RRosternomics

Mets NYM

GM: Omar Minaya

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.38× league · TAB +6.0
+6.0TAB — talent above budget6th/30
+10.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)5th/30
9.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars6th/30
-3.9dead WAR — sub-replacement drag10th/30
25%dead money %11th/30
0.599win %1st/30
44.3roster fWAR1st/30
-17surplus $M (value vs cost)20th/30
$105Mpayroll $M3rd/30

2006: made playoffs · 97–65. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFCarlos Beltrán 136GEndy Chavez 39GEli Marrero 2G
LFCliff Floyd 92GEndy Chavez 43GLastings Milledge 26G
RFShawn Green 131GEndy Chavez 46GLastings Milledge 24G
SSJosé Reyes 149GChris Woodward 13GAnderson Hernandez 10G
2BJose Valentin 94GChris Woodward 39GAnderson Hernandez 13G
3BDavid Wright 153GChris Woodward 11GJulio Franco 3G
1BCarlos Delgado 141GJulio Franco 27GShawn Green 13G
STARTERSTom Glavine 3.3WARPedro Martínez 2.2WAROrlando Hernandez 2.0WARSteve Trachsel 0.7WARJohn Maine 0.6WAR
CPaul Lo Duca 118GKelly Stinnett 41GRamon Castro 37G
DHJulio Franco 3GPaul Lo Duca 3GCarlos Beltrán 1G
BULLPEN Billy Wagner 40svAaron Heilman 26hDuaner Sanchez 14hRoberto Hernandez 12hChad Bradford 10hPedro Feliciano 10hGuillermo Mota 9hDarren Oliver 3h
CPaul Lo Duca 118 · Kelly Stinnett 41 · Ramon Castro 37
1BCarlos Delgado 141 · Julio Franco 27 · Shawn Green 13
2BJose Valentin 94 · Chris Woodward 39 · Anderson Hernandez 13
3BDavid Wright 153 · Chris Woodward 11 · Julio Franco 3
SSJosé Reyes 149 · Chris Woodward 13 · Anderson Hernandez 10
LFCliff Floyd 92 · Endy Chavez 43 · Lastings Milledge 26
CFCarlos Beltrán 136 · Endy Chavez 39 · Eli Marrero 2
RFShawn Green 131 · Endy Chavez 46 · Lastings Milledge 24
DHJulio Franco 3 · Paul Lo Duca 3 · Carlos Beltrán 1
SPTom Glavine 3.3 · Pedro Martínez 2.2 · Orlando Hernandez 2.0 · Steve Trachsel 0.7 · John Maine 0.6
BP Billy Wagner 40 · Aaron Heilman 26 · Duaner Sanchez 14 · Roberto Hernandez 12 · Chad Bradford 10 · Pedro Feliciano 10 · Guillermo Mota 9 · Darren Oliver 3

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2006 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Carlos Beltrán 29 FA-elig 1407.8 13.6 +2.1
José Reyes 23 arb 1535.7 0.4 +11.0
David Wright 23 pre-arb 1544.7 0.4 +9.0
Tom Glavine 40 FA-elig 323.3 10.0 -3.5
Endy Chavez 28 arb 1333.0 0.5 +5.5
Jose Valentin 36 FA-elig 1373.0 0.9 +5.0
Carlos Delgado 34 FA-elig 1442.8 13.5 -7.9
Paul Lo Duca 34 FA-elig 1242.5 6.6 -1.6
Pedro Martínez 34 FA-elig 232.2 14.9 -10.5
Orlando Hernandez↔ ARI 40 FA-elig 202.0 3.2 +0.8
Billy Wagner 34 FA-elig 701.9 10.5 -6.8
Aaron Heilman 27 arb 741.7 0.4 +3.1
Chad Bradford 31 FA-elig 701.5 1.4 +1.6
Pedro Feliciano 29 640.8
Duaner Sanchez 26 arb 490.8 0.4 +1.3
Steve Trachsel 35 FA-elig 300.7 2.5 -1.0
John Maine 25 160.6 0.3 +0.9
Ramon Castro 30 FA-elig 400.5 0.8 +0.2
Brian Bannister 25 pre-arb 80.5 0.3 +0.6
Dave Williams↔ CIN 27 arb 60.4 0.6 +0.3
Michael Tucker 35 350.4
Guillermo Mota↔ CLE 32 FA-elig 180.3 1.0 -0.4
Cliff Floyd 33 FA-elig 970.2 6.6 -6.2
Oliver Pérez↔ PIT 24 arb 70.2 0.6 -0.1
Roberto Hernandez↔ PIT 41 FA-elig 220.2 0.9 -0.5
Xavier Nady↔ PIT 27 FA-elig 750.1 0.2 -0.0
Jorge Julio↔ ARI 27 arb 180.1 0.7 -0.6
Mike Pelfrey 22 pre-arb 40.1 0.5 -0.4
Heath Bell 28 220.1
Philip Humber 23 20.0
Darren Oliver 35 FA-elig 450.0 0.6 -0.6
Henry Owens 27 3-0.0
Royce Ring 25 11-0.0
Shawn Green↔ ARI 33 FA-elig 34-0.1 2.3 -2.4
Julio Franco 47 FA-elig 95-0.1 1.1 -1.2
Kelly Stinnett↔ NYY 36 FA-elig 7-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Alay Soler 26 8-0.1
Geremi Gonzalez↔ MIL 31 3-0.1
Jose Lima 33 4-0.1
Eli Marrero↔ COL 32 FA-elig 25-0.1 0.2 -0.4
Victor Diaz 24 pre-arb 6-0.2 0.3 -0.7
Victor Zambrano 30 arb 5-0.2 3.0 -3.4
Ricky Ledee↔ LAD 32 FA-elig 27-0.3 0.6 -1.1
Kazuo Matsui↔ COL 30 pre-arb 38-0.3 4.4 -4.9
Mike DiFelice 37 15-0.3
Bartolome Fortunato 31 2-0.3
Anderson Hernandez 23 pre-arb 25-0.6 0.3 -1.4
Lastings Milledge 21 56-0.6
Chris Woodward 30 FA-elig 83-0.6 0.8 -2.0

