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Blue Jays TOR

200783–79 (0.512)
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GM: JP Ricciardi

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2007, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$82M
Surplus $M
-11
Win %
0.512
TAB
-0.4
WAB
+1.1
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
33.7
Dead money %
20%
Depth Players
6.0
Dead WAR
-4.3

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2007 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

BGregg Zaun103
RJason Phillips49
RCurtis Thigpen22
RSal Fasano16

1B

LLyle Overbay119
LMatt Stairs45
RCurtis Thigpen14
RFrank Thomas8
RJason Phillips4
LHowie Clark3
RHector Luna2

2B

RAaron Hill160
LJason Smith⇄27
LHowie Clark3
LRuss Adams2
RRyan Roberts1

3B

RTroy Glaus114
LRuss Adams16
RHector Luna15
RJohn McDonald15
LHowie Clark10
RRyan Roberts3
BRay Olmedo2
LJoe Inglett1

SS

RJohn McDonald102
RRoyce Clayton⇄69
BRay Olmedo24
LHowie Clark2

LF

LAdam Lind80
RReed Johnson70
LMatt Stairs43
RRyan Roberts1

CF

RVernon Wells148
RAlex Rios22
RReed Johnson1

RF

RAlex Rios147
LMatt Stairs17
RReed Johnson8
LJohn-Ford Griffin3
RHector Luna1

DH

RFrank Thomas147
RCurtis Thigpen9
LRuss Adams7
LHowie Clark4
LMatt Stairs4
RHector Luna3
LJohn-Ford Griffin3
BGregg Zaun1
RDustin McGowan1
LLyle Overbay1
LJoe Inglett1
RReed Johnson1
RRyan Roberts1

Starters

RRoy Halladay5.2 WAR
RDustin McGowan3.3 WAR
RA.J. Burnett2.2 WAR
RShaun Marcum1.1 WAR
RJosh Towers0.6 WAR
RJesse Litsch0.6 WAR
RJosh Banks-0.0 WAR
RTy Taubenheim-0.1 WAR
RTomo Ohka-0.1 WAR
LGustavo Chacin-0.1 WAR
RVictor Zambrano⇄-0.6 WAR

Bullpen

★ RJeremy Accardo30 sv
LScott Downs24 h
RCasey Janssen24 h
RBrian Wolfe6 h
RJason Frasor4 h
LJoe Kennedy⇄3 h
LBrian Tallet1 h
RBrandon League0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2006)

PlayerfWAR
Frank Thomas1.8
Matt Stairs1.4
Jesse Litsch0.6
Royce Clayton0.4
Brian Wolfe0.2
Joe Inglett0.1

Key subtractions (gone from 2006)

Player2006 fWAR
Frank Catalanotto2.6
Ted Lilly2.1
Eric Hinske1.1
Justin Speier1.0
Bengie Molina0.9
Shea Hillenbrand0.4

