Rosternomics
Dana Brown

Dana Brown

★ active

Born 1967 · age 59

General manager for the Astros (2023–present).

Across the full 4-season sample, the measured profile stands out most for future-foundation returns (99th percentile), cheap-talent surplus (88th percentile), and roster depth (81st percentile). The clearest contrast is cost per win (5th percentile): the measured clubs have paid more per unit of positive WAR than most peers. Because the sample covers fewer than five seasons, those comparisons are descriptive rather than stable.

4 seasons with salary-era data across 1 stint. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

0 pennants · 2 playoff appearances · 335–288 (0.538)

Percentile Rankings

vs. execs with toyrs exp.
PoorAverageGreat
Trade Decision Quality
Roster Construction
Depth
7.5
Dead WAR
-4.8
Dead money %
28%
PoorAverageGreat
Talent Creation
Cheap-talent surplus
$42M
Drafted surplus
$8M
Traded-for surplus
$7M
Int'l surplus
$1M
Results & Efficiency
GM WAR
+0.7
TAB
-3.8
WAB
+4.4
$ / WAR
$5.4M
Net WAR/trade
+0.20

Overview

TeamRoleYear Pay
$M
Rel
Pay
Surp
$M
Surp
WAR
Dead
%
Cheap
$M
Draft
$M
Trd
$M
Int'l
$M
$ /
WAR
WAR Depth Dead
WAR
HG Trade Net/
Trd
FA R5 RFA PPA CPA WAB TAB W-L% POPenWS
Astros GM 2023 90–72 $194 127 -25 -6.3 32% +79 +30 +11 +20 $4.2M 42.6 9.0 -3.9 +1.9 +0.8 +0.13 +2.0 +0.0 +0.05 6.97 0.61 +5.1 +5.5 0.556
Astros GM 2024 88–73 $252 156 -84 -20.1 25% +48 +4 +7 -4 $5.4M 40.3 9.0 -6.0 +0.5 +1.5 +0.25 -5.6 +0.0 +1.46 6.64 0.45 +1.0 +1.0 0.547
Astros GM 2025 87–75 $191 123 -37 -9.4 20% +35 +3 -4 -5 $4.5M 38.5 8.0 -3.7 +0.6 +1.5 +0.25 -0.2 +0.0 +1.36 3.52 0.25 +2.5 +1.8 0.537
Astros GM 2026 70–68 $238 148 -121 -25.1 34% +5 -4 +16 -7 $8.4M 22.9 4.0 -5.5 -0.2 +0.2 +0.10 +0.3 +0.0 +1.04 0.51 0.10 -4.1 -12.1 0.507
Career total (1985+ data) $875 138 -268 -60.9 28% +42 +8 +7 +1 $5.4M 144.3 7.5 -4.8 +2.8 +4.0 +0.20 -3.4 +0.0 +1.00 3.79 0.28 +4.4 -3.8 0.538 2

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+2.8
Trade+4.0
Free agency-3.4
Rule 5 / minor draft+0.0
Sourcing mix: 13% draft · 73% FA · 13% trade · 0% R5

Trades

Trades made — 47 deals credited to Dana Brown, best expected value first; surplus is realized value in $M

