RRosternomics
MH

Michael Hill

General manager for the Marlins (2008–2020).

11 seasons with salary-era data across 2 stints. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

Overview

Titles0
Pennants0
Playoffs1
Record761–916
Win %0.454
-1.0GM WAR — wins above a replacement GM (org-adjusted, shrunk; per season) ±4.6101st/195 execs
4.9Depth — 2+ WAR regulars per season (the breadth that drives TAB, not stars)148th/195 execs
-6.8Dead WAR — WAR/yr bled by sub-replacement players (closer to 0 = better)171st/195 execs
51%Dead money — payroll on <0.5-WAR players (lower = better)181st/195 execs
$27MCheap-talent surplus — $/yr of value from cost-controlled (pre-arb/arb) players above their pay; the selection engine, and the stickiest GM skill we track56th/195 execs
$16MDrafted surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own draftees (the develop-from-the-draft engine)31st/195 execs
$10MTraded-for surplus — cheap-talent surplus from cost-controlled players he acquired via trade43rd/195 execs
$1MInt'l surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own international signees76th/195 execs
-13.4TAB — talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation), tenure total127th/195 execs
-17.2WAB — realized wins (TAB + the non-repeatable luck of converting talent to wins)141st/195 execs
0.86Acquisition Leverage — playoff pts per acquired WAR, graded once in the year each deal's wins arrive (the repeatable decision skill)134th/195 execs
+19Roster surplus $M30th/195 execs

Tenure breakdown

TeamRoleYearsSzns WAB WAB/yr TAB WAR surp HG Trade FA R5 AcqLev W-L% POPenWS Surp $M
Marlins GM 2016–2020 4 -28.7 -7.17 -25.5 -12.8 +14.3 -68.0 -9.5 -1.5 0.66 0.435 1 -48
Marlins GM 2008–2013 6 +11.4 +1.91 +12.1 +30.3 +69.9 -3.7 -0.7 +4.1 0.96 0.468 +67
Career total (1985+ data) 11 -17.2 -13.4 +17.5 +84.2 -71.7 -10.2 +2.6 0.86 0.454 1 +19

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+84.2
Trade-71.7
Free agency-10.2
Rule 5 / minor draft+2.6
Sourcing mix: 55% draft · 11% FA · 33% trade · 2% R5

Roster value distribution — career average — depth vs. stars

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR, averaged across Michael Hill's seasons. Bars = his rosters; the black line = the league-average player at each slot. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge.

