Rosternomics
Dana Brown

Dana Brown

★ active

Born 1967 · age 59

General manager for the Astros (2023–present).

Across the full 4-season sample, the measured profile stands out most for future-foundation returns (99th percentile), cheap-talent surplus (90th percentile), and avoidance of dead payroll (84th percentile). The clearest contrast is cost per win (4th percentile): the measured clubs have paid more per unit of positive WAR than most peers. Because the sample covers fewer than five seasons, those comparisons are descriptive rather than stable.

4 seasons with salary-era data across 1 stint. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

0 pennants · 3 playoff appearances · 346–301 (0.535)

Percentile Rankings

vs. execs with toyrs exp.
PoorAverageGreat
Trade Decision Quality
Roster Construction
Depth
7.5
Dead WAR
-4.7
Dead money %
26%
PoorAverageGreat
Talent Creation
Cheap-talent surplus
$45M
Drafted surplus
$8M
Traded-for surplus
$9M
Int'l surplus
$1M
Results & Efficiency
GM WAR
+0.7
TAB
-1.8
WAB
+2.7
$ / WAR
$5.2M
Net WAR/trade
+0.21

Overview

TeamRoleYear Pay
$M
Rel
Pay
Surp
$M
Surp
WAR
Dead
%
Cheap
$M
Draft
$M
Trd
$M
Int'l
$M
$ /
WAR
WAR Depth Dead
WAR
HG Trade Net/
Trd
FA R5 RFA PPA CPA WAB TAB W-L% POPenWS
Astros GM 2023 90–72 $194 127 -25 -6.3 32% +79 +30 +11 +20 $4.2M 42.6 9.0 -3.9 +1.9 +0.8 +0.13 +1.8 +0.0 +0.05 6.83 0.60 +5.1 +5.5 0.556 ✓
Astros GM 2024 88–73 $252 156 -84 -20.1 25% +48 +4 +7 -4 $5.4M 40.3 9.0 -6.0 +0.5 +1.8 +0.29 -7.7 +0.0 +1.46 6.54 0.44 +1.0 +1.0 0.547 ✓
Astros GM 2025 87–75 $191 122 -36 -9.0 20% +36 +3 -4 -5 $4.5M 38.7 8.0 -3.7 +0.8 +1.5 +0.25 -0.6 +0.0 +1.36 3.45 0.24 +2.5 +2.1 0.537
Astros GM 2026 81–81 $238 147 -118 -28.2 28% +15 -4 +20 -7 $7.0M 28.6 4.0 -5.3 -0.1 +0.2 +0.10 -0.2 +0.0 +1.07 0.59 0.10 -5.8 -10.3 0.500 ✓
Career total (1985+ data) $875 138 -263 -63.6 26% +45 +8 +9 +1 $5.2M 150.2 7.5 -4.7 +3.1 +4.2 +0.21 -6.6 +0.0 +1.01 3.87 0.28 +2.7 -1.8 0.535 3– –

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+3.1
Trade+4.2
Free agency-6.6
Rule 5 / minor draft+0.0
Sourcing mix: 14% draft · 71% FA · 14% trade · 0% R5

Trades

Trades made — 47 deals credited to Dana Brown, best expected value first; surplus is realized value in $M

