RRosternomics
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AB

Allard Baird

Born Nov 8, 1961 · Rochester, NH · age 64

General manager for the Royals (2001–2006).

6 seasons with salary-era data across 1 stint. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

Overview

Titles0
Pennants0
Playoffs0
Record386–586
Win %0.397
-6.0GM WAR — wins above a replacement GM (org-adjusted, shrunk; per season) ±5.4185th/195 execs
3.8Depth — 2+ WAR regulars per season (the breadth that drives TAB, not stars)174th/195 execs
-9.5Dead WAR — WAR/yr bled by sub-replacement players (closer to 0 = better)190th/195 execs
43%Dead money — payroll on <0.5-WAR players (lower = better)150th/195 execs
$3MCheap-talent surplus — $/yr of value from cost-controlled (pre-arb/arb) players above their pay; the selection engine, and the stickiest GM skill we track154th/195 execs
$5MDrafted surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own draftees (the develop-from-the-draft engine)103rd/195 execs
$-1MTraded-for surplus — cheap-talent surplus from cost-controlled players he acquired via trade172nd/195 execs
$-1MInt'l surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own international signees182nd/195 execs
-73.8TAB — talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation), tenure total191st/195 execs
-64.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + the non-repeatable luck of converting talent to wins)186th/195 execs
0.08Acquisition Leverage — playoff pts per acquired WAR, graded once in the year each deal's wins arrive (the repeatable decision skill)178th/195 execs
-90Roster surplus $M130th/195 execs

Tenure breakdown

TeamRoleYearsSzns WAB WAB/yr TAB WAR surp HG Trade FA R5 AcqLev W-L% POPenWS Surp $M
▸ Royals GM 2001–2006 6 -64.9 -10.81 -73.8 -50.8 +111.7 -16.9 -33.8 +11.9 0.08 0.397 ––– -90
Career total (1985+ data) 6 -64.9 -73.8 -50.8 +111.7 -16.9 -33.8 +11.9 0.08 0.397 –– – -90

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

by valueby volume

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+111.7
Trade-16.9
Free agency-33.8
Rule 5 / minor draft+11.9
Sourcing mix: 66% draft · 20% FA · 7% trade · 7% R5

Roster value distribution — career average — depth vs. stars

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR, averaged across Allard Baird's seasons. Bars = his rosters; the black line = the league-average player at each slot. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge.

