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Nationals WSN

200383–79 (0.512)
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GM: Omar Minaya

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2003, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$49M
Surplus $M
-2
Win %
0.512
TAB
-5.0
WAB
+5.5
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
25.1
Dead money %
29%
Depth Players
7.0
Dead WAR
-9.1

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2003 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

LBrian Schneider98
RMichael Barrett68
LEdwards Guzman4

1B

RWil Cordero123
LBrad Wilkerson27
LJeff Liefer⇄21
LEdwards Guzman13
RJoe Vitiello12

2B

BJose Vidro137
BHenry Mateo43
RJamey Carroll11
BJose Macias4

3B

RJamey Carroll67
RFernando Tatis49
RTodd Zeile⇄34
LEdwards Guzman28
BJose Macias25

SS

ROrlando Cabrera162
RJamey Carroll14
BHenry Mateo2

LF

LBrad Wilkerson95
LRonald Calloway50
BJose Macias41
RJoe Vitiello15
LMatt Cepicky3
BHenry Mateo2
RWil Cordero1

CF

LEndy Chavez135
LBrad Wilkerson42
BJose Macias15
BHenry Mateo2
LRonald Calloway2

RF

RVladimir Guerrero112
LRonald Calloway47
LBrad Wilkerson16
BJose Macias8
BHenry Mateo6
LMatt Cepicky1

DH

LBrian Schneider2
LEdwards Guzman2
RWil Cordero2
BHenry Mateo1
RJoe Vitiello1
BJose Macias1

Starters

RJavier Vazquez5.9 WAR
RLivan Hernandez4.4 WAR
RTomo Ohka3.0 WAR
RT.J. Tucker1.0 WAR
RZach Day0.9 WAR
RTony Armas Jr.0.5 WAR
RClaudio Vargas0.4 WAR
LEric Knott0.2 WAR
LScott Downs-0.2 WAR
RTim Drew-0.4 WAR
RSun-Woo Kim-0.6 WAR

Bullpen

★ RRocky Biddle34 sv
RLuis Ayala19 h
LJoey Eischen15 h
LScott Stewart13 h
RJulio Manon6 h
RHector Almonte⇄3 h
RDan Smith2 h
LEric Knott0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2002)

PlayerfWAR
Livan Hernandez4.4
Luis Ayala0.6
Joe Vitiello0.6
Claudio Vargas0.4
Todd Zeile0.2
Chad Cordero0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 2002)

Player2002 fWAR
Bartolo Colon2.1
Masato Yoshii1.4
Troy O'Leary0.2
Bruce Chen0.1
Scott Strickland0.0
Chris Truby-0.0

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Nationals. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2003; everyone else is shown as a 2003 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Javier Vazquez 2003 +5.9 +118.6 6.0 +112.6 $1.0M 2.50× –
Livan Hernandez 2003 +4.4 +77.9 3.8 +74.1 $0.9M 2.19× –
Brad Wilkerson 2003 +3.9 +55.3 0.3 +55.0 $0.1M 1.79× –
Tomo Ohka 2003 +3.0 +47.5 0.3 +47.2 $0.1M 1.96× –
Orlando Cabrera 2003 +4.2 +44.1 3.3 +40.8 $0.8M 1.32× –
Vladimir Guerrero 2003 +3.0 +38.0 11.5 +26.5 $3.9M 1.60× –
Jose Vidro 2003 +3.2 +27.2 5.5 +21.7 $1.7M 1.07× –
Zach Day 2003 +0.9 +7.3 0.3 +7.0 $0.3M 1.02× –
Luis Ayala 2003 +0.6 +6.7 0.3 +6.4 $0.5M 1.34× –
T.J. Tucker 2003 +1.0 +5.2 0.3 +4.9 $0.3M 0.67× –
Brian Schneider 2003 +0.6 +2.4 0.3 +2.1 $0.5M 0.52× –
Tony Armas 2003 +0.5 +4.2 2.1 +2.1 $4.1M 1.02× –
Wil Cordero 2003 +0.6 +2.6 0.6 +2.0 $1.0M 0.56× –
Scott Stewart 2003 +0.2 +1.2 0.3 +0.8 $1.5M 0.67× –
Joey Eischen 2003 +0.3 +1.5 0.8 +0.7 $2.7M 0.67× –
Todd Zeile↔ 2003 +0.2 +1.1 0.5 +0.5 $2.3M 0.58× –
Jamey Carroll 2003 -0.2 -0.9 0.3 -1.2 – 0.58× –
Michael Barrett 2003 +0.3 +1.1 2.6 -1.5 $10.0M 0.52× –
Endy Chavez 2003 -0.2 -1.5 0.3 -1.8 – 0.83× –
Henry Mateo 2003 -0.3 -1.5 0.3 -1.8 – 0.56× –
Scott Downs 2003 -0.2 -1.5 0.3 -1.8 – 1.02× –
Ronald Calloway 2003 -0.6 -4.1 0.3 -4.4 – 0.83× –
Dan Smith 2003 -0.8 -4.3 0.3 -4.6 – 0.67× –
Jeff Liefer↔ 2003 -1.0 -4.4 0.3 -4.7 – 0.56× –
Rocky Biddle 2003 -0.7 -7.4 0.3 -7.8 – 1.34× –
Jose Macias 2003 -1.3 -8.5 0.8 -9.3 – 0.83× –
Fernando Tatis 2003 -1.0 -4.7 6.5 -11.2 – 0.58× –
Anthony Ferrari 2003 -0.2 -0.9 – – – 0.67× –
Britt Reames 2003 -0.0 -0.2 – – – 0.67× –
Bryan Hebson 2003 -0.1 -0.7 – – – 0.67× –
Chad Cordero 2003 +0.2 +1.1 – – – 0.67× –
Claudio Vargas 2003 +0.4 +2.9 – – – 1.02× –
Edwards Guzman 2003 -1.1 -5.2 – – – 0.58× –
Eric Knott 2003 +0.2 +1.0 – – – 0.67× –
Hector Almonte↔ 2003 -0.0 -0.2 – – – 0.67× –
Joe Vitiello 2003 +0.6 +4.0 – – – 0.83× –
Jose Mercedes 2003 +0.0 +0.2 – – – 0.67× –
Julio Manon 2003 -0.1 -0.6 – – – 0.67× –
Matt Cepicky 2003 -0.0 -0.2 – – – 0.83× –
Roy Corcoran 2003 +0.0 +0.1 – – – 0.67× –
Sun-Woo Kim 2003 -0.6 -5.2 – – – 1.02× –
Tim Drew 2003 -0.4 -2.0 – – – 0.67× –
Vic Darensbourg↔ 2003 -0.1 -0.4 – – – 0.67× –
Total—+25.3+396.848.5+354.3—

