Rosternomics

Blue Jays TOR

200467–94 (0.416)
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GM: JP Ricciardi

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2004, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$50M
Win %
0.416
TAB
-6.3
WAB
-10.9
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
24.4
Dead money %
30%
Depth Players
6.0
Dead WAR
-5.8

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2004 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

BGregg Zaun97
RKevin Cash60
RGuillermo Quiroz15
RBobby Estalella4
LGreg Myers4

1B

LCarlos Delgado120
RChris Gomez19
LHowie Clark11
RDave Berg7
LEric Crozier5

2B

BOrlando Hudson133
RFrank Menechino42
RDave Berg4
RChris Gomez3
LHowie Clark1

3B

LEric Hinske153
RFrank Menechino7
RChris Gomez5
RDave Berg3
LHowie Clark1

SS

RChris Gomez77
RChris Woodward64
LRuss Adams21
RFrank Menechino14

LF

RReed Johnson57
LFrank Catalanotto41
LGabe Gross38
RDave Berg31
LHowie Clark9
LSimon Pond6
RChad Hermansen4

CF

RVernon Wells131
RReed Johnson33
RAlex Rios3

RF

RAlex Rios108
RReed Johnson53
LHowie Clark11
LSimon Pond3
RDave Berg1

DH

RJosh Phelps79
LFrank Catalanotto26
RFrank Menechino15
LCarlos Delgado8
LSimon Pond6
LEric Crozier6
LGabe Gross5
BGregg Zaun4
RVernon Wells3
RDave Berg3
RReed Johnson2
RGuillermo Quiroz2
RChris Gomez2
LHowie Clark2
RBobby Estalella1
RChris Woodward1
LEric Hinske1
LGreg Myers1

Starters

LTed Lilly2.9 WAR
RRoy Halladay2.7 WAR
RDave Bush1.9 WAR
RMiguel Batista1.5 WAR
RJosh Towers1.1 WAR
LGustavo Chacin0.4 WAR
LJason Kershner0.1 WAR
RJustin Miller-0.1 WAR
RSean Douglass-0.1 WAR
RRyan Glynn-0.1 WAR
RPat Hentgen-0.5 WAR

Bullpen

RJason Frasor17 sv
RVinnie Chulk12 h
RJustin Speier7 h
RKerry Ligtenberg4 h
RKevin Frederick3 h
LJason Kershner2 h
RBob File2 h
RTerry Adams0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2003)

PlayerfWAR
Ted Lilly2.9
Frank Menechino2.0
Alex Rios1.9
Dave Bush1.9
Gregg Zaun1.7
Miguel Batista1.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2003)

Player2003 fWAR
Kelvim Escobar3.4
Cory Lidle2.4
Mike Bordick1.8
Mark Hendrickson1.8
Shannon Stewart0.7
Doug Davis0.5

