RRosternomics
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Marlins MIA

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President of baseball ops: Larry Beinfest · GM: Michael Hill

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.35× league · TAB -2.8
-2.8TAB — talent above budget18th/30
-6.2WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)20th/30
3.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars28th/30
-8.6dead WAR — sub-replacement drag28th/30
67%dead money %30th/30
0.383win %29th/30
18.4roster fWAR29th/30
+10surplus $M (value vs cost)9th/30
$36Mpayroll $M29th/30

Roster

CFJustin Ruggiano 84GMarcell Ozuna 33GJake Marisnick 32G
LFJuan Pierre 64GChristian Yelich 59GJustin Ruggiano 23G
RFGiancarlo Stanton 116GMarcell Ozuna 36GJustin Ruggiano 5G
SSAdeiny Hechavarría 148GNick Green 8GEd Lucas 6G
2BDonovan Solano 93GDerek Dietrich 57GEd Lucas 20G
3BPlacido Polanco 109GEd Lucas 61GChris Coghlan 8G
1BLogan Morrison 79GGreg Dobbs 51GEd Lucas 25G
STARTERSJosé Fernández 4.6WARHenderson Alvarez 2.5WARNathan Eovaldi 1.2WARKevin Slowey 0.7WARTom Koehler 0.3WAR
CJeff Mathis 73GRob Brantly 65GMiguel Olivo 21G
DHGreg Dobbs 4GJordan Brown 1GChris Coghlan 1G
BULLPEN★ Steve Cishek 34svMike Dunn 18hChad Qualls 15hAJ Ramos 11hRyan Webb 4hDan Jennings 1hJon Rauch 1hArquimedes Caminero 1h
CJeff Mathis 73 · Rob Brantly 65 · Miguel Olivo 21
1BLogan Morrison 79 · Greg Dobbs 51 · Ed Lucas 25
2BDonovan Solano 93 · Derek Dietrich 57 · Ed Lucas 20
3BPlacido Polanco 109 · Ed Lucas 61 · Chris Coghlan 8
SSAdeiny Hechavarría 148 · Nick Green 8 · Ed Lucas 6
LFJuan Pierre 64 · Christian Yelich 59 · Justin Ruggiano 23
CFJustin Ruggiano 84 · Marcell Ozuna 33 · Jake Marisnick 32
RFGiancarlo Stanton 116 · Marcell Ozuna 36 · Justin Ruggiano 5
DHGreg Dobbs 4 · Jordan Brown 1 · Chris Coghlan 1
SPJosé Fernández 4.6 · Henderson Alvarez 2.5 · Nathan Eovaldi 1.2 · Kevin Slowey 0.7 · Tom Koehler 0.3
BP★ Steve Cishek 34 · Mike Dunn 18 · Chad Qualls 15 · AJ Ramos 11 · Ryan Webb 4 · Dan Jennings 1 · Jon Rauch 1 · Arquimedes Caminero 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2013 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
José Fernández 20 pre-arb 284.6 0.5 +11.8
Giancarlo Stanton 23 arb 1162.9 0.5 +7.2
Henderson Alvarez 23 pre-arb 172.5 0.5 +6.3
Christian Yelich 21 – 621.8 0.2 +4.7
Ricky Nolasco↔ LAD 30 FA-elig 181.7 6.1 -1.6
Marcell Ozuna 22 – 701.6 0.2 +4.2
Steve Cishek 27 arb 691.4 0.5 +3.4
Justin Ruggiano 31 FA-elig 1281.4 0.5 +3.2
Ed Lucas 31 – 941.2 – –
Nathan Eovaldi 23 pre-arb 181.2 0.5 +2.8
Mike Dunn 28 arb 750.9 0.5 +1.9
Kevin Slowey 29 FA-elig 200.7 0.8 +1.2
AJ Ramos 26 pre-arb 680.7 0.5 +1.5
Derek Dietrich 23 – 570.7 0.2 +1.7
Dan Jennings 26 pre-arb 470.6 0.3 +1.4
Ryan Webb 27 arb 660.5 1.0 +0.3
Placido Polanco 37 FA-elig 1180.5 2.8 -1.5
Chad Qualls 34 FA-elig 660.5 1.1 +0.1
Tom Koehler 27 pre-arb 290.3 0.4 +0.4
Donovan Solano 25 pre-arb 1020.2 0.5 +0.2
Wade LeBlanc↔ HOU 28 arb 130.2 0.4 +0.2
Jon Rauch 34 FA-elig 150.2 1.0 -0.5
Jeff Mathis 30 FA-elig 730.1 1.5 -1.2
Jacob Turner 22 pre-arb 200.1 1.2 -0.9
Brad Hand 23 pre-arb 70.1 0.1 +0.1
Steve Ames 25 – 40.1 – –
Arquimedes Caminero 26 pre-arb 130.0 0.1 -0.0
Chris Coghlan 28 arb 700.0 0.5 -0.4
Duane Below 27 – 2-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Joe Mahoney 26 pre-arb 9-0.0 0.5 -0.5
Gil Velazquez 33 pre-arb 1-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Nick Green 34 – 18-0.0 – –
Chris Hatcher 28 pre-arb 7-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Kyle Skipworth 23 pre-arb 4-0.1 0.5 -0.6
Logan Morrison 25 arb 85-0.1 0.5 -0.7
Zach Phillips 26 pre-arb 3-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Jordan Brown 29 – 14-0.1 – –
Austin Kearns 33 FA-elig 19-0.1 0.7 -0.9
John Maine 32 FA-elig 4-0.1 0.6 -1.0
Jake Marisnick 22 – 40-0.2 0.2 -0.6
Matt Diaz 35 FA-elig 10-0.2 1.2 -1.7
Brian Flynn 23 – 4-0.2 0.1 -0.6
Miguel Olivo 34 FA-elig 33-0.2 0.8 -1.4
Edgar Olmos 23 – 5-0.2 0.0 -0.7
Sam Dyson 25 pre-arb 5-0.3 0.1 -0.8
Juan Pierre 35 FA-elig 113-0.3 1.6 -2.4
Chris Valaika 27 arb 22-0.4 0.5 -1.6
Greg Dobbs 34 FA-elig 114-0.5 1.5 -2.8
Casey Kotchman 30 FA-elig 6-0.5 0.7 -2.1
Alex Sanabia 24 pre-arb 10-0.7 0.5 -2.5
Koyie Hill 34 arb 18-1.1 0.1 -3.1
Adeiny Hechavarría 24 pre-arb 148-1.3 2.8 -6.2
Rob Brantly 23 pre-arb 67-1.8 0.5 -5.5

