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Reds CIN

202666–73 (0.475)
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President of baseball ops: Nick Krall · partial season

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2026, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$112M
Surplus $M
-9
Win %
0.475
TAB
-9.4
WAB
-0.3
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
20.4
Dead money %
62%
Depth Players
3.0
Dead WAR
-7.7
Farm System
Total Proj. WAR
57.5
Pitching Proj. WAR
14.5
Hitting Proj. WAR
43.0

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2026 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RTyler Stephenson102
RJose Trevino40
RP.J. Higgins13
RWill Banfield3

1B

RSal Stewart94
RSpencer Steer48
LNathaniel Lowe⇄36
BMichael Toglia7

2B

RMatt McLain85
Edwin Arroyo42
RSpencer Steer16
BJuan Brito⇄16
RSal Stewart8
Ivan Johnson4

3B

RKe'Bryan Hayes78
RSal Stewart45
REugenio Suárez42
Edwin Arroyo3
Ivan Johnson3
RSpencer Steer2

SS

BElly De La Cruz113
RMatt McLain29
Edwin Arroyo4

LF

LJJ Bleday99
LTJ Friedl38
RSpencer Steer27
LWill Benson7
RBlake Dunn3
Ivan Johnson3
BMichael Toglia2

CF

RDane Myers91
LTJ Friedl63
RBlake Dunn22
RMatt McLain3
LWill Benson3
RSpencer Steer2
RNoelvi Marte2
Héctor Rodríguez1

RF

RNoelvi Marte57
LWill Benson31
RSpencer Steer30
Héctor Rodríguez18
RBlake Dunn16
LJJ Bleday12
RRece Hinds⇄10
BMichael Toglia2

DH

REugenio Suárez64
LNathaniel Lowe⇄47
RSal Stewart11
BElly De La Cruz7
LJJ Bleday6
RDane Myers5
RTyler Stephenson5
Ivan Johnson3
RBlake Dunn2
LWill Benson2
Héctor Rodríguez1
RNoelvi Marte1
RSpencer Steer1

Starters

RChase Burns4.2 WAR
LAndrew Abbott1.4 WAR
RRhett Lowder1.2 WAR
RBrady Singer0.8 WAR
RHunter Greene0.7 WAR
RChris Paddack⇄0.2 WAR
LCaleb Ferguson⇄0.2 WAR
LKent Emanuel0.1 WAR
LNick Lodolo-0.0 WAR
LBrandon Williamson-0.1 WAR
RLyon Richardson⇄-0.2 WAR
RChase Petty-0.2 WAR

Bullpen

★ REmilio Pagan20 sv
LBrock Burke16 h
RTony Santillan11 h
RGraham Ashcraft10 h
RTejay Antone8 h
LSam Moll7 h
RPierce Johnson7 h
LCaleb Ferguson⇄0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2025)

PlayerfWAR
JJ Bleday1.5
Rhett Lowder1.2
Dane Myers0.9
Nathaniel Lowe0.6
Brock Burke0.6
Tejay Antone0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 2025)

Player2025 fWAR
Nick Martinez2.0
Austin Wynns0.8
Miguel Andujar0.7
Zack Littell0.5
Gavin Lux0.5
Jake Fraley0.4

