RRosternomics
NC

Ned Colletti

Born Apr 16, 1954 · Chicago, IL · age 72

General manager for the Dodgers (2006–2014).

9 seasons with salary-era data across 1 stint. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

Overview

Titles0
Pennants0
Playoffs5
Record783–674
Win %0.537
+1.2GM WAR — wins above a replacement GM (org-adjusted, shrunk; per season) ±4.748th/195 execs
9.4Depth — 2+ WAR regulars per season (the breadth that drives TAB, not stars)5th/195 execs
-5.0Dead WAR — WAR/yr bled by sub-replacement players (closer to 0 = better)88th/195 execs
32%Dead money — payroll on <0.5-WAR players (lower = better)86th/195 execs
$25MCheap-talent surplus — $/yr of value from cost-controlled (pre-arb/arb) players above their pay; the selection engine, and the stickiest GM skill we track61st/195 execs
$20MDrafted surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own draftees (the develop-from-the-draft engine)16th/195 execs
$1MTraded-for surplus — cheap-talent surplus from cost-controlled players he acquired via trade123rd/195 execs
$4MInt'l surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own international signees29th/195 execs
+18.6TAB — talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation), tenure total39th/195 execs
+7.5WAB — realized wins (TAB + the non-repeatable luck of converting talent to wins)51st/195 execs
3.37Acquisition Leverage — playoff pts per acquired WAR, graded once in the year each deal's wins arrive (the repeatable decision skill)31st/195 execs
-358Roster surplus $M179th/195 execs

Tenure breakdown

TeamRoleYearsSzns WAB WAB/yr TAB WAR surp HG Trade FA R5 AcqLev W-L% POPenWS Surp $M
Dodgers GM 2006–2014 9 +7.5 +0.84 +18.6 -143.8 +217.5 +10.3 -80.7 +0.4 3.37 0.537 5 -358
Career total (1985+ data) 9 +7.5 +18.6 -143.8 +217.5 +10.3 -80.7 +0.4 3.37 0.537 5 -358

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+217.5
Trade+10.3
Free agency-80.7
Rule 5 / minor draft+0.4
Sourcing mix: 57% draft · 25% FA · 18% trade · 0% R5

Roster value distribution — career average — depth vs. stars

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR, averaged across Ned Colletti's seasons. Bars = his rosters; the black line = the league-average player at each slot. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge.

