RRosternomics
OM

Omar Minaya

Born Nov 10, 1958 · Valverde Province · age 67

General manager for the Nationals and Mets (2003–2010).

8 seasons with salary-era data across 2 stints. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

Overview

Titles0
Pennants0
Playoffs1
Record656–640
Win %0.506
-3.2GM WAR — wins above a replacement GM (org-adjusted, shrunk; per season) ±4.9155th/195 execs
6.0Depth — 2+ WAR regulars per season (the breadth that drives TAB, not stars)117th/195 execs
-5.4Dead WAR — WAR/yr bled by sub-replacement players (closer to 0 = better)116th/195 execs
34%Dead money — payroll on <0.5-WAR players (lower = better)92nd/195 execs
$14MCheap-talent surplus — $/yr of value from cost-controlled (pre-arb/arb) players above their pay; the selection engine, and the stickiest GM skill we track101st/195 execs
$13MDrafted surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own draftees (the develop-from-the-draft engine)44th/195 execs
$-2MTraded-for surplus — cheap-talent surplus from cost-controlled players he acquired via trade183rd/195 execs
$4MInt'l surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own international signees25th/195 execs
-34.4TAB — talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation), tenure total164th/195 execs
-18.1WAB — realized wins (TAB + the non-repeatable luck of converting talent to wins)142nd/195 execs
2.63Acquisition Leverage — playoff pts per acquired WAR, graded once in the year each deal's wins arrive (the repeatable decision skill)60th/195 execs
-305Roster surplus $M174th/195 execs

Tenure breakdown

TeamRoleYearsSzns WAB WAB/yr TAB WAR surp HG Trade FA R5 AcqLev W-L% POPenWS Surp $M
Mets GM 2005–2010 6 -15.4 -2.57 -16.9 -131.3 +151.2 +7.3 +22.6 -1.3 2.96 0.521 1 -292
Nationals GM 2003–2004 2 -2.7 -1.34 -17.4 -7.4 +20.3 +17.1 -25.9 -0.6 0.41 0.463 -13
Career total (1985+ data) 8 -18.1 -34.4 -138.7 +171.5 +24.3 -3.3 -1.9 2.63 0.506 1 -305

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+171.5
Trade+24.3
Free agency-3.3
Rule 5 / minor draft-1.9
Sourcing mix: 56% draft · 21% FA · 23% trade · 0% R5

Roster value distribution — career average — depth vs. stars

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR, averaged across Omar Minaya's seasons. Bars = his rosters; the black line = the league-average player at each slot. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge.