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Reds. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2026; everyone else is shown as a 2026 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Hunter Greene 2023–2026 +9.3 +110.1 19.3 +90.7 $2.1M 1.49× Pre-arb extension · 2023–2029 · $8.8M AAV
Chase Burns 2026 +4.9 +86.6 0.8 +85.8 $0.2M 2.19× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Elly De La Cruz 2026 +5.4 +64.9 0.8 +64.1 $0.1M 1.51× –
Sal Stewart 2026 +3.2 +27.2 0.8 +26.4 $0.2M 1.07× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Andrew Abbott 2026 +1.6 +19.3 0.8 +18.5 $0.5M 1.49× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
JJ Bleday 2026 +1.7 +16.7 1.4 +15.3 $0.8M 1.22× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.4M AAV
Rhett Lowder 2026 +1.4 +11.4 0.8 +10.6 $0.6M 1.02× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Dane Myers 2026 +1.1 +7.2 0.8 +6.4 $0.7M 0.83× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Tyler Stephenson 2026 +2.0 +12.2 6.8 +5.4 $3.4M 0.76× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $6.8M AAV
Blake Dunn 2026 +0.7 +5.0 0.6 +4.3 $0.8M 0.83× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Sam Moll 2026 +0.3 +3.2 0.9 +2.4 $2.9M 1.34× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.9M AAV
Nathaniel Lowe↔ 2026 +0.7 +3.7 1.4 +2.3 $2.1M 0.69× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.8M AAV
Tejay Antone 2026 +0.4 +2.1 0.7 +1.5 $1.7M 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Luis Mey 2026 +0.3 +1.5 0.1 +1.4 $0.3M 0.67× –
Chris Paddack↔ 2026 +0.2 +1.5 0.2 +1.2 $1.3M 1.02× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Brock Burke 2026 +0.7 +3.5 2.3 +1.1 $3.6M 0.67× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $2.3M AAV
Spencer Steer 2026 +1.1 +5.0 4.0 +1.0 $3.6M 0.56× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $4.0M AAV
Graham Ashcraft 2026 +0.4 +2.2 1.8 +0.5 $4.2M 0.67× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.8M AAV
Yunior Marte 2026 -0.0 -0.2 0.0 -0.2 – 0.67× –
Brandon Leibrandt 2026 -0.1 -0.7 0.0 -0.7 – 0.67× –
P.J. Higgins 2026 -0.0 -0.1 0.7 -0.8 – 0.52× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Ron Marinaccio↔ 2026 -0.2 -1.0 0.1 -1.1 – 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Kyle Nicolas 2026 -0.2 -1.1 0.1 -1.2 – 0.67× –
Brandon Williamson 2026 -0.1 -0.6 0.8 -1.4 – 1.02× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Chase Petty 2026 -0.3 -1.4 0.0 -1.4 – 0.67× –
Jose Franco 2026 -0.2 -1.2 0.2 -1.4 – 0.67× –
Lyon Richardson↔ 2026 -0.2 -1.9 0.0 -1.9 – 1.02× –
Zach Maxwell 2026 -0.3 -1.4 0.5 -2.0 – 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Caleb Ferguson↔ 2026 +0.2 +0.9 3.3 -2.4 $18.9M 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $4.5M AAV
Connor Phillips 2026 -0.4 -2.1 0.3 -2.4 – 0.67× –
Will Benson 2026 -0.2 -1.2 1.7 -2.9 – 0.83× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.7M AAV
Rece Hinds↔ 2026 -0.4 -2.5 0.7 -3.2 – 0.83× –
Jose Trevino 2026 +0.2 +0.6 5.2 -4.6 $34.4M 0.52× Extension · 2026–2028 · $5.8M AAV
Nick Lodolo 2026 -0.0 -0.3 4.7 -5.0 – 1.02× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $4.7M AAV
Brady Singer 2026 +0.9 +7.7 12.8 -5.1 $13.5M 1.02× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $12.8M AAV
Pierce Johnson 2026 +0.0 +0.3 5.5 -5.2 $110.5M 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $6.5M AAV
Emilio Pagán 2026 +0.2 +2.3 10.0 -7.7 $47.2M 1.34× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $10.0M AAV
Ke'Bryan Hayes 2025–2026 -0.2 -1.2 8.6 -9.8 – 0.58× Pre-arb extension · 2022–2030 · $8.8M AAV
TJ Friedl 2026 -1.0 -6.4 3.8 -10.2 – 0.83× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $3.8M AAV
Noelvi Marte 2026 -1.6 -10.6 0.1 -10.7 – 0.83× –
Tony Santillan 2026 -1.3 -13.9 1.8 -15.7 – 1.34× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.8M AAV
Eugenio Suárez 2026 -0.3 -1.6 15.0 -16.6 – 0.69× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $15.0M AAV
Matt McLain 2026 +0.5 +2.3 2.3 +0.0 $4.4M 0.56× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $2.3M AAV
Kent Emanuel 2026 +0.1 +1.0 – – – 1.02× –
Michael Toglia 2026 -0.6 -2.5 – – – 0.56× –
Will Banfield 2026 -0.1 -0.4 – – – 0.52× –
Total—+29.8+346.1122.5+225.3—

Trades

Every graded 2026 deal involving the Reds — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 8 total.

