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Astros HOUGM: Dana Brown · partial season
Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2026, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).
Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.
| Player | fWAR |
|---|---|
| Peter Lambert | 2.1 |
| Tatsuya Imai | 0.4 |
| Nick Allen | 0.4 |
| Christian Vázquez | 0.3 |
| Kai-Wei Teng | 0.2 |
| Joey Loperfido | 0.2 |
| Player | 2025 fWAR |
|---|---|
| Framber Valdez | 4.0 |
| Mauricio Dubón | 2.2 |
| Ryan Gusto | 1.1 |
| Victor Caratini | 0.9 |
| Ramón Urías | 0.2 |
| Luis Garcia | 0.1 |
WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Astros. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2026; everyone else is shown as a 2026 season snapshot.
| Player | Period | fWAR | Tier Market $M | Paid $M | Surplus $M | $ / WAR | Tier | Contract |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez | 2023–2026 | +16.9 | +201.4 | 61.3 | +140.1 | $3.6M | 1.49× | Arb extension · 2023–2028 · $19.2M AAV |
| Jeremy Peña | 2026 | +3.7 | +39.1 | 9.5 | +29.6 | $2.6M | 1.32× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $9.5M AAV |
| Isaac Paredes | 2026 | +3.8 | +38.1 | 9.3 | +28.7 | $2.5M | 1.25× | Arbitration · 2026–2027 · $9.3M AAV |
| Peter Lambert | 2026 | +2.4 | +29.0 | 1.3 | +27.7 | $0.5M | 1.49× | Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.5M AAV |
| Cam Smith | 2026 | +1.4 | +9.4 | 0.8 | +8.6 | $0.6M | 0.83× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 2026 | +0.7 | +7.9 | 1.6 | +6.3 | $2.2M | 1.34× | – |
| Hayden Wesneski | 2026 | +0.8 | +6.8 | 1.0 | +5.9 | $1.2M | 1.02× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.0M AAV |
| Steven Okert | 2026 | +1.5 | +7.8 | 2.3 | +5.5 | $1.6M | 0.67× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $2.3M AAV |
| Hunter Brown | 2026 | +1.1 | +8.7 | 5.7 | +3.0 | $5.3M | 1.02× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $5.7M AAV |
| AJ Blubaugh | 2026 | +0.6 | +3.2 | 0.8 | +2.4 | $1.3M | 0.67× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Spencer Arrighetti↔ | 2026 | +0.4 | +2.9 | 0.6 | +2.2 | $1.8M | 1.02× | – |
| Logan VanWey | 2026 | +0.2 | +1.1 | 0.0 | +1.1 | $0.1M | 0.67× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Joey Loperfido | 2026 | +0.2 | +1.6 | 0.8 | +0.8 | $3.2M | 0.83× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Nick Allen | 2026 | +0.5 | +2.1 | 1.4 | +0.7 | $2.9M | 0.56× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.4M AAV |
| Kai-Wei Teng | 2026 | +0.3 | +1.4 | 0.8 | +0.6 | $3.1M | 0.67× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Christian Vázquez | 2026 | +0.4 | +1.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | $2.7M | 0.52× | Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.0M AAV |
| LaMonte Wade Jr. | 2026 | +0.1 | +1.0 | 0.5 | +0.5 | $3.6M | 0.83× | – |
| Brice Matthews | 2026 | +0.2 | +1.0 | 0.8 | +0.3 | $5.0M | 0.83× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Dustin Harris↔ | 2026 | -0.0 | -0.1 | 0.0 | -0.1 | – | 0.83× | – |
| Jayden Murray↔ | 2026 | -0.0 | -0.1 | 0.1 | -0.2 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Cody Bolton | 2026 | -0.0 | -0.1 | 0.2 | -0.3 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Nate Pearson↔ | 2026 | +0.1 | +0.4 | 0.7 | -0.3 | $10.6M | 0.67× | Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.4M AAV |
| Braden Shewmake↔ | 2026 | -0.0 | -0.1 | 0.6 | -0.6 | – | 0.61× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Shay Whitcomb↔ | 2026 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 0.1 | -0.6 | – | 0.56× | – |
| J.P. France | 2026 | -0.1 | -0.6 | 0.0 | -0.7 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Daniel Johnson | 2026 | -0.1 | -0.8 | 0.1 | -0.9 | – | 0.83× | – |
