RRosternomics
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Brewers MIL

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President of baseball ops: David Stearns

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.53× league · TAB +0.6
+0.6TAB — talent above budget14th/30
-0.7WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)15th/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars16th/30
-5.7dead WAR — sub-replacement drag20th/30
19%dead money %5th/30
0.451win %22nd/30
27.0roster fWAR22nd/30
+20surplus $M (value vs cost)6th/30
$67Mpayroll $M29th/30

Roster

CFKirk Nieuwenhuis 83GKeon Broxton 68GRamón Flores 29G
LFRyan Braun 127GJake Elmore 14GRamón Flores 13G
RFDomingo Santana 62GRamón Flores 49GHernán Pérez 36G
SSJonathan Villar 108GOrlando Arcia 53GYadiel Rivera 5G
2BScooter Gennett 127GYadiel Rivera 13GHernán Pérez 11G
3BHernán Pérez 60GJonathan Villar 42GYadiel Rivera 15G
1BChris Carter 155GHernán Pérez 6GJonathan Lucroy 6G
STARTERSJunior Guerra 2.5WARZach Davies 2.2WARMatt Garza 1.0WARWily Peralta 0.7WARChase Anderson 0.2WAR
CMartín Maldonado 69GManny Piña 17GAndrew Susac 6G
DHRyan Braun 3GJonathan Lucroy 3GChris Carter 2G
BULLPEN★ Tyler Thornburg 13svCarlos Torres 20hCorey Knebel 13hMichael Blazek 9hJhan Mariñez 5hBlaine Boyer 5hRob Scahill 2hJacob Barnes 0h
CMartín Maldonado 69 · Manny Piña 17 · Andrew Susac 6
1BChris Carter 155 · Hernán Pérez 6 · Jonathan Lucroy 6
2BScooter Gennett 127 · Yadiel Rivera 13 · Hernán Pérez 11
3BHernán Pérez 60 · Jonathan Villar 42 · Yadiel Rivera 15
SSJonathan Villar 108 · Orlando Arcia 53 · Yadiel Rivera 5
LFRyan Braun 127 · Jake Elmore 14 · Ramón Flores 13
CFKirk Nieuwenhuis 83 · Keon Broxton 68 · Ramón Flores 29
RFDomingo Santana 62 · Ramón Flores 49 · Hernán Pérez 36
DHRyan Braun 3 · Jonathan Lucroy 3 · Chris Carter 2
SPJunior Guerra 2.5 · Zach Davies 2.2 · Matt Garza 1.0 · Wily Peralta 0.7 · Chase Anderson 0.2
BP★ Tyler Thornburg 13 · Carlos Torres 20 · Corey Knebel 13 · Michael Blazek 9 · Jhan Mariñez 5 · Blaine Boyer 5 · Rob Scahill 2 · Jacob Barnes 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2016 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Jonathan Villar 25 arb 1563.4 0.5 +10.6
Ryan Braun 32 FA-elig 1353.3 20.0 -9.2
Jonathan Lucroy↔ TEX 30 FA-elig 953.0 2.7 +7.0
Junior Guerra 31 pre-arb 202.5 0.4 +7.5
Zach Davies 23 pre-arb 282.2 0.4 +6.7
Chris Carter 29 FA-elig 1602.2 2.5 +4.6
Keon Broxton 26 pre-arb 752.0 0.5 +5.9
Tyler Thornburg 27 arb 671.9 0.5 +5.6
Martín Maldonado 29 arb 761.5 1.1 +3.8
Hernán Pérez 25 pre-arb 1231.5 0.4 +4.3
Aaron Hill↔ BOS 34 FA-elig 781.5 7.5 -2.8
Matt Garza 32 FA-elig 191.0 12.5 -9.3
Scooter Gennett 26 arb 1360.8 0.5 +2.0
Jeremy Jeffress↔ TEX 28 FA-elig 470.7 0.4 +2.0
Wily Peralta 27 arb 230.7 2.8 -0.7
Carlos Torres 33 FA-elig 720.6 0.9 +1.0
Jacob Barnes 26 – 270.5 0.3 +1.4
Kirk Nieuwenhuis 28 arb 1250.5 0.5 +1.1
Jhan Mariñez↔ TBR 27 pre-arb 430.4 0.4 +1.0
Corey Knebel 24 pre-arb 350.4 0.5 +0.7
Blaine Boyer 34 FA-elig 610.3 0.9 +0.0
Domingo Santana 23 pre-arb 770.3 0.5 +0.5
Manny Piña 29 – 330.3 – –
Chase Anderson 28 pre-arb 310.2 0.5 +0.2
Orlando Arcia 21 – 550.2 0.2 +0.5
Jimmy Nelson 27 arb 320.2 0.5 +0.1
Rob Scahill↔ PIT 29 pre-arb 160.2 0.1 +0.5
Brent Suter 26 – 140.2 0.1 +0.4
Tyler Cravy 26 pre-arb 200.2 0.2 +0.3
Will Smith↔ SFG 26 arb 270.1 0.8 -0.4
Ben Rowen 27 pre-arb 40.1 0.1 +0.1
Andrew Susac 26 pre-arb 90.0 0.1 -0.0
Michael Kirkman↔ SDP 29 pre-arb 1-0.0 0.0 -0.0
Damien Magnifico 25 – 3-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Josmil Pinto 27 pre-arb 6-0.1 0.0 -0.3
Neil Ramírez↔ CHC 27 pre-arb 2-0.1 0.1 -0.5
David Goforth 27 pre-arb 10-0.1 0.1 -0.5
Yadiel Rivera 24 pre-arb 35-0.1 0.5 -1.0
Michael Reed 23 pre-arb 8-0.2 0.0 -0.5
Will Middlebrooks 27 arb 10-0.2 1.2 -1.7
Sam Freeman 29 arb 7-0.2 0.5 -1.1
Andy Wilkins 27 pre-arb 26-0.2 0.1 -0.7
Ariel Peña 27 pre-arb 1-0.2 0.5 -1.2
Taylor Jungmann 26 pre-arb 8-0.2 0.5 -1.3
Colin Walsh 26 pre-arb 38-0.4 0.5 -1.7
Alex Presley↔ DET 30 – 47-0.5 0.2 -1.8
Chris Capuano 37 FA-elig 16-0.5 1.5 -3.2
Jake Elmore 29 pre-arb 59-0.5 0.3 -2.0
Michael Blazek 27 arb 42-0.6 0.5 -2.5
Ramón Flores 24 pre-arb 104-1.5 0.5 -5.5