2026 · CIN / MIA May 21, 2026
CIN · Nick Krall +$0.8M
Zach McCambley
MIA · Peter Bendix −$0.8M
Rece Hinds
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · CIN / SEA Jan 15, 2026
CIN · Nick Krall +$0.0M
Dusty Revis
SEA · Jerry Dipoto +$0.0M
Yosver Zulueta
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · CIN / PIT Mar 4, 2026
CIN · Nick Krall +$0.8M
Kyle Nicolas
PIT · Ben Cherington −$0.8M
Tyler Callihan
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · CIN / STL Aug 3, 2026
CIN · Nick Krall +$1.6M
cash / PTBNL
STL · Chaim Bloom −$1.6M
Caleb Ferguson
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · BAL / CIN Jun 4, 2026
BAL · Mike Elias +$0.0M
Kyle Nicolas
CIN · Nick Krall +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · CLE / CIN Aug 3, 2026
CLE · Chris Antonetti +$0.0M
Nathaniel Lowe
CIN · Nick Krall +$0.0M
Juan Brito, Alejandro Rivera
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · CIN / TBR / ANA Jan 16, 2026
CIN · Nick Krall +$0.8M
Brock Burke
TBR · Erik Neander +$0.0M
Chris Clark, Gavin Lux
ANA · Perry Minasian −$0.8M
Josh Lowe
Too soon to call 3-teamunsettled
2026 · BAL / CIN Apr 13, 2026
BAL · Mike Elias +$4.0M
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
CIN · Nick Krall −$4.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled

Current & Historical Payroll

2026 payroll
$111.5M
luxury tax $124M
2027 guaranteed
$61.6M

What the front office was committed to as of 2026, 2026–2032. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2026; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Summary — luxury-tax (CBT) basis

2026202720282029203020312032
Tax threshold$244M$247M$250M$253M$256M$259M$262M
Guaranteed contracts$74M$55M$23M$18M$9M
Proj. arbitration$41M
Proj. pre-arbitration$10M
Player benefits$18M$18M$18M$18M$18M
Total CBT payroll$142M$73M$41M$36M$27M
Tax space+$102M+$174M+$209M+$217M+$229M
Est. tax bill—————

Luxury-tax (CBT) basis: contract AAV + ~$18M benefits/bonus-pool — distinct from the base-salary payroll above. Threshold is the CBA line. Tier-1 payor rates on the overage. Forward years show only guaranteed deals (arb/pre-arb not yet set). Figures are estimates.

Guaranteed / signed (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2026202720282029203020312032
Eugenio Suárez3411.061$15.0M$16.0MMUTUALFREE AGENT
Emilio Pagán358.091$10.0M$10.0MPLAYERFREE AGENT
Hunter Greene264.000$8.3M$15.3M$16.3M$21.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Ke'Bryan Hayes295.075$7.0M$7.0M$8.0M$8.0M$12.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Pierce Johnson356.137$5.5M$8.0MMUTUALFREE AGENT
Jose Trevino336.063$5.2M$5.2M$6.5MCLUBFREE AGENT
Caleb Ferguson297.093$3.3MFREE AGENT
Chris Paddack307.000$245kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (16)

PlayerAgeSvc2026202720282029203020312032
Brady Singer295.156$12.8MFREE AGENT
Tyler Stephenson295.056$6.8MFREE AGENT
Nick Lodolo284.000$4.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Spencer Steer283.035$4.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
TJ Friedl303.112$3.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brock Burke295.045$2.3MFREE AGENT
Tony Santillan293.099$1.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Graham Ashcraft283.130$1.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Will Benson283.003$1.7MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
JJ Bleday283.029$1.4MFREE AGENT
Nathaniel Lowe305.145$1.4MFREE AGENT
Sam Moll344.023$875kARB 3FREE AGENT
Elly De La Cruz243.000$800kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tejay Antone325.000$654kFREE AGENT
Yunior Marte313.040$13kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kent Emanuel343.107—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (22)

PlayerAgeSvc2026202720282029203020312032
Matt McLain262.140$2.3MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Abbott272.119$800kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Williamson282.139$800kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dane Myers302.037$800kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rhett Lowder241.031$790kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chase Burns230.097$785kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sal Stewart220.028$782kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rece Hinds250.089$720kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
P.J. Higgins331.103$662kFREE AGENT
Blake Dunn270.089$613kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach Maxwell250.038$546kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Connor Phillips250.081$251kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Franco25–$150k
Noelvi Marte241.139$84kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ron Marinaccio302.064$79kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Mey250.057$75kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Nicolas271.090$66kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chase Petty230.014$13kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lyon Richardson261.037$11kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Leibrandt332.111$4kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Toglia272.077—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Will Banfield26–—

Graphs

How each 2026 acquisition stacked onto Reds's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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