnellingNone WAR

Bullpen

RPete Fairbanks18 sv
RMichael Petersen22 h
RCalvin Faucher14 h
RAnthony Bender8 h
RTyler Zuber8 h
LJohn King4 h
LCade Gibson4 h
RLake Bachar0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2025)

PlayerfWAR
Esteury Ruiz1.1
Pete Fairbanks0.1
Chris Paddack0.1
Deyvison De Los Santos0.1
Zach Brzykcy0.0
Victor Vodnik-0.0

Key subtractions (gone from 2025)

Player2025 fWAR
Edward Cabrera2.0
Jesús Sánchez1.1
Cal Quantrill0.8
Nick Fortes0.6
Derek Hill0.6
Joey Wiemer0.4

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Marlins. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2026; everyone else is shown as a 2026 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Sandy Alcantara 2022–2026 +14.8 +259.4 44.7 +214.7 $3.0M 2.19× Arb extension · 2022–2026 · $11.2M AAV
Otto Lopez 2026 +5.6 +67.6 0.8 +66.8 $0.1M 1.51× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Eury Pérez 2026 +2.8 +43.5 0.8 +42.7 $0.3M 1.96× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Max Meyer 2026 +2.7 +42.6 1.0 +41.6 $0.4M 1.96× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.0M AAV
Xavier Edwards 2026 +2.6 +22.6 0.8 +21.8 $0.3M 1.07× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Janson Junk 2026 +1.9 +22.2 0.8 +21.4 $0.4M 1.49× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Heriberto Hernández 2026 +1.9 +18.4 0.7 +17.6 $0.4M 1.22× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Liam Hicks 2026 +2.0 +16.5 0.6 +15.8 $0.3M 1.01× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Griffin Conine 2026 +1.5 +14.9 0.8 +14.1 $0.5M 1.22× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Javier Sanoja 2026 +2.0 +13.4 0.8 +12.7 $0.4M 0.85× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Calvin Faucher 2026 +1.2 +12.6 1.8 +10.8 $1.5M 1.34× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.8M AAV
Kyle Stowers 2026 +1.7 +11.1 0.8 +10.3 $0.5M 0.81× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Esteury Ruiz 2026 +1.3 +9.0 0.8 +8.2 $0.6M 0.83× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Ryan Gusto 2026 +1.0 +7.8 0.0 +7.8 $0.0M 1.02×
Jakob Marsee 2026 +1.2 +8.0 0.8 +7.2 $0.7M 0.83× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Michael Petersen 2026 +1.2 +6.5 0.8 +5.7 $0.7M 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Anthony Bender 2026 +1.0 +5.2 2.8 +2.4 $2.9M 0.67× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $2.8M AAV
Tyler Phillips 2026 +0.5 +2.5 0.8 +1.7 $1.7M 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Lake Bachar 2026 +0.3 +1.4 0.7 +0.8 $2.4M 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Connor Norby 2026 +0.2 +1.3 0.6 +0.7 $2.5M 0.69× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Agustín Ramírez 2026 +0.1 +0.5 0.2 +0.3 $1.9M 0.69×
Chris Paddack 2026 +0.1 +0.5 0.3 +0.2 $4.4M 1.02× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Deyvison De Los Santos 2026 +0.1 +0.3 0.1 +0.2 $1.1M 0.56×
Tyler Zuber 2026 +0.0 +0.2 0.5 -0.2 $10.8M 0.67×
Victor Vodnik 2026 -0.0 -0.0 0.2 -0.2 1.34× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Rece Hinds 2026 -0.1 -0.4 0.1 -0.4 0.69×
Austin Slater 2026 -0.0 -0.3 0.3 -0.6 0.83×
Cade Gibson 2026 -0.0 -0.1 0.6 -0.6 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Andrew Nardi 2026 -0.1 -0.4 0.8 -1.2 0.67× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Braxton Garrett 2026 -0.0 -0.4 1.5 -1.9 1.02×
Graham Pauley 2026 -0.4 -1.7 0.7 -2.5 0.58× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
John King 2026 -0.3 -1.7 1.5 -3.2 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.5M AAV
Owen Caissie 2026 -0.5 -3.4 0.8 -4.2 0.83× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Christopher Morel 2026 -0.9 -5.2 1.5 -6.7 0.69× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $2.0M AAV
Pete Fairbanks 2026 +0.1 +1.0 13.0 -12.0 $145.1M 1.34× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $13.0M AAV
Zach Brzykcy 2026 +0.0 +0.0 0.0 +0.0 $0.5M 0.67×
Brian Navarreto 2026 -0.0 -0.1 0.52×
Leo Jiménez 2026 -1.0 -4.8 0.58×
Patrick Monteverde 2026 -0.1 -0.3 0.67×
Total+44.4+570.283.8+491.8

Trades

Every graded 2026 deal involving the Marlins — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 17 total.

