Blue Jays — Front Office

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2008, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat

Value

Payroll $M

$90M

Surplus $M

-10

Win %

0.531

TAB

+4.4

WAB

+3.7

Roster composition

Roster fWAR

39.0

Dead money %

19%

Depth Players

7.0

Dead WAR

-3.0

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2008 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RRod Barajas98

BGregg Zaun79

RCurtis Thigpen9

RRobinzon Diaz⇄1

1B

LLyle Overbay156

RFrank Thomas⇄16

LBrad Wilkerson⇄4

RRod Barajas4

RMarco Scutaro3

RJosé Bautista⇄1

RCurtis Thigpen1

2B

LJoe Inglett66

RAaron Hill55

RMarco Scutaro50

RJorge Velandia⇄3

RHector Luna2

RJohn McDonald1

RJosé Bautista⇄1

3B

RScott Rolen115

RMarco Scutaro41

RJosé Bautista⇄18

LJoe Inglett6

RJohn McDonald4

SS

RJohn McDonald67

RDavid Eckstein⇄57

RMarco Scutaro56

LJoe Inglett2

LF

LAdam Lind71

RShannon Stewart40

LBrad Wilkerson⇄29

LJoe Inglett22

RKevin Mench21

LTravis Snider13

LMatt Stairs⇄9

LBuck Coats7

RMarco Scutaro3

CF

RVernon Wells100

RAlex Rios62

LBrad Wilkerson⇄5

LJoe Inglett1

RF

RAlex Rios93

LBrad Wilkerson⇄64

RKevin Mench15

LJoe Inglett12

LTravis Snider7

DH

LMatt Stairs⇄81

LAdam Lind16

RKevin Mench15

RDavid Eckstein⇄9

RShannon Stewart9

RVernon Wells8

RJohn McDonald6

LTravis Snider4

BGregg Zaun3

RMarco Scutaro2

RAlex Rios2

LJoe Inglett2

RRod Barajas2

LBrad Wilkerson⇄1

RJosé Bautista⇄1

RRobinzon Díaz⇄1

Starters

RRoy Halladay6.6 WAR

RA.J. Burnett5.0 WAR

RDustin McGowan2.0 WAR

RJesse Litsch2.0 WAR

RShaun Marcum1.6 WAR

RScott Richmond0.8 WAR

LDavid Purcey0.5 WAR

LJohn Parrish0.2 WAR

Bullpen

★ LB.J. Ryan32 sv

LScott Downs24 h

LJesse Carlson19 h

RShawn Camp7 h

RBrandon League5 h

LBrian Tallet4 h

RJason Frasor4 h

RBrian Wolfe3 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2007)

Player	fWAR
Marco Scutaro	3.0
Scott Rolen	2.7
Rod Barajas	0.8
Scott Richmond	0.8
Shawn Camp	0.5
Jesse Carlson	0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2007)

Player	2007 fWAR
Troy Glaus	2.7
Casey Janssen	0.9
Josh Towers	0.6
Royce Clayton	0.4
Jason Smith	0.1
John-Ford Griffin	0.1

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Blue Jays. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2008; everyone else is shown as a 2008 season snapshot.