Players acquired — 169 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr Lev
Clayton Kershaw P LAD Draft 2006 18 +80.7 +4.5
Justin Turner 3B LAD Free agency 2014 9 +33.0 +3.7 6.2
Corey Seager SS LAD Draft 2012 7 +21.9 +3.1
Yasmani Grandal C LAD Trade 2014 4 +20.6 +5.2 31.0
Yasiel Puig OF LAD Intl FA 2012 6 +17.4 +2.9
Cody Bellinger 1B/OF LAD Draft 2013 5 +17.3 +3.5
Hyun Jin Ryu P LAD Draft 2013 5 +16.6 +3.3
Zack Greinke P LAD Free agency 2012 3 +16.0 +5.3 27.4
Julio Urías P LAD Intl FA 2012 8 +14.6 +1.8
Rafael Furcal SS LAD Trade 2006 5 +14.0 +2.8 10.1
Hiroki Kuroda P LAD Draft 2008 4 +12.1 +3.0
Joc Pederson DH/OF LAD Draft 2010 6 +11.2 +1.9
Adrián González 1B LAD Trade 2012 5 +10.1 +2.0 0.9
Hanley Ramírez SS LAD Trade 2012 3 +8.7 +2.9 2.0
Casey Blake 3B LAD Trade 2008 4 +8.4 +2.1 3.9
Austin Barnes C LAD Trade 2014 8 +8.1 +1.0
Juan Uribe 3B/SS LAD Free agency 2010 5 +7.2 +1.4 0.0
Takashi Saito P LAD Draft 2006 3 +6.8 +2.3
Enrique Hernández OF LAD Trade 2014 8 +6.0 +0.7 8.0
Ross Stripling P LAD Draft 2012 4 +5.3 +1.3
Randy Wolf P LAD Free agency 2006 2 +5.0 +2.5 5.3
Jamey Carroll 2B/3B LAD Free agency 2009 2 +4.5 +2.2 3.7
Juan Pierre OF LAD Free agency 2006 2 +4.3 +2.1 7.3
Carl Crawford OF LAD Trade 2012 3 +4.1 +1.4 12.3
Pedro Báez P LAD Intl FA 2007 7 +3.8 +0.5
Mark Ellis 2B LAD Free agency 2011 2 +3.8 +1.9 3.0
Chris Capuano P LAD Free agency 2011 2 +3.7 +1.9 3.3
Dee Strange-Gordon 2B LAD Draft 2008 2 +2.8 +1.4
Orlando Hudson 2B LAD Free agency 2009 1 +2.8 +2.8 19.1
Manny Ramirez OF LAD Free agency 2009 3 +2.5 +0.8 13.3
Howie Kendrick 2B LAD Trade 2014 2 +2.4 +1.2 12.6
Brandon McCarthy P LAD Free agency 2014 2 +2.3 +1.2 3.8
Alex Verdugo OF LAD Draft 2014 2 +2.3 +1.2
Luis Cruz 3B/SS LAD Free agency 2011 1 +2.2 +2.2 2.9
Caleb Ferguson P LAD Draft 2014 4 +2.2 +0.6
Dan Haren P LAD Free agency 2013 1 +2.0 +2.0 3.9
Nick Punto 2B/3B/SS LAD Trade 2012 2 +2.0 +1.0 0.6
Greg Maddux P LAD Trade 2006 2 +1.9 +0.9 4.4
Ricky Nolasco P LAD Trade 2013 1 +1.9 +1.9 10.4
Aaron Harang P LAD Free agency 2011 1 +1.8 +1.8 2.4
J. P. Howell P LAD Free agency 2013 4 +1.7 +0.4 4.4
Joe Beimel P LAD Free agency 2006 3 +1.6 +0.5 0.4
Ronald Belisario P LAD Trade 2009 3 +1.4 +0.5
Mark Hendrickson P LAD Trade 2006 2 +1.4 +0.7 2.5
Joe Blanton P LAD Trade 2012 2 +1.4 +0.7 0.9
Paco Rodríguez P LAD Draft 2012 4 +1.3 +0.3
Aaron Sele P LAD Free agency 2006 1 +1.3 +1.3 3.8
Nomar Garciaparra SS LAD Trade 2006 2 +1.2 +0.6 5.7
Brett Anderson P LAD Free agency 2014 1 +1.1 +1.1 7.4
Victor González P LAD Intl FA 2012 3 +1.1 +0.4
Vicente Padilla P LAD Free agency 2009 3 +1.1 +0.4 5.5
Tony Gwynn OF LAD Free agency 2010 1 +1.0 +1.0 8.1
Brett Tomko P LAD Free agency 2006 2 +1.0 +0.5 2.8
Kenny Lofton OF LAD Trade 2006 1 +1.0 +1.0 3.0
Josh Beckett P LAD Trade 2012 3 +0.8 +0.3 0.7
Adam Liberatore P LAD Trade 2014 3 +0.8 +0.3
Jamey Wright P LAD Free agency 2012 2 +0.8 +0.4 0.7
Marlon Anderson 2B LAD Trade 2006 1 +0.8 +0.8 2.7