| Christian Roa | 2026 | -0.2 | -1.0 | 0.1 | -1.1 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Zach Cole | 2026 | -0.2 | -1.2 | 0.1 | -1.3 | – | 0.83× | – |
| Bennett Sousa | 2026 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 0.9 | -1.4 | – | 0.67× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.9M AAV |
| Taylor Trammell | 2026 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 0.9 | -1.4 | – | 0.83× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.9M AAV |
| Yainer Diaz | 2026 | +0.8 | +3.1 | 4.5 | -1.4 | $6.0M | 0.52× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $4.5M AAV |
| Zach Dezenzo | 2026 | -0.1 | -0.8 | 0.6 | -1.4 | – | 0.83× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Jason Alexander | 2026 | -0.1 | -0.9 | 0.6 | -1.5 | – | 1.02× | – |
| César Salazar | 2026 | -0.2 | -1.0 | 0.6 | -1.6 | – | 0.52× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Roddery Muñoz | 2026 | -0.4 | -1.9 | 0.1 | -2.0 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Nelson Velázquez↔ | 2026 | -0.4 | -2.6 | 0.1 | -2.7 | – | 0.83× | – |
| Colton Gordon | 2026 | -0.5 | -2.9 | 0.1 | -3.0 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Daulton Varsho↔ | 2026 | -0.2 | -1.5 | 2.2 | -3.7 | – | 0.83× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $10.8M AAV |
| Jake Meyers | 2026 | -0.0 | -0.2 | 3.5 | -3.8 | – | 0.83× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $3.5M AAV |
| Ronel Blanco | 2026 | -0.5 | -3.9 | 0.8 | -4.7 | – | 1.02× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Bryan King | 2026 | -0.5 | -4.9 | 0.8 | -5.7 | – | 1.34× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Ryan Weiss | 2026 | -0.7 | -3.9 | 2.1 | -6.0 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Bryan Abreu | 2026 | -0.3 | -3.3 | 5.8 | -9.2 | – | 1.34× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $5.8M AAV |
| Carlos Correa | 2025–2026 | +2.9 | +14.0 | 24.5 | -10.4 | $8.5M | 0.61× | Free Agent · 2023–2032 · $33.3M AAV |
| Tatsuya Imai | 2026 | +0.5 | +4.1 | 16.7 | -12.6 | $33.4M | 1.02× | Free agent · 2026–2028 · $18.0M AAV |
| Josh Hader | 2024–2026 | +4.0 | +43.1 | 57.1 | -14.0 | $14.2M | 1.34× | Free Agent · 2024–2028 · $19.0M AAV |
| Cristian Javier | 2023–2026 | +3.2 | +25.9 | 42.6 | -16.7 | $13.4M | 1.02× | Arb extension · 2023–2027 · $12.8M AAV |
| Christian Walker | 2025–2026 | +2.9 | +13.0 | 40.0 | -27.0 | $13.7M | 0.56× | Free Agent · 2025–2027 · $20.0M AAV |
| Lance McCullers Jr.↔ | 2022–2026 | +0.7 | +5.8 | 47.8 | -42.0 | $67.3M | 1.02× | Extension · 2022–2026 · $17.0M AAV |
| Jose Altuve | 2025–2026 | +3.4 | +22.4 | 66.0 | -43.6 | $19.3M | 0.82× | Extension · 2025–2029 · $25.0M AAV |
| Mike Burrows | 2026 | -0.4 | -3.5 | – | – | – | 1.02× | – |
| Total | — | +48.5 | +459.0 | 419.8 | +42.6 | — | ||
Every graded 2026 deal involving the Astros — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 11 total.
HOU · Dana Brown
+$0.0M
TOR · Ross Atkins
+$0.0M
MIL · Matt Arnold
+$0.0M
HOU · Dana Brown
+$0.0M
HOU · Dana Brown
+$0.0M
SFG · Buster Posey
+$0.0M
TBR · Erik Neander
+$0.0M
HOU · Dana Brown
+$0.0M
WSN · Paul Toboni
+$0.0M
HOU · Dana Brown
+$0.0M
KCR · J.J. Picollo
+$1.6M
HOU · Dana Brown
−$1.6M
HOU · Dana Brown
+$0.8M
WSN · Paul Toboni
−$0.8M
MIL · Matt Arnold
+$0.0M
HOU · Dana Brown
+$0.0M
HOU · Dana Brown
+$0.8M
CHC · Jed Hoyer
−$0.8M
NYY · Brian Cashman
+$0.0M
HOU · Dana Brown
+$0.0M
TOR · Ross Atkins
+$1.6M
HOU · Dana Brown
−$1.6M
What the front office was committed to as of 2026, 2026–2032. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2026; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.