Player	Period	fWAR	Tier Market $M	Paid $M	Surplus $M	$ / WAR	Tier	Contract
Roy Halladay	2008	+6.6	+132.3	10.0	+122.3	$1.5M	2.50×	–
Alex Rios	2008	+5.5	+90.1	4.8	+85.2	$0.9M	2.05×	–
A.J. Burnett	2008	+5.0	+87.4	13.2	+74.2	$2.6M	2.19×	–
Marco Scutaro	2008	+3.0	+28.2	1.6	+26.6	$0.5M	1.18×	–
Dustin McGowan	2008	+2.0	+24.1	0.4	+23.7	$0.2M	1.49×	–
Jesse Litsch	2008	+2.0	+23.8	0.4	+23.4	$0.2M	1.49×	–
Shaun Marcum	2008	+1.6	+19.0	0.4	+18.6	$0.3M	1.49×	–
Scott Rolen	2008	+2.7	+23.8	11.6	+12.1	$4.4M	1.12×	–
Scott Downs	2008	+1.0	+11.2	2.2	+8.9	$2.1M	1.34×	–
Gregg Zaun	2008	+1.9	+11.6	3.8	+7.8	$2.0M	0.76×	–
Lyle Overbay	2008	+1.6	+10.4	6.8	+3.7	$4.2M	0.81×	–
Vernon Wells	2008	+1.0	+6.5	3.7	+2.8	$3.8M	0.83×	–
Brian Tallet	2008	+0.6	+3.3	0.6	+2.6	$1.0M	0.67×	–
Rod Barajas	2008	+0.8	+3.3	0.7	+2.6	$0.9M	0.52×	–
Aaron Hill	2008	+0.6	+2.8	0.4	+2.4	$0.7M	0.56×	–
Travis Snider	2008	+0.4	+2.4	0.4	+2.0	$1.1M	0.83×	–
Brian Wolfe	2008	+0.2	+1.1	0.4	+0.7	$1.9M	0.67×	–
Buck Coats	2008	+0.1	+0.8	0.4	+0.4	$3.3M	0.83×	–
José Bautista↔	2008	-0.0	-0.1	0.3	-0.4	–	0.58×	–
Adam Lind	2008	-0.0	-0.2	0.4	-0.6	–	0.83×	–
Jeremy Accardo	2008	-0.0	-0.5	0.4	-0.9	–	1.34×	–
Jason Frasor	2008	-0.1	-0.6	1.1	-1.7	–	0.67×	–
Shannon Stewart	2008	-0.2	-1.0	1.5	-2.5	–	0.83×	–
David Eckstein↔	2008	+0.1	+0.6	3.6	-3.0	$28.5M	0.61×	–
B.J. Ryan	2008	+0.8	+8.4	12.0	-3.6	$15.3M	1.34×	–
Frank Thomas↔	2008	-0.2	-0.8	2.8	-3.6	–	0.56×	–
Matt Stairs↔	2008	-0.5	-2.8	1.4	-4.2	–	0.69×	–
John McDonald	2008	-0.7	-3.2	1.9	-5.1	–	0.61×	–
Brad Wilkerson↔	2008	-0.8	-5.2	2.5	-7.6	–	0.83×	–
Brandon League	2008	+0.1	+0.4	0.4	-0.0	$5.9M	0.67×	–
Armando Benitez	2008	-0.2	-1.2	–	–	–	0.67×	–
Curtis Thigpen	2008	+0.1	+0.3	–	–	–	0.52×	–
David Purcey	2008	+0.5	+4.0	–	–	–	1.02×	–
Hector Luna	2008	+0.0	+0.0	–	–	–	0.56×	–
Jesse Carlson	2008	+0.5	+2.8	–	–	–	0.67×	–
Joe Inglett	2008	+1.7	+11.1	–	–	–	0.82×	–
John Parrish	2008	+0.2	+1.0	–	–	–	0.67×	–
Jorge Velandia↔	2008	-0.2	-0.7	–	–	–	0.56×	–
Kevin Mench	2008	+0.0	+0.2	–	–	–	0.83×	–
Randy Wells↔	2008	-0.0	-0.1	–	–	–	0.67×	–
Robinzon Diaz↔	2008	-0.1	-0.6	–	–	–	0.69×	–
Scott Richmond	2008	+0.8	+6.2	–	–	–	1.02×	–
Shawn Camp	2008	+0.5	+2.9	–	–	–	0.67×	–
Total	—	+38.9	+503.0	90.1	+386.8	—

Trades

Every graded 2008 deal involving the Blue Jays — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 4 total.

2008 · TOR / STL

TOR · JP Ricciardi +$23.2M

Scott Rolen

STL · John Mozeliak −$23.2M

Troy Glaus

TOR came out ahead by $23.2M

2008 · TOR / PHI

TOR · JP Ricciardi +$4.0M

Fabio Castro

PHI · Pat Gillick −$4.0M

Matt Stairs

TOR came out ahead by $4.0M

2008 · TOR / ARI

TOR · JP Ricciardi +$8.8M

Chad Beck

ARI · Josh Byrnes −$8.8M

David Eckstein

TOR came out ahead by $8.8M

2008 · TOR / PIT

TOR · JP Ricciardi +$206.4M

José Bautista

PIT · Neal Huntington −$206.4M

Robinzon Díaz

TOR came out ahead by $206.4M

Current & Historical Payroll

2008 payroll

$90.1M

What the front office was committed to as of 2008, 2008–2014. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (21)

