RRosternomics

Mets NYM

GM: Omar Minaya

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 2 in this regime · payroll 1.44× league · TAB +3.6
+3.6TAB — talent above budget12th/30
+1.3WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)13th/30
5.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars24th/30
-2.0dead WAR — sub-replacement drag2nd/30
27%dead money %14th/30
0.543win %9th/30
42.4roster fWAR5th/30
-31surplus $M (value vs cost)23rd/30
$118Mpayroll $M3rd/30

Roster

CFCarlos Beltrán 141GLastings Milledge 14GEndy Chavez 10G
LFMoises Alou 84GEndy Chavez 37GCarlos Gómez 27G
RFShawn Green 110GLastings Milledge 28GEndy Chavez 24G
SSJosé Reyes 160GRuben Gotay 5GAnderson Hernandez 1G
2BLuis Castillo 135GJose Valentin 45GDamion Easley 39G
3BDavid Wright 159GJulio Franco 2GRuben Gotay 2G
1BCarlos Delgado 138GJeff Conine 67GShawn Green 17G
STARTERSJohn Maine 3.2WAROliver Pérez 2.5WARTom Glavine 2.0WARJorge Sosa 1.7WAROrlando Hernandez 1.4WAR
CPaul Lo Duca 113GRamon Castro 50GMike DiFelice 16G
DHPaul Lo Duca 3GCarlos Delgado 1GJulio Franco 1G
BULLPEN Billy Wagner 34svAaron Heilman 22hPedro Feliciano 18hScott Schoeneweis 11hJoe Smith 10hGuillermo Mota 6hAaron Sele 1hAmbiorix Burgos 1h
CPaul Lo Duca 113 · Ramon Castro 50 · Mike DiFelice 16
1BCarlos Delgado 138 · Jeff Conine 67 · Shawn Green 17
2BLuis Castillo 135 · Jose Valentin 45 · Damion Easley 39
3BDavid Wright 159 · Julio Franco 2 · Ruben Gotay 2
SSJosé Reyes 160 · Ruben Gotay 5 · Anderson Hernandez 1
LFMoises Alou 84 · Endy Chavez 37 · Carlos Gómez 27
CFCarlos Beltrán 141 · Lastings Milledge 14 · Endy Chavez 10
RFShawn Green 110 · Lastings Milledge 28 · Endy Chavez 24
DHPaul Lo Duca 3 · Carlos Delgado 1 · Julio Franco 1
SPJohn Maine 3.2 · Oliver Pérez 2.5 · Tom Glavine 2.0 · Jorge Sosa 1.7 · Orlando Hernandez 1.4
BP Billy Wagner 34 · Aaron Heilman 22 · Pedro Feliciano 18 · Scott Schoeneweis 11 · Joe Smith 10 · Guillermo Mota 6 · Aaron Sele 1 · Ambiorix Burgos 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2007 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
David Wright 24 arb 1608.4 1.2 +16.7
José Reyes 24 arb 1605.6 2.9 +9.1
Carlos Beltrán 30 FA-elig 1445.1 13.6 -2.6
John Maine 26 arb 333.2 0.4 +6.5
Oliver Pérez 25 arb 292.5 2.3 +3.2
Tom Glavine 41 FA-elig 352.0 7.5 -3.3
Moises Alou 40 FA-elig 871.9 7.5 -3.4
Jorge Sosa 30 421.7
Billy Wagner 35 FA-elig 661.6 10.5 -7.1
Damion Easley 37 FA-elig 761.4 0.8 +2.2
Luis Castillo↔ MIN 31 FA-elig 501.4 2.1 +0.9
Orlando Hernandez 41 FA-elig 281.4 5.0 -2.0
Pedro Martínez 35 FA-elig 51.2 14.0 -11.4
Aaron Heilman 28 arb 810.9 0.5 +1.4
Ramon Castro 31 FA-elig 520.8 0.8 +0.9
Pedro Feliciano 30 arb 780.8 0.6 +1.1
Endy Chavez 29 FA-elig 710.8 1.7 -0.1
Ruben Gotay 24 980.7
Marlon Anderson↔ LAD 33 FA-elig 430.7 0.6 +0.9
Carlos Delgado 35 FA-elig 1390.5 14.5 -13.4
Mike Pelfrey 23 pre-arb 150.4 0.9 -0.2
Carlos Gómez 21 580.3 0.4 +0.2
Brian Lawrence 31 60.2
Joe Smith 23 pre-arb 540.2 0.4 +0.1
Guillermo Mota 33 FA-elig 520.2 1.8 -1.5
Paul Lo Duca 35 FA-elig 1190.1 6.2 -5.9
Mike DiFelice 38 160.1
Lastings Milledge 22 pre-arb 590.1 0.4 -0.2
Jose Valentin 37 FA-elig 510.1 3.8 -3.6
Shawn Green 34 FA-elig 1300.1 9.5 -9.4
Ambiorix Burgos 23 pre-arb 170.0 0.4 -0.3
Anderson Hernandez 24 40.0
Jon Adkins 29 10.0
Carlos Muniz 26 20.0
Chip Ambres 27 3-0.0
David Newhan 33 FA-elig 56-0.0 0.6 -0.6
Ricky Ledee 33 17-0.0
Willie Collazo 27 6-0.0
Sandy Alomar Jr. 41 8-0.0
Aaron Sele 37 FA-elig 34-0.1 1.0 -1.1
Philip Humber 24 3-0.1
Lino Urdaneta 27 2-0.1
Julio Franco↔ ATL 48 FA-elig 40-0.1 0.8 -1.0
Chan Ho Park 34 1-0.2
Ben Johnson 26 9-0.2
Dave Williams 28 FA-elig 2-0.2 1.2 -1.7
Jason Vargas 24 2-0.2
Jeff Conine↔ CIN 41 FA-elig 21-0.4 0.4 -1.3
Scott Schoeneweis 33 FA-elig 70-0.4 3.6 -4.5