Rubby De La Rosa P LAD Intl FA 2007 1 +0.7 +0.7
Josh Lindblom P LAD Draft 2008 1 +0.7 +0.7
Aaron Miles 2B LAD Free agency 2011 1 +0.7 +0.7 3.7
Juan Nicasio P LAD Trade 2014 1 +0.7 +0.7 3.8
Danys Báez P LAD Trade 2006 1 +0.7 +0.7 1.9
Wilson Betemit 3B LAD Trade 2007 1 +0.7 +0.7 2.8
Chone Figgins 3B/OF LAD Free agency 2014 1 +0.6 +0.6 1.2
Luis Gonzalez OF LAD Free agency 2006 1 +0.6 +0.6 1.8
Jerry Sands OF LAD Draft 2008 1 +0.6 +0.6
Justin Sellers SS LAD Trade 2009 2 +0.6 +0.3
Darwin Barney 2B LAD Trade 2014 1 +0.6 +0.6 1.4
Drew Butera C LAD Trade 2014 1 +0.6 +0.6 1.4
Brad Ausmus C LAD Free agency 2009 1 +0.5 +0.5 4.3
Dana Eveland P LAD Free agency 2010 1 +0.5 +0.5 2.7
Adam Kennedy 2B LAD Free agency 2011 1 +0.5 +0.5 0.6
Eric Milton P LAD Free agency 2009 1 +0.5 +0.5 3.3
David Wells P LAD Trade 2007 1 +0.5 +0.5 1.6
Matt Guerrier P LAD Free agency 2010 1 +0.4 +0.4 4.0
Jimmy Rollins SS LAD Trade 2014 1 +0.4 +0.4 2.2
Scott Schebler OF LAD Draft 2010 1 +0.4 +0.4
Wilson Valdez 2B/SS LAD Trade 2007 1 +0.4 +0.4 1.2
Rod Barajas C LAD Free agency 2010 2 +0.3 +0.2 1.0
John Ely P LAD Trade 2009 1 +0.3 +0.3
Stephen Fife P LAD Trade 2011 2 +0.3 +0.1
Reed Johnson OF LAD Free agency 2010 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.5
Jason Schmidt P LAD Free agency 2006 2 +0.3 +0.1 0.8
Danny Ardoin C LAD Free agency 2007 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.7
Nathan Eovaldi P LAD Draft 2008 2 +0.2 +0.1
Carlos Frías P LAD Intl FA 2007 3 +0.2 +0.1
Yimi García P LAD Intl FA 2009 2 +0.2 +0.1
Jeff Weaver P LAD Free agency 2009 3 +0.2 +0.1 15.8
Brian Wilson P LAD Free agency 2013 1 +0.2 +0.2 2.1
Chris Withrow P LAD Draft 2007 2 +0.2 +0.1
Bobby Abreu OF LAD Trade 2012 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.3
Toby Hall C LAD Trade 2006 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.6
Blake Hawksworth P LAD Trade 2011 1 +0.2 +0.2 1.0
Roger Bernadina OF LAD Trade 2014 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.4
Todd Coffey P LAD Free agency 2012 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.1
Kyle Farmer 2B/SS LAD Draft 2013 1 +0.1 +0.1
Ramón Hernández C LAD Trade 2013 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.3
Mitch Jones DH/OF LAD Trade 2009 1 +0.1 +0.1
Guillermo Mota P LAD Free agency 2009 4 +0.1 +0.0 1.2
Trent Oeltjen OF LAD Free agency 2010 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.9
Travis Schlichting P LAD Trade 2009 1 +0.1 +0.1
Einar Díaz C LAD Trade 2006 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.2
Ryan Theriot 2B/SS LAD Trade 2010 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.2
Edinson Vólquez P LAD Trade 2013 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.3
Jon Garland P LAD Free agency 2010 2 +0.0 +0.0 3.0
Jay Gibbons OF LAD Free agency 2010 1 -0.0 -0.0 0.4
Jon Link P LAD Trade 2009 1 +0.0 +0.0
Doug Mientkiewicz 1B LAD Free agency 2009 -0.0
