RRosternomics

Mets NYM

GM: Omar Minaya

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↗ rising
expensive & losing · year 5 in this regime · payroll 1.45× league · TAB -3.3
-3.3TAB — talent above budget21st/30
-3.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)19th/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars23rd/30
-3.8dead WAR — sub-replacement drag10th/30
30%dead money %12th/30
0.512win %11th/30
35.5roster fWAR14th/30
-45surplus $M (value vs cost)27th/30
$104Mpayroll $M3rd/30

Roster

CFCarlos Beltrán 150GMike Cameron 10GGerald Williams 10G
LFCliff Floyd 150GChris Woodward 13GGerald Williams 10G
RFVictor Diaz 78GMike Cameron 68GMarlon Anderson 14G
SSJosé Reyes 161GChris Woodward 7GAnderson Hernandez 2G
2BMiguel Cairo 82GKazuo Matsui 71GMarlon Anderson 20G
3BDavid Wright 160GChris Woodward 6GMiguel Cairo 3G
1BDoug Mientkiewicz 83GChris Woodward 34GMike Jacobs 28G
STARTERSPedro Martínez 5.6WARTom Glavine 3.9WARAaron Heilman 2.0WARJae Weong Seo 1.9WARKris Benson 1.6WAR
CMike Piazza 101GRamon Castro 99GMike DiFelice 11G
DHMike Piazza 5GMarlon Anderson 2GBrian Daubach 2G
BULLPEN Braden Looper 28svRoberto Hernandez 18hDae-Sung Koo 6hJuan Padilla 5hShingo Takatsu 4hHeath Bell 4hManny Aybar 2hDanny Graves 1h
CMike Piazza 101 · Ramon Castro 99 · Mike DiFelice 11
1BDoug Mientkiewicz 83 · Chris Woodward 34 · Mike Jacobs 28
2BMiguel Cairo 82 · Kazuo Matsui 71 · Marlon Anderson 20
3BDavid Wright 160 · Chris Woodward 6 · Miguel Cairo 3
SSJosé Reyes 161 · Chris Woodward 7 · Anderson Hernandez 2
LFCliff Floyd 150 · Chris Woodward 13 · Gerald Williams 10
CFCarlos Beltrán 150 · Mike Cameron 10 · Gerald Williams 10
RFVictor Diaz 78 · Mike Cameron 68 · Marlon Anderson 14
DHMike Piazza 5 · Marlon Anderson 2 · Brian Daubach 2
SPPedro Martínez 5.6 · Tom Glavine 3.9 · Aaron Heilman 2.0 · Jae Weong Seo 1.9 · Kris Benson 1.6
BP Braden Looper 28 · Roberto Hernandez 18 · Dae-Sung Koo 6 · Juan Padilla 5 · Shingo Takatsu 4 · Heath Bell 4 · Manny Aybar 2 · Danny Graves 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2005 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
David Wright 22 pre-arb 1605.8 0.3 +10.6
Pedro Martínez 33 FA-elig 315.6 10.9 -0.3
Tom Glavine 39 FA-elig 333.9 10.8 -3.4
Cliff Floyd 32 FA-elig 1503.7 6.6 +0.4
Carlos Beltrán 28 FA-elig 1512.3 11.6 -7.2
Mike Cameron 32 FA-elig 762.1 7.3 -3.3
Aaron Heilman 26 532.0 0.3 +3.4
Jae Weong Seo 28 141.9
José Reyes 22 pre-arb 1611.7 0.3 +2.9
Kris Benson 30 FA-elig 281.6 5.3 -2.3
Victor Zambrano 29 arb 311.4 2.1 +0.5
Ramon Castro 29 FA-elig 991.2 0.5 +1.8
Mike Jacobs 24 301.1
Roberto Hernandez 40 FA-elig 671.0 0.7 +1.3
Mike Piazza 36 FA-elig 1130.9 16.1 -14.4
Marlon Anderson 31 1230.7
Heath Bell 27 420.6
Juan Padilla 28 240.6
Chris Woodward 29 FA-elig 810.6 0.7 +0.4
Manny Aybar 33 FA-elig 220.1 0.4 -0.2
Doug Mientkiewicz 31 FA-elig 870.1 3.8 -3.5
Kazuo Matsui 29 pre-arb 870.1 7.0 -6.8
Dae-Sung Koo 35 pre-arb 330.1 0.5 -0.3
Gerald Williams 38 390.1
Jose Santiago 30 40.0
Mike Matthews 31 arb 60.0 0.5 -0.5
Felix Heredia 30 FA-elig 30.0 1.8 -1.8
Kaz Ishii 31 arb 19-0.0 3.6 -3.6
Royce Ring 24 15-0.0
Steve Trachsel 34 FA-elig 6-0.1 6.8 -6.9
Victor Diaz 23 89-0.1
Brian Daubach 33 15-0.1
Shingo Takatsu↔ CHW 36 pre-arb 9-0.2 0.6 -0.9
Mike DiFelice 36 11-0.2
Jose Offerman↔ PHI 36 FA-elig 53-0.2 0.3 -0.7
Anderson Hernandez 22 6-0.3
Mike DeJean↔ COL 34 FA-elig 28-0.3 0.5 -1.0
Tim Hamulack 28 6-0.3
Danny Graves↔ CIN 31 FA-elig 20-0.4 3.1 -3.9
Miguel Cairo 31 FA-elig 100-0.5 0.9 -1.9
Braden Looper 30 FA-elig 60-0.6 0.8 -1.9
Eric Valent 28 arb 28-0.6 0.3 -1.5