2025 · MIN / HOU Jul 31, 2025
MIN · Derek Falvey +$16.8M
Matt Mikulski
HOU · Dana Brown −$16.8M
Carlos Correa
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · PIT / HOU Dec 19, 2025
PIT · Ben Cherington +$3.2M
cash / PTBNL
HOU · Dana Brown −$3.2M
Mike Burrows
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · HOU / CHC Dec 13, 2024
HOU · Dana Brown +$18.4M
Isaac Paredes, Cam Smith, Hayden Wesneski
CHC · Jed Hoyer −$18.4M
Kyle Tucker
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · HOU / TOR Feb 13, 2026
HOU · Dana Brown +$1.6M
Joey Loperfido
TOR · Ross Atkins −$1.6M
Jesús Sánchez
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · HOU / ATL Apr 8, 2025
HOU · Dana Brown +$8.8M
cash / PTBNL
ATL · Alex Anthopoulos −$8.8M
Rafael Montero
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · HOU / ARI Jan 8, 2025
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Matthew Linskey
ARI · Mike Hazen +$0.0M
Grae Kessinger
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · BAL / HOU Jun 23, 2023
BAL · Mike Elias +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Spenser Watkins
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · HOU / CHW Jul 28, 2023
HOU · Dana Brown +$4.0M
Kendall Graveman
CHW · Kenny Williams −$4.0M
Korey Lee
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · MIL / HOU Jul 12, 2026
MIL · Matt Arnold +$0.0M
Braden Shewmake
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · MIL / HOU Jun 19, 2025
MIL · Matt Arnold +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Wes Clarke
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · HOU / CHC Jan 28, 2025
HOU · Dana Brown +$7.2M
Juan Bello
CHC · Jed Hoyer −$7.2M
Ryan Pressly
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · HOU / BAL Jul 31, 2025
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Ramón Urías
BAL · Mike Elias +$0.0M
Twine Palmer
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · ATL / HOU Apr 11, 2025
ATL · Alex Anthopoulos +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Patrick Halligan
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · SDP / HOU Feb 13, 2024
SDP · AJ Preller +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Oliver Carrillo
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · HOU / TOR May 4, 2024
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
TOR · Ross Atkins +$0.0M
Joel Kuhnel
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · HOU / SFG Jan 30, 2026
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Kai-Wei Teng
SFG · Buster Posey +$0.0M
Jancel Villarroel
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · TBR / HOU Jun 10, 2026
TBR · Erik Neander +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Raynel Delgado
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · WSN / HOU Jun 21, 2026
WSN · Paul Toboni +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Marcus Brown
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · KCR / HOU Jul 22, 2026
KCR · J.J. Picollo +$0.8M
Nate Pearson
HOU · Dana Brown −$0.8M
Max Martin
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · NYM / HOU Apr 23, 2025
NYM · David Stearns +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Rowdey Jordan
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · CHC / HOU Dec 4, 2025
CHC · Jed Hoyer +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Nico Zeglin
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · HOU / WSN Jul 3, 2026
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
WSN · Paul Toboni −$0.8M
Tom Cosgrove
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · MIL / HOU Jul 15, 2026
MIL · Matt Arnold +$0.8M
Lance McCullers, Colton Gordon
HOU · Dana Brown −$0.8M
Jadyn Fielder
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · HOU / CHW May 15, 2025
HOU · Dana Brown +$1.6M
cash / PTBNL
CHW · Chris Getz −$1.6M
Miguel Castro
