RRosternomics
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JR

JP Ricciardi

Born Sep 26, 1959 · Worcester, MA · age 66

General manager for the Blue Jays (2002–2009).

8 seasons with salary-era data across 1 stint. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

Overview

Titles0
Pennants0
Playoffs0
Record642–653
Win %0.496
+1.2GM WAR — wins above a replacement GM (org-adjusted, shrunk; per season) ±4.947th/195 execs
6.8Depth — 2+ WAR regulars per season (the breadth that drives TAB, not stars)64th/195 execs
-4.3Dead WAR — WAR/yr bled by sub-replacement players (closer to 0 = better)41st/195 execs
25%Dead money — payroll on <0.5-WAR players (lower = better)24th/195 execs
$16MCheap-talent surplus — $/yr of value from cost-controlled (pre-arb/arb) players above their pay; the selection engine, and the stickiest GM skill we track87th/195 execs
$15MDrafted surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own draftees (the develop-from-the-draft engine)34th/195 execs
$2MTraded-for surplus — cheap-talent surplus from cost-controlled players he acquired via trade105th/195 execs
$0MInt'l surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own international signees118th/195 execs
+12.1TAB — talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation), tenure total47th/195 execs
+3.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + the non-repeatable luck of converting talent to wins)58th/195 execs
1.92Acquisition Leverage — playoff pts per acquired WAR, graded once in the year each deal's wins arrive (the repeatable decision skill)86th/195 execs
-19Roster surplus $M75th/195 execs

Tenure breakdown

TeamRoleYearsSzns WAB WAB/yr TAB WAR surp HG Trade FA R5 AcqLev W-L% POPenWS Surp $M
▸ Blue Jays GM 2002–2009 8 +3.8 +0.48 +12.1 -10.3 +67.7 +1.2 -76.1 +0.2 1.92 0.496 ––– -19
Career total (1985+ data) 8 +3.8 +12.1 -10.3 +67.7 +1.2 -76.1 +0.2 1.92 0.496 –– – -19

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

by valueby volume

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+67.7
Trade+1.2
Free agency-76.1
Rule 5 / minor draft+0.2
Sourcing mix: 45% draft · 31% FA · 24% trade · 0% R5

Roster value distribution — career average — depth vs. stars

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR, averaged across JP Ricciardi's seasons. Bars = his rosters; the black line = the league-average player at each slot. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge.