Players acquired — 128 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr Lev
Alex Gordon OF KCR Draft 2005 12 +31.4 +2.6 –
Zack Greinke P KCR Draft 2002 8 +26.9 +3.4 –
Salvador Pérez C KCR Intl FA 2006 13 +17.5 +1.3 –
Jarrod Dyson OF KCR Draft 2006 7 +9.8 +1.4 –
Joakim Soria P KCR Rule 5 2006 7 +9.8 +1.4 –
Luke Hochevar P KCR Draft 2006 8 +8.9 +1.1 –
Gil Meche P KCR Free agency 2006 3 +8.6 +2.9 0.5
Billy Butler 1B/DH KCR Draft 2004 6 +7.5 +1.3 –
Mark Grudzielanek 2B/SS KCR Free agency 2005 3 +6.7 +2.2 0.1
Kelvin Herrera P KCR Intl FA 2006 7 +6.4 +0.9 –
Raúl Ibañez OF KCR Free agency 2001 3 +5.2 +1.7 0.0
Emil Brown OF KCR Free agency 2004 3 +4.8 +1.6 0.0
Mike Aviles SS KCR Draft 2003 2 +4.7 +2.4 –
Darrell May P KCR Free agency 2001 3 +4.2 +1.4 0.0
Mark Teahen 3B/OF KCR Trade 2004 2 +3.7 +1.9 –
John Buck C KCR Trade 2004 6 +3.5 +0.6 –
Paul Byrd P KCR Free agency 2002 2 +3.1 +1.5 0.1
Esteban Germán 2B/3B KCR Trade 2006 2 +2.4 +1.2 0.1
Jason Grimsley P KCR Free agency 2001 4 +2.2 +0.6 0.1
Odalis Pérez P KCR Trade 2006 2 +2.0 +1.0 0.0
Joey Gathright OF KCR Trade 2006 3 +1.8 +0.6 0.0
Ángel Berroa SS KCR Trade 2001 4 +1.6 +0.4 –
Luke Hudson P KCR Free agency 2006 1 +1.3 +1.3 0.1
John Bale P KCR Free agency 2006 2 +1.2 +0.6 0.1
Roberto Hernández P KCR Trade 2001 2 +1.2 +0.6 0.0
Mark Redman P KCR Trade 2005 1 +1.2 +1.2 0.1
Reggie Sanders OF KCR Free agency 2006 2 +1.2 +0.6 0.0
Miguel Asencio P KCR Rule 5 2001 2 +1.1 +0.5 –
Brandon Duckworth P KCR Free agency 2006 3 +1.1 +0.4 0.0
Dennys Reyes P KCR Free agency 2003 1 +1.0 +1.0 0.0
Ryan Shealy 1B KCR Trade 2006 2 +1.0 +0.5 0.1
Doug Mientkiewicz 1B KCR Free agency 2005 1 +0.9 +0.9 0.1
Elmer Dessens P KCR Trade 2006 1 +0.8 +0.8 0.0
Cory Bailey P KCR Free agency 2001 1 +0.7 +0.7 0.1
Juan Carlos Oviedo P KCR Trade 2004 2 +0.7 +0.3 –
Rondell White OF KCR Trade 2003 1 +0.7 +0.7 0.2
Adam Bernero P KCR Trade 2006 1 +0.7 +0.7 0.0
Joel Peralta P KCR Trade 2006 2 +0.7 +0.3 0.0
Kelly Stinnett C KCR Free agency 2003 1 +0.6 +0.6 0.0
Rudy Seánez P KCR Trade 2004 1 +0.6 +0.6 0.0
Denny Bautista P KCR Trade 2004 2 +0.5 +0.2 0.0
Jaime Cerda P KCR Trade 2004 1 +0.5 +0.5 0.0
Shawn Camp P KCR Trade 2004 2 +0.4 +0.2 –
D. J. Carrasco P KCR Rule 5 2002 2 +0.4 +0.2 –
Alberto Castillo C KCR Free agency 2004 2 +0.4 +0.2 0.0
Mike Difelice C KCR Free agency 2003 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.1
Irving Falu 2B KCR Draft 2003 1 +0.4 +0.4 –
Tony Graffanino 2B KCR Free agency 2003 3 +0.4 +0.1 0.0
Brent Mayne C KCR Trade 2001 4 +0.4 +0.1 –
Benito Santiago C KCR Free agency 2003 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.0
Terrence Long OF KCR Trade 2005 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.0
Jeff Keppinger 2B KCR Trade 2006 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.0
Jorge De La Rosa P KCR Trade 2006 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.1
Jimmy Serrano P KCR Trade 2003 1 +0.3 +0.3 –
Brian Anderson P KCR Trade 2003 3 +0.2 +0.1 0.2
J. P. Howell P KCR Draft 2004 1 +0.2 +0.2 –
Mitch Maier OF KCR Draft 2003 3 +0.2 +0.1 –
Joe Nelson P KCR Free agency 2005 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.0
Carlos Rosa P KCR Intl FA 2001 2 +0.2 +0.1 –
Matt Stairs DH/OF KCR Free agency 2003 2 +0.2 +0.1 0.0
Dusty Wathan C KCR Trade 2002 1 +0.2 +0.2 –
Jamey Wright P KCR Free agency 2003 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.2