Players acquired — 195 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr Lev
Jacob deGrom P NYM Draft 2010 9 +43.9 +4.9
Carlos Beltrán OF NYM Free agency 2005 7 +26.1 +3.7 2.9
Ian Desmond SS/OF WSN Draft 2004 7 +16.2 +2.3
Jonathon Niese P NYM Draft 2005 8 +14.7 +1.8
Johan Santana P NYM Trade 2008 4 +14.3 +3.6 21.1
Daniel Murphy 1B/2B NYM Draft 2006 7 +13.6 +1.9
Matt Harvey P NYM Draft 2010 4 +12.8 +3.2
Liván Hernández P WSN Trade 2003 7 +12.8 +1.8 2.5
R. A. Dickey P NYM Free agency 2009 3 +10.6 +3.5 2.9
Nick Johnson 1B WSN Trade 2003 5 +10.5 +2.1 0.0
Mike Pelfrey P NYM Draft 2005 7 +9.3 +1.3
Pedro Martínez P NYM Trade 2005 4 +9.2 +2.3 6.1
Juan Lagares OF NYM Intl FA 2006 7 +8.1 +1.2
Lucas Duda 1B/OF NYM Draft 2007 6 +7.0 +1.2
Ryan Church OF WSN Trade 2004 3 +6.2 +2.1
Carlos Delgado 1B NYM Trade 2006 4 +6.1 +1.5 11.9
Steven Matz P NYM Draft 2009 5 +6.0 +1.2
John Maine P NYM Trade 2006 4 +5.8 +1.4 2.5
John Patterson P WSN Trade 2004 3 +5.3 +1.8
Wilmer Flores 1B NYM Intl FA 2007 5 +5.2 +1.0
Rubén Tejada SS NYM Intl FA 2006 4 +5.2 +1.3
Ike Davis 1B NYM Draft 2008 4 +4.9 +1.2
Endy Chávez OF NYM Free agency 2005 3 +4.7 +1.6
Dillon Gee P NYM Draft 2007 6 +4.7 +0.8
Billy Wagner P NYM Free agency 2005 4 +4.7 +1.2 7.7
Bobby Parnell P NYM Draft 2005 6 +4.5 +0.7
Jeurys Familia P NYM Intl FA 2007 7 +4.3 +0.6
Jon Rauch P WSN Trade 2004 5 +4.3 +0.9 0.1
Óliver Pérez P NYM Trade 2006 3 +4.0 +1.3 0.9
Cristian Guzmán SS WSN Free agency 2004 4 +3.8 +1.0 0.1
José Guillén OF WSN Trade 2004 1 +3.5 +3.5 2.4
José Valentín SS NYM Free agency 2005 2 +3.1 +1.5 12.6
Luis Ayala P WSN Draft 2003 4 +3.1 +0.8
Fernando Tatís 3B NYM Free agency 2007 2 +3.0 +1.5 5.0
Ramón Castro C NYM Trade 2005 5 +3.0 +0.6 1.6
Paul Lo Duca C NYM Trade 2005 2 +2.7 +1.3 10.6
Chad Cordero P WSN Draft 2003 6 +2.7 +0.4
Luis Castillo 2B NYM Trade 2007 4 +2.3 +0.6 6.5
Francisco Rodríguez P NYM Free agency 2008 3 +2.2 +0.7 0.1
Moisés Alou OF NYM Free agency 2006 2 +2.1 +1.0 9.0
Josh Thole C NYM Draft 2005 4 +2.1 +0.5
Kirk Nieuwenhuis OF NYM Draft 2008 4 +1.9 +0.5
Brian Schneider C NYM Trade 2008 1 +1.8 +1.8 7.5
Chad Bradford P NYM Free agency 2005 1 +1.5 +1.5 6.2
Hisanori Takahashi P NYM Draft 2010 1 +1.5 +1.5
Ryan Church OF NYM Trade 2007 2 +1.4 +0.7 5.6
Damion Easley 2B NYM Free agency 2006 1 +1.4 +1.4 6.8
Orlando Hernández P NYM Free agency 2006 2 +1.4 +0.7 8.2
Jorge Sosa P NYM Free agency 2007 1 +1.4 +1.4 8.2
Juan Rivera OF WSN Trade 2004 1 +1.4 +1.4 0.1
Nelson Figueroa P NYM Free agency 2008 2 +1.3 +0.6
René Rivera C NYM Free agency 2008 3 +1.2 +0.4 6.5
Roberto Hernández P NYM Free agency 2005 2 +1.0 +0.5 1.4
Duaner Sánchez P NYM Trade 2006 2 +1.0 +0.5 3.4
Vinny Castilla 3B WSN Free agency 2004 1 +1.0 +1.0 0.7
Jenrry Mejía P NYM Intl FA 2007 3 +0.9 +0.3
Liván Hernández P NYM Trade 2009 1 +0.9 +0.9 0.1
Jason Bay OF NYM Free agency 2009 2 +0.8 +0.4 1.2
Rúben Gotay 2B NYM Trade 2006 1 +0.7 +0.7 3.4
Gary Majewski P WSN Trade 2004 3 +0.7 +0.2
Jeff Francoeur OF NYM Trade 2009 1 +0.7 +0.7 0.1
Josh Satin 1B/3B NYM Draft 2008 1 +0.6 +0.6
Juan Padilla P NYM Trade 2005 1 +0.6 +0.6 0.8
Joe Vitiello 1B/DH WSN Trade 2003 1 +0.6 +0.6 0.4
Matt den Dekker OF NYM Draft 2010 2 +0.5 +0.2
Hansel Robles P NYM Intl FA 2008 2 +0.5 +0.3
Joe Smith P NYM Draft 2006 2 +0.5 +0.3
Michael Tucker OF NYM Free agency 2006 1 +0.4 +0.4 1.4
Raúl Valdés P NYM Trade 2010 1 +0.4 +0.4
Gabriel Ynoa P NYM Intl FA 2009 1 +0.4 +0.4
Marlon Anderson 2B NYM Free agency 2005 2 +0.3 +0.1 1.0
