RRosternomics
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Marlins MIA

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President of baseball ops: Larry Beinfest · GM: Michael Hill

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.71× league · TAB -0.9
-0.9TAB — talent above budget15th/30
-5.5WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)23rd/30
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars11th/30
-4.2dead WAR — sub-replacement drag8th/30
30%dead money %12th/30
0.444win %22nd/30
29.1roster fWAR19th/30
+6surplus $M (value vs cost)8th/30
$68Mpayroll $M22nd/30

Roster

CFChris Coghlan 65GMike Cameron 42GBryan Petersen 42G
LFLogan Morrison 119GEmilio Bonifácio 32GBryan Petersen 22G
RFGiancarlo Stanton 142GEmilio Bonifácio 15GScott Cousins 12G
SSHanley Ramirez 86GEmilio Bonifácio 67GDonnie Murphy 18G
2BOmar Infante 146GJose Lopez 20GAlfredo Amezaga 16G
3BGreg Dobbs 100GJose Lopez 39GEmilio Bonifácio 36G
1BGaby Sanchez 153GJose Lopez 8GWes Helms 5G
STARTERSAníbal Sánchez 3.6WARJavier Vazquez 3.5WARRicky Nolasco 3.0WARJosh Johnson 1.8WARChris Volstad 1.1WAR
CJohn Buck 135GBrett Hayes 50GJohn Baker 1G
DHHanley Ramirez 3GGreg Dobbs 2GJose Lopez 2G
BULLPEN★ Juan Carlos Oviedo 36svEdward Mujica 17hMike Dunn 15hRandy Choate 14hRyan Webb 8hBurke Badenhop 5hSteve Cishek 2hBrian Sanches 0h
CJohn Buck 135 · Brett Hayes 50 · John Baker 1
1BGaby Sanchez 153 · Jose Lopez 8 · Wes Helms 5
2BOmar Infante 146 · Jose Lopez 20 · Alfredo Amezaga 16
3BGreg Dobbs 100 · Jose Lopez 39 · Emilio Bonifácio 36
SSHanley Ramirez 86 · Emilio Bonifácio 67 · Donnie Murphy 18
LFLogan Morrison 119 · Emilio Bonifácio 32 · Bryan Petersen 22
CFChris Coghlan 65 · Mike Cameron 42 · Bryan Petersen 42
RFGiancarlo Stanton 142 · Emilio Bonifácio 15 · Scott Cousins 12
DHHanley Ramirez 3 · Greg Dobbs 2 · Jose Lopez 2
SPAníbal Sánchez 3.6 · Javier Vazquez 3.5 · Ricky Nolasco 3.0 · Josh Johnson 1.8 · Chris Volstad 1.1
BP★ Juan Carlos Oviedo 36 · Edward Mujica 17 · Mike Dunn 15 · Randy Choate 14 · Ryan Webb 8 · Burke Badenhop 5 · Steve Cishek 2 · Brian Sanches 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2011 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Giancarlo Stanton 21 pre-arb 1504.3 0.4 +10.0
Aníbal Sánchez 27 arb 323.6 3.7 +5.2
Javier Vazquez 34 FA-elig 363.5 7.0 +1.6
Ricky Nolasco 28 arb 333.0 6.0 +1.5
Emilio Bonifácio 26 arb 1522.9 0.4 +6.8
Gaby Sanchez 27 arb 1592.7 0.4 +6.2
Omar Infante 29 FA-elig 1482.2 2.5 +2.9
Josh Johnson 27 FA-elig 91.8 7.8 -3.4
Bryan Petersen 25 pre-arb 741.5 0.4 +3.2
Mike Cameron↔ BOS 38 FA-elig 451.2 4.5 -1.6
Chris Volstad 24 arb 291.1 0.4 +2.2
Steve Cishek 25 pre-arb 451.0 0.4 +1.9
Hanley Ramirez 27 FA-elig 920.9 11.0 -8.8
Burke Badenhop 28 arb 500.9 0.8 +1.5
Edward Mujica 27 arb 670.8 0.8 +1.2
Logan Morrison 23 pre-arb 1230.8 0.4 +1.5
Ryan Webb 25 pre-arb 530.2 0.4 +0.2
John Buck 30 FA-elig 1400.2 5.0 -4.5
Dewayne Wise↔ TOR 33 – 490.2 – –
Juan Carlos Oviedo 29 FA-elig 680.2 3.6 -3.2
Jose Ceda 24 pre-arb 170.1 0.4 -0.1
Donnie Murphy 28 FA-elig 360.1 0.4 -0.2
Alex Sanabia 22 pre-arb 30.0 0.4 -0.4
Scott Cousins 26 pre-arb 480.0 0.4 -0.4
Sandy Rosario 25 pre-arb 40.0 0.4 -0.4
Randy Choate 35 FA-elig 54-0.0 1.0 -1.0
Vinny Rottino 31 pre-arb 8-0.0 0.4 -0.5
Jose Lopez↔ COL 27 FA-elig 44-0.0 1.9 -2.0
Greg Dobbs 32 FA-elig 134-0.1 0.6 -0.7
Chris Hatcher 26 pre-arb 12-0.1 0.4 -0.6
Joe Thurston 31 – 1-0.1 – –
Jay Buente↔ TBR 27 – 1-0.1 – –
Mike Dunn 26 pre-arb 72-0.1 0.4 -0.6
John Baker 30 arb 16-0.1 0.4 -0.7
Brett Hayes 27 pre-arb 64-0.1 0.4 -0.7
Clay Hensley 31 FA-elig 37-0.1 1.4 -1.7
Brian Sanches 32 arb 39-0.2 0.4 -0.9
Elih Villanueva 24 – 1-0.2 – –
Matt Dominguez 21 pre-arb 17-0.3 0.4 -1.2
Ozzie Martínez 23 – 20-0.4 – –
Alfredo Amezaga↔ COL 33 – 20-0.5 – –
Chris Coghlan 26 pre-arb 65-0.5 0.5 -1.6
Brad Hand 21 – 12-0.5 0.1 -1.3
Wes Helms 35 FA-elig 69-0.9 1.0 -3.2