2025 · MIN / HOU Jul 31, 2025
MIN · Derek Falvey +$16.8M
Matt Mikulski
HOU · Dana Brown −$16.8M
Carlos Correa
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · PIT / HOU Dec 19, 2025
PIT · Ben Cherington +$3.2M
cash / PTBNL
HOU · Dana Brown −$3.2M
Mike Burrows
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · HOU / CHC Dec 13, 2024
HOU · Dana Brown +$4.0M
Isaac Paredes, Cam Smith, Hayden Wesneski
CHC · Jed Hoyer −$4.0M
Kyle Tucker
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · HOU / TOR Feb 13, 2026
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Joey Loperfido
TOR · Ross Atkins +$0.0M
Jesús Sánchez
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · HOU / ATL Apr 8, 2025
HOU · Dana Brown +$8.8M
cash / PTBNL
ATL · Alex Anthopoulos −$8.8M
Rafael Montero
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · ARI / HOU Jan 8, 2025
ARI · Mike Hazen +$0.0M
Grae Kessinger
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Matthew Linskey
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · HOU / BAL Jun 23, 2023
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Spenser Watkins
BAL · Mike Elias +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · HOU / CHW Jul 28, 2023
HOU · Dana Brown +$4.0M
Kendall Graveman
CHW · Kenny Williams −$4.0M
Korey Lee
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · HOU / MIL Jul 12, 2026
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
MIL · Matt Arnold +$0.0M
Braden Shewmake
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · HOU / SFG Jan 30, 2026
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Kai-Wei Teng
SFG · Buster Posey +$0.0M
Jancel Villarroel
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · HOU / MIL Jun 19, 2025
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Wes Clarke
MIL · Matt Arnold +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · HOU / CHC Jan 28, 2025
HOU · Dana Brown +$7.2M
Juan Bello
CHC · Jed Hoyer −$7.2M
Ryan Pressly
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · HOU / BAL Jul 31, 2025
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Ramón Urías
BAL · Mike Elias +$0.0M
Twine Palmer
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · HOU / ATL Apr 11, 2025
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Patrick Halligan
ATL · Alex Anthopoulos +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · SDP / HOU Feb 13, 2024
SDP · AJ Preller +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Oliver Carrillo
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · TOR / HOU May 4, 2024
TOR · Ross Atkins +$0.0M
Joel Kuhnel
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · HOU / TBR Jun 10, 2026
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Raynel Delgado
TBR · Erik Neander +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · WSN / HOU Jun 21, 2026
WSN · Paul Toboni +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Marcus Brown
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · KCR / HOU Jul 22, 2026
KCR · J.J. Picollo +$1.6M
Nate Pearson
HOU · Dana Brown −$1.6M
Max Martin
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · NYM / HOU Apr 23, 2025
NYM · David Stearns +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Rowdey Jordan
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · CHC / HOU Dec 4, 2025
CHC · Jed Hoyer +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Nico Zeglin
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · HOU / WSN Jul 3, 2026
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
WSN · Paul Toboni −$0.8M
Tom Cosgrove
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · HOU / MIL Jul 15, 2026
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Jadyn Fielder
MIL · Matt Arnold +$0.0M
Lance McCullers, Colton Gordon
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · HOU / CHW May 15, 2025
HOU · Dana Brown +$1.6M
cash / PTBNL
CHW · Chris Getz −$1.6M
Miguel Castro
