RRosternomics
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Mets NYM

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GM: John Ricco

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 1.47× league · TAB -9.8
-9.8TAB — talent above budget24th/30
-8.0WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)24th/30
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars7th/30
-6.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag17th/30
35%dead money %17th/30
0.488win %20th/30
29.3roster fWAR20th/30
-76surplus $M (value vs cost)29th/30
$134Mpayroll $M5th/30

Roster

CFÁngel Pagán 94GCarlos Beltrán 61GJésus Feliciano 12G
LFJason Bay 93GÁngel Pagán 27GLucas Duda 24G
RFÁngel Pagán 33GJésus Feliciano 14GChris Carter 13G
SSJosé Reyes 133GRubén Tejada 28GAlex Cora 6G
2BLuis Castillo 74GRubén Tejada 50GJoaquin Arias 38G
3BDavid Wright 155GMike Hessman 8GFernando Tatis 4G
1BIke Davis 146GFernando Tatis 14GMike Jacobs 7G
STARTERSJohan Santana 3.9WARR.A. Dickey 3.4WARMike Pelfrey 2.5WARJonathon Niese 2.4WARHisanori Takahashi 1.5WAR
CJosh Thole 61GHenry Blanco 46GMike Nickeas 4G
DHChris Carter 7GFernando Tatis 3GDavid Wright 1G
BULLPEN★ Francisco Rodríguez 25svPedro Feliciano 23hElmer Dessens 11hBobby Parnell 9hFernando Nieve 6hRaul Valdes 2hRyota Igarashi 2hManny Acosta 1h
CJosh Thole 61 · Henry Blanco 46 · Mike Nickeas 4
1BIke Davis 146 · Fernando Tatis 14 · Mike Jacobs 7
2BLuis Castillo 74 · Rubén Tejada 50 · Joaquin Arias 38
3BDavid Wright 155 · Mike Hessman 8 · Fernando Tatis 4
SSJosé Reyes 133 · Rubén Tejada 28 · Alex Cora 6
LFJason Bay 93 · Ángel Pagán 27 · Lucas Duda 24
CFÁngel Pagán 94 · Carlos Beltrán 61 · Jésus Feliciano 12
RFÁngel Pagán 33 · Jésus Feliciano 14 · Chris Carter 13
DHChris Carter 7 · Fernando Tatis 3 · David Wright 1
SPJohan Santana 3.9 · R.A. Dickey 3.4 · Mike Pelfrey 2.5 · Jonathon Niese 2.4 · Hisanori Takahashi 1.5
BP★ Francisco Rodríguez 25 · Pedro Feliciano 23 · Elmer Dessens 11 · Bobby Parnell 9 · Fernando Nieve 6 · Raul Valdes 2 · Ryota Igarashi 2 · Manny Acosta 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2010 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Ángel Pagán 28 arb 1514.9 1.5 +10.1
Johan Santana 31 FA-elig 293.9 20.1 -11.1
David Wright 27 FA-elig 1573.5 10.2 -2.1
R.A. Dickey 35 – 273.4 – –
Ike Davis 23 – 1472.9 0.4 +6.4
Mike Pelfrey 26 arb 342.5 0.5 +5.5
José Reyes 27 FA-elig 1332.5 9.4 -3.5
Jonathon Niese 23 pre-arb 312.4 0.4 +5.2
Hisanori Takahashi 35 pre-arb 531.5 1.0 +2.6
Francisco Rodríguez 28 FA-elig 531.5 12.2 -8.7
Jason Bay 31 FA-elig 951.3 8.6 -5.6
Josh Thole 23 – 730.9 0.4 +1.8
Pedro Feliciano 33 FA-elig 920.8 2.9 -1.1
Bobby Parnell 25 – 410.7 – –
Carlos Beltrán 33 FA-elig 640.7 19.4 -17.7
Pat Misch 28 – 120.5 – –
Luis Castillo 34 FA-elig 860.4 6.2 -5.2
Raul Valdes 32 – 380.4 – –
Dillon Gee 24 – 50.3 0.4 +0.4
Manny Acosta 29 – 410.3 – –
Luis Hernandez 26 – 170.1 – –
Mike Jacobs 29 arb 70.1 0.9 -0.7
Chris Carter 27 – 1000.0 – –
Mike Hessman 32 – 320.0 – –
Nick Evans 24 – 200.0 0.4 -0.4
Fernando Tatis 35 FA-elig 41-0.0 0.8 -0.9
Tobi Stoner 25 – 1-0.0 – –
Jeff Francoeur↔ TEX 26 arb 124-0.1 4.5 -4.6
Justin Turner↔ BAL 25 – 4-0.1 0.0 -0.2
Gary Matthews Jr. 35 FA-elig 36-0.1 11.4 -11.6
Mike Nickeas 27 – 5-0.1 – –
Jenrry Mejia 20 – 33-0.1 0.4 -0.7
Sean Green 31 arb 11-0.2 1.0 -1.4
Jésus Feliciano 31 – 54-0.2 – –
Fernando Martinez 21 – 7-0.2 – –
Joaquin Arias↔ TEX 25 arb 22-0.3 0.1 -0.7
Elmer Dessens 39 – 53-0.3 – –
Lucas Duda 24 – 29-0.3 – –
Frank Catalanotto 36 FA-elig 25-0.3 0.7 -1.3
Ryota Igarashi 31 pre-arb 34-0.3 1.2 -2.0
Henry Blanco 38 FA-elig 50-0.3 0.8 -1.5
Rubén Tejada 20 pre-arb 78-0.3 0.4 -1.2
Rod Barajas↔ LAD 34 FA-elig 74-0.4 0.4 -1.3
John Maine 29 FA-elig 10-0.5 3.3 -4.4
Alex Cora↔ TEX 34 FA-elig 62-0.5 1.9 -3.1
Fernando Nieve 27 arb 40-0.9 0.4 -2.6
Oliver Pérez 28 FA-elig 17-1.1 12.0 -14.5