2026 · MIA / PIT Aug 3, 2026
MIA · Peter Bendix +$0.8M
Brandan Bidois, Brian Sanchez, Hyun Seung Lee
PIT · Ben Cherington −$0.8M
Lake Bachar
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · MIN / MIA Jan 2, 2026
MIN · Derek Falvey +$0.0M
Eric Wagaman
MIA · Peter Bendix +$0.0M
Kade Bragg
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · BAL / MIA Aug 3, 2026
BAL · Mike Elias +$0.0M
Rece Hinds
MIA · Peter Bendix +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · SFG / MIA Jan 22, 2026
SFG · Buster Posey +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
MIA · Peter Bendix +$0.0M
Carlos Martinez
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · MIA / SEA Feb 16, 2026
MIA · Peter Bendix +$2.4M
cash / PTBNL
SEA · Jerry Dipoto −$2.4M
Josh Simpson
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · MIN / MIA Apr 2, 2026
MIN · Derek Falvey +$0.8M
Garrett Acton
MIA · Peter Bendix −$0.8M
Logan Whitaker
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · TBR / MIA Aug 20, 2026
TBR · Erik Neander +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
MIA · Peter Bendix +$0.0M
Logan Driscoll
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · CIN / MIA May 21, 2026
CIN · Nick Krall +$0.8M
Zach McCambley
MIA · Peter Bendix −$0.8M
Rece Hinds
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · TOR / MIA Mar 29, 2026
TOR · Ross Atkins +$5.6M
Dub Gleed
MIA · Peter Bendix −$5.6M
Leo Jimenez
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · COL / MIA Jan 20, 2026
COL · Josh Byrnes +$0.0M
Jake Brooks
MIA · Peter Bendix +$0.0M
Bradley Blalock
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · COL / MIA Aug 3, 2026
COL · Josh Byrnes +$0.8M
Aiden May, Connor Norby
MIA · Peter Bendix −$0.8M
Victor Vodnik
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · MIA / CHC Jan 7, 2026
MIA · Peter Bendix +$0.8M
Edgardo De Leon, Owen Caissie, Cristian Hernández
CHC · Jed Hoyer −$0.8M
Edward Cabrera
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · CHC / MIA Aug 3, 2026
CHC · Jed Hoyer +$0.0M
Braxton Garrett
MIA · Peter Bendix +$0.0M
Jace Beck, Jonathon Long
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · TBR / MIA Aug 3, 2026
TBR · Erik Neander +$4.0M
Liam Hicks
MIA · Peter Bendix −$4.0M
Jacob Kisting, Adrian Santana, Brayden Taylor#75
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · KCR / MIA Aug 5, 2026
KCR · J.J. Picollo +$0.0M
Jacob Berry
MIA · Peter Bendix +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · TBR / MIA Feb 6, 2026
TBR · Erik Neander +$7.2M
Victor Mesa
MIA · Peter Bendix −$7.2M
Angel Brachi
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · NYY / MIA Jan 13, 2026
NYY · Brian Cashman +$39.2M
Ryan Weathers
MIA · Peter Bendix −$39.2M
Brendan Jones, Juan Matheus, Dillon Lewis, Dylan Jasso
Too soon to call unsettled

Current & Historical Payroll

2026 payroll
$58.3M
luxury tax $51M
2027 guaranteed
$21.0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2026, 2026–2032. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2026; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Summary — luxury-tax (CBT) basis

2026202720282029203020312032
Tax threshold$244M$247M$250M$253M$256M$259M$262M
Guaranteed contracts$28M$21M
Proj. arbitration$5M
Proj. pre-arbitration$18M
Player benefits$18M$18M
Total CBT payroll$69M$39M
Tax space+$175M+$208M
Est. tax bill

Luxury-tax (CBT) basis: contract AAV + ~$18M benefits/bonus-pool — distinct from the base-salary payroll above. Threshold is the CBA line. Tier-1 payor rates on the overage. Forward years show only guaranteed deals (arb/pre-arb not yet set). Figures are estimates.

Guaranteed / signed (4)

PlayerAgeSvc2026202720282029203020312032
Sandy Alcantara307.100$17.3M$21.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Pete Fairbanks326.057$13.0MFREE AGENT
Chris Paddack307.000$286kFREE AGENT
Austin Slater337.147$254kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (6)

PlayerAgeSvc2026202720282029203020312032
Anthony Bender314.153$2.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Braxton Garrett283.168$1.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Christopher Morel273.117$1.5MFREE AGENT
John King314.148$1.5MFREE AGENT
Andrew Nardi273.053$800kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Zuber313.104$492kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (29)

PlayerAgeSvc2026202720282029203020312032
Calvin Faucher302.156$1.8MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Max Meyer272.166$980kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Otto Lopez272.109$810kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Stowers282.012$804kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Xavier Edwards262.034$804kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eury Pérez232.113$800kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Janson Junk301.045$798kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Phillips281.048$794kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Petersen320.086$792kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Esteury Ruiz272.064$792kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Javier Sanoja231.023$792kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jakob Marsee250.059$786kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Griffin Conine281.035$786kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Owen Caissie230.034$782kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Heriberto Hernández260.122$746kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Graham Pauley251.005$730kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lake Bachar311.021$654kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Liam Hicks271.000$649kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Connor Norby261.057$614kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cade Gibson280.135$559kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Agustín Ramírez240.161$174kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Victor Vodnik262.024$169kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Deyvison De Los Santos23$66k
Rece Hinds250.089$60kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Gusto270.167$13kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach Brzykcy261.029$4kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Navarreto311.033Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Leo Jiménez25
Patrick Monteverde28

Graphs

How each 2026 acquisition stacked onto Marlins's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.