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · ATL / HOU Nov 19, 2025
ATL · Alex Anthopoulos +$9.6M
Mauricio Dubón
HOU · Dana Brown −$9.6M
Nick Allen
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · HOU / OAK May 16, 2024
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
OAK · David Forst −$0.8M
Brandon Bielak
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · CIN / HOU Jun 17, 2023
CIN · Nick Krall +$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
HOU · Dana Brown −$0.8M
Joel Kuhnel
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · PHI / HOU May 5, 2023
PHI · Dave Dombrowski +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Nick Allgeyer
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · HOU / CHC Jun 20, 2026
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.8M
Cameron Sisneros
CHC · Jed Hoyer −$0.8M
Jayden Murray
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · MIA / HOU Jul 31, 2025
MIA · Peter Bendix +$5.6M
Esmil Valencia, Chase Jaworsky, Ryan Gusto
HOU · Dana Brown −$5.6M
Jesús Sánchez
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · HOU / TOR Jul 29, 2024
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.8M
Yusei Kikuchi
TOR · Ross Atkins −$0.8M
Will Wagner, Jake Bloss, Joey Loperfido
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · NYY / HOU Nov 4, 2024
NYY · Brian Cashman +$2.4M
cash / PTBNL
HOU · Dana Brown −$2.4M
Taylor Trammell
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · HOU / NYY Jul 30, 2024
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Caleb Ferguson
NYY · Brian Cashman +$0.0M
Kelly Austin
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · MIA / HOU Aug 3, 2025
MIA · Peter Bendix +$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
HOU · Dana Brown −$0.8M
John Rooney
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · TBR / HOU Dec 19, 2025
TBR · Erik Neander +$0.0M
Anderson Brito, Jacob Melton
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · HOU / MIA Apr 6, 2024
HOU · Dana Brown +$2.4M
Jacob Amaya
MIA · Peter Bendix −$2.4M
Valente Bellozo
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · TOR / HOU Apr 1, 2025
TOR · Ross Atkins +$0.0M
Edinson Batista
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Nick Robertson
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · HOU / ATL Aug 7, 2025
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
ATL · Alex Anthopoulos +$0.0M
Jesús Bastidas
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · SDP / HOU Jun 4, 2024
SDP · AJ Preller +$1.6M
cash / PTBNL
HOU · Dana Brown −$1.6M
Nick Hernandez
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · HOU / CHW May 15, 2024
HOU · Dana Brown +$3.2M
Luis Rodriguez
CHW · Chris Getz −$3.2M
Corey Julks
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · HOU / KCR Dec 6, 2023
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Dylan Coleman
KCR · J.J. Picollo +$0.0M
Carlos Mateo
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · DET / HOU Jan 3, 2023
DET · Scott Harris +$1.6M
cash / PTBNL
HOU · Dana Brown −$1.6M
Bligh Madris
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · HOU / NYY Apr 19, 2026
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Braden Shewmake
NYY · Brian Cashman +$0.0M
Wilmy Sanchez
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · TOR / HOU Aug 3, 2026
TOR · Ross Atkins +$1.6M
Spencer Arrighetti
HOU · Dana Brown −$1.6M
Daulton Varsho
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · ANA / HOU Jan 31, 2024
ANA · Perry Minasian +$1.6M
Carlos Espinosa
HOU · Dana Brown −$1.6M
Trey Cabbage
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · TBR / HOU Jun 13, 2025
TBR · Erik Neander +$0.0M
Forrest Whitley
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · NYM / HOU Aug 1, 2023
NYM · Billy Eppler +$51.2M
Ryan Clifford, Drew Gilbert
HOU · Dana Brown −$51.2M
Justin Verlander
Too soon to call unsettled