Key additions (new vs 2009)

PlayerfWAR
R.A. Dickey3.4
Ike Davis2.9
Hisanori Takahashi1.5
Jason Bay1.3
Raul Valdes0.4
Dillon Gee0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 2009)

Player2009 fWAR
Livan Hernandez0.9
Nelson Figueroa0.9
Daniel Murphy0.8
Ryan Church0.5
Carlos Delgado0.4
Gary Sheffield0.3

Current & Historical Payroll

2010 payroll
$134.3M

What the front office was committed to as of 2010, 2010–2016. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (19)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Johan Santana3110.000$20.1MFREE AGENT$24.0M
Carlos Beltrán3312.000$19.4M$13.3MFREE AGENT
Francisco Rodríguez288.000$12.2M$7.0MFREE AGENT
Oliver Pérez288.000$12.0MFREE AGENT
Gary Matthews Jr.3511.000$11.4MFREE AGENT
David Wright276.000$10.2M$14.2M$15.0M$11.0M$20.0M$20.0M$20.0M
José Reyes277.000$9.4M$11.0MFREE AGENT$250k
Jason Bay317.000$8.6M$18.1M$16.0MFREE AGENT
Luis Castillo3414.000$6.2MFREE AGENT
John Maine296.000$3.3MFREE AGENT
Pedro Feliciano338.000$2.9MFREE AGENT$322k
Alex Cora3412.000$1.9MFREE AGENT
Fernando Tatis3513.000$850kFREE AGENT
Henry Blanco3813.000$750kFREE AGENT
Frank Catalanotto3613.000$650kFREE AGENT
Rod Barajas3411.000$374kFREE AGENT
Elmer Dessens3914.000—FREE AGENT
R.A. Dickey359.000—$2.8M$4.2MFREE AGENT
Mike Hessman327.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Jeff Francoeur265.000$4.5MFREE AGENT
Ángel Pagán284.000$1.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Green314.000$975kARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Jacobs295.000$900kFREE AGENT
Mike Pelfrey264.000$500kARB 3FREE AGENT
Fernando Nieve274.000$414kARB 3FREE AGENT
Joaquin Arias254.000$123kARB 3FREE AGENT
Manny Acosta293.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Hernandez263.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pat Misch284.000—ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (18)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Ryota Igarashi310.000$1.2MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hisanori Takahashi350.000$1.0MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathon Niese232.000$402kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rubén Tejada200.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dillon Gee240.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Thole230.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Evans242.000$400kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ike Davis230.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jenrry Mejia200.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Turner250.000$17kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Nickeas270.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jésus Feliciano31–—
Lucas Duda240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Raul Valdes320.085—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Carter272.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby Parnell252.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Fernando Martinez210.073—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tobi Stoner25–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Mets 2010; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.