Key additions (new vs 2012)

PlayerfWAR
José Fernández4.6
Henderson Alvarez2.5
Christian Yelich1.8
Marcell Ozuna1.6
Ed Lucas1.2
Kevin Slowey0.7

Key subtractions (gone from 2012)

Player2012 fWAR
José Reyes3.8
Josh Johnson3.1
Aníbal Sánchez2.1
Omar Infante2.1
Hanley Ramirez1.4
Mark Buehrle1.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2013 payroll
$36.0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2013, 2013–2019. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2013201420152016201720182019
Ricky Nolasco306.142$6.1MFREE AGENT
Placido Polanco3714.064$2.8MFREE AGENT
Juan Pierre3512.056$1.6MFREE AGENT
Greg Dobbs347.027$1.5M$992kFREE AGENT
Jeff Mathis306.012$1.5M$1.5M$1.5M$1.5MFREE AGENT
Matt Diaz357.157$1.2MFREE AGENT
Chad Qualls348.058$1.1MFREE AGENT
Jon Rauch348.126$1.0MFREE AGENT
Miguel Olivo349.171$800kFREE AGENT
Casey Kotchman307.144$700kFREE AGENT
Austin Kearns3310.113$700kFREE AGENT
John Maine329.000$625kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (4)

PlayerAgeSvc2013201420152016201720182019
Ryan Webb273.029$975kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Slowey295.140$750kFREE AGENT
Koyie Hill345.087$139kFREE AGENT
Nick Green345.067—FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (37)

PlayerAgeSvc2013201420152016201720182019
Adeiny Hechavarría240.060$2.8MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jacob Turner220.083$1.2MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Giancarlo Stanton232.118$537kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Henderson Alvarez232.000$508kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Cishek271.143$505kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Coghlan282.171$503kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nathan Eovaldi231.013$502kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Valaika270.089$495kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Ruggiano312.019$494kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Dunn282.079$492kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Donovan Solano250.137$492kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Logan Morrison252.069$492kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Brantly230.052$490kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Fernández200.000$490kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Skipworth230.029$490kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Mahoney260.008$490kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Sanabia241.127$490kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
AJ Ramos260.030$490kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tom Koehler270.032$415kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wade LeBlanc282.062$376kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dan Jennings260.063$337kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marcell Ozuna220.000$228kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Derek Dietrich230.000$203kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Marisnick220.000$185kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Christian Yelich210.000$181kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Arquimedes Caminero261.060$110kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sam Dyson250.014$88kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Hatcher280.157$86kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Hand230.063$83kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach Phillips260.091$80kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Flynn230.000$75kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Duane Below272.050$51kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edgar Olmos230.000$40kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gil Velazquez330.097$19kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ed Lucas310.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Brown29–—
Steve Ames25–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Marlins 2013; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.