Players acquired — 64 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr RFA PPA CPA
Isaac Paredes 3B HOU Trade 2025 2 +5.7 +2.9 +7.65 8.6% 0.61%
Josh Hader P HOU Free agency 2024 3 +3.7 +1.2 6.3% 0.43%
Steven Okert P HOU Free agency 2024 2 +2.8 +1.4 5.6% 0.40%
Víctor Caratini C HOU Free agency 2023 2 +2.7 +1.4 12.7% 0.85%
Christian Walker 1B HOU Free agency 2024 2 +2.7 +1.3 3.9% 0.28%
Cam Smith OF HOU Trade 2024 2 +2.3 +1.1 +7.65
Peter Lambert P HOU Free agency 2025 1 +2.1 +2.1 1.2% 0.24%
Spencer Arrighetti P HOU Draft 2024 2 +1.6 +0.8
Yusei Kikuchi P HOU Trade 2024 1 +1.4 +1.4 9.4% 0.64%
J. P. France P HOU Draft 2023 2 +1.2 +0.6
Bennett Sousa P HOU Trade 2023 2 +1.2 +0.6 1.3% 0.11%
Carlos Correa SS HOU Trade 2025 9 +1.1 +0.1 +21.52
Hayden Wesneski P HOU Trade 2025 2 +0.9 +0.4 +7.65 0.6% 0.04%
Brandon Walter P HOU Free agency 2024 1 +0.8 +0.8 2.9% 0.20%
Bryan King P HOU Draft 2024 2 +0.7 +0.4
AJ Blubaugh P HOU Draft 2025 2 +0.6 +0.3
Enyel De Los Santos P HOU Free agency 2025 1 +0.6 +0.6 0.4% 0.07%
Shawn Dubin P HOU Draft 2023 2 +0.4 +0.2
Tatsuya Imai P HOU Draft 2026 1 +0.4 +0.4
Corey Julks OF HOU Draft 2023 1 +0.4 +0.4
Nick Allen SS HOU Trade 2026 1 +0.4 +0.4 +0.00 0.3% 0.05%
Jason Alexander P HOU Trade 2025 1 +0.4 +0.4 1.6% 0.12%
Zach Cole OF HOU Draft 2025 1 +0.3 +0.3
Christian Vázquez C HOU Free agency 2026 2 +0.3 +0.2 0.1% 0.33%
Jason Heyward OF HOU Trade 2024 1 +0.3 +0.3 2.2% 0.16%
Caleb Ferguson P HOU Trade 2024 1 +0.3 +0.3 1.8% 0.13%
Joey Loperfido OF HOU Trade 2026 2 +0.2 +0.1 +2.19
Brice Matthews 2B/OF HOU Draft 2025 2 +0.2 +0.1
Tayler Scott P HOU Free agency 2023 1 +0.2 +0.2 1.2% 0.09%
Ramón Urías 3B HOU Trade 2025 1 +0.2 +0.2 -1.41 0.8% 0.05%
Kai-Wei Teng P HOU Trade 2026 1 +0.2 +0.2 +0.19 0.1% 0.03%
César Salazar C HOU Draft 2023 2 +0.1 +0.0
Logan VanWey P HOU Draft 2025 1 +0.1 +0.1
LaMonte Wade 1B/OF HOU Free agency 2026 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.1% 0.01%
Ben Gamel OF HOU Trade 2024 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.7% 0.05%
Nate Pearson P HOU Trade 2026 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0% 0.01%
Cody Bolton P HOU Free agency 2025 -0.0
Dylan Coleman P HOU Trade 2023 1 +0.0 +0.0 -0.06 0.0% 0.00%
Luis Contreras P HOU Draft 2024 1 +0.0 +0.0
Kenedy Corona OF HOU Draft 2025 1 +0.0 +0.0
Miguel Díaz P HOU Free agency 2024 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0% 0.00%
Luis Guillorme 2B/3B HOU Free agency 2025 -0.0
Zack Short SS HOU Free agency 2025 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.2% 0.01%
Wander Suero P HOU Free agency 2023 +0.0
Jordan Weems P HOU Free agency 2025 -0.0
Forrest Whitley P HOU Draft 2024 1 +0.0 +0.0
Matt Gage P HOU Trade 2023 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.2% 0.01%
Blair Henley P HOU Draft 2024 -0.1
Cooper Hummel DH/OF HOU Free agency 2025 -0.1
Daniel Johnson OF HOU Free agency 2026 -0.1
John Rooney P HOU Trade 2025 -0.1
Joel Kuhnel P HOU Trade 2024 1 -0.1 -0.1 +0.04 0.0% 0.00%
Grae Kessinger 2B/3B HOU Draft 2023 1 -0.2 -0.2
Christian Roa P HOU Free agency 2025 -0.2
Jake Bloss P HOU Draft 2024 -0.3
Zach Dezenzo OF HOU Draft 2024 1 -0.3 -0.3
Nick Hernandez P HOU Trade 2024 -0.3
Bligh Madris 1B/OF HOU Trade 2023 -0.3
Jacob Melton OF HOU Draft 2025 -0.3
Brendan Rodgers 2B HOU Free agency 2025 -0.3
Colton Gordon P HOU Draft 2025 1 -0.4 -0.4
Pedro León OF HOU Draft 2024 -0.5
Ryan Weiss P HOU Draft 2026 -0.6
Shay Whitcomb 3B HOU Draft 2024 -0.7

Trade-side columns: RFA is playoff-readiness percentage points added to the future roster foundation. It grades the franchise's entire side of a trade, so the same score repeats for every player acquired in that package. PPA/CPA remain player-level arrival-year probability points.

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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