Key additions (new vs 2015)

PlayerfWAR
Jonathan Villar3.4
Junior Guerra2.5
Chris Carter2.2
Keon Broxton2.0
Aaron Hill1.5
Carlos Torres0.6

Key subtractions (gone from 2015)

Player2015 fWAR
Gerardo Parra2.4
Adam Lind2.0
Mike Fiers1.6
Carlos Gómez1.5
Khris Davis1.2
Aramis Ramirez1.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2016 payroll
$66.7M
2017 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2016, 2016–2022. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2016; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (5)

PlayerAgeSvc2016201720182019202020212022
Ryan Braun328.129$20.0MFREE AGENT
Matt Garza328.149$12.5MFREE AGENT
Aaron Hill3410.136$7.5MFREE AGENT
Chris Capuano3710.152$1.5MFREE AGENT
Blaine Boyer348.070$950kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2016201720182019202020212022
Wily Peralta273.033$2.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Lucroy305.136$2.7MFREE AGENT
Chris Carter294.159$2.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Will Middlebrooks273.057$1.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Martín Maldonado293.156$1.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Torres333.114$950kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Will Smith264.000$751kARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Presley303.016$177kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Manny Piña295.000—FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (36)

PlayerAgeSvc2016201720182019202020212022
Jimmy Nelson271.107$522kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sam Freeman292.050$521kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chase Anderson281.146$520kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Taylor Jungmann260.118$518kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scooter Gennett262.071$518kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Blazek271.067$514kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kirk Nieuwenhuis282.112$514kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Thornburg272.057$514kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Domingo Santana230.079$514kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Corey Knebel240.166$513kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Villar251.113$513kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ariel Peña270.031$510kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ramón Flores240.021$509kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yadiel Rivera240.013$509kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Keon Broxton260.014$508kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Colin Walsh260.000$507kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hernán Pérez251.093$438kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach Davies230.034$438kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Junior Guerra310.024$424kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremy Jeffress282.104$414kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jhan Mariñez271.095$371kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jacob Barnes260.000$341kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Elmore291.170$269kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Cravy260.081$184kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Orlando Arcia210.000$172kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brent Suter260.000$125kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andy Wilkins270.029$114kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Damien Magnifico250.000$86kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ben Rowen270.030$86kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Scahill291.147$80kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Susac261.065$75kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Goforth270.078$64kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Neil Ramírez271.158$58kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Reed230.084$44kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josmil Pinto270.131$36kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Kirkman292.079$12kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Brewers 2016; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.