Key additions (new vs 2006)

PlayerfWAR
Moises Alou1.9
Jorge Sosa1.7
Damion Easley1.4
Luis Castillo1.4
Ruben Gotay0.7
Marlon Anderson0.7

Key subtractions (gone from 2006)

Player2006 fWAR
Chad Bradford1.5
Duaner Sanchez0.8
Steve Trachsel0.7
Brian Bannister0.5
Michael Tucker0.4
Cliff Floyd0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2007 payroll
$118.2M

What the front office was committed to as of 2007, 2007–2013. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (27)

PlayerAgeSvc2007200820092010201120122013
Carlos Delgado3514.000$14.5M$16.0M$12.0MFREE AGENT
Pedro Martínez3515.000$14.0M$11.8MFREE AGENT
Carlos Beltrán309.000$13.6M$18.6M$19.2M$19.4M$13.3MFREE AGENT
Billy Wagner3512.000$10.5M$10.5M$9.3MFREE AGENT
Shawn Green3414.000$9.5MFREE AGENT
Moises Alou4017.000$7.5M$7.5MFREE AGENT
Tom Glavine4120.000$7.5MFREE AGENT
Paul Lo Duca359.000$6.2MFREE AGENT
Orlando Hernandez419.000$5.0MFREE AGENT
Jose Valentin3715.000$3.8MFREE AGENT
Scott Schoeneweis338.000$3.6M$3.6MFREE AGENT
Luis Castillo3111.000$2.1M$6.2M$6.2M$6.2MFREE AGENT
Guillermo Mota338.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Endy Chavez296.000$1.7M$1.8MFREE AGENT
Dave Williams286.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Aaron Sele3714.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Ramon Castro318.000$850k$2.0M$1.4MFREE AGENT
Damion Easley3715.000$850k$950kFREE AGENT
Julio Franco4825.000$836kFREE AGENT
Marlon Anderson339.000$603k$1.1M$1.1MFREE AGENT
David Newhan338.000$575kFREE AGENT
Jeff Conine4117.000$416kFREE AGENT
Sandy Alomar Jr.4119.000FREE AGENT
Mike DiFelice3811.000FREE AGENT
Chan Ho Park3413.000FREE AGENT
Ricky Ledee339.000FREE AGENT
Brian Lawrence316.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2007200820092010201120122013
José Reyes244.000$2.9MARB 3FREE AGENT
Oliver Pérez255.000$2.3MFREE AGENT
David Wright243.000$1.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Feliciano305.000$602kFREE AGENT
Aaron Heilman284.000$453kARB 3FREE AGENT
John Maine263.000$391kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge Sosa305.000FREE AGENT
Jon Adkins294.000ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lino Urdaneta273.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ruben Gotay243.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2007200820092010201120122013
Mike Pelfrey231.000$950kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ambiorix Burgos232.000$415kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lastings Milledge221.000$383kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Gómez210.000$380kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Smith230.000$380kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chip Ambres27
Ben Johnson262.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anderson Hernandez242.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Muniz26
Jason Vargas242.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Philip Humber241.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Willie Collazo27

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Mets 2007; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3