RRosternomics
𝕏

Brewers MIL

‹ ›

President of baseball ops: David Stearns · GM: Matt Arnold

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 6 in this regime · payroll 0.92× league · TAB +6.2
+6.2TAB — talent above budget12th/30
+5.2WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)12th/30
10.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars5th/30
-3.8dead WAR — sub-replacement drag8th/30
22%dead money %6th/30
0.531win %12th/30
39.3roster fWAR11th/30
+11surplus $M (value vs cost)6th/30
$131Mpayroll $M17th/30

Roster

CFTyrone Taylor 84GLorenzo Cain 42GJonathan Davis 34G
LFChristian Yelich 115GAndrew McCutchen 31GTyrone Taylor 20G
RFHunter Renfroe 118GTyrone Taylor 23GAndrew McCutchen 19G
SSWilly Adames 136GLuis Urías 24GMike Brosseau 4G
2BKolten Wong 131GLuis Urías 46GKeston Hiura 14G
3BJace Peterson 86GLuis Urías 73GMike Brosseau 55G
1BRowdy Tellez 139GKeston Hiura 33GJace Peterson 5G
STARTERSCorbin Burnes 4.6WARBrandon Woodruff 3.6WARFreddy Peralta 2.0WAREric Lauer 1.1WARAdrian Houser 1.0WAR
CVictor Caratini 90GOmar Narváez 83GPedro Severino 4G
DHAndrew McCutchen 82GChristian Yelich 36GKeston Hiura 26G
BULLPEN★ Taylor Rogers 31svBrad Boxberger 30hDevin Williams 26hHoby Milner 11hTrevor Gott 11hPeter Strzelecki 4hJandel Gustave 2hBrent Suter 1h
CVictor Caratini 90 · Omar Narváez 83 · Pedro Severino 4
1BRowdy Tellez 139 · Keston Hiura 33 · Jace Peterson 5
2BKolten Wong 131 · Luis Urías 46 · Keston Hiura 14
3BJace Peterson 86 · Luis Urías 73 · Mike Brosseau 55
SSWilly Adames 136 · Luis Urías 24 · Mike Brosseau 4
LFChristian Yelich 115 · Andrew McCutchen 31 · Tyrone Taylor 20
CFTyrone Taylor 84 · Lorenzo Cain 42 · Jonathan Davis 34
RFHunter Renfroe 118 · Tyrone Taylor 23 · Andrew McCutchen 19
DHAndrew McCutchen 82 · Christian Yelich 36 · Keston Hiura 26
SPCorbin Burnes 4.6 · Brandon Woodruff 3.6 · Freddy Peralta 2.0 · Eric Lauer 1.1 · Adrian Houser 1.0
BP★ Taylor Rogers 31 · Brad Boxberger 30 · Devin Williams 26 · Hoby Milner 11 · Trevor Gott 11 · Peter Strzelecki 4 · Jandel Gustave 2 · Brent Suter 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2022 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Corbin Burnes 27 arb 334.6 6.5 +10.3
Willy Adames 26 arb 1394.4 4.6 +11.7
Brandon Woodruff 29 arb 273.6 6.8 +6.2
Hunter Renfroe 30 FA-elig 1252.4 7.7 +1.2
Luis Urías 25 arb 1192.4 2.5 +6.2
Kolten Wong 31 FA-elig 1342.3 8.5 +0.1
Devin Williams 27 pre-arb 652.2 0.7 +7.4
Christian Yelich 30 FA-elig 1542.2 26.0 -17.9
Jace Peterson 32 FA-elig 1132.1 1.8 +5.9
Tyrone Taylor 28 pre-arb 1202.1 0.7 +6.9
Freddy Peralta 26 arb 182.0 2.5 +4.7
Victor Caratini 28 arb 961.4 2.0 +3.2
Omar Narváez 30 FA-elig 841.3 5.0 -0.2
Eric Lauer 27 arb 291.1 2.4 +1.5
Rowdy Tellez 27 arb 1531.1 1.9 +1.9
Adrian Houser 29 FA-elig 221.0 2.4 +1.4
Aaron Ashby 24 pre-arb 270.9 0.7 +2.7
Garrett Mitchell 23 – 280.8 0.1 +2.8
Brad Boxberger 34 FA-elig 700.7 1.8 +1.0
Hoby Milner 31 pre-arb 670.7 0.7 +1.9
Keston Hiura 25 pre-arb 800.7 0.6 +1.8
Mike Brosseau 28 – 700.6 – –
Andrew McCutchen 35 FA-elig 1340.6 8.5 -6.4
Josh Hader↔ SDP 28 arb 370.6 7.3 -5.2
Jonathan Davis 30 pre-arb 370.6 0.4 +1.7
Peter Strzelecki 27 – 300.4 0.3 +1.3
Jake Cousins 27 pre-arb 120.2 0.6 +0.0
Mario Feliciano 23 pre-arb 20.0 0.1 +0.1
Pedro Severino 28 FA-elig 80.0 1.9 -1.7
Justin Topa 31 pre-arb 70.0 0.6 -0.5
Pablo Reyes 28 pre-arb 6-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Mark Mathias↔ TEX 27 – 6-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Alex Jackson 26 pre-arb 5-0.0 0.5 -0.6
Jandel Gustave 29 FA-elig 27-0.0 0.7 -0.8
J.C. Mejía 25 – 2-0.1 – –
Luke Barker 30 – 3-0.1 0.0 -0.4
Jake McGee↔ SFG 35 FA-elig 6-0.1 0.4 -0.8
Ethan Small 25 – 2-0.1 0.0 -0.4
Connor Sadzeck 30 – 2-0.1 0.0 -0.4
José Ureña↔ COL 30 FA-elig 4-0.1 0.2 -0.6
Trevor Gott 29 arb 45-0.1 0.7 -1.2
Esteury Ruiz↔ SDP 23 – 3-0.1 0.0 -0.5
Luis Perdomo 29 arb 14-0.2 0.5 -1.0
Brent Suter 32 FA-elig 54-0.2 2.7 -3.3
Chi Chi González↔ MIN 30 FA-elig 4-0.2 0.1 -0.7
Miguel Sánchez 28 pre-arb 12-0.3 0.5 -1.5
Jason Alexander 29 – 18-0.3 0.4 -1.5
Matt Bush↔ TEX 36 arb 25-0.3 0.2 -1.3
Taylor Rogers↔ SDP 31 arb 24-0.3 0.1 -1.2
Trevor Kelley 29 pre-arb 18-0.5 0.2 -2.0
Lorenzo Cain 36 FA-elig 43-0.7 18.0 -20.5