Key additions (new vs 2004)

PlayerfWAR
Pedro Martínez5.6
Carlos Beltrán2.3
Ramon Castro1.2
Mike Jacobs1.1
Roberto Hernandez1.0
Marlon Anderson0.7

Key subtractions (gone from 2004)

Player2004 fWAR
Al Leiter1.3
Ty Wigginton1.2
Shane Spencer0.9
Matt Ginter0.9
Orber Moreno0.8
Vance Wilson0.8

Current & Historical Payroll

2005 payroll
$104.3M

What the front office was committed to as of 2005, 2005–2011. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (24)

PlayerAgeSvc2005200620072008200920102011
Mike Piazza3613.000$16.1MFREE AGENT
Carlos Beltrán287.000$11.6M$13.6M$13.6M$18.6M$19.2M$19.4M$13.3M
Pedro Martínez3313.000$10.9M$14.9M$14.0M$11.8MFREE AGENT
Tom Glavine3918.000$10.8M$10.0M$7.5MFREE AGENT
Mike Cameron3210.000$7.3MFREE AGENT
Steve Trachsel3412.000$6.8M$2.5MFREE AGENT
Cliff Floyd3212.000$6.6M$6.6MFREE AGENT
Kris Benson306.000$5.3MFREE AGENT
Doug Mientkiewicz317.000$3.8MFREE AGENT
Danny Graves319.000$3.1MFREE AGENT
Felix Heredia309.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Miguel Cairo319.000$900kFREE AGENT
Braden Looper307.000$800kFREE AGENT
Chris Woodward296.000$700k$825kFREE AGENT
Roberto Hernandez4014.000$650k$1.9MFREE AGENT
Ramon Castro296.000$500k$800k$850k$2.0M$1.4MFREE AGENT
Mike DeJean348.000$488kFREE AGENT
Manny Aybar338.000$425kFREE AGENT
Jose Offerman3615.000$308kFREE AGENT
Mike DiFelice369.000FREE AGENT
Jose Santiago308.000FREE AGENT
Gerald Williams3813.000FREE AGENT
Marlon Anderson317.000FREE AGENT$603k$1.1M$1.1M
Brian Daubach337.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (5)

PlayerAgeSvc2005200620072008200920102011
Kaz Ishii313.000$3.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Victor Zambrano294.000$2.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Matthews315.000$500kFREE AGENT
Eric Valent284.000$332kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jae Weong Seo283.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2005200620072008200920102011
Kazuo Matsui291.000$7.0MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shingo Takatsu361.000$562kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dae-Sung Koo350.000$450kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Reyes222.000$332kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Wright221.000$322kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Heilman262.000$316kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Jacobs240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Heath Bell271.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Hamulack280.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Royce Ring240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Victor Diaz231.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Padilla28
Anderson Hernandez220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Mets 2005; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3