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · ATL / HOU Nov 19, 2025
ATL · Alex Anthopoulos +$15.2M
Mauricio Dubón
HOU · Dana Brown −$15.2M
Nick Allen
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · HOU / OAK May 16, 2024
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
OAK · David Forst −$0.8M
Brandon Bielak
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · CIN / HOU Jun 17, 2023
CIN · Nick Krall +$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
HOU · Dana Brown −$0.8M
Joel Kuhnel
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · PHI / HOU May 5, 2023
PHI · Dave Dombrowski +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Nick Allgeyer
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · HOU / CHC Jun 20, 2026
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.8M
Cameron Sisneros
CHC · Jed Hoyer −$0.8M
Jayden Murray
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · MIA / HOU Jul 31, 2025
MIA · Peter Bendix +$7.2M
Esmil Valencia, Chase Jaworsky, Ryan Gusto
HOU · Dana Brown −$7.2M
Jesús Sánchez
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · HOU / TOR Jul 29, 2024
HOU · Dana Brown +$1.6M
Yusei Kikuchi
TOR · Ross Atkins −$1.6M
Will Wagner, Jake Bloss, Joey Loperfido
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · NYY / HOU Nov 4, 2024
NYY · Brian Cashman +$2.4M
cash / PTBNL
HOU · Dana Brown −$2.4M
Taylor Trammell
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · HOU / NYY Jul 30, 2024
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Caleb Ferguson
NYY · Brian Cashman +$0.0M
Kelly Austin
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · MIA / HOU Aug 3, 2025
MIA · Peter Bendix +$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
HOU · Dana Brown −$0.8M
John Rooney
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · HOU / MIA Apr 6, 2024
HOU · Dana Brown +$2.4M
Jacob Amaya
MIA · Peter Bendix −$2.4M
Valente Bellozo
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · HOU / TOR Apr 1, 2025
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Nick Robertson
TOR · Ross Atkins +$0.0M
Edinson Batista
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · ATL / HOU Aug 7, 2025
ATL · Alex Anthopoulos +$0.0M
Jesús Bastidas
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · TBR / HOU Dec 19, 2025
TBR · Erik Neander +$0.0M
Anderson Brito, Jacob Melton
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · SDP / HOU Jun 4, 2024
SDP · AJ Preller +$1.6M
cash / PTBNL
HOU · Dana Brown −$1.6M
Nick Hernandez
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · HOU / CHW May 15, 2024
HOU · Dana Brown +$3.2M
Luis Rodriguez
CHW · Chris Getz −$3.2M
Corey Julks
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · KCR / HOU Dec 6, 2023
KCR · J.J. Picollo +$0.0M
Carlos Mateo
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Dylan Coleman
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · DET / HOU Jan 3, 2023
DET · Scott Harris +$1.6M
cash / PTBNL
HOU · Dana Brown −$1.6M
Bligh Madris
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · NYY / HOU Apr 19, 2026
NYY · Brian Cashman +$0.0M
Wilmy Sanchez
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Braden Shewmake
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · ANA / HOU Jan 31, 2024
ANA · Perry Minasian +$1.6M
Carlos Espinosa
HOU · Dana Brown −$1.6M
Trey Cabbage
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · HOU / TOR Aug 3, 2026
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.8M
Daulton Varsho
TOR · Ross Atkins −$0.8M
Spencer Arrighetti
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · TBR / HOU Jun 13, 2025
TBR · Erik Neander +$0.0M
Forrest Whitley
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · NYM / HOU Aug 1, 2023
NYM · Billy Eppler +$51.2M
Ryan Clifford, Drew Gilbert
HOU · Dana Brown −$51.2M
Justin Verlander
Too soon to call unsettled

