RRosternomics
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Dodgers LAD

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GM: Ned Colletti

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.08× league · TAB -4.8
-4.8TAB — talent above budget21st/30
-2.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)18th/30
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars7th/30
-6.8dead WAR — sub-replacement drag20th/30
18%dead money %2nd/30
0.494win %17th/30
30.4roster fWAR19th/30
-26surplus $M (value vs cost)20th/30
$98Mpayroll $M11th/30

Roster

CFMatt Kemp 158GReed Johnson 6GScott Podsednik 6G
LFScott Podsednik 129GReed Johnson 62GManny Ramirez 46G
RFAndre Ethier 132GReed Johnson 22GXavier Paul 15G
SSRafael Furcal 93GJamey Carroll 69GJuan Castro 33G
2BRyan Theriot 119GJamey Carroll 48GRonnie Belliard 20G
3BCasey Blake 139GRonnie Belliard 16GJamey Carroll 11G
1BJames Loney 160GRonnie Belliard 10GJay Gibbons 3G
STARTERSChad Billingsley 4.2WARClayton Kershaw 4.0WARHiroki Kuroda 3.7WARVicente Padilla 0.9WARTed Lilly 0.8WAR
CRod Barajas 96GRussell Martin 93GA.J. Ellis 43G
BULLPEN★ Jonathan Broxton 22svHung-Chih Kuo 21hRonald Belisario 16hGeorge Sherrill 8hRamon Troncoso 8hJeff Weaver 4hKenley Jansen 4hJack Taschner 2h
CRod Barajas 96 · Russell Martin 93 · A.J. Ellis 43
1BJames Loney 160 · Ronnie Belliard 10 · Jay Gibbons 3
2BRyan Theriot 119 · Jamey Carroll 48 · Ronnie Belliard 20
3BCasey Blake 139 · Ronnie Belliard 16 · Jamey Carroll 11
SSRafael Furcal 93 · Jamey Carroll 69 · Juan Castro 33
LFScott Podsednik 129 · Reed Johnson 62 · Manny Ramirez 46
CFMatt Kemp 158 · Reed Johnson 6 · Scott Podsednik 6
RFAndre Ethier 132 · Reed Johnson 22 · Xavier Paul 15
SPChad Billingsley 4.2 · Clayton Kershaw 4.0 · Hiroki Kuroda 3.7 · Vicente Padilla 0.9 · Ted Lilly 0.8
BP★ Jonathan Broxton 22 · Hung-Chih Kuo 21 · Ronald Belisario 16 · George Sherrill 8 · Ramon Troncoso 8 · Jeff Weaver 4 · Kenley Jansen 4 · Jack Taschner 2

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2010 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Chad Billingsley 25 arb 314.2 3.9 +6.1
Rafael Furcal 32 FA-elig 974.1 9.5 +0.1
Clayton Kershaw 22 pre-arb 324.0 0.4 +9.0
Hiroki Kuroda 35 pre-arb 313.7 15.4 -6.8
Russell Martin 27 arb 973.1 5.0 +2.3
Casey Blake 36 FA-elig 1462.9 6.2 +0.5
Jamey Carroll 36 FA-elig 1332.4 1.5 +4.1
Hung-Chih Kuo 28 arb 562.4 0.9 +4.7
Andre Ethier 28 arb 1392.0 5.8 -1.1
Jonathan Broxton 26 arb 641.0 4.0 -1.7
Kenley Jansen 22 – 261.0 0.2 +2.1
Manny Ramirez↔ CHW 38 FA-elig 660.9 13.7 -11.5
Vicente Padilla 32 FA-elig 160.9 5.0 -2.9
Blake DeWitt↔ CHC 24 pre-arb 820.9 0.2 +1.8
Ted Lilly↔ CHC 34 FA-elig 120.8 5.2 -3.2
James Loney 26 arb 1610.8 3.1 -1.2
Rod Barajas↔ NYM 34 FA-elig 250.6 0.1 +1.4
John Ely 24 – 180.5 – –
Reed Johnson 33 FA-elig 1020.3 0.8 -0.1
Jay Gibbons 33 – 370.3 – –
Travis Schlichting 25 – 140.2 – –
Ryan Theriot↔ CHC 30 arb 540.1 0.9 -0.6
Jon Link 26 – 90.0 – –
Russ Ortiz 36 – 60.0 – –
Matt Kemp 25 arb 1620.0 4.0 -4.0
Justin Miller 32 – 19-0.0 – –
Nick Green↔ TOR 31 – 5-0.0 – –
Juan Castro↔ PHI 38 FA-elig 1-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Scott Elbert 24 – 1-0.1 – –
James McDonald↔ PIT 25 – 4-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Ronnie Belliard 35 FA-elig 82-0.1 0.8 -1.0
Trent Oeltjen 27 – 15-0.1 – –
Jack Taschner↔ PIT 32 arb 3-0.1 0.1 -0.4
Octavio Dotel↔ COL 36 FA-elig 19-0.1 1.0 -1.3
Brad Ausmus 41 FA-elig 21-0.2 0.8 -1.3
John Lindsey 33 – 11-0.2 – –
Ronald Belisario 27 pre-arb 59-0.2 0.4 -0.9
Chin-Lung Hu 26 – 14-0.2 – –
Xavier Paul 25 – 44-0.3 – –
Scott Podsednik↔ KCR 34 FA-elig 39-0.3 0.5 -1.1
Charlie Haeger 26 arb 9-0.3 0.4 -1.1
Jeff Weaver 33 FA-elig 44-0.3 0.8 -1.5
Ramon Ortiz 37 FA-elig 16-0.3 1.0 -1.8
A.J. Ellis 29 – 44-0.4 0.4 -1.4
Russell Mitchell 25 – 15-0.4 – –
Ramon Troncoso 27 pre-arb 52-0.5 0.4 -1.5
George Sherrill 33 FA-elig 65-0.5 4.5 -5.7
Carlos Monasterios 24 pre-arb 32-0.8 0.4 -2.3
Garret Anderson 38 FA-elig 80-1.3 0.6 -3.5