Justin Miller P LAD Free agency 2009 -0.0
Russ Ortiz P LAD Free agency 2010 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Red Patterson P LAD Draft 2010 -0.0
Clint Robinson 1B/OF LAD Free agency 2013 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.1
Keibert Ruiz C LAD Intl FA 2014 2 +0.0 +0.0
Terry Tiffee 3B LAD Free agency 2007 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.1
Shawn Tolleson P LAD Draft 2010 1 +0.0 +0.0
Tanyon Sturtze P LAD Trade 2008 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Claudio Vargas P LAD Trade 2009 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.1
Ronnie Belliard 2B LAD Free agency 2010 1 -0.1 -0.1 6.7
Gary Bennett C LAD Free agency 2007 -0.1
Danny Coulombe P LAD Draft 2012 -0.1
O'Koyea Dickson OF LAD Draft 2011 -0.1
José Domínguez P LAD Intl FA 2007 1 -0.1 -0.1
Onelki García P LAD Draft 2012 -0.1
Héctor Giménez C LAD Free agency 2010 -0.1
Chris Hatcher P LAD Trade 2014 2 -0.1 -0.0 1.6
Zach Lee P LAD Draft 2010 -0.1
Mike MacDougal P LAD Free agency 2011 -0.1
Dennis Santana P LAD Intl FA 2013 1 -0.1 -0.1
Nick Buss OF LAD Draft 2008 -0.2
Jerry Hairston 2B/OF LAD Free agency 2011 1 -0.2 -0.2 1.5
John Lindsey 1B LAD Trade 2010 -0.2
Dioner Navarro C LAD Free agency 2010 2 -0.2 -0.1 0.1
Scott Proctor P LAD Trade 2007 1 -0.2 -0.2
Chin-hui Tsao P LAD Free agency 2007 1 -0.2 -0.2 0.3
Joe Wieland P LAD Trade 2014 -0.2
Erisbel Arruebarrena SS LAD Intl FA 2014 -0.3
Lance Cormier P LAD Free agency 2011 -0.3
Alex Guerrero 3B/OF LAD Intl FA 2013 -0.3
Jason Johnson P LAD Free agency 2008 -0.3
Mike Lieberthal C LAD Free agency 2006 -0.3
Mark Loretta 2B LAD Free agency 2008 -0.3
Peter Moylan P LAD Free agency 2013 -0.3
Miguel Olivo C LAD Free agency 2014 -0.3
Ramón Ortiz P LAD Free agency 2010 -0.3
Jamie Romak 1B/OF LAD Trade 2014 -0.3
Alex Castellanos OF LAD Trade 2011 -0.4
José De León P LAD Draft 2013 -0.4
Tim Federowicz C LAD Trade 2011 2 -0.4 -0.2
Tim Hamulack P LAD Trade 2006 -0.4
Brandon League P LAD Trade 2012 2 -0.4 -0.2 0.7
Will Ohman P LAD Free agency 2009 -0.4
Marcus Thames DH/OF LAD Free agency 2011 -0.4
Charlie Haeger P LAD Free agency 2009 -0.5
Paul Maholm P LAD Free agency 2014 -0.5
Luis Maza 2B/SS LAD Trade 2008 -0.5
George Sherrill P LAD Trade 2009 1 -0.5 -0.5 2.5
Chris Perez P LAD Free agency 2013 -0.6
Brock Stewart P LAD Draft 2014 1 -0.6 -0.6
Matt Treanor C LAD Free agency 2011 -0.6
Esteban Loaiza P LAD Trade 2008 1 -0.6 -0.6 0.7
Eugenio Vélez 2B/OF LAD Free agency 2010 -0.7
Matt Magill P LAD Draft 2008 -0.8
Carlos Monasterios P LAD Trade 2009 -0.8
Mark Sweeney 1B/OF LAD Free agency 2008 -0.8
Juan Rivera OF LAD Free agency 2011 1 -0.9 -0.9 3.8
Ramón Martínez 2B/SS LAD Free agency 2006 -1.0
Andruw Jones OF LAD Free agency 2007 -1.1
Garret Anderson OF LAD Free agency 2010 -1.3

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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