Player	Age	Svc	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012
A.J. Burnett	31	9.000	$13.2M	FREE AGENT
B.J. Ryan	32	9.000	$12.0M	$12.0M	FREE AGENT
Scott Rolen	33	12.000	$11.6M	$8.2M	FREE AGENT
Roy Halladay	31	10.000	$10.0M	$14.2M	FREE AGENT
Lyle Overbay	31	7.000	$6.8M	$8.0M	$8.0M	FREE AGENT
Gregg Zaun	37	13.000	$3.8M	FREE AGENT
Vernon Wells	29	9.000	$3.7M	$4.7M	$15.7M	FREE AGENT
David Eckstein	33	7.000	$3.6M	FREE AGENT
Frank Thomas	40	18.000	$2.8M	FREE AGENT
Brad Wilkerson	31	7.000	$2.5M	FREE AGENT
Scott Downs	32	8.000	$2.2M	$3.8M	$4.0M	FREE AGENT
John McDonald	33	9.000	$1.9M	$1.9M	$1.5M	$1.2M	FREE AGENT
Marco Scutaro	32	6.000	$1.6M	$1.1M	FREE AGENT
Shannon Stewart	34	13.000	$1.5M	FREE AGENT
Matt Stairs	40	16.000	$1.4M	FREE AGENT
Rod Barajas	32	9.000	$700k	$2.5M	FREE AGENT
Brian Tallet	30	6.000	$640k	$1.0M	$2.0M	$711k	FREE AGENT
Armando Benitez	35	14.000	—	FREE AGENT
Jorge Velandia	33	11.000	—	FREE AGENT
John Parrish	30	8.000	—	FREE AGENT
Kevin Mench	30	6.000	—	FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

Player	Age	Svc	2008	2009	2010	2011
Alex Rios	27	4.000	$4.8M	ARB 3	FREE AGENT
Jason Frasor	30	4.000	$1.1M	ARB 3	FREE AGENT
Aaron Hill	26	3.000	$410k	ARB 2	ARB 3	FREE AGENT
Dustin McGowan	26	3.000	$404k	ARB 2	ARB 3	FREE AGENT
Shaun Marcum	26	3.000	$402k	ARB 2	ARB 3	FREE AGENT
Brandon League	25	4.000	$400k	ARB 3	FREE AGENT
Jeremy Accardo	26	3.000	$392k	ARB 2	ARB 3	FREE AGENT
José Bautista	27	4.000	$295k	ARB 3	FREE AGENT
Hector Luna	28	4.000	—	ARB 3	FREE AGENT
Shawn Camp	32	4.000	—	ARB 3	FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (12)

Player	Age	Svc	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014
Adam Lind	24	2.000	$396k	ARB 1	ARB 2	ARB 3	FREE AGENT
Jesse Litsch	23	1.000	$396k	Pre-Arb	ARB 1	ARB 2	ARB 3	FREE AGENT
Brian Wolfe	27	1.000	$396k	Pre-Arb	ARB 1	ARB 2	ARB 3	FREE AGENT
Buck Coats	26	2.000	$392k	ARB 1	ARB 2	ARB 3	FREE AGENT
Travis Snider	20	0.000	$390k	Pre-Arb	Pre-Arb	ARB 1	ARB 2	ARB 3	FREE AGENT
Robinzon Diaz	24	–	—
Jesse Carlson	27	0.000	—	Pre-Arb	Pre-Arb	ARB 1	ARB 2	ARB 3	FREE AGENT
Scott Richmond	28	0.000	—	Pre-Arb	Pre-Arb	ARB 1	ARB 2	ARB 3	FREE AGENT
Joe Inglett	30	2.000	—	ARB 1	ARB 2	ARB 3	FREE AGENT
Randy Wells	25	0.000	—	Pre-Arb	Pre-Arb	ARB 1	ARB 2	ARB 3	FREE AGENT
Curtis Thigpen	25	–	—
David Purcey	26	0.000	—	Pre-Arb	Pre-Arb	ARB 1	ARB 2	ARB 3	FREE AGENT

Graphs

Regime	Seasons	Win %	Playoff %	Pennant %	WS %
WINDOW	289	52.2	30.1	4.8	1.0
CONTEND	309	56.8	63.1	19.1	10.0
FORCED-SPEND	262	48.0	9.2	1.5	1.5
REBUILD	328	43.3	1.2	0.3	0.3

How each 2008 acquisition stacked onto Blue Jays's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

East

Central

West

East

Central

West

East

Central

West

East

Central

West

Blue Jays TOR

Overview

Front Office

Offense

Pitching & Defense

Roster

2008 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

1B

2B

3B

SS

LF

CF

RF

DH

Starters

Bullpen

Key additions (new vs 2007)

Key subtractions (gone from 2007)

Contract Value

Trades

Current & Historical Payroll

Guaranteed / signed (21)

Arbitration-eligible (10)

Pre-arbitration (12)

Graphs

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

Blue Jays TOR

Overview

Front Office

Offense All positionsC1B2B3BSSOF (LF/CF/RF)LFCFRFINF (1B/2B/3B/SS)Middle infield (2B/SS)C/DH

Pitching & Defense ALL SP RP

Roster

2008 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

1B

2B

3B

SS

LF

CF

RF

DH

Starters

Bullpen

Key additions (new vs 2007)

Key subtractions (gone from 2007)

Contract Value

Trades

Current & Historical Payroll

Guaranteed / signed (21)

Arbitration-eligible (10)

Pre-arbitration (12)

Graphs

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

Offense

Pitching & Defense