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Nationals WSN

200467–95 (0.414)
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GM: Omar Minaya

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2004, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$40M
Surplus $M
-11
Win %
0.414
TAB
-12.7
WAB
-8.4
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
15.3
Dead money %
50%
Depth Players
3.0
Dead WAR
-10.8

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2004 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

LBrian Schneider133
REinar Díaz44

1B

LBrad Wilkerson86
LNick Johnson73
LTerrmel Sledge10
RLuis Lopez8
RValentino Pascucci5
LAndy Fox⇄1

2B

BJose Vidro105
RJamey Carroll51
RBrendan Harris⇄11
BMaicer Izturis10
BHenry Mateo9
RJosh Labandeira2

3B

RTony Batista155
RJamey Carroll13
RBrendan Harris⇄7
REinar Díaz1

SS

ROrlando Cabrera⇄103
RAlex Gonzalez⇄35
BMaicer Izturis23
RJamey Carroll10
LAndy Fox⇄5
RJosh Labandeira3

LF

LTerrmel Sledge79
LBrad Wilkerson59
LRyan Church12
RJuan Rivera10
LMatt Cepicky9
LRonald Calloway6
RValentino Pascucci4
RJamey Carroll2
BHenry Mateo1

CF

LEndy Chavez127
LBrad Wilkerson18
RJuan Rivera13
LPeter Bergeron11
LTerrmel Sledge4
LRyan Church2

RF

RJuan Rivera104
LTerrmel Sledge43
LRonald Calloway15
BCarl Everett⇄14
RValentino Pascucci13
LBrad Wilkerson10
LRyan Church6
LMatt Cepicky2

DH

BJose Vidro4
LMatt Cepicky2

Starters

RLivan Hernandez5.2 WAR
RZach Day0.9 WAR
RTomo Ohka0.9 WAR
RT.J. Tucker0.7 WAR
RSun-Woo Kim0.7 WAR
RJohn Patterson0.6 WAR
RJon Rauch⇄0.6 WAR
LScott Downs0.3 WAR
RShawn Hill0.0 WAR
RTony Armas Jr.-0.4 WAR
RRocky Biddle-0.8 WAR
RClaudio Vargas-1.4 WAR

Bullpen

★ RChad Cordero14 sv
RLuis Ayala21 h
LJoe Horgan11 h
LChad Bentz5 h
RT.J. Tucker3 h
LJoey Eischen2 h
RJeremy Fikac1 h
RGary Majewski0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2003)

PlayerfWAR
Terrmel Sledge1.8
Juan Rivera1.4
Jon Rauch0.6
John Patterson0.6
Nick Johnson0.5
Gary Majewski0.1

Key subtractions (gone from 2003)

Player2003 fWAR
Javier Vazquez5.9
Vladimir Guerrero3.0
Joe Vitiello0.6
Wil Cordero0.6
Michael Barrett0.3
Todd Zeile0.2