Darrell Ceciliani OF NYM Draft 2009 1 +0.3 +0.3
Gary Sheffield OF NYM Free agency 2009 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.0
Cory Sullivan OF NYM Free agency 2009 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.0
Micah Bowie P WSN Free agency 2004 2 +0.3 +0.1 0.0
Rick Short 2B WSN Trade 2004 1 +0.3 +0.3
Brian Stokes P NYM Trade 2008 1 +0.3 +0.3 1.2
Raúl Casanova C NYM Free agency 2007 1 +0.2 +0.2
Erik Goeddel P NYM Draft 2010 2 +0.2 +0.1
Brian Lawrence P NYM Free agency 2007 1 +0.2 +0.2 1.1
Guillermo Mota P NYM Free agency 2006 2 +0.2 +0.1
Mike O'Connor P NYM Free agency 2010 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.1
J. J. Putz P NYM Trade 2008 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.0
Chris Schwinden P NYM Draft 2008 1 +0.2 +0.2
Eric Knott P WSN Free agency 2003 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.1
Wilson Valdez 2B/SS NYM Trade 2009 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.0
Manny Acosta P NYM Trade 2010 2 +0.2 +0.1 0.3
Pat Misch P NYM Trade 2010 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.5
Todd Zeile 3B WSN Trade 2003 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.1
Manny Aybar P NYM Free agency 2005 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.2
Brady Clark OF NYM Free agency 2008 2 +0.1 +0.0 0.0
Josh Edgin P NYM Draft 2010 1 +0.1 +0.1
Gonzalez Germen P NYM Intl FA 2007 1 +0.1 +0.1
Luis Hernández SS NYM Free agency 2010 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.1
Brandon Knight P NYM Free agency 2008 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.6
Dae-Sung Koo P NYM Intl FA 2005 1 +0.1 +0.1
Zach Lutz 1B/3B NYM Draft 2007 1 +0.1 +0.1
Doug Mientkiewicz 1B NYM Trade 2005 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.2
Tim Redding P NYM Free agency 2009 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Ken Takahashi P NYM Draft 2009 1 +0.1 +0.1
Claudio Vargas P NYM Free agency 2008 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.3
Xavier Nady OF NYM Trade 2006 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.5
Jorge Julio P NYM Trade 2006 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.3
Luis Ayala P NYM Trade 2008 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.4
Lance Broadway P NYM Trade 2009 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Scott Downs P WSN Trade 2004 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Sandy Alomar C NYM Free agency 2007 -0.0
Chip Ambres OF NYM Free agency 2006 -0.0
Tony Armas P NYM Free agency 2008 -0.0
Robinson Cancel C NYM Free agency 2007 -0.0
Chris Carter OF NYM Trade 2009 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Willie Collazo P NYM Trade 2007 -0.0
Alex Cora 2B/SS NYM Free agency 2009 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Casey Fossum P NYM Free agency 2009 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Andy Green 2B/3B NYM Free agency 2008 -0.0
Mike Hessman 1B/3B NYM Free agency 2009 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Kazuhisa Ishii P NYM Trade 2005 -0.0
Ricky Ledée OF NYM Free agency 2007 -0.0
Mike Matthews P NYM Free agency 2005 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Gustavo Molina C NYM Free agency 2007 -0.0
David Newhan OF NYM Free agency 2007 -0.0
Abraham Núñez 2B/3B/SS NYM Free agency 2008 -0.0
Darren Oliver P NYM Free agency 2006 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Val Pascucci 1B/OF NYM Free agency 2008 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Ricardo Rincón P NYM Free agency 2008 -0.0
