Rosternomics
Craig Breslow

Craig Breslow

★ active

Born Aug 8, 1980 · New Haven, CT · age 46

A former MLB pitcher and Yale graduate turned Boston Red Sox chief baseball officer, hired to modernize the club's pitching development and analytics.

Across the full 3-season sample, the measured profile stands out most for roster depth (90th percentile), cheap-talent surplus (84th percentile), and payroll-adjusted roster quality (80th percentile). The clearest contrast is cost per win (19th percentile): the measured clubs have paid more per unit of positive WAR than most peers. Because the sample covers fewer than five seasons, those comparisons are descriptive rather than stable.

3 seasons with salary-era data across 1 stint. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

0 pennants · 2 playoff appearances · 257–229 (0.529)

Percentile Rankings

vs. execs with toyrs exp.
PoorAverageGreat
Trade Decision Quality
Roster Construction
Depth
8.3
Dead WAR
-4.5
Dead money %
35%
PoorAverageGreat
Talent Creation
Cheap-talent surplus
$35M
Drafted surplus
$14M
Traded-for surplus
$3M
Int'l surplus
$0M
Results & Efficiency
GM WAR
+1.7
TAB
+19.9
WAB
+8.8
$ / WAR
$3.7M
Net WAR/trade
-0.06

Overview

TeamRoleYear Pay
$M
Rel
Pay
Surp
$M
Surp
WAR
Dead
%
Cheap
$M
Draft
$M
Trd
$M
Int'l
$M
$ /
WAR
WAR Depth Dead
WAR
HG Trade Net/
Trd
FA R5 RFA PPA CPA WAB TAB W-L% POPenWS
Red Sox POBO/GM 2024 81–81 $147 91 +6 +1.4 18% +63 +47 +1 +0 $3.4M 36.7 6.0 -6.1 +2.6 -0.2 -0.02 -0.9 -0.1 +0.12 4.70 0.29 +0.2 +3.6 0.500
Red Sox POBO/GM 2025 89–73 $178 114 +0 +0.0 37% +46 +7 +35 +0 $3.6M 44.5 11.0 -5.3 +9.8 -1.3 -0.15 -6.0 -0.2 +0.48 3.95 0.34 +5.4 +8.7 0.549 ✓
Red Sox POBO/GM 2026 87–75 $188 116 -10 -2.5 50% -2 -10 -29 +0 $4.1M 43.7 8.0 -2.1 -0.0 +0.2 +0.08 +5.8 +0.0 +0.01 1.76 0.15 +3.2 +7.7 0.537 ✓
Career total (1985+ data) $514 107 -5 -1.1 35% +35 +14 +3 +0 $3.7M 124.9 8.3 -4.5 +12.4 -1.4 -0.06 -1.2 -0.3 +0.23 3.05 0.25 +8.8 +19.9 0.529 2– –

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+12.4
Trade-1.4
Free agency-1.2
Rule 5 / minor draft-0.3
Sourcing mix: 28% draft · 39% FA · 34% trade · 0% R5

Trades

Trades made — 59 deals credited to Craig Breslow, best expected value first; surplus is realized value in $M