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Nationals. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2004; everyone else is shown as a 2004 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Livan Hernandez 2004 +5.2 +103.7 6.0 +97.7 $1.2M 2.50× –
Brad Wilkerson 2004 +5.0 +55.0 0.4 +54.6 $0.1M 1.37× –
Luis Ayala 2004 +1.9 +30.3 0.3 +30.0 $0.2M 1.95× –
Terrmel Sledge 2004 +1.8 +17.2 0.3 +16.9 $0.2M 1.22× –
Brian Schneider 2004 +2.1 +12.6 0.3 +12.2 $0.2M 0.76× –
Juan Rivera 2004 +1.4 +9.5 0.3 +9.2 $0.2M 0.83× –
Chad Cordero 2004 +0.8 +9.0 0.3 +8.7 $0.4M 1.34× –
Zach Day 2004 +0.9 +7.2 0.3 +6.9 $0.4M 1.02× –
Tomo Ohka 2004 +0.9 +7.7 2.3 +5.3 $2.5M 1.02× –
John Patterson 2004 +0.6 +5.0 0.3 +4.7 $0.5M 1.02× –
Jamey Carroll 2004 +0.9 +4.1 0.3 +3.8 $0.3M 0.56× –
Endy Chavez 2004 +0.6 +3.8 0.3 +3.5 $0.5M 0.83× –
Sun-Woo Kim 2004 +0.7 +3.5 0.3 +3.2 $0.5M 0.67× –
Scott Downs 2004 +0.3 +2.2 0.3 +1.9 $1.1M 1.02× –
Nick Johnson 2004 +0.5 +2.3 1.2 +1.0 $2.5M 0.56× –
Joey Eischen 2004 +0.3 +1.4 1.3 +0.1 $4.9M 0.67× –
Jeremy Fikac 2004 -0.2 -1.1 0.3 -1.5 – 0.67× –
Luis Lopez 2004 -0.5 -2.0 0.3 -2.4 – 0.56× –
Peter Bergeron 2004 -0.3 -2.2 0.3 -2.5 – 0.83× –
Tony Batista 2004 -0.3 -1.6 1.5 -3.1 – 0.58× –
Jose Vidro 2004 +0.8 +3.8 7.0 -3.2 $8.3M 0.56× –
Andy Fox↔ 2004 -0.6 -2.9 0.3 -3.3 – 0.61× –
Chad Bentz 2004 -0.6 -3.0 0.3 -3.3 – 0.67× –
Alex Gonzalez↔ 2004 -0.3 -1.7 2.4 -4.1 – 0.61× –
Carl Everett↔ 2004 -0.4 -2.8 1.4 -4.3 – 0.83× –
Einar Díaz 2004 -0.6 -2.5 2.6 -5.1 – 0.52× –
Tony Armas 2004 -0.4 -3.1 2.1 -5.2 – 1.02× –
Ronald Calloway 2004 -0.8 -5.1 0.3 -5.4 – 0.83× –
Orlando Cabrera↔ 2004 -0.8 -3.7 3.8 -7.6 – 0.61× –
Claudio Vargas 2004 -1.4 -7.4 0.3 -7.7 – 0.67× –
Rocky Biddle 2004 -0.8 -9.0 1.9 -10.9 – 1.34× –
Brendan Harris↔ 2004 -0.6 -2.5 – – – 0.56× –
Francis Beltran↔ 2004 -0.1 -0.6 – – – 0.67× –
Gary Majewski 2004 +0.1 +0.3 – – – 0.67× –
Henry Mateo 2004 -0.4 -1.6 – – – 0.56× –
Joe Horgan 2004 -0.1 -0.8 – – – 0.67× –
Jon Rauch↔ 2004 +0.6 +3.3 – – – 0.67× –
Josh Labandeira 2004 -0.5 -2.3 – – – 0.61× –
Maicer Izturis 2004 -0.2 -1.0 – – – 0.61× –
Matt Cepicky 2004 -0.1 -0.9 – – – 0.83× –
Rigo Beltran 2004 +0.0 +0.2 – – – 0.67× –
Roy Corcoran 2004 +0.0 +0.0 – – – 0.67× –
Ryan Church 2004 -0.4 -2.6 – – – 0.83× –
Shawn Hill 2004 +0.0 +0.0 – – – 1.02× –
T.J. Tucker 2004 +0.7 +3.5 – – – 0.67× –
Valentino Pascucci 2004 -0.4 -2.5 – – – 0.83× –
Total—+15.3+222.739.3+190.1—

Trades

Every graded 2004 deal involving the Nationals — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 13 total.

