RRosternomics

Mets NYM

President of baseball ops: David Stearns

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 2.16× league · TAB +2.3
+2.3TAB — talent above budget16th/30
-9.0WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)27th/30
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars9th/30
-2.2dead WAR — sub-replacement drag1st/30
24%dead money %11th/30
0.512win %13th/30
46.0roster fWAR5th/30
-151surplus $M (value vs cost)30th/30
$334Mpayroll $M1st/30

Roster

CFCedric Mullins 130GTyrone Taylor 106GJeff McNeil 34G
LFBrandon Nimmo 150GJeff McNeil 10GStarling Marte 9G
RFJuan Soto 157GTravis Jankowski 15GJeff McNeil 7G
SSFrancisco Lindor 158GLuisangel Acuña 7GRonny Mauricio 5G
2BLuisangel Acuña 81GJeff McNeil 79GBrett Baty 57G
3BBrett Baty 87GMark Vientos 72GRonny Mauricio 42G
1BPete Alonso 160GMark Vientos 3GJeff McNeil 2G
STARTERSDavid Peterson 3.1WARClay Holmes 1.9WARTylor Megill 1.5WARKodai Senga 1.4WARNolan McLean 1.2WAR
CLuis Torrens 86GFrancisco Alvarez 74GHayden Senger 31G
DHStarling Marte 77GMark Vientos 44GJesse Winker 22G
BULLPEN Edwin Díaz 28svTyler Rogers 32hGregory Soto 23hReed Garrett 20hHuascar Brazobán 12hRyne Stanek 11hBrooks Raley 10hRyan Helsley 1h
CLuis Torrens 86 · Francisco Alvarez 74 · Hayden Senger 31
1BPete Alonso 160 · Mark Vientos 3 · Jeff McNeil 2
2BLuisangel Acuña 81 · Jeff McNeil 79 · Brett Baty 57
3BBrett Baty 87 · Mark Vientos 72 · Ronny Mauricio 42
SSFrancisco Lindor 158 · Luisangel Acuña 7 · Ronny Mauricio 5
LFBrandon Nimmo 150 · Jeff McNeil 10 · Starling Marte 9
CFCedric Mullins 130 · Tyrone Taylor 106 · Jeff McNeil 34
RFJuan Soto 157 · Travis Jankowski 15 · Jeff McNeil 7
DHStarling Marte 77 · Mark Vientos 44 · Jesse Winker 22
SPDavid Peterson 3.1 · Clay Holmes 1.9 · Tylor Megill 1.5 · Kodai Senga 1.4 · Nolan McLean 1.2
BP Edwin Díaz 28 · Tyler Rogers 32 · Gregory Soto 23 · Reed Garrett 20 · Huascar Brazobán 12 · Ryne Stanek 11 · Brooks Raley 10 · Ryan Helsley 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2025 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Francisco Lindor 31 FA-elig 1606.3 34.1 -9.3
Juan Soto 26 FA-elig 1605.8 62.3 -39.3
Pete Alonso 30 FA-elig 1623.6 30.2 -16.0
David Peterson 29 arb 303.1 4.6 +7.8
Brandon Nimmo 32 FA-elig 1553.0 20.5 -8.6
Brett Baty 25 pre-arb 1302.3 0.7 +8.4
Jeff McNeil 33 FA-elig 1222.1 15.8 -7.4
Edwin Díaz 31 FA-elig 622.0 21.6 -13.6
Clay Holmes 32 FA-elig 331.9 13.0 -5.4
Francisco Alvarez 23 pre-arb 761.8 0.7 +6.6
Tylor Megill 29 arb 141.5 2.0 +4.0
Luis Torrens 29 arb 931.4 1.5 +4.2
Kodai Senga 32 pre-arb 221.4 15.0 -9.4
Nolan McLean 23 81.2 0.2 +4.6
Griffin Canning 29 arb 160.9 4.2 -0.5
Tyrone Taylor 31 arb 1130.8 3.0 +0.1
Reed Garrett 32 pre-arb 580.8 0.9 +2.1
Brooks Raley 37 arb 300.8 2.3 +0.7
Ronny Mauricio 24 pre-arb 610.7 0.7 +2.1
Starling Marte 36 FA-elig 980.7 20.8 -18.1
Brandon Sproat 24 40.6 0.1 +2.4
José Buttó↔ SFG 27 340.5 0.3 +1.8
Sean Manaea 33 FA-elig 150.4 20.2 -18.5
Mark Vientos 25 pre-arb 1210.4 0.8 +0.8
Tyler Rogers↔ SFG 34 arb 280.4 1.2 +0.3
Luisangel Acuña 23 pre-arb 950.4 0.6 +0.9
Huascar Brazobán 35 pre-arb 520.4 0.6 +0.8
A.J. Minter 31 FA-elig 130.3 11.0 -9.7
Rico Garcia↔ BAL 31 80.3 0.1 +1.1
Max Kranick 27 pre-arb 240.3 0.7 +0.4
José Castillo↔ ARI 29 160.3 0.2 +1.0
Danny Young 31 pre-arb 100.2 0.8 +0.1
Gregory Soto↔ BAL 30 arb 250.2 1.2 -0.4
Jonah Tong 22 50.2 0.1 +0.7
Justin Hagenman 28 90.2 0.2 +0.5
Cedric Mullins↔ BAL 30 arb 420.2 1.9 -1.2
Kevin Herget↔ ATL 34 pre-arb 60.2 0.2 +0.4
Chris Devenski 34 FA-elig 130.1 0.2 +0.4
Paul Blackburn↔ NYY 31 70.1 1.8 -1.3
Dedniel Núñez 29 pre-arb 100.1 0.5 -0.2
Ryne Stanek 33 FA-elig 650.1 4.8 -4.5
Austin Warren 29 pre-arb 50.1 0.2 +0.0
Tyler Zuber↔ MIA 30 10.1 0.0 +0.2
Hayden Senger 28 330.0 0.4 -0.3
Justin Garza 31 pre-arb 50.0 0.1 -0.1
Génesis Cabrera↔ CHC 28 6-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Dom Hamel 26 1-0.0
Frankie Montas 32 FA-elig 9-0.0 17.0 -17.1
Jonathan Pintaro 27 1-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Colin Poche↔ WSN 31 1-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Ty Adcock 28 pre-arb 3-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Jared Young 29 pre-arb 23-0.0 0.6 -0.8
Travis Jankowski↔ CHW 34 5-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Brandon Waddell 31 pre-arb 11-0.1 0.3 -0.6
José Azócar↔ ATL 29 12-0.1 0.2 -0.4
Jesse Winker 31 FA-elig 26-0.1 7.5 -7.9
José Ureña↔ ANA 33 1-0.1 0.0 -0.4
Zach Pop↔ SEA 28 1-0.1 0.0 -0.5
Ryan Helsley↔ STL 30 arb 22-0.2 2.1 -2.8
Richard Lovelady↔ TOR 29 arb 8-0.2 0.8 -1.7
Blade Tidwell 24 4-0.3 0.1 -1.2
Jose Siri 29 arb 16-0.4 2.4 -3.9
Alex Carrillo 28 3-0.5 0.1 -2.0