Players acquired — 219 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr Lev
Sandy Alcántara P MIA Trade 2018 8 +20.2 +2.5 0.0
Christian Yelich OF MIA Draft 2010 5 +17.5 +3.5
Marcell Ozuna DH/OF MIA Intl FA 2008 5 +15.6 +3.1
José Fernández P MIA Draft 2011 4 +15.5 +3.9
J. T. Realmuto C MIA Draft 2010 4 +11.5 +2.9
Pablo López P MIA Trade 2017 5 +8.9 +1.8
Jon Berti 3B MIA Free agency 2018 5 +6.8 +1.4 0.0
Jazz Chisholm 2B/OF MIA Trade 2019 4 +6.1 +1.5
Henderson Álvarez P MIA Trade 2012 3 +5.7 +1.9 0.2
Trevor Rogers P MIA Draft 2017 5 +5.6 +1.1
Derek Dietrich 2B/OF MIA Trade 2012 6 +5.3 +0.9
Starlin Castro 2B/SS MIA Trade 2017 2 +5.3 +2.6 0.1
Braxton Garrett P MIA Draft 2016 4 +5.3 +1.3
Nathan Eovaldi P MIA Trade 2012 3 +4.8 +1.6 0.1
Omar Infante 2B MIA Trade 2011 2 +4.3 +2.1 0.8
Emilio Bonifácio 2B/OF MIA Trade 2008 3 +4.1 +1.4 2.4
Justin Bour 1B MIA Rule 5 2013 5 +4.1 +0.8
AJ Ramos P MIA Draft 2009 5 +4.1 +0.8
Jesús Sánchez OF MIA Trade 2019 5 +4.1 +0.8
Garrett Cooper 1B/DH MIA Trade 2017 6 +3.9 +0.6 0.0
Justin Ruggiano OF MIA Trade 2012 2 +3.9 +2.0 0.4
José Reyes SS MIA Free agency 2011 1 +3.8 +3.8 0.6
Tom Koehler P MIA Draft 2008 4 +3.6 +0.9
Javier Vázquez P MIA Free agency 2010 1 +3.5 +3.5 1.1
Starling Marte OF MIA Trade 2020 2 +3.5 +1.8 0.2
Jorge Cantú 1B/3B MIA Trade 2008 2 +3.3 +1.7 5.8
Cameron Maybin OF MIA Trade 2008 4 +2.9 +0.7 2.3
Nick Fortes C MIA Draft 2018 5 +2.6 +0.5
Mike Dunn P MIA Trade 2012 5 +2.6 +0.5 0.0
Adam Conley P MIA Draft 2011 3 +2.5 +0.8
Caleb Smith P MIA Trade 2017 2 +2.5 +1.3 0.0
Adeiny Hechavarría SS MIA Trade 2012 4 +2.4 +0.6 0.7
Dan Straily P MIA Trade 2017 2 +2.2 +1.1 1.5
José Ureña P MIA Intl FA 2008 4 +2.0 +0.5
Casey McGehee 3B MIA Free agency 2013 1 +1.9 +1.9 2.9
Carter Capps P MIA Trade 2013 2 +1.7 +0.8 0.5
Ronny Paulino C MIA Trade 2009 2 +1.6 +0.8 1.8
Andrew Miller P MIA Trade 2008 2 +1.6 +0.8 3.6
Kiko Calero P MIA Free agency 2009 1 +1.5 +1.5 1.9
Donovan Solano 2B MIA Trade 2012 3 +1.5 +0.5
Richard Bleier P MIA Trade 2020 3 +1.5 +0.5 0.1
Mark Hendrickson P MIA Free agency 2008 1 +1.4 +1.4 3.1
Ryan Webb P MIA Trade 2010 3 +1.4 +0.5 0.1
Wei-Yin Chen P MIA Free agency 2016 3 +1.4 +0.5 1.2
Ed Lucas 3B MIA Trade 2013 2 +1.3 +0.7
Clay Hensley P MIA Free agency 2009 1 +1.2 +1.2 2.8
Mike Cameron OF MIA Trade 2011 1 +1.2 +1.2 0.4
Trevor Richards P MIA Draft 2018 2 +1.1 +0.6
Sixto Sánchez P MIA Trade 2019 2 +1.1 +0.5
Mark Buehrle P MIA Free agency 2011 1 +1.0 +1.0 0.2
Nick Wittgren P MIA Draft 2012 3 +1.0 +0.3
Edinson Vólquez P MIA Free agency 2016 1 +1.0 +1.0 0.9
Jeff Mathis C MIA Trade 2013 3 +1.0 +0.3 0.0
Jesús Aguilar 1B MIA Trade 2020 2 +1.0 +0.5 0.1
Joe Nelson P MIA Trade 2008 1 +0.9 +0.9 2.1
Jorge Alfaro C MIA Trade 2019 2 +0.9 +0.5 0.0
Donnie Murphy 2B/3B/SS MIA Free agency 2009 2 +0.8 +0.4 1.7
Juan Carlos Oviedo P MIA Trade 2008 2 +0.8 +0.4 2.9
Kevin Slowey P MIA Free agency 2013 2 +0.8 +0.4 0.1
Odrisamer Despaigne P MIA Trade 2017 2 +0.8 +0.4 0.5
JT Riddle SS MIA Draft 2013 2 +0.7 +0.4
Carlos Zambrano P MIA Trade 2012 1 +0.7 +0.7 0.1
Neil Walker 2B MIA Free agency 2019 1 +0.7 +0.7 0.0
Wade LeBlanc P MIA Trade 2011 2 +0.6 +0.3 0.1
Yimi García P MIA Free agency 2019 2 +0.6 +0.3 0.3
Arthur Rhodes P MIA Trade 2008 1 +0.6 +0.6 1.4
Nick Johnson 1B MIA Trade 2009 1 +0.6 +0.6 0.7
Edward Mujica P MIA Trade 2011 1 +0.6 +0.6 0.3
Ichiro Suzuki OF MIA Trade 2016 1 +0.6 +0.6 5.5
Brendan Donnelly P MIA Free agency 2009 1 +0.5 +0.5 0.7
Ross Gload 1B MIA Trade 2009 1 +0.5 +0.5
Dan Jennings P MIA Draft 2008 2 +0.5 +0.2
Plácido Polanco 2B/3B MIA Free agency 2012 1 +0.5 +0.5 0.0
Chad Qualls P MIA Free agency 2013 1 +0.5 +0.5 0.0
Drew Steckenrider P MIA Draft 2012 2 +0.5 +0.3
Brad Ziegler P MIA Free agency 2016 1 +0.5 +0.5 0.4
Sergio Romo P MIA Trade 2019 1 +0.5 +0.5 0.0