Key additions (new vs 2010)

PlayerfWAR
Javier Vazquez3.5
Omar Infante2.2
Mike Cameron1.2
Edward Mujica0.8
Ryan Webb0.2
John Buck0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 2010)

Player2010 fWAR
Dan Uggla4.6
Cody Ross1.7
Nate Robertson0.7
Cameron Maybin0.4
Ronny Paulino0.2
Brett Carroll0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2011 payroll
$67.5M

What the front office was committed to as of 2011, 2011–2017. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Javier Vazquez3412.141$7.0MFREE AGENT
John Buck3010.064$5.0M$6.0MFREE AGENT
Mike Cameron3814.036$4.5MFREE AGENT
Juan Carlos Oviedo296.000$3.6MFREE AGENT
Omar Infante2913.020$2.5M$2.3MFREE AGENT
Jose Lopez277.000$1.9MFREE AGENT
Randy Choate356.073$1.0M$825kFREE AGENT
Wes Helms3511.018$1.0MFREE AGENT
Alfredo Amezaga339.000—FREE AGENT
Joe Thurston319.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Hanley Ramirez275.014$11.0MFREE AGENT
Josh Johnson275.026$7.8MFREE AGENT
Ricky Nolasco284.142$6.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Aníbal Sánchez274.099$3.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Clay Hensley313.161$1.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edward Mujica273.115$800kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Dobbs325.027$600kFREE AGENT
Dewayne Wise334.094—ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (26)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Burke Badenhop282.143$750kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Coghlan261.150$490kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Volstad242.085$445kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gaby Sanchez271.062$431kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Sanches322.105$425kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Donnie Murphy282.075$425kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Emilio Bonifácio262.066$425kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Baker302.083$417kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Giancarlo Stanton210.118$416kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Webb251.029$414kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Dunn260.106$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Vinny Rottino310.089$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brett Hayes271.017$414kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Ceda241.096$414kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sandy Rosario250.138$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Logan Morrison230.069$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Hatcher260.033$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Sanabia221.127$414kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Cousins261.108$414kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Cishek250.013$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Dominguez212.062$414kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryan Petersen251.067$414kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Hand210.000$133kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ozzie Martínez23–—
Jay Buente27–—
Elih Villanueva24–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Marlins 2011; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.