Trades

Every graded 2003 deal involving the Nationals — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 7 total.

2003 · WSN / SFG
WSN · Omar Minaya +$240.0M
Edwards Guzmán, Liván Hernández
SFG · Brian Sabean −$240.0M
Jim Brower, Matt Blank
WSN came out ahead by $240.0M
2003 · OAK / WSN
OAK · Billy Beane +$0.0M
Michael Barrett
WSN · Omar Minaya +$0.0M
Brett Price
Even trade
2003 · WSN / CHC
WSN · Omar Minaya +$4.8M
Wilton Chavez
CHC · Jim Hendry −$4.8M
José Macias
WSN came out ahead by $4.8M
2003 · WSN / SFG
WSN · Omar Minaya +$3.2M
Joe Vitiello
SFG · Brian Sabean −$3.2M
Ben Washburn
WSN came out ahead by $3.2M
2003 · WSN / STL
WSN · Omar Minaya +$0.0M
Kevin Joseph
STL · Walt Jocketty +$0.0M
Pat Collins
Even trade
2003 · CHW / WSN
CHW · Kenny Williams +$53.6M
Bartolo Colón, Jorge Nunez
WSN · Omar Minaya −$53.6M
Rocky Biddle, Orlando Hernández, Jeff Liefer
CHW came out ahead by $53.6M
2003 · WSN / NYY
WSN · Omar Minaya +$103.2M
Nick Johnson, Juan Rivera, Randy Choate
NYY · Brian Cashman −$103.2M
Javier Vázquez
WSN came out ahead by $103.2M

Current & Historical Payroll

2003 payroll
$48.6M

What the front office was committed to as of 2003, 2003–2009. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2003200420052006200720082009
Vladimir Guerrero287.000$11.5MFREE AGENT
Fernando Tatis286.000$6.5MFREE AGENT
Jose Vidro286.000$5.5M$7.0M$7.0M$7.0MFREE AGENT
Livan Hernandez287.000$3.8M$6.0M$8.0M$5.6MFREE AGENT$537k
Orlando Cabrera286.000$3.3M$3.8MFREE AGENT
Joey Eischen339.000$750k$1.3M$1.0M$1.3MFREE AGENT
Wil Cordero3111.000$600kFREE AGENT$600k
Todd Zeile3714.000$510kFREE AGENT
Jose Mercedes329.000—FREE AGENT
Joe Vitiello338.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2003200420052006200720082009
Javier Vazquez265.000$6.0MFREE AGENT
Michael Barrett265.000$2.6MFREE AGENT
Tony Armas254.000$2.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Macias314.000$825kARB 3FREE AGENT
Tomo Ohka274.000$340kARB 3FREE AGENT
Rocky Biddle273.000$320kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
T.J. Tucker243.000$310kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Schneider263.000$310kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dan Smith274.000$305kARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Downs273.000$300kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Liefer284.000$255kARB 3FREE AGENT
Vic Darensbourg325.000—FREE AGENT
Tim Drew243.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Britt Reames293.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (19)

PlayerAgeSvc2003200420052006200720082009
Scott Stewart272.000$327kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Wilkerson262.000$315kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach Day251.000$302kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Henry Mateo262.000$300kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Endy Chavez252.000$300kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jamey Carroll291.000$300kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ronald Calloway260.000$300kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Ayala250.000$300kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edwards Guzman26–—
Hector Almonte27–—
Sun-Woo Kim252.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Claudio Vargas250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryan Hebson27–—
Eric Knott28–—
Matt Cepicky25–—
Anthony Ferrari25–—
Julio Manon30–—
Roy Corcoran230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Cordero210.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2003 acquisition stacked onto Nationals's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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