Players acquired — 65 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr RFA PPA CPA
Isaac Paredes 3B HOU Trade 2025 2 +6.9 +3.4 +7.65 8.4% 0.58%
Josh Hader P HOU Free agency 2024 3 +3.9 +1.3 – 6.2% 0.42%
Víctor Caratini C HOU Free agency 2023 2 +2.8 +1.4 – 12.5% 0.82%
Steven Okert P HOU Free agency 2024 2 +2.8 +1.4 – 5.4% 0.38%
Christian Walker 1B HOU Free agency 2024 2 +2.8 +1.4 – 4.1% 0.28%
Cam Smith OF HOU Trade 2024 2 +2.5 +1.2 +7.65 – –
Peter Lambert P HOU Free agency 2025 1 +2.4 +2.4 – 1.4% 0.23%
Spencer Arrighetti P HOU Draft 2024 2 +1.6 +0.8 – – –
Yusei Kikuchi P HOU Trade 2024 1 +1.4 +1.4 – 9.3% 0.62%
Hayden Wesneski P HOU Trade 2025 2 +1.4 +0.7 +7.65 0.6% 0.04%
J. P. France P HOU Draft 2023 2 +1.2 +0.6 – – –
Carlos Correa SS HOU Trade 2025 9 +1.1 +0.1 +21.52 – –
Bennett Sousa P HOU Trade 2023 2 +1.1 +0.5 – 1.3% 0.11%
Ryan Gusto P HOU Trade 2025 1 +1.1 +1.1 – 3.7% 0.25%
Brandon Walter P HOU Free agency 2024 1 +0.8 +0.8 – 2.8% 0.19%
Bryan King P HOU Draft 2024 2 +0.7 +0.3 – – –
Nick Allen SS HOU Trade 2026 1 +0.7 +0.7 +0.00 0.4% 0.06%
Tatsuya Imai P HOU Draft 2026 1 +0.5 +0.5 – – –
Shawn Dubin P HOU Draft 2023 2 +0.4 +0.2 – – –
Corey Julks OF HOU Draft 2023 1 +0.4 +0.4 – – –
Brice Matthews 2B/OF HOU Draft 2025 2 +0.4 +0.2 – – –
Jason Alexander P HOU Trade 2025 1 +0.4 +0.4 – 1.6% 0.11%
AJ Blubaugh P HOU Draft 2025 2 +0.3 +0.1 – – –
Zach Cole OF HOU Draft 2025 1 +0.3 +0.3 – – –
Enyel De Los Santos P HOU Free agency 2025 1 +0.3 +0.3 – 0.2% 0.03%
Jason Heyward OF HOU Trade 2024 1 +0.3 +0.3 – 2.2% 0.15%
Caleb Ferguson P HOU Trade 2024 1 +0.3 +0.3 – 1.8% 0.12%
Joey Loperfido OF HOU Trade 2026 2 +0.2 +0.1 +2.09 2.2% 0.15%
Tayler Scott P HOU Free agency 2023 1 +0.2 +0.2 – 1.2% 0.08%
Ramón Urías 3B HOU Trade 2025 1 +0.2 +0.2 -1.41 0.8% 0.05%
Kai-Wei Teng P HOU Trade 2026 1 +0.2 +0.2 -0.05 0.1% 0.02%
César Salazar C HOU Draft 2023 2 +0.1 +0.0 – – –
Logan VanWey P HOU Draft 2025 1 +0.1 +0.1 – – –
Christian Vázquez C HOU Free agency 2026 2 +0.1 +0.0 – 0.1% 0.33%
Ben Gamel OF HOU Trade 2024 1 +0.1 +0.1 – 0.7% 0.05%
Nate Pearson P HOU Trade 2026 1 +0.1 +0.1 – 0.0% 0.01%
Cody Bolton P HOU Free agency 2025 – -0.0 – – – –
Dylan Coleman P HOU Trade 2023 1 +0.0 +0.0 -0.06 0.0% 0.00%
Luis Contreras P HOU Draft 2024 1 +0.0 +0.0 – – –
Kenedy Corona OF HOU Draft 2025 1 +0.0 +0.0 – – –
Miguel Díaz P HOU Free agency 2024 1 +0.0 +0.0 – 0.0% 0.00%
Colton Gordon P HOU Draft 2025 1 +0.0 +0.0 – – –
Luis Guillorme 2B/3B HOU Free agency 2025 – -0.0 – – – –
Zack Short SS HOU Free agency 2025 1 +0.0 +0.0 – 0.2% 0.01%
Wander Suero P HOU Free agency 2023 – +0.0 – – – –
Jordan Weems P HOU Free agency 2025 – -0.0 – – – –
Forrest Whitley P HOU Draft 2024 1 +0.0 +0.0 – – –
Matt Gage P HOU Trade 2023 1 +0.0 +0.0 – 0.2% 0.01%
Blair Henley P HOU Draft 2024 – -0.1 – – – –
Cooper Hummel DH/OF HOU Free agency 2025 – -0.1 – – – –
Daniel Johnson OF HOU Free agency 2026 – -0.1 – – – –
John Rooney P HOU Trade 2025 – -0.1 – – – –
LaMonte Wade 1B/OF HOU Free agency 2026 – -0.1 – – – –
Joel Kuhnel P HOU Trade 2024 1 -0.1 -0.1 +0.04 0.0% 0.00%
Grae Kessinger 2B/3B HOU Draft 2023 1 -0.2 -0.2 – – –
Christian Roa P HOU Free agency 2025 – -0.2 – – – –
Jake Bloss P HOU Draft 2024 – -0.3 – – – –
Zach Dezenzo OF HOU Draft 2024 1 -0.3 -0.3 – – –
Nick Hernandez P HOU Trade 2024 – -0.3 – – – –
Bligh Madris 1B/OF HOU Trade 2023 – -0.3 – – – –
Jacob Melton OF HOU Draft 2025 – -0.3 – – – –
Brendan Rodgers 2B HOU Free agency 2025 – -0.3 – – – –
Pedro León OF HOU Draft 2024 – -0.5 – – – –
Ryan Weiss P HOU Draft 2026 – -0.6 – – – –
Shay Whitcomb 3B HOU Draft 2024 – -0.7 – – – –

Trade-side columns: RFA is playoff-readiness percentage points added to the future roster foundation. It grades the franchise's entire side of a trade, so the same score repeats for every player acquired in that package. PPA/CPA remain player-level arrival-year probability points.

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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