Key additions (new vs 2005)

PlayerfWAR
Endy Chavez3.0
Jose Valentin3.0
Carlos Delgado2.8
Paul Lo Duca2.5
Orlando Hernandez2.0
Billy Wagner1.9

Key subtractions (gone from 2005)

Player2005 fWAR
Mike Cameron2.1
Jae Weong Seo1.9
Kris Benson1.6
Mike Jacobs1.1
Mike Piazza0.9
Marlon Anderson0.7

Current & Historical Payroll

2006 payroll
$105.4M

What the front office was committed to as of 2006, 2006–2012. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (26)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Pedro Martínez3414.000$14.9M$14.0M$11.8MFREE AGENT
Carlos Beltrán298.000$13.6M$13.6M$18.6M$19.2M$19.4M$13.3MFREE AGENT
Carlos Delgado3413.000$13.5M$14.5M$16.0M$12.0MFREE AGENT
Billy Wagner3411.000$10.5M$10.5M$10.5M$9.3MFREE AGENT
Tom Glavine4019.000$10.0M$7.5MFREE AGENT
Cliff Floyd3313.000$6.6MFREE AGENT
Paul Lo Duca348.000$6.6M$6.2MFREE AGENT
Orlando Hernandez408.000$3.2M$5.0MFREE AGENT
Steve Trachsel3513.000$2.5MFREE AGENT
Shawn Green3313.000$2.3M$9.5MFREE AGENT
Chad Bradford318.000$1.4MFREE AGENT
Julio Franco4724.000$1.1M$836kFREE AGENT
Guillermo Mota327.000$1.0M$1.8MFREE AGENT
Jose Valentin3614.000$912k$3.8MFREE AGENT
Roberto Hernandez4115.000$890kFREE AGENT
Chris Woodward307.000$825kFREE AGENT
Ramon Castro307.000$800k$850k$2.0M$1.4MFREE AGENT
Darren Oliver3513.000$600kFREE AGENT
Ricky Ledee328.000$579kFREE AGENT
Xavier Nady276.000$246kFREE AGENT
Eli Marrero329.000$159kFREE AGENT
Kelly Stinnett3612.000$111kFREE AGENT
Mike DiFelice3710.000FREE AGENT
Geremi Gonzalez319.000FREE AGENT
Jose Lima3312.000FREE AGENT
Michael Tucker3511.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Victor Zambrano305.000$3.0MFREE AGENT
Jorge Julio275.000$733kFREE AGENT
Dave Williams275.000$600kFREE AGENT
Oliver Pérez244.000$578kARB 3FREE AGENT
Endy Chavez285.000$500kFREE AGENT
José Reyes233.000$402kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Duaner Sanchez264.000$400kARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Heilman273.000$359kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Feliciano294.000ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Kazuo Matsui302.000$4.4MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Pelfrey220.000$500kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Wright232.000$374kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Victor Diaz242.000$335kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anderson Hernandez231.000$327kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Maine252.000$327kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Bannister250.000$327kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Heath Bell282.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Royce Ring251.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bartolome Fortunato31
Alay Soler26
Lastings Milledge210.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Henry Owens270.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Philip Humber230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Mets 2006; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3