2024 · BOS / CHW Dec 11, 2024
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.8M
Garrett Crochet
CHW · Chris Getz −$0.8M
Wikelman González, Chase Meidroth, Braden Montgomery#60.5, Kyle Teel
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · BOS / SFG Jun 15, 2025
BOS · Craig Breslow +$5.6M
Kyle Harrison, James Tibbs III, Jose Bello, Jordan Hicks
SFG · Buster Posey −$5.6M
Rafael Devers
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · MIL / BOS Apr 7, 2025
MIL · Matt Arnold +$20.8M
Quinn Priester
BOS · Craig Breslow −$20.8M
Yophery Rodriguez, Draft pick (≈#70)
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · BOS / STL Nov 25, 2025
BOS · Craig Breslow +$42.4M
Sonny Gray
STL · John Mozeliak −$42.4M
Richard Fitts, Brandon Clarke
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · BOS / PIT Dec 4, 2025
BOS · Craig Breslow +$2.4M
Tyler Samaniego, Johan Oviedo, Adonys Guzman
PIT · Ben Cherington −$2.4M
Jhostynxon Garcia, Jesus Travieso
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · BOS / MIN Dec 24, 2024
BOS · Craig Breslow +$4.0M
Jovani Morán
MIN · Derek Falvey −$4.0M
Mickey Gasper
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · PIT / BOS Dec 15, 2024
PIT · Ben Cherington +$0.0M
Enmanuel Valdez
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.0M
Joe Vogatsky
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · BOS / CHW Feb 1, 2026
BOS · Craig Breslow +$5.6M
Gage Ziehl
CHW · Chris Getz −$5.6M
Jordan Hicks, David Sandlin
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · BOS / MIN Jan 21, 2026
BOS · Craig Breslow +$2.4M
Nate Baez
MIN · Derek Falvey −$2.4M
Tristan Gray
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · ANA / BOS May 22, 2025
ANA · Perry Minasian +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.0M
Ryan Noda
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · BOS / ATL May 9, 2024
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
ATL · Alex Anthopoulos −$0.8M
Zack Short
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · BOS / CHW Dec 21, 2024
BOS · Craig Breslow +$4.0M
Yhoiker Fajardo
CHW · Chris Getz −$4.0M
Cam Booser
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · BOS / NYM Feb 2, 2024
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.0M
Tyler Heineman
NYM · David Stearns +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · BOS / DET Jul 14, 2026
BOS · Craig Breslow +$3.2M
Jahmai Jones
DET · Scott Harris −$3.2M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · BOS / LAD Mar 27, 2025
BOS · Craig Breslow +$2.4M
cash / PTBNL
LAD · Andrew Friedman −$2.4M
Noah Davis
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · MIL / BOS May 5, 2025
MIL · Matt Arnold +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.0M
John Holobetz
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · CHC / BOS Apr 27, 2024
CHC · Jed Hoyer +$3.2M
cash / PTBNL
BOS · Craig Breslow −$3.2M
Garrett Cooper
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · LAD / BOS Jun 20, 2025
LAD · Andrew Friedman +$0.0M
Zach Penrod
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · LAD / BOS Jul 26, 2024
LAD · Andrew Friedman +$4.0M
Moises Bolivar
BOS · Craig Breslow −$4.0M
James Paxton
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · BOS / NYM Sep 8, 2024
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
NYM · David Stearns +$0.0M
Eddy Alvarez
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · CHW / BOS Apr 30, 2024
CHW · Chris Getz +$2.4M
cash / PTBNL
BOS · Craig Breslow −$2.4M
Bailey Horn
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · CIN / BOS Jun 14, 2025
CIN · Nick Krall +$0.0M
Brian Van Belle
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · OAK / BOS Dec 10, 2025
OAK · David Forst +$0.8M
Justin Riemer
BOS · Craig Breslow −$0.8M
Ryan Watson
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · PIT / BOS Jun 4, 2026
PIT · Ben Cherington +$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
BOS · Craig Breslow −$0.8M
Joe La Sorsa
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · OAK / BOS May 27, 2025
OAK · David Forst +$5.6M
Sean Newcomb
BOS · Craig Breslow −$5.6M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · SEA / BOS Nov 18, 2025
SEA · Jerry Dipoto +$0.8M
Alex Hoppe
BOS · Craig Breslow −$0.8M
Luke Heyman
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · ANA / BOS Dec 9, 2025
ANA · Perry Minasian +$0.0M
Vaughn Grissom
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.0M
Isaiah Jackson
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · CHW / BOS Nov 18, 2025
CHW · Chris Getz +$0.0M
Chris Murphy
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.0M
Ronny Hernandez
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · WSN / BOS Dec 15, 2025
WSN · Mike DeBartolo +$0.0M
Luis Perales
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.0M
Jake Bennett
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · DET / BOS Jul 6, 2024
