RRosternomics
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Brewers MIL

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President of baseball ops: David Stearns

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.54× league · TAB +12.7
+12.7TAB — talent above budget6th/30
+12.0WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)5th/30
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars8th/30
-4.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag10th/30
25%dead money %7th/30
0.531win %10th/30
39.4roster fWAR10th/30
+62surplus $M (value vs cost)2nd/30
$71Mpayroll $M28th/30

Roster

CFKeon Broxton 139GBrett Phillips 26GHernán Pérez 18G
LFRyan Braun 95GHernán Pérez 53GEric Thames 25G
RFDomingo Santana 144GHernán Pérez 30GBrett Phillips 9G
SSOrlando Arcia 152GEric Sogard 26GHernán Pérez 7G
2BJonathan Villar 98GNeil Walker 95GEric Sogard 60G
3BTravis Shaw 143GHernán Pérez 31GEric Sogard 7G
1BEric Thames 108GJesús Aguilar 77GNeil Walker 17G
STARTERSJimmy Nelson 4.6WARChase Anderson 3.0WARZach Davies 3.0WARBrent Suter 1.5WARMatt Garza 0.7WAR
CManny Piña 102GStephen Vogt 81GJett Bandy 50G
DHRyan Braun 4GJesús Aguilar 3GEric Thames 2G
BULLPEN★ Corey Knebel 39svAnthony Swarzak 27hJacob Barnes 25hCarlos Torres 13hJared Hughes 12hJosh Hader 12hJeremy Jeffress 8hOliver Drake 6h
CManny Piña 102 · Stephen Vogt 81 · Jett Bandy 50
1BEric Thames 108 · Jesús Aguilar 77 · Neil Walker 17
2BJonathan Villar 98 · Neil Walker 95 · Eric Sogard 60
3BTravis Shaw 143 · Hernán Pérez 31 · Eric Sogard 7
SSOrlando Arcia 152 · Eric Sogard 26 · Hernán Pérez 7
LFRyan Braun 95 · Hernán Pérez 53 · Eric Thames 25
CFKeon Broxton 139 · Brett Phillips 26 · Hernán Pérez 18
RFDomingo Santana 144 · Hernán Pérez 30 · Brett Phillips 9
DHRyan Braun 4 · Jesús Aguilar 3 · Eric Thames 2
SPJimmy Nelson 4.6 · Chase Anderson 3.0 · Zach Davies 3.0 · Brent Suter 1.5 · Matt Garza 0.7
BP★ Corey Knebel 39 · Anthony Swarzak 27 · Jacob Barnes 25 · Carlos Torres 13 · Jared Hughes 12 · Josh Hader 12 · Jeremy Jeffress 8 · Oliver Drake 6