Players acquired — 138 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr Lev
José Bautista OF TOR Trade 2009 8 +36.2 +4.5 4.6
Edwin Encarnación 1B/3B/DH TOR Trade 2009 8 +23.2 +2.9 1.3
Aaron Hill 2B TOR Draft 2003 6 +13.2 +2.2 –
A. J. Burnett P TOR Free agency 2005 3 +10.1 +3.4 11.2
Ricky Romero P TOR Draft 2005 4 +8.6 +2.1 –
Brandon Morrow P TOR Trade 2009 4 +8.4 +2.1 6.8
Gregg Zaun C TOR Free agency 2004 5 +8.1 +1.6 0.2
Marco Scutaro 2B/SS TOR Trade 2007 2 +7.2 +3.6 9.4
Brett Cecil P TOR Draft 2007 8 +7.0 +0.9 –
Adam Lind 1B/DH TOR Draft 2004 6 +6.9 +1.1 –
Shaun Marcum P TOR Draft 2003 5 +6.6 +1.3 –
Lyle Overbay 1B TOR Trade 2005 4 +6.5 +1.6 7.1
Frank Catalanotto OF TOR Free agency 2002 3 +6.1 +2.0 1.8
Troy Glaus 3B TOR Trade 2005 2 +6.1 +3.0 13.2
Casey Janssen P TOR Draft 2004 8 +5.8 +0.7 –
Scott Rolen 3B TOR Trade 2008 2 +5.7 +2.9 8.5
Scott Downs P TOR Free agency 2004 6 +5.5 +0.9 0.8
Ted Lilly P TOR Trade 2004 3 +5.4 +1.8 0.3
Jason Frasor P TOR Trade 2004 8 +4.9 +0.6 –
Josh Towers P TOR Free agency 2002 4 +4.9 +1.2 0.2
Drew Hutchison P TOR Draft 2009 3 +4.5 +1.5 –
Jesse Litsch P TOR Draft 2004 4 +3.0 +0.7 –
Dave Bush P TOR Draft 2002 2 +2.9 +1.5 –
Aaron Loup P TOR Draft 2009 7 +2.8 +0.4 –
B. J. Ryan P TOR Free agency 2005 2 +2.8 +1.4 10.5
Cory Lidle P TOR Trade 2003 1 +2.4 +2.4 2.5
Frank Menechino 2B TOR Trade 2004 2 +2.4 +1.2 0.3
Shea Hillenbrand 1B/3B TOR Trade 2005 2 +2.1 +1.1 1.6
Miguel Batista P TOR Free agency 2003 2 +2.0 +1.0 0.2
Rod Barajas C TOR Free agency 2008 2 +1.9 +0.9 2.6
Mike Bordick SS TOR Free agency 2002 1 +1.8 +1.8 1.9
Frank Thomas 1B/DH TOR Free agency 2006 1 +1.8 +1.8 2.8
Justin Speier P TOR Trade 2004 3 +1.8 +0.6 0.1
John Buck C TOR Free agency 2009 1 +1.7 +1.7 3.9
Corey Koskie 3B TOR Free agency 2004 1 +1.7 +1.7 1.3
Joe Inglett 2B/OF TOR Trade 2007 2 +1.7 +0.9 0.2
Shawn Camp P TOR Free agency 2008 4 +1.6 +0.4 1.8
Travis Snider OF TOR Draft 2006 4 +1.5 +0.4 –
Brian Tallet P TOR Trade 2007 3 +1.5 +0.5 1.4
Matt Stairs DH/OF TOR Free agency 2006 1 +1.4 +1.4 2.1
Scott Richmond P TOR Intl FA 2007 3 +1.3 +0.4 –
Marc Rzepczynski P TOR Draft 2007 3 +1.2 +0.4 –
David Purcey P TOR Draft 2004 3 +1.1 +0.4 –
Jeremy Accardo P TOR Trade 2007 2 +1.0 +0.5 1.8
Henderson Álvarez P TOR Intl FA 2006 2 +0.9 +0.5 –
Bengie Molina C TOR Free agency 2006 1 +0.9 +0.9 3.5
Scott Schoeneweis P TOR Free agency 2005 2 +0.9 +0.4 0.7
Jesse Carlson P TOR Trade 2008 2 +0.8 +0.4 –
Tom Wilson C TOR Trade 2002 2 +0.8 +0.4 0.6
Aquilino López P TOR Rule 5 2002 1 +0.7 +0.7 –
Randy Ruiz DH TOR Free agency 2008 1 +0.7 +0.7 2.7
Ryan Tepera P TOR Draft 2009 3 +0.7 +0.2 –
Eric Thames 1B/OF TOR Draft 2008 1 +0.7 +0.7 –
Jason Kershner P TOR Trade 2003 2 +0.6 +0.3 0.6
Ryan Goins 2B/SS TOR Draft 2009 3 +0.5 +0.2 –
Kerry Ligtenberg P TOR Free agency 2003 1 +0.5 +0.5 0.1
John McDonald SS TOR Free agency 2009 4 +0.5 +0.1 0.6
Luis Pérez P TOR Intl FA 2003 2 +0.5 +0.3 –
Doug Davis P TOR Trade 2003 1 +0.5 +0.5 0.6
Terry Adams P TOR Trade 2004 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.1
Royce Clayton SS TOR Trade 2007 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.6
Chris Gomez SS TOR Free agency 2004 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.0
J. P. Arencibia C TOR Draft 2007 2 +0.2 +0.1 –
John-Ford Griffin DH/OF TOR Trade 2003 2 +0.2 +0.1 –
John Hattig 3B TOR Trade 2004 1 +0.2 +0.2 –
John Parrish P TOR Free agency 2008 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.6
Chad Beck P TOR Trade 2008 2 +0.1 +0.0 –
Buck Coats OF TOR Trade 2007 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.4
Jordan De Jong P TOR Draft 2002 1 +0.1 +0.1 –