Paul Abbott P KCR Trade 2003 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Dusty Hughes P KCR Draft 2003 1 +0.1 +0.1 –
Ryan Jensen P KCR Free agency 2004 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
David Riske P KCR Free agency 2006 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Steve Stemle P KCR Trade 2005 1 +0.1 +0.1 –
Scott Sullivan P KCR Free agency 2003 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Matt Tupman C KCR Draft 2002 1 +0.1 +0.1 –
Blake Wood P KCR Draft 2006 1 +0.1 +0.1 –
Graeme Lloyd P KCR Trade 2003 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Steve Andrade P KCR Trade 2006 1 +0.0 +0.0 –
Jonah Bayliss P KCR Draft 2002 – -0.0 – –
Craig Brazell 1B KCR Free agency 2006 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Billy Buckner P KCR Draft 2004 – -0.0 – –
Fernando Cortez 2B KCR Trade 2006 – -0.0 – –
Travis Dawkins SS KCR Free agency 2003 – -0.0 – –
A. J. Hinch C KCR Trade 2001 1 -0.0 -0.0 0.0
Justin Huisman P KCR Trade 2004 1 +0.0 +0.0 –
Bobby Keppel P KCR Trade 2006 1 +0.0 +0.0 –
Julius Matos 2B/3B KCR Free agency 2002 – -0.0 – –
Ángel Sánchez SS KCR Draft 2001 1 +0.0 +0.0 –
Mac Suzuki P KCR Free agency 2001 2 -0.0 -0.0 0.2
Rich Thompson OF KCR Trade 2003 1 +0.0 +0.0 –
Curt Leskanic P KCR Trade 2003 1 -0.0 -0.0 0.2
Matt Kinney P KCR Trade 2004 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Morgan Burkhart 1B/DH KCR Free agency 2002 – -0.1 – –
Rick DeHart P KCR Free agency 2001 – -0.1 – –
Denny Hocking 2B/SS KCR Free agency 2005 – -0.1 – –
Trenidad Hubbard OF KCR Free agency 2001 – -0.1 – –
Rontrez Johnson OF KCR Trade 2003 – -0.1 – –
Kila Ka'aihue 1B/DH KCR Draft 2002 2 -0.1 -0.1 –
Devon Lowery P KCR Draft 2001 – -0.1 – –
Chan Perry 1B/OF KCR Free agency 2002 – -0.1 – –
Calvin Pickering 1B/DH KCR Free agency 2003 1 -0.1 -0.1 0.0
Bryan Rekar P KCR Free agency 2002 – -0.1 – –
Eduardo Villacis P KCR Trade 2002 – -0.1 – –
Ryan Braun P KCR Draft 2003 – -0.2 – –
Adrian Brown OF KCR Free agency 2004 – -0.2 – –
Jose Díaz P KCR Trade 2006 – -0.2 – –
Seth Etherton P KCR Free agency 2005 – -0.2 – –
Brian Shouse P KCR Free agency 2001 – -0.2 – –
Les Walrond P KCR Trade 2003 – -0.2 – –
José Lima P KCR Free agency 2004 1 -0.3 -0.3 0.3
Sean Lowe P KCR Free agency 2003 – -0.3 – –
Matt Diaz OF KCR Free agency 2005 – -0.4 – –
Wilton Guerrero 2B/OF KCR Free agency 2003 – -0.4 – –
Luis Ordaz 2B/SS KCR Free agency 2002 1 -0.4 -0.4 0.0
Jarrod Patterson 3B KCR Free agency 2002 – -0.4 – –
Mike Wood P KCR Trade 2004 1 -0.4 -0.4 0.0
Juan González OF KCR Free agency 2004 – -0.5 – –
Kerry Robinson OF KCR Free agency 2005 – -0.5 – –
Brad Voyles P KCR Trade 2001 – -0.5 – –
Chip Ambres OF KCR Trade 2005 – -0.6 – –
Paul Bako C KCR Free agency 2005 – -0.6 – –
Shane Costa OF KCR Draft 2003 1 -0.6 -0.6 –
Everett Teaford P KCR Draft 2006 1 -0.6 -0.6 –
Endy Chávez OF KCR Trade 2001 – -0.7 – –
Albie Lopez P KCR Free agency 2003 – -0.7 – –
Donnie Sadler 2B/OF KCR Trade 2001 1 -0.7 -0.7 0.0
Chuck Knoblauch 2B KCR Free agency 2001 – -0.8 – –
Joe McEwing 2B/OF KCR Free agency 2005 – -0.9 – –
Luis Alicea 2B KCR Free agency 2001 – -1.0 – –
Justin Huber 1B/OF KCR Trade 2004 – -1.0 – –
Donnie Murphy 2B/3B/SS KCR Draft 2002 – -1.0 – –
Desi Relaford SS KCR Free agency 2003 1 -1.0 -1.0 0.0
Ross Gload 1B KCR Trade 2006 1 -1.3 -1.3 0.1
Scott Elarton P KCR Free agency 2005 – -2.0 – –

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.