DET · Scott Harris +$1.6M
cash / PTBNL
BOS · Craig Breslow −$1.6M
Trey Wingenter
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · TOR / BOS Jul 27, 2024
TOR · Ross Atkins +$3.2M
Eddinson Paulino, Cutter Coffey, Gilberto Batista
BOS · Craig Breslow −$3.2M
Danny Jansen
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · MIL / BOS Apr 18, 2024
MIL · Matt Arnold +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.0M
Vladimir Gutiérrez
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · CIN / BOS Jul 30, 2024
CIN · Nick Krall +$3.2M
Ovis Portes
BOS · Craig Breslow −$3.2M
Lucas Sims
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · OAK / BOS Jul 1, 2026
OAK · David Forst +$0.0M
Ben Hansen
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.0M
Brett Harris
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · COL / BOS Nov 18, 2025
COL · Bill Schmidt +$4.8M
Brennan Bernardino
BOS · Craig Breslow −$4.8M
Braiden Ward
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · BOS / NYY Dec 11, 2024
BOS · Craig Breslow +$8.8M
Carlos Narváez
NYY · Brian Cashman −$8.8M
Elmer Rodriguez
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · DET / BOS Aug 1, 2026
DET · Scott Harris +$0.0M
Jojo Ingrassia
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · STL / BOS Apr 5, 2026
STL · Chaim Bloom +$0.0M
Patrick Galle
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · BOS / TBR Mar 27, 2024
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.0M
Naoyuki Uwasawa
TBR · Erik Neander +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · SFG / BOS Mar 27, 2024
SFG · Farhan Zaidi +$1.6M
Christian Koss
BOS · Craig Breslow −$1.6M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · KCR / BOS Feb 17, 2024
KCR · J.J. Picollo +$4.8M
John Schreiber
BOS · Craig Breslow −$4.8M
David Sandlin
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · BOS / SFG Aug 3, 2026
BOS · Craig Breslow +$2.4M
Carlos Gutierrez, Erik Miller
SFG · Buster Posey −$2.4M
Marcelo Mayer
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · MIN / BOS Jun 11, 2025
MIN · Derek Falvey +$0.8M
Andy Lugo
BOS · Craig Breslow −$0.8M
Jorge Alcalá
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · DET / BOS Jul 8, 2024
DET · Scott Harris +$0.0M
CJ Weins
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · BOS / NYM May 25, 2024
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
NYM · David Stearns +$0.0M
Pablo Reyes
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · BOS / NYM Aug 31, 2025
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.0M
Ali Sánchez
NYM · David Stearns +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · CHW / BOS Jul 12, 2025
CHW · Chris Getz +$0.0M
Blake Sabol
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · NYM / BOS May 1, 2024
NYM · David Stearns +$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
BOS · Craig Breslow −$0.8M
Zack Short
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · TBR / BOS Nov 18, 2025
TBR · Erik Neander +$0.0M
Luis Guerrero
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.0M
Tristan Gray
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · BAL / BOS Aug 12, 2026
BAL · Mike Elias +$0.0M
Harold Rivas
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · STL / BOS Jul 31, 2025
STL · John Mozeliak +$8.8M
Blaze Jordan
BOS · Craig Breslow −$8.8M
Steven Matz
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · MIL / BOS Feb 9, 2026
MIL · Matt Arnold +$20.0M
Shane Drohan, David Hamilton, Kyle Harrison
BOS · Craig Breslow −$20.0M
Caleb Durbin, Anthony Seigler, Andruw Monasterio
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · BOS / ATL Aug 3, 2026
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.8M
Eli White
ATL · Alex Anthopoulos −$0.8M
Tyler Uberstine
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · BOS / PIT Jul 29, 2024
BOS · Craig Breslow +$2.4M
Quinn Priester
PIT · Ben Cherington −$2.4M
Nick Yorke
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · BOS / ANA Jul 30, 2024
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.8M
Luis García
ANA · Perry Minasian −$0.8M
Yeferson Vargas, Niko Kavadas, Matthew Lugo, Ryan Zeferjahn
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · LAD / BOS Jul 31, 2025
LAD · Andrew Friedman +$1.6M
Zach Ehrhard, James Tibbs III
BOS · Craig Breslow −$1.6M
Dustin May
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · BOS / STL Dec 22, 2025
BOS · Craig Breslow +$17.6M
Willson Contreras
STL · John Mozeliak −$17.6M
Blake Aita, Hunter Dobbins, Yhoiker Fajardo
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · BOS / BAL Aug 3, 2026
BOS · Craig Breslow +$6.4M
Adley Rutschman, Jake Rogers
BAL · Mike Elias −$6.4M
Kyson Witherspoon, Enddy Azocar, Anthony Eyanson#36.3, Carlos Narváez
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · WSN / BOS Jul 26, 2026
WSN · Paul Toboni +$0.8M
Connelly Early
BOS · Craig Breslow −$0.8M
Curtis Mead
Too soon to call unsettled