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2017 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Travis Shaw 27 pre-arb 1444.9 0.5 +16.0
Jimmy Nelson 28 arb 294.6 0.5 +14.8
Domingo Santana 24 arb 1513.2 0.5 +10.4
Chase Anderson 29 arb 253.0 2.5 +7.8
Zach Davies 24 pre-arb 333.0 0.5 +9.4
Corey Knebel 25 arb 762.8 0.5 +8.7
Eric Thames 30 FA-elig 1382.5 4.0 +4.3
Orlando Arcia 22 pre-arb 1532.1 0.5 +6.5
Manny Piña 30 FA-elig 1071.6 0.5 +4.9
Eric Sogard 31 arb 941.6 0.4 +5.0
Ryan Braun 33 FA-elig 1041.6 20.0 -14.6
Brent Suter 27 pre-arb 231.5 0.3 +4.9
Keon Broxton 27 pre-arb 1431.4 0.5 +4.3
Jesús Aguilar 27 arb 1331.2 0.5 +3.6
Neil Walker↔ NYM 31 FA-elig 381.0 5.9 -2.5
Josh Hader 23 – 351.0 0.3 +3.0
Hernán Pérez 26 arb 1361.0 0.5 +2.7
Brett Phillips 23 – 370.8 0.2 +2.5
Matt Garza 33 FA-elig 240.7 12.5 -10.1
Jacob Barnes 27 pre-arb 730.7 0.5 +1.8
Brandon Woodruff 24 – 80.6 0.3 +1.8
Oliver Drake↔ BAL 30 pre-arb 610.5 0.5 +1.3
Anthony Swarzak↔ CHW 31 FA-elig 290.5 0.4 +1.4
Jared Hughes 31 FA-elig 670.5 0.9 +0.6
Jonathan Villar 26 arb 1220.4 0.6 +0.9
Stephen Vogt↔ OAK 32 arb 450.4 1.3 -0.0
Aaron Wilkerson 28 – 30.1 0.0 +0.4
Jeremy Jeffress↔ TEX 29 FA-elig 220.1 0.8 -0.4
Tommy Milone↔ NYM 30 FA-elig 60.1 0.4 -0.1
Wily Peralta 28 arb 190.1 4.3 -4.0
Taylor Williams 25 – 50.0 0.1 +0.1
Jorge López 24 pre-arb 1-0.0 0.0 -0.0
David Goforth 28 pre-arb 1-0.0 0.0 -0.0
Taylor Jungmann 27 pre-arb 1-0.0 0.5 -0.6
Wei-Chung Wang 25 pre-arb 8-0.0 0.1 -0.3
Yadiel Rivera 25 pre-arb 1-0.0 0.0 -0.2
Quintin Berry 32 pre-arb 7-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Tyler Webb↔ NYY 26 – 2-0.1 0.0 -0.3
Jett Bandy 27 pre-arb 60-0.1 0.5 -0.8
Jhan Mariñez↔ PIT 28 FA-elig 15-0.1 0.2 -0.6
Lewis Brinson 23 – 21-0.1 0.1 -0.5
Nick Franklin↔ ANA 26 – 53-0.1 0.2 -0.7
Andrew Susac 27 arb 8-0.2 0.5 -1.3
Kirk Nieuwenhuis 29 arb 16-0.2 0.9 -1.7
Paolo Espino↔ TEX 30 – 6-0.2 0.0 -0.9
Carlos Torres 34 FA-elig 67-0.3 2.2 -3.1
Rob Scahill 30 pre-arb 18-0.3 0.2 -1.2
Michael Blazek 28 pre-arb 5-0.3 0.1 -1.1
Neftalí Feliz↔ KCR 29 FA-elig 29-0.8 3.2 -5.9
Junior Guerra 32 pre-arb 21-1.0 0.5 -3.8

Key additions (new vs 2016)

PlayerfWAR
Travis Shaw4.9
Eric Thames2.5
Eric Sogard1.6
Jesús Aguilar1.2
Neil Walker1.0
Josh Hader1.0

Key subtractions (gone from 2016)

Player2016 fWAR
Jonathan Lucroy3.0
Chris Carter2.2
Tyler Thornburg1.9
Martín Maldonado1.5
Aaron Hill1.5
Scooter Gennett0.8

Current & Historical Payroll

2017 payroll
$71.1M
2018 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2017, 2017–2023. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2017; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (5)

PlayerAgeSvc2017201820192020202120222023
Ryan Braun339.129$20.0MFREE AGENT
Matt Garza339.149$12.5MFREE AGENT
Neil Walker316.166$5.9MFREE AGENT
Neftalí Feliz298.000$3.2MFREE AGENT
Manny Piña306.000$538kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2017201820192020202120222023
Wily Peralta283.160$4.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Torres344.114$2.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Stephen Vogt323.084$1.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jared Hughes314.162$950kARB 3FREE AGENT
Kirk Nieuwenhuis293.112$900kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremy Jeffress293.087$757kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tommy Milone304.113$441kARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Sogard315.064$418kFREE AGENT
Anthony Swarzak315.024$373kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (36)

PlayerAgeSvc2017201820192020202120222023
Eric Thames301.063$4.0MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chase Anderson292.146$2.5MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Villar262.113$554kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jimmy Nelson282.107$547kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Junior Guerra321.005$546kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach Davies241.020$546kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hernán Pérez262.079$546kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Travis Shaw271.088$544kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Domingo Santana241.079$542kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Keon Broxton270.137$541kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jett Bandy271.000$540kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Corey Knebel251.151$539kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Orlando Arcia220.062$538kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jacob Barnes270.123$538kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Taylor Jungmann271.000$538kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Susac271.092$537kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesús Aguilar270.082$536kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Oliver Drake300.094$513kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Hader230.000$336kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brent Suter270.045$333kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Woodruff240.000$257kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Franklin262.072$200kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Scahill301.147$195kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jhan Mariñez281.095$188kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brett Phillips230.000$155kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wei-Chung Wang251.000$99kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Taylor Williams250.000$91kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Quintin Berry321.053$79kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lewis Brinson230.000$67kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Blazek282.067$64kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Wilkerson280.000$50kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paolo Espino300.000$45kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yadiel Rivera250.093$35kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Goforth280.078$15kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Webb260.000$12kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge López240.013$3kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Brewers 2017; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.