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Blue Jays. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2004; everyone else is shown as a 2004 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Vernon Wells 2004 +4.0 +57.0 0.9 +56.2 $0.2M 1.79×
Ted Lilly 2004 +2.9 +45.5 1.9 +43.6 $0.7M 1.96×
Roy Halladay 2004 +2.7 +42.4 6.0 +36.4 $2.2M 1.96×
Orlando Hudson 2004 +3.7 +35.7 0.3 +35.3 $0.1M 1.20×
Frank Menechino 2004 +2.0 +13.4 0.3 +13.0 $0.2M 0.82×
Josh Towers 2004 +1.1 +8.9 0.3 +8.6 $0.3M 1.02×
Miguel Batista 2004 +1.5 +12.2 3.6 +8.6 $2.4M 1.02×
Kerry Ligtenberg 2004 +0.5 +5.4 2.0 +3.4 $4.0M 1.34×
Reed Johnson 2004 +0.5 +3.6 0.3 +3.2 $0.6M 0.83×
Justin Speier 2004 +0.4 +4.2 1.6 +2.6 $4.1M 1.34×
Vinnie Chulk 2004 +0.2 +2.5 0.3 +2.2 $1.3M 1.34×
Chris Gomez 2004 +0.3 +1.6 0.8 +0.8 $2.3M 0.61×
Terry Adams 2004 +0.4 +2.0 1.2 +0.8 $3.2M 0.67×
Jason Kershner 2004 +0.1 +0.7 0.3 +0.4 $2.4M 0.67×
Eric Hinske 2004 +0.2 +0.8 0.9 -0.1 $5.0M 0.58×
Valerio De Los Santos 2004 +0.1 +0.5 0.8 -0.4 $9.1M 0.67×
Bob File 2004 -0.1 -0.3 0.3 -0.6 0.67×
Bobby Estalella 2004 -0.1 -0.4 0.2 -0.6 0.52×
Chris Woodward 2004 -0.0 -0.1 0.8 -0.8 0.61×
Kevin Cash 2004 -0.1 -0.5 0.3 -0.8 0.52×
Sean Douglass 2004 -0.1 -0.6 0.3 -0.9 0.67×
Greg Myers 2004 -0.1 -0.6 0.9 -1.5 0.52×
Aquilino Lopez 2004 -0.3 -1.8 0.3 -2.1 0.67×
Simon Pond 2004 -0.4 -2.1 0.3 -2.4 0.69×
Frank Catalanotto 2004 -0.0 -0.3 2.3 -2.6 0.83×
Josh Phelps 2004 -0.6 -3.6 0.3 -3.8 0.69×
Carlos Delgado 2004 +2.4 +15.7 19.7 -4.0 $8.2M 0.81×
Pat Hentgen 2004 -0.5 -4.0 2.2 -6.2 1.02×
Dave Berg 2004 -1.4 -9.3 0.8 -10.1 0.83×
Adam Peterson 2004 -0.1 -0.4 0.67×
Alex Rios 2004 +1.9 +18.9 1.22×
Brandon League 2004 +0.1 +0.7 0.67×
Chad Hermansen 2004 -0.2 -1.3 0.83×
Dave Bush 2004 +1.9 +22.4 1.49×
Dave Maurer 2004 -0.2 -0.9 0.67×
Eric Crozier 2004 -0.0 -0.1 0.69×
Gabe Gross 2004 -0.1 -0.5 0.83×
Gregg Zaun 2004 +1.7 +10.6 0.76×
Guillermo Quiroz 2004 -0.4 -1.5 0.52×
Gustavo Chacin 2004 +0.4 +3.3 1.02×
Howie Clark 2004 -0.5 -2.3 0.56×
Jason Frasor 2004 +0.8 +8.9 1.34×
Justin Miller 2004 -0.1 -0.7 1.02×
Kevin Frederick 2004 -0.1 -0.4 0.67×
Micheal Nakamura 2004 -0.2 -1.2 0.67×
Russ Adams 2004 +0.1 +0.7 0.61×
Ryan Glynn 2004 -0.1 -0.7 0.67×
Total+24.2+284.050.2+178.2

Trades

Every graded 2004 deal involving the Blue Jays — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 6 total.

Current & Historical Payroll

2004 payroll
$50.3M

What the front office was committed to as of 2004, 2004–2010. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2004200520062007200820092010
Carlos Delgado3211.000$19.7MFREE AGENT
Roy Halladay276.000$6.0M$10.5M$12.8M$12.8M$10.0M$14.2MFREE AGENT
Miguel Batista3312.000$3.6M$4.8MFREE AGENT
Frank Catalanotto307.000$2.3M$2.7M$2.7MFREE AGENT
Pat Hentgen3513.000$2.2MFREE AGENT
Kerry Ligtenberg337.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Justin Speier306.000$1.6M$1.9M$2.2MFREE AGENT
Terry Adams319.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Greg Myers3817.000$900k$700kFREE AGENT
Valerio De Los Santos316.000$850kFREE AGENT
Dave Berg336.000$800kFREE AGENT
Chris Gomez3311.000$750kFREE AGENT
Bobby Estalella298.000$229kFREE AGENT
Gregg Zaun339.000$950k$1.0M$3.5M$3.8MFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2004200520062007200820092010
Ted Lilly285.000$1.9MFREE AGENT
Vernon Wells255.000$870kFREE AGENT
Chris Woodward285.000$775kFREE AGENT
Josh Towers273.000$340kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Frank Menechino335.000$339kFREE AGENT
Bob File273.000$310kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Douglass253.000$305kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Phelps264.000$262kARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Hermansen265.000FREE AGENT
Ryan Glynn295.000FREE AGENT
Dave Maurer294.000ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (22)

PlayerAgeSvc2004200520062007200820092010
Eric Hinske262.000$900kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Orlando Hudson262.000$322kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aquilino Lopez291.000$318kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Reed Johnson271.000$318kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Kershner272.000$315kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Cash262.000$302kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Simon Pond270.000$300kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Vinnie Chulk251.000$300kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Miller262.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gustavo Chacin230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Frederick272.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Howie Clark30
Gabe Gross240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Guillermo Quiroz220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Rios230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Micheal Nakamura27
Russ Adams230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Frasor260.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Peterson25
Dave Bush240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Crozier25
Brandon League210.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2004 acquisition stacked onto Blue Jays's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.