Key additions (new vs 2024)

PlayerfWAR
Juan Soto5.8
Clay Holmes1.9
Nolan McLean1.2
Griffin Canning0.9
Ronny Mauricio0.7
Brandon Sproat0.6

Key subtractions (gone from 2024)

Player2024 fWAR
Jose Iglesias2.5
Luis Severino2.1
Harrison Bader1.2
Jose Quintana1.1
Phil Maton0.7
J.D. Martinez0.6

Current & Historical Payroll

2025 payroll
$333.7M
2026 guaranteed
$183.0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2025, 2025–2031. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2025; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (18)

PlayerAgeSvc2025202620272028202920302031
Juan Soto266.134$62.3M$61.9M$57.5M$61.9M$61.9M$46.0MOPT-OUT$46.0M
Francisco Lindor319.113$34.1M$32.5M$32.5M$32.5M$32.5M$32.5M$32.5M
Pete Alonso306.000$30.2MFREE AGENT
Edwin Díaz318.121$21.6MFREE AGENT
Starling Marte3611.162$20.8MFREE AGENT
Brandon Nimmo328.042$20.5M$15.2M$20.5M$20.5M$20.5M$20.5MFREE AGENT
Sean Manaea338.157$20.2M$19.7M$19.2MFREE AGENT
Frankie Montas327.015$17.0MFREE AGENT
Jeff McNeil336.069$15.8M$10.0M$15.8MCLUBFREE AGENT
Kodai Senga322.000$15.0M$15.0M$15.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Clay Holmes326.031$13.0M$13.0M$12.0MPLAYERFREE AGENT
A.J. Minter316.154$11.0M$11.0MPLAYERFREE AGENT
Jesse Winker317.080$7.5MFREE AGENT
Ryne Stanek337.038$4.8MFREE AGENT
Brooks Raley375.045$2.3M$4.8MCLUBFREE AGENT
Chris Devenski347.115$172kFREE AGENT
Travis Jankowski347.153$52kFREE AGENT
José Ureña338.045$12kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (16)

PlayerAgeSvc2025202620272028202920302031
David Peterson294.089$4.6MARB 3FREE AGENT
Griffin Canning295.075$4.2MFREE AGENT
Tyrone Taylor314.093$3.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Siri293.015$2.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Helsley305.105$2.1MFREE AGENT
Tylor Megill293.031$2.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cedric Mullins305.078$1.9MFREE AGENT
Paul Blackburn315.018$1.8MFREE AGENT
Luis Torrens294.105$1.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Gregory Soto305.102$1.2MFREE AGENT
Tyler Rogers345.034$1.2MFREE AGENT
Richard Lovelady293.008$800kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Castillo294.011$154kARB 3FREE AGENT
Colin Poche315.140$100kFREE AGENT
Génesis Cabrera285.011$52kFREE AGENT
Zach Pop283.024$18kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (29)

PlayerAgeSvc2025202620272028202920302031
Reed Garrett321.143$950kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Danny Young310.160$825kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Vientos251.102$789kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brett Baty251.088$728kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Max Kranick272.011$725kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ronny Mauricio241.031$696kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Francisco Alvarez232.006$675kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jared Young290.061$635kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Huascar Brazobán352.023$615kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luisangel Acuña230.016$577kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dedniel Núñez291.131$470kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hayden Senger280.000$417kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Buttó270.168$328kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Waddell310.106$290kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Warren292.135$241kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Hagenman280.000$210kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nolan McLean230.000$180kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Herget340.102$162kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Azócar292.002$162kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonah Tong220.000$127kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Garza310.157$100kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ty Adcock280.048$97kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Sproat240.000$90kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Blade Tidwell240.000$86kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rico Garcia311.042$73kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Carrillo280.000$69kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Zuber302.104$25kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Pintaro270.000$4kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dom Hamel26

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Mets 2025; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3