José Santiago P NYM Free agency 2005 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Jordany Valdespin 2B/OF NYM Intl FA 2007 1 +0.0 +0.0
Brett Campbell P WSN Draft 2004 -0.0
Brendan Harris SS WSN Trade 2004 -0.0
José Mercedes P WSN Free agency 2003 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Atahualpa Severino P WSN Intl FA 2004 1 +0.0 +0.0
Shawn Green OF NYM Trade 2007 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.3
Félix Heredia P NYM Trade 2005 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Chris Woodward SS NYM Trade 2005 1 -0.0 -0.0 0.8
Jon Adkins P NYM Trade 2007 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Ambiorix Burgos P NYM Trade 2007 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.2
Darren O'Day P NYM Trade 2009 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Rigo Beltrán P WSN Trade 2004 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Chris Aguila OF NYM Free agency 2008 -0.1
Pedro Beato P NYM Rule 5 2010 -0.1
Brian Daubach 1B NYM Free agency 2005 -0.1
Julio Franco 2B/SS NYM Free agency 2005 -0.1
Eddie Kunz P NYM Draft 2007 -0.1
José Lima P NYM Free agency 2006 -0.1
Gary Matthews OF NYM Trade 2010 -0.1
Akeel Morris P NYM Draft 2010 -0.1
Aaron Sele P NYM Free agency 2007 -0.1
Josh Stinson P NYM Draft 2006 -0.1
Tobi Stoner P NYM Draft 2006 -0.1
Wilfredo Tovar SS NYM Intl FA 2007 -0.1
Lino Urdaneta P NYM Free agency 2005 -0.1
Matt Wise P NYM Free agency 2007 -0.1
Joe Horgan P WSN Trade 2004 1 -0.1 -0.1
Julio Mañón P WSN Trade 2003 -0.1
Luke Montz C/DH WSN Draft 2003 -0.1
Eric Campbell 1B/3B NYM Draft 2008 1 -0.2 -0.2
Brad Emaus 2B NYM Rule 5 2010 -0.2
Jesús Feliciano OF NYM Trade 2010 -0.2
Ryota Igarashi P NYM Draft 2010 1 -0.2 -0.2
Ben Johnson OF NYM Trade 2006 -0.2
Collin McHugh P NYM Draft 2008 -0.2
Chan Ho Park P NYM Free agency 2007 -0.2
Jon Switzer P NYM Free agency 2009 -0.2
David Williams P NYM Trade 2006 1 -0.2 -0.2 1.7
Melvin Dorta 3B/SS WSN Trade 2004 -0.2
Jeremy Fikac P WSN Free agency 2003 -0.2
Jeffrey Hammonds OF WSN Free agency 2004 -0.2
Maicer Izturis 2B/3B WSN Trade 2004 -0.2
Gerald Williams OF NYM Trade 2005 1 -0.2 -0.2 0.1
Henry Blanco C NYM Free agency 2009 -0.3
Frank Catalanotto OF NYM Free agency 2010 -0.3
Juan Centeno C NYM Draft 2007 -0.3
Mike Difelice C NYM Free agency 2005 1 -0.3 -0.3 0.7
Sean Green P NYM Trade 2008 -0.3
Argenis Reyes 2B NYM Trade 2008 -0.3
Collin Balester P WSN Draft 2004 2 -0.3 -0.1
Miguel Cairo 2B NYM Free agency 2005 -0.5
Elmer Dessens P NYM Free agency 2009 -0.5
Chin-lung Hu 2B/SS NYM Trade 2010 -0.5
Ramón Martínez 2B/SS NYM Free agency 2008 1 -0.5 -0.5 0.1
Mike Nickeas C NYM Trade 2006 -0.5
Gary Bennett C WSN Free agency 2004 -0.5
Luis Lopez 1B/3B WSN Free agency 2004 -0.5
D. J. Carrasco P NYM Free agency 2010 -0.6
Fernando Martínez OF NYM Intl FA 2005 1 -0.6 -0.6
Tony Batista 3B WSN Free agency 2004 -0.6
Tony Blanco 3B/OF WSN Rule 5 2004 -0.6
Fernando Nieve P NYM Trade 2009 1 -0.7 -0.7 0.0
Anderson Hernández 2B/SS NYM Trade 2005 2 -0.8 -0.4
Omir Santos C NYM Free agency 2008 -0.8
Scott Schoeneweis P NYM Free agency 2007 -0.8
Robert Carson P NYM Draft 2007 -1.1
Ronny Paulino C NYM Free agency 2010 -1.2
Kory Casto 1B/OF WSN Draft 2003 -1.4
Óliver Pérez P NYM Free agency 2009 3 -1.5 -0.5 0.9

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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