Players acquired — 66 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr RFA PPA CPA
Garrett Crochet P BOS Trade 2024 2 +6.1 +3.0 -1.46 23.5% 1.83%
Aroldis Chapman P BOS Free agency 2024 2 +4.2 +2.1 – 10.4% 0.91%
Willson Contreras C BOS Trade 2025 1 +4.0 +4.0 -3.05 6.7% 0.58%
Payton Tolle P BOS Draft 2025 1 +3.9 +3.9 – – –
Ranger Suarez P BOS Free agency 2026 1 +3.8 +3.8 – 6.5% 0.55%
Alex Bregman 3B BOS Free agency 2025 1 +3.6 +3.6 – 14.5% 1.23%
Roman Anthony DH/OF BOS Draft 2025 2 +3.5 +1.8 – – –
Sonny Gray P BOS Trade 2026 1 +3.4 +3.4 -1.47 5.8% 0.49%
Caleb Durbin 3B BOS Trade 2026 1 +3.1 +3.1 +0.54 5.3% 0.45%
Carlos Narváez C BOS Trade 2024 1 +2.8 +2.8 -0.02 10.7% 0.96%
Tyler O'Neill OF BOS Trade 2024 1 +2.5 +2.5 – 12.0% 0.74%
Lucas Giolito P BOS Free agency 2024 1 +1.9 +1.9 – 7.4% 0.68%
Romy Gonzalez 1B/2B BOS Trade 2024 2 +1.6 +0.8 – 1.1% 0.07%
Greg Weissert P BOS Trade 2024 3 +1.5 +0.5 +0.39 2.5% 0.16%
Nick Sogard 1B/2B BOS Draft 2024 2 +1.4 +0.7 – – –
Patrick Sandoval P BOS Free agency 2024 1 +1.3 +1.3 – 2.5% 0.20%
Connelly Early P BOS Draft 2025 2 +1.1 +0.5 – – –
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS BOS Free agency 2026 1 +1.1 +1.1 – 2.1% 0.16%
Cooper Criswell P BOS Trade 2024 1 +1.1 +1.1 – 5.2% 0.33%
Tayron Guerrero P BOS Free agency 2026 1 +1.0 +1.0 – 1.9% 0.15%
Justin Wilson P BOS Free agency 2024 1 +1.0 +1.0 – 3.7% 0.35%
Hunter Dobbins P BOS Draft 2025 1 +0.9 +0.9 – – –
Sean Newcomb P BOS Trade 2025 1 +0.7 +0.7 – 2.6% 0.25%
Adley Rutschman C BOS Trade 2026 1 +0.7 +0.7 -7.06 1.3% 0.10%
Mickey Gasper C/DH BOS Draft 2024 1 +0.6 +0.6 – – –
Jahmai Jones DH/OF BOS Trade 2026 1 +0.6 +0.6 +0.80 1.2% 0.10%
Nate Eaton 3B/OF BOS Free agency 2024 2 +0.5 +0.2 – 1.3% 0.13%
Marcelo Mayer 2B/3B BOS Draft 2025 1 +0.5 +0.5 – – –
Nathaniel Lowe 1B BOS Trade 2025 1 +0.5 +0.5 – 1.7% 0.17%
Anthony Seigler 2B/3B BOS Trade 2026 1 +0.4 +0.4 +0.54 0.8% 0.07%
Kyle Harrison P BOS Trade 2025 1 +0.4 +0.4 -15.12 1.3% 0.13%
Cam Booser P BOS Draft 2024 1 +0.3 +0.3 – – –
Luis Guerrero P BOS Draft 2024 1 +0.3 +0.3 – – –
Erik Miller P BOS Trade 2026 1 +0.3 +0.3 -0.22 0.6% 0.05%