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Blue Jays. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2007; everyone else is shown as a 2007 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Roy Halladay 2007 +5.2 +103.5 12.8 +90.7 $2.5M 2.50× –
Alex Rios 2007 +5.2 +84.7 2.5 +82.2 $0.5M 2.05× –
Dustin McGowan 2007 +3.3 +52.0 0.4 +51.6 $0.1M 1.96× –
Aaron Hill 2007 +3.4 +29.3 0.4 +28.9 $0.1M 1.07× –
A.J. Burnett 2007 +2.2 +26.7 13.2 +13.5 $5.9M 1.49× –
Troy Glaus 2007 +2.7 +24.0 10.5 +13.5 $3.9M 1.12× –
Jeremy Accardo 2007 +1.2 +12.9 0.4 +12.5 $0.3M 1.34× –
Jason Frasor 2007 +1.0 +10.7 0.8 +9.8 $0.8M 1.34× –
Frank Thomas 2007 +1.8 +15.0 5.6 +9.4 $3.0M 1.01× –
Casey Janssen 2007 +0.9 +9.1 0.4 +8.8 $0.5M 1.34× –
Shaun Marcum 2007 +1.1 +9.2 0.4 +8.8 $0.3M 1.02× –
Vernon Wells 2007 +1.8 +17.5 8.8 +8.7 $4.9M 1.22× –
Matt Stairs 2007 +1.4 +6.3 0.8 +5.4 $0.6M 0.56× –
Scott Downs 2007 +1.1 +5.7 1.0 +4.7 $1.0M 0.67× –
John McDonald 2007 +1.0 +4.7 0.8 +3.9 $0.8M 0.61× –
Josh Towers 2007 +0.6 +5.1 2.9 +2.2 $4.6M 1.02× –
Adam Lind 2007 +0.3 +2.1 0.4 +1.7 $1.2M 0.83× –
Gregg Zaun 2007 +1.0 +4.3 3.5 +0.8 $3.4M 0.52× –
Royce Clayton↔ 2007 +0.4 +1.8 1.3 +0.5 $3.6M 0.61× –
Jason Smith↔ 2007 +0.1 +0.6 0.2 +0.4 $1.6M 0.56× –
Joe Kennedy↔ 2007 +0.1 +0.6 0.6 -0.1 $6.1M 0.67× –
Gustavo Chacin 2007 -0.1 -1.2 0.4 -1.6 – 1.02× –
Lyle Overbay 2007 -0.1 -0.5 1.4 -1.8 – 0.56× –
Tomo Ohka 2007 -0.1 -1.1 1.5 -2.6 – 1.02× –
Victor Zambrano↔ 2007 -0.6 -3.0 0.3 -3.3 – 0.67× –
Jason Phillips 2007 -1.0 -4.2 0.5 -4.7 – 0.52× –
Reed Johnson 2007 -0.7 -4.9 3.1 -8.0 – 0.83× –
B.J. Ryan 2007 -0.1 -1.2 7.0 -8.2 – 1.34× –
Brandon League 2007 -0.1 -0.3 – – – 0.67× –
Brian Tallet 2007 +0.9 +4.8 – – – 0.67× –
Brian Wolfe 2007 +0.2 +1.2 – – – 0.67× –
Curtis Thigpen 2007 -0.3 -1.4 – – – 0.52× –
Hector Luna 2007 -0.3 -1.4 – – – 0.58× –
Howie Clark 2007 -0.2 -0.8 – – – 0.58× –
Jamie Vermilyea 2007 +0.1 +0.4 – – – 0.67× –
Jesse Litsch 2007 +0.6 +4.7 – – – 1.02× –
Joe Inglett 2007 +0.1 +0.6 – – – 0.58× –
John-Ford Griffin 2007 +0.1 +0.7 – – – 0.69× –
Jordan De Jong 2007 +0.1 +0.5 – – – 0.67× –
Josh Banks 2007 -0.0 -0.0 – – – 0.67× –
Lee Gronkiewicz 2007 -0.0 -0.2 – – – 0.67× –
Ray Olmedo 2007 +0.1 +0.5 – – – 0.61× –
Russ Adams 2007 -0.4 -1.7 – – – 0.58× –
Ryan Roberts 2007 -0.1 -0.6 – – – 0.58× –
Sal Fasano 2007 -0.1 -0.3 – – – 0.52× –
Ty Taubenheim 2007 -0.1 -0.5 – – – 1.02× –
Total—+33.7+415.981.9+327.7—

Trades

Every graded 2007 deal involving the Blue Jays — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 2 total.

2007 · TOR / CIN
TOR · JP Ricciardi +$0.0M
Buck Coats
CIN · Dan O'Brien +$0.0M
Justin James
Even trade
2007 · TOR / OAK
TOR · JP Ricciardi +$73.6M
Marco Scutaro
OAK · Billy Beane −$73.6M
Kristian Bell, Graham Godfrey
TOR came out ahead by $73.6M

Current & Historical Payroll

2007 payroll
$81.8M

What the front office was committed to as of 2007, 2007–2013. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (19)

PlayerAgeSvc2007200820092010201120122013
A.J. Burnett308.000$13.2M$13.2MFREE AGENT
Roy Halladay309.000$12.8M$10.0M$14.2MFREE AGENT
Troy Glaus309.000$10.5MFREE AGENT
Vernon Wells288.000$8.8M$3.7M$4.7M$15.7MFREE AGENT
B.J. Ryan318.000$7.0M$12.0M$12.0MFREE AGENT
Frank Thomas3917.000$5.6M$9.7MFREE AGENT
Gregg Zaun3612.000$3.5M$3.8MFREE AGENT
Josh Towers306.000$2.9MFREE AGENT
Tomo Ohka318.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Lyle Overbay306.000$1.4M$6.8M$8.0M$8.0MFREE AGENT
Royce Clayton3716.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Scott Downs317.000$1.0M$2.2M$3.8M$4.0MFREE AGENT
Matt Stairs3915.000$850k$1.4MFREE AGENT
John McDonald328.000$750k$1.9M$1.9M$1.5M$1.2MFREE AGENT
Joe Kennedy286.000$646kFREE AGENT
Jason Phillips306.000$500kFREE AGENT
Victor Zambrano316.000$308kFREE AGENT
Jason Smith296.000$196kFREE AGENT
Sal Fasano3511.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2007200820092010201120122013
Reed Johnson304.000$3.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Rios263.000$2.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Frasor293.000$825kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gustavo Chacin263.000$395kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ray Olmedo264.000—ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Tallet295.000—FREE AGENT
Hector Luna273.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Russ Adams263.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon League243.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (18)

PlayerAgeSvc2007200820092010201120122013
Aaron Hill252.000$395kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremy Accardo252.000$392kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shaun Marcum252.000$386kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Casey Janssen251.000$385kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dustin McGowan252.000$380kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Lind231.000$380kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Howie Clark33–—
John-Ford Griffin27–—
Brian Wolfe260.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Roberts261.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesse Litsch220.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Inglett291.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Curtis Thigpen24–—
Ty Taubenheim24–—
Josh Banks24–—
Jordan De Jong28–—
Jamie Vermilyea25–—
Lee Gronkiewicz28–—

Graphs

How each 2007 acquisition stacked onto Blue Jays's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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