Key additions (new vs 2009)

PlayerfWAR
Jamey Carroll2.4
Kenley Jansen1.0
Ted Lilly0.8
Rod Barajas0.6
John Ely0.5
Reed Johnson0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 2009)

Player2009 fWAR
Randy Wolf3.3
Orlando Hudson2.8
Juan Pierre1.9
Eric Milton0.5
Jon Garland0.5
Eric Stults0.5

Current & Historical Payroll

2010 payroll
$98.3M

What the front office was committed to as of 2010, 2010–2016. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (21)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Manny Ramirez3817.000$13.7MFREE AGENT
Rafael Furcal3210.000$9.5M$7.5MFREE AGENT
Casey Blake3611.000$6.2M$5.5MFREE AGENT
Ted Lilly3411.000$5.2M$8.2M$10.5M$12.0MFREE AGENT
Vicente Padilla3211.000$5.0M$2.0MFREE AGENT
George Sherrill336.000$4.5MFREE AGENT
Jamey Carroll368.000$1.5M$2.3MFREE AGENT
Ramon Ortiz3711.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Octavio Dotel3611.000$978kFREE AGENT
Brad Ausmus4117.000$850kFREE AGENT
Ronnie Belliard3512.000$825kFREE AGENT
Jeff Weaver3311.000$800kFREE AGENT
Reed Johnson337.000$800kFREE AGENT
Garret Anderson3816.000$550kFREE AGENT
Scott Podsednik349.000$480kFREE AGENT
Rod Barajas3411.000$126k$3.2MFREE AGENT
Juan Castro3815.000$13kFREE AGENT
Russ Ortiz3612.000—FREE AGENT
Justin Miller328.000—FREE AGENT
Jay Gibbons336.057—$650kFREE AGENT
Nick Green316.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Andre Ethier284.000$5.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Russell Martin274.000$5.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Broxton265.000$4.0MFREE AGENT
Matt Kemp254.000$4.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Billingsley254.000$3.9MARB 3FREE AGENT
James Loney264.000$3.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Hung-Chih Kuo285.000$950kFREE AGENT
Ryan Theriot305.000$936kFREE AGENT
Charlie Haeger264.000$411kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jack Taschner325.000$125kFREE AGENT
Chin-Lung Hu263.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (17)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Hiroki Kuroda352.000$15.4MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Clayton Kershaw222.000$440kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ramon Troncoso272.000$416kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ronald Belisario271.000$412kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Monasterios240.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
A.J. Ellis290.062$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Blake DeWitt242.000$249kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kenley Jansen220.000$155kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
James McDonald252.000$107kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Lindsey33–—
Xavier Paul251.119—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Russell Mitchell25–—
Scott Elbert240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jon Link26–—
Travis Schlichting25–—
Trent Oeltjen27–—
John Ely240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Dodgers 2010; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.