2004 · WSN / CLE
WSN · Omar Minaya +$0.0M
Jeriome Robertson
CLE · Mark Shapiro +$0.0M
Pierre-Luc Marceau
Even trade
2004 · WSN / ARI
WSN · Omar Minaya +$20.8M
John Patterson
ARI · Joe Garagiola −$20.8M
Randy Choate
WSN came out ahead by $20.8M
2004 · WSN / TOR
WSN · Omar Minaya +$0.0M
G.J. Raymundo
TOR · JP Ricciardi +$0.0M
Julius Matos
Even trade
2004 · WSN / MIL
WSN · Omar Minaya +$0.0M
Alejandro Machado
MIL · Douglas Melvin +$0.0M
Fernando Rijo
Even trade
2004 · WSN / MIL
WSN · Omar Minaya +$0.0M
Jason Childers, Jason Belcher
MIL · Douglas Melvin +$0.0M
Peter Bergeron, Saúl Rivera
Even trade
2004 · STL / WSN
STL · Walt Jocketty +$1.6M
Benji DeQuin
WSN · Omar Minaya −$1.6M
Joe Horgan
STL came out ahead by $1.6M
2004 · PIT / WSN
PIT · Dave Littlefield +$1.6M
Antonio Sucre
WSN · Omar Minaya −$1.6M
J. J. Davis
PIT came out ahead by $1.6M
2004 · WSN / CLE
WSN · Omar Minaya +$56.8M
Ryan Church, Maicer Izturis
CLE · Mark Shapiro −$56.8M
Scott Stewart
WSN came out ahead by $56.8M
2004 · WSN / CHW
WSN · Omar Minaya +$35.2M
Gary Majewski, Jon Rauch
CHW · Kenny Williams −$35.2M
Carl Everett
WSN came out ahead by $35.2M
2004 · WSN / KCR
WSN · Omar Minaya +$0.8M
Rick Short
KCR · Allard Baird −$0.8M
Scott Randall
WSN came out ahead by $0.8M
2004 · TEX / WSN
TEX · John Hart +$36.0M
Chris Young, Josh McKinley
WSN · Omar Minaya −$36.0M
Einar Díaz, Justin Echols
TEX came out ahead by $36.0M
2004 · ANA / WSN
ANA · Bill Stoneman +$59.2M
Maicer Izturis, Juan Rivera
WSN · Omar Minaya −$59.2M
José Guillén
ANA came out ahead by $59.2M
2004 · MIN / CHC / BOS / WSN
MIN · Terry Ryan +$9.6M
Justin Jones
CHC · Jim Hendry +$8.0M
Nomar Garciaparra, Matt Murton
BOS · Theo Epstein −$5.6M
Orlando Cabrera, Doug Mientkiewicz
WSN · Omar Minaya −$12.0M
Brendan Harris, Alex Gonzalez, Francis Beltrán
MIN came out ahead by $9.6M 4-team

Current & Historical Payroll

2004 payroll
$39.8M

What the front office was committed to as of 2004, 2004–2010. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2004200520062007200820092010
Jose Vidro297.000$7.0M$7.0M$7.0MFREE AGENT
Livan Hernandez298.000$6.0M$8.0M$5.6MFREE AGENT$537k$900k
Orlando Cabrera297.000$3.8MFREE AGENT
Einar Díaz318.000$2.6MFREE AGENT
Alex Gonzalez3110.000$2.4MFREE AGENT
Tony Batista308.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Carl Everett3311.000$1.4MFREE AGENT
Joey Eischen3410.000$1.3M$1.0M$1.3MFREE AGENT
Andy Fox338.000$333kFREE AGENT
Rigo Beltran347.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2004200520062007200820092010
Tomo Ohka285.000$2.3MFREE AGENT
Tony Armas265.000$2.1MFREE AGENT
Rocky Biddle284.000$1.9MARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Johnson253.000$1.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Wilkerson273.000$375kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Schneider274.000$350kARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Lopez303.000$350kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremy Fikac293.000$350kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Rivera253.000$312kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sun-Woo Kim263.000$303kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Peter Bergeron265.000$300kFREE AGENT
Endy Chavez263.000$300kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Downs284.000$300kARB 3FREE AGENT
T.J. Tucker254.000—ARB 3FREE AGENT
Henry Mateo273.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (21)

PlayerAgeSvc2004200520062007200820092010
Luis Ayala261.000$318kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach Day262.000$315kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ronald Calloway271.000$312kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Patterson262.000$310kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jamey Carroll302.000$310kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Claudio Vargas261.000$308kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Terrmel Sledge270.000$300kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Cordero221.000$300kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Bentz240.000$300kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gary Majewski240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jon Rauch252.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Francis Beltran24–—
Matt Cepicky26–—
Valentino Pascucci25–—
Ryan Church250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Horgan270.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shawn Hill230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Roy Corcoran241.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brendan Harris230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Labandeira25–—
Maicer Izturis230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2004 acquisition stacked onto Nationals's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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