Valerio De Los Santos P TOR Free agency 2003 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Dirk Hayhurst P TOR Free agency 2009 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.2
Chad Jenkins P TOR Draft 2009 2 +0.1 +0.1 –
Kyle Phillips C TOR Trade 2009 1 +0.1 +0.1 –
Carlos Ramírez P TOR Intl FA 2009 1 +0.1 +0.1 –
Robert Ray P TOR Draft 2005 1 +0.1 +0.1 –
Sergio Santos P TOR Trade 2005 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.2
Moisés Sierra OF TOR Intl FA 2005 1 +0.1 +0.1 –
Ty Taubenheim P TOR Trade 2005 1 +0.1 +0.1 –
Jamie Vermilyea P TOR Draft 2003 1 +0.1 +0.1 –
Pete Walker P TOR Free agency 2005 2 +0.1 +0.0 1.8
David Eckstein SS TOR Trade 2008 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.4
Jason Smith 2B/SS TOR Trade 2007 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.2
Joe Kennedy P TOR Trade 2007 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.2
Ray Olmedo 2B/SS TOR Trade 2007 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.2
Brian Burres P TOR Trade 2009 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.2
Josh Banks P TOR Draft 2003 – -0.0 – –
Eric Crozier 1B/DH TOR Trade 2004 – -0.0 – –
Danny Farquhar P TOR Draft 2008 – -0.0 – –
Lee Gronkiewicz P TOR Rule 5 2004 – -0.0 – –
Trever Miller P TOR Free agency 2002 – -0.0 – –
Jeff Tam P TOR Free agency 2002 – -0.0 – –
Brian Wolfe P TOR Trade 2006 2 -0.0 -0.0 –
Juan Acevedo P TOR Trade 2003 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Scott Service P TOR Trade 2003 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.1
Kevin Mench OF TOR Trade 2008 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.1
Bryan Bullington P TOR Trade 2009 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.1
Dustin Antolin P TOR Draft 2008 – -0.1 – –
Kevin Barker 1B TOR Free agency 2005 – -0.1 – –
Michael Barrett C TOR Free agency 2008 – -0.1 – –
David Cooper 1B/DH TOR Draft 2008 1 -0.1 -0.1 –
Sal Fasano C TOR Free agency 2007 – -0.1 – –
Ryan Glynn P TOR Free agency 2004 – -0.1 – –
Yan Gomes C TOR Draft 2009 – -0.1 – –
Wil Ledezma P TOR Free agency 2009 – -0.1 – –
Adam Loewen P TOR Free agency 2008 – -0.1 – –
Darin Mastroianni OF TOR Draft 2007 – -0.1 – –
Tomo Ohka P TOR Free agency 2007 – -0.1 – –
Adam Peterson P TOR Draft 2002 – -0.1 – –
Dan Reichert P TOR Free agency 2003 – -0.1 – –
John Wasdin P TOR Trade 2003 – -0.1 – –
Scott Wiggins P TOR Trade 2002 – -0.1 – –
Armando Benítez P TOR Free agency 2008 – -0.2 – –
Howie Clark OF TOR Free agency 2002 1 -0.2 -0.2 0.5
Doug Creek P TOR Free agency 2002 – -0.2 – –
Luis Figueroa 2B/SS TOR Free agency 2005 – -0.2 – –
Chad Hermansen OF TOR Free agency 2004 – -0.2 – –
Dave Maurer P TOR Free agency 2003 – -0.2 – –
Ryan Roberts 2B/3B TOR Draft 2003 – -0.2 – –
Pedro Swann OF TOR Free agency 2002 – -0.2 – –
Matt Whiteside P TOR Free agency 2004 – -0.2 – –
Evan Crawford P TOR Draft 2008 – -0.3 – –
Kyle Drabek P TOR Trade 2009 2 -0.3 -0.2 –
Brad Glenn OF TOR Draft 2009 – -0.3 – –
Brad Mills P TOR Draft 2007 1 -0.3 -0.3 –
Cliff Politte P TOR Trade 2002 1 -0.3 -0.3 1.7
Tanyon Sturtze P TOR Free agency 2002 – -0.3 – –
Curtis Thigpen C/1B TOR Draft 2004 1 -0.3 -0.3 –
Héctor Luna 2B TOR Trade 2008 1 -0.3 -0.3 0.0
Joel Carreño P TOR Intl FA 2004 1 -0.4 -0.4 –
Raúl Chávez C TOR Free agency 2008 – -0.4 – –
Brian Cooper P TOR Trade 2002 – -0.4 – –
Chad Gaudin P TOR Trade 2004 – -0.4 – –
Simon Pond DH/OF TOR Trade 2004 – -0.4 – –
Russ Adams SS TOR Draft 2002 2 -0.7 -0.4 –
Ken Huckaby C TOR Free agency 2002 – -0.7 – –
Kevin Millar 1B/OF TOR Free agency 2009 – -1.2 – –
Jason Phillips C/1B TOR Free agency 2006 – -1.5 – –
Dave Berg 2B/SS TOR Free agency 2002 1 -1.7 -1.7 0.9

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.