Raymond Burgos P BOS Free agency 2026 1 +0.2 +0.2 – 0.3% 0.02%
Jovani Morán P BOS Trade 2024 2 +0.2 +0.1 +0.16 0.1% 0.01%
Tyler Samaniego P BOS Trade 2025 1 +0.2 +0.2 +0.77 – –
Jake Rogers C BOS Trade 2026 1 +0.2 +0.2 -7.06 0.4% 0.03%
Nick Burdi P BOS Free agency 2025 1 +0.1 +0.1 – 0.3% 0.03%
Eduardo Rivera P BOS Draft 2026 1 +0.1 +0.1 – – –
Chase Shugart P BOS Draft 2024 1 +0.1 +0.1 – – –
Naoyuki Uwasawa P BOS Trade 2024 1 +0.1 +0.1 – – –
José De León P BOS Trade 2025 1 +0.1 +0.1 – 0.4% 0.04%
Eli White OF BOS Trade 2026 1 +0.1 +0.1 -1.06 0.2% 0.01%
Quinn Priester P BOS Trade 2024 1 +0.1 +0.1 – 0.5% 0.03%
Jhostynxon Garcia OF BOS Draft 2025 1 +0.0 +0.0 – – –
Liam Hendriks P BOS Free agency 2024 – -0.0 – – – –
Seth Martinez P BOS Free agency 2026 – -0.0 – – – –
Zach Penrod P BOS Draft 2024 – -0.0 – – – –
Dominic Smith 1B/OF BOS Free agency 2024 1 -0.0 -0.0 – 1.6% 0.10%
Tyler Heineman C BOS Trade 2024 1 +0.0 +0.0 +0.07 0.1% 0.01%
Danny Jansen C BOS Trade 2024 1 +0.0 +0.0 – 0.1% 0.00%
Ryan Watson P BOS Trade 2026 1 +0.0 +0.0 +0.05 0.0% 0.00%
Curtis Mead 1B/3B BOS Trade 2026 1 +0.0 +0.0 -1.28 0.0% 0.00%
Tsung-Che Cheng SS BOS Trade 2026 1 +0.0 +0.0 – 0.1% 0.01%
Kristian Campbell 2B BOS Draft 2025 – -0.1 – – – –
Danny Coulombe P BOS Free agency 2026 – -0.1 – – – –
Tommy Kahnle P BOS Free agency 2026 – -0.1 – – – –
Johan Oviedo P BOS Trade 2025 – -0.1 – +0.77 – –
Robert Stock P BOS Free agency 2025 1 -0.1 -0.1 – 0.3% 0.04%
Tyler Uberstine P BOS Draft 2026 – -0.1 – – – –
Jamie Westbrook 2B BOS Rule 5 2024 – -0.1 – – – –
Isaiah Campbell P BOS Free agency 2024 – -0.4 – – – –
Bailey Horn P BOS Trade 2024 – -0.5 – +0.13 – –
Abraham Toro 2B/3B BOS Free agency 2025 – -0.6 – – – –
Andruw Monasterio 2B/3B/SS BOS Trade 2026 – -0.8 – +0.54 – –

Trade-side columns: RFA is playoff-readiness percentage points added to the future roster foundation. It grades the franchise's entire side of a trade, so the same score repeats for every player acquired in that package. PPA/CPA remain player-level arrival-year probability points.

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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