Heath Bell P MIA Free agency 2011 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.1
John Buck C MIA Free agency 2010 2 +0.4 +0.2 0.1
Austin Kearns OF MIA Free agency 2012 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.1
Doug Waechter P MIA Trade 2008 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.9
Garrett Jones 1B/OF MIA Free agency 2013 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.5
Francisco Cervelli C MIA Free agency 2020 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.2
Bryan Holaday C MIA Free agency 2017 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.0
Zach Pop P MIA Trade 2020 2 +0.3 +0.1
Jordan Yamamoto P MIA Trade 2018 1 +0.3 +0.3
Andrew Cashner P MIA Trade 2016 1 +0.3 +0.3 1.2
James Hoyt P MIA Trade 2020 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.2
Jon Rauch P MIA Free agency 2013 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.0
Daniel Castano P MIA Trade 2017 2 +0.2 +0.1
Jeff Locke P MIA Free agency 2016 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.2
Brian Navarreto C MIA Trade 2020 3 +0.2 +0.1
Jesús Tinoco P MIA Trade 2020 3 +0.2 +0.1 0.0
Vance Worley P MIA Free agency 2017 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.1
Dewayne Wise OF MIA Trade 2011 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.1
Will Ohman P MIA Trade 2010 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.3
Peter O'Brien 1B/OF MIA Trade 2018 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.0
Colin Rea P MIA Trade 2016 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.5
Steve Ames P MIA Trade 2013 1 +0.1 +0.1
Anthony DeSclafani P MIA Trade 2012 1 +0.1 +0.1
Chad Gaudin P MIA Free agency 2012 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Brian Sanches P MIA Free agency 2008 2 +0.1 +0.1 0.2
Jacob Turner P MIA Trade 2012 3 +0.1 +0.0 0.1
José Veras P MIA Free agency 2010 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.2
Craig Breslow P MIA Free agency 2016 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.2
Corey Dickerson OF MIA Free agency 2020 2 +0.1 +0.0 0.0
Sean Guenther P MIA Draft 2017 1 +0.1 +0.1
Javy Guerra P MIA Free agency 2016 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.1
Tyler Heineman C MIA Trade 2019 1 +0.1 +0.1
Deven Marrero 3B MIA Free agency 2018 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.1
Drew Rucinski P MIA Free agency 2017 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Pat Venditte P MIA Free agency 2020 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.1
Dan Meyer P MIA Trade 2009 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.6
Jeff Francoeur OF MIA Trade 2016 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.3
Mike Morin P MIA Trade 2020 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.1
Nefi Ogando P MIA Trade 2016 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.2
Randy Choate P MIA Free agency 2010 1 -0.0 -0.0 0.1
Adam Greenberg PH/PR MIA Free agency 2012 -0.0
Raudel Lazo P MIA Intl FA 2011 -0.0
Scott McGough P MIA Trade 2012 1 +0.0 +0.0
Dallas McPherson 3B MIA Free agency 2008 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.1
Justin Nicolino P MIA Trade 2012 1 -0.0 -0.0
Yefri Pérez 2B/SS MIA Intl FA 2008 1 +0.0 +0.0
Vinny Rottino OF MIA Free agency 2009 -0.0
Scott Strickland P MIA Free agency 2009 -0.0
Jordany Valdespin 2B/OF MIA Free agency 2013 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.2
Brad Boxberger P MIA Free agency 2020 -0.0
Wilkin Castillo OF MIA Free agency 2019 -0.0
A. J. Ellis C MIA Free agency 2016 -0.0
Ryan Lavarnway C MIA Free agency 2019 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Brandon Leibrandt P MIA Trade 2020 1 +0.0 +0.0
Brian Miller OF MIA Draft 2017 1 +0.0 +0.0
Jo-Jo Reyes P MIA Free agency 2016 -0.0