Key additions (new vs 2021)

PlayerfWAR
Hunter Renfroe2.4
Victor Caratini1.4
Garrett Mitchell0.8
Mike Brosseau0.6
Andrew McCutchen0.6
Jonathan Davis0.6

Key subtractions (gone from 2021)

Player2021 fWAR
Avisaíl García2.3
Manny Piña1.8
Brett Anderson0.8
Eduardo Escobar0.7
Hunter Strickland0.3
Luke Maile0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2022 payroll
$130.9M
2023 guaranteed
$28.0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2022, 2022–2028. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2022; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Christian Yelich308.069$26.0M$24.3M$24.2M$24.1M$24.0M$23.9M$23.9M
Lorenzo Cain3612.000$18.0MFREE AGENT
Kolten Wong318.045$8.5MFREE AGENT
Andrew McCutchen3512.123$8.5MFREE AGENT
Freddy Peralta263.090$2.5M$3.7M$5.7M$8.1MCLUB$8.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Brad Boxberger348.033$1.8MFREE AGENT
Jake McGee3512.000$429kFREE AGENT
José Ureña306.040$238kFREE AGENT
Chi Chi González307.000$59kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (20)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Hunter Renfroe304.165$7.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Hader284.115$7.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Woodruff293.161$6.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Corbin Burnes273.049$6.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Omar Narváez305.089$5.0MFREE AGENT
Willy Adames263.105$4.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brent Suter324.161$2.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Lauer273.033$2.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adrian Houser293.010$2.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Victor Caratini284.051$2.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Rowdy Tellez273.004$1.9MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Severino284.099$1.9MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jace Peterson325.142$1.8MFREE AGENT
Trevor Gott293.057$725kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jandel Gustave293.027$675kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Perdomo294.072$473kARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Bush363.132$206kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Taylor Rogers315.145$91kFREE AGENT
Connor Sadzeck303.031$46kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Brosseau283.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (22)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Luis Urías252.120$2.5MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Devin Williams272.056$714kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyrone Taylor281.093$711kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hoby Milner312.068$705kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Ashby240.046$704kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Keston Hiura252.029$593kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Topa311.058$571kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Cousins270.105$571kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Sánchez280.087$512kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Jackson261.076$496kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Alexander290.000$392kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Davis301.147$377kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Peter Strzelecki270.000$304kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trevor Kelley290.092$177kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Garrett Mitchell230.000$150kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mario Feliciano230.002$62kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Mathias271.081$38kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luke Barker30–$38k
Pablo Reyes281.051$35kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Esteury Ruiz230.000$14kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ethan Small250.000$12kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.C. Mejía25–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Brewers 2022; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.