| 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tax threshold | $244M | $247M | $250M | $253M | $256M | $259M | $262M |
| Guaranteed contracts | $156M | $135M | $102M | $50M | $20M | $15M | |
| Proj. arbitration | $41M | $9M | |||||
| Proj. pre-arbitration | $15M | $3M | |||||
| Player benefits | $18M | $18M | $18M | $18M | $18M | $18M | |
| Total CBT payroll | $229M | $165M | $120M | $68M | $38M | $33M | |
| Tax space | +$15M | +$82M | +$130M | +$185M | +$218M | +$226M | |
| Est. tax bill | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Luxury-tax (CBT) basis: contract AAV + ~$18M benefits/bonus-pool — distinct from the base-salary payroll above. Threshold is the CBA line. Tier-1 payor rates on the overage. Forward years show only guaranteed deals (arb/pre-arb not yet set). Figures are estimates.
| Player | Age | Svc | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Altuve | 36 | 14.072 | $33.0M | $33.0M | $13.0M | $13.0M | FREE AGENT | ||
| Yordan Alvarez | 29 | 6.113 | $26.8M | $26.8M | $26.8M | FREE AGENT | |||
| Carlos Correa | 31 | 10.119 | $21.5M | $20.5M | $20.0M | $25.0MVEST | $20.0MVEST | $15.0MVEST | $10.0MVEST |
| Cristian Javier | 29 | 6.000 | $21.4M | $21.4M | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Christian Walker | 35 | 7.124 | $20.0M | $20.0M | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Josh Hader | 32 | 8.115 | $19.0M | $19.0M | $19.0M | FREE AGENT | |||
| Tatsuya Imai | 28 | – | $16.7M | $18.7MOPT-OUT | $18.7MPLAYER | FREE AGENT | |||
| Lance McCullers Jr. | 32 | 10.140 | $14.2M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Isaac Paredes | 27 | 4.160 | $9.3M | $13.3MCLUB | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Ryan Weiss | 29 | – | $2.1M | $5.0MCLUB | |||||
| Enyel De Los Santos | 30 | 8.000 | $1.6M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Christian Vázquez | 35 | 11.031 | $1.0M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| LaMonte Wade Jr. | 32 | 7.000 | $523k | FREE AGENT |
| Player | Age | Svc | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Peña | 28 | 4.000 | $9.5M | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Bryan Abreu | 29 | 5.022 | $5.8M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Hunter Brown | 27 | 3.035 | $5.7M | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Yainer Diaz | 27 | 3.035 | $4.5M | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Jake Meyers | 30 | 4.044 | $3.5M | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Steven Okert | 34 | 5.089 | $2.3M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Daulton Varsho | 29 | 5.128 | $2.2M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Peter Lambert | 29 | 4.077 | $1.3M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Nate Pearson | 29 | 4.042 | $697k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Nelson Velázquez | 27 | 3.031 | $96k | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Player | Age | Svc | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 27 | 2.164 | $1.4M | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Hayden Wesneski | 28 | 2.170 | $975k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Bennett Sousa | 31 | 2.156 | $910k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Taylor Trammell | 28 | 2.144 | $900k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Cam Smith | 23 | 1.000 | $810k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Ronel Blanco | 32 | 2.101 | $803k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Bryan King | 29 | 1.100 | $800k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Joey Loperfido | 27 | 1.021 | $792k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| AJ Blubaugh | 25 | 0.038 | $791k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Kai-Wei Teng | 27 | 1.022 | $787k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Brice Matthews | 24 | 0.028 | $782k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Spencer Arrighetti | 26 | 2.000 | $647k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Zach Dezenzo | 26 | 1.055 | $613k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| César Salazar | 30 | 1.077 | $609k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Braden Shewmake | 28 | 0.065 | $589k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Jason Alexander | 33 | 1.134 | $563k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Cody Bolton | 28 | 0.149 | $209k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Shay Whitcomb | 27 | 0.085 | $113k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Zach Cole | 25 | – | $100k | ||||||
| Jayden Murray | 29 | 0.026 | $93k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Christian Roa | 27 | 0.065 | $84k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Roddery Muñoz | 26 | 0.123 | $63k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Daniel Johnson | 30 | 1.123 | $54k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Colton Gordon | 27 | 0.112 | $50k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Dustin Harris | 26 | 0.061 | $34k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| J.P. France | 31 | 2.043 | $25k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Logan VanWey | 27 | 0.056 | $17k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Mike Burrows | 26 | – | — |
How each 2026 acquisition stacked onto Astros's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.