Josh Smith P MIA Free agency 2019 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Dave Davidson P MIA Trade 2009 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Hunter Jones P MIA Trade 2010 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.1
Austin Brice P MIA Draft 2010 -0.1
Jordan Brown 1B/DH/OF MIA Free agency 2012 -0.1
José Ceda P MIA Trade 2008 1 -0.1 -0.1
Brian Flynn P MIA Trade 2012 1 -0.1 -0.1
Andy González 3B/OF MIA Free agency 2008 -0.1
James Houser P MIA Trade 2010 -0.1
John Maine P MIA Free agency 2012 -0.1
Kevin Mattison OF MIA Draft 2008 -0.1
Hayden Penn P MIA Trade 2009 -0.1
Zach Phillips P MIA Free agency 2012 -0.1
Kyle Skipworth C MIA Draft 2008 -0.1
Jorge Sosa P MIA Free agency 2010 -0.1
Joe Thurston 2B/3B MIA Free agency 2011 -0.1
José Devers 2B/SS MIA Trade 2017 -0.1
Brett Eibner OF MIA Free agency 2020 -0.1
Merandy González P MIA Trade 2017 -0.1
Preston Guilmet P MIA Free agency 2020 -0.1
Monte Harrison OF MIA Trade 2018 1 -0.1 -0.1
Destin Hood OF MIA Trade 2016 -0.1
Tyler Moore 1B/OF MIA Free agency 2016 -0.1
Chris O'Grady P MIA Trade 2017 1 -0.1 -0.1
Johan Quezada P MIA Trade 2020 -0.1
Harold Ramírez DH/OF MIA Trade 2019 1 -0.1 -0.1
Sean Rodríguez 2B MIA Free agency 2020 -0.1
Josh Smith P MIA Trade 2019 1 -0.1 -0.1 0.0
Brian Barden 3B MIA Free agency 2009 -0.2
Matt Diaz OF MIA Free agency 2013 -0.2
Brian Ellington P MIA Draft 2012 2 -0.2 -0.1
Rafael Furcal SS MIA Free agency 2013 -0.2
Nick Green 2B/SS MIA Free agency 2011 -0.2
Jake Marisnick OF MIA Trade 2012 -0.2
Humberto Mejía P MIA Intl FA 2013 -0.2
Edgar Olmos P MIA Draft 2008 -0.2
Mike Rivera C MIA Free agency 2010 -0.2
Gil Velazquez 3B MIA Free agency 2012 -0.2
Elih Villanueva P MIA Draft 2008 -0.2
Mike Aviles SS MIA Free agency 2017 -0.2
Paul Campbell P MIA Rule 5 2020 -0.2
Tyler Cloyd P MIA Free agency 2018 -0.2
Brett Graves P MIA Rule 5 2017 -0.2
Matt Joyce OF MIA Free agency 2020 -0.2
Brandon Kintzler P MIA Free agency 2020 -0.2
Braxton Lee OF MIA Trade 2017 -0.2
Steve Lombardozzi 2B/OF MIA Free agency 2017 -0.2
Sterling Sharp P MIA Rule 5 2019 -0.2
Nick Vincent P MIA Free agency 2020 -0.2
Jake Esch P MIA Draft 2011 -0.3
Isaac Galloway OF MIA Draft 2008 1 -0.3 -0.3
Brad Hand P MIA Draft 2008 3 -0.3 -0.1
Andrew Heaney P MIA Draft 2012 -0.3
Juan Pierre OF MIA Free agency 2012 3 -0.3 -0.1 22.0
Logan Forsythe 2B MIA Free agency 2020 -0.3
Jorge Guzmán P MIA Trade 2017 -0.3
Nick Neidert P MIA Trade 2017 1 -0.3 -0.3
Héctor Noesí P MIA Free agency 2019 -0.3
Junichi Tazawa P MIA Free agency 2016 -0.3
Mike Lamb 1B/3B MIA Free agency 2010 -0.4
Héctor Luna 2B MIA Free agency 2009 -0.4
Chris Valaika 2B MIA Free agency 2012 -0.4
Yadiel Rivera 3B/SS MIA Free agency 2017 -0.4
Alex Vesia P MIA Draft 2018 -0.4
John Koronka P MIA Free agency 2009 -0.5
Casey Kotchman 1B MIA Free agency 2013 -0.5
Robert Dugger P MIA Trade 2017 -0.5
Rafael Ortega OF MIA Free agency 2017 -0.5
Jarlín García P MIA Intl FA 2010 2 -0.7 -0.3
Luis Gonzalez OF MIA Free agency 2008 -0.8
Tayron Guerrero P MIA Trade 2016 -0.8
Chris Johnson 3B MIA Free agency 2016 -0.8
Magneuris Sierra OF MIA Trade 2017 2 -0.8 -0.4 0.0
Lewin Díaz 1B MIA Trade 2019 1 -0.9 -0.9
Tomás Telis C/1B MIA Trade 2016 1 -0.9 -0.9 0.3
Austin Dean OF MIA Draft 2012 -1.0
Elieser Hernández P MIA Rule 5 2017 1 -1.0 -1.0
Koyie Hill C MIA Free agency 2013 -1.1
José Quijada P MIA Intl FA 2013 -1.1
Curtis Granderson OF MIA Free agency 2019 -1.1
JB Shuck OF MIA Free agency 2017 -1.1
Greg Dobbs 3B MIA Free agency 2011 -1.2
Rob Brantly C MIA Trade 2012 1 -1.4 -1.4
Jarrod Saltalamacchia C MIA Free agency 2013 -2.0
Isan Díaz 2B/3B MIA Trade 2018 -2.7
Lewis Brinson OF MIA Trade 2018 -3.4

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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