RRosternomics
GA

Gord Ash

Born Dec 20, 1951 · Toronto · age 74

General manager for the Blue Jays (1995–2001).

7 seasons with salary-era data across 1 stint. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

Overview

Titles0
Pennants0
Playoffs0
Record541–575
Win %0.485
-2.2GM WAR — wins above a replacement GM (org-adjusted, shrunk; per season) ±5.2132nd/195 execs
6.4Depth — 2+ WAR regulars per season (the breadth that drives TAB, not stars)91st/195 execs
-4.9Dead WAR — WAR/yr bled by sub-replacement players (closer to 0 = better)84th/195 execs
32%Dead money — payroll on <0.5-WAR players (lower = better)79th/195 execs
$6MCheap-talent surplus — $/yr of value from cost-controlled (pre-arb/arb) players above their pay; the selection engine, and the stickiest GM skill we track126th/195 execs
$4MDrafted surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own draftees (the develop-from-the-draft engine)112th/195 execs
$0MTraded-for surplus — cheap-talent surplus from cost-controlled players he acquired via trade136th/195 execs
$2MInt'l surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own international signees72nd/195 execs
-24.7TAB — talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation), tenure total150th/195 execs
-30.3WAB — realized wins (TAB + the non-repeatable luck of converting talent to wins)160th/195 execs
1.94Acquisition Leverage — playoff pts per acquired WAR, graded once in the year each deal's wins arrive (the repeatable decision skill)84th/195 execs
-74Roster surplus $M122nd/195 execs

Tenure breakdown

TeamRoleYearsSzns WAB WAB/yr TAB WAR surp HG Trade FA R5 AcqLev W-L% POPenWS Surp $M
Blue Jays GM 1995–2001 7 -30.3 -4.32 -24.7 -68.8 +118.4 -57.1 -83.7 -4.5 1.94 0.485 -74
Career total (1985+ data) 7 -30.3 -24.7 -68.8 +118.4 -57.1 -83.7 -4.5 1.94 0.485 -74

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+118.4
Trade-57.1
Free agency-83.7
Rule 5 / minor draft-4.5
Sourcing mix: 65% draft · 20% FA · 15% trade · 0% R5

Roster value distribution — career average — depth vs. stars

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR, averaged across Gord Ash's seasons. Bars = his rosters; the black line = the league-average player at each slot. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge.

Players acquired — 109 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr Lev
Roy Halladay P TOR Draft 1995 11 +48.3 +4.4
Vernon Wells OF TOR Draft 1997 9 +24.8 +2.8
Roger Clemens P TOR Free agency 1996 2 +19.0 +9.5 2.6
Alex Ríos OF TOR Draft 1999 6 +16.9 +2.8
José Cruz OF TOR Trade 1997 6 +10.9 +1.8 0.2
David Wells P TOR Trade 1999 7 +10.0 +1.4
Orlando Hudson 2B TOR Draft 1997 4 +8.3 +2.1
Eric Hinske 3B/OF TOR Trade 2001 5 +7.5 +1.5
Paul Quantrill P TOR Trade 1996 6 +6.6 +1.1 0.1
Reed Johnson OF TOR Draft 1999 4 +6.5 +1.6
Darrin Fletcher C TOR Free agency 1997 4 +6.4 +1.6 5.8
Esteban Loaiza P TOR Trade 2000 3 +6.3 +2.1 5.8
Dustin McGowan P TOR Draft 2000 4 +5.1 +1.3
Raúl Mondesí OF TOR Trade 1999 2 +4.3 +2.2 7.7
Charlie O'Brien C TOR Free agency 1995 2 +3.9 +2.0 0.7
Billy Koch P TOR Draft 1996 3 +3.0 +1.0
Joey Hamilton P TOR Trade 1999 3 +2.9 +1.0 3.1
Tony Batista 3B TOR Trade 1999 3 +2.7 +0.9 11.6
Gustavo Chacín P TOR Intl FA 1998 2 +2.7 +1.3
Erik Hanson P TOR Free agency 1995 2 +2.6 +1.3 1.0
Mark Hendrickson P TOR Draft 1997 2 +2.6 +1.3
Orlando Merced 1B/OF TOR Trade 1996 1 +2.2 +2.2 0.9
Josh Phelps DH TOR Draft 1996 2 +2.1 +1.0
Dan Plesac P TOR Trade 1996 5 +2.0 +0.4 0.3
Frank Castillo P TOR Free agency 1999 1 +1.9 +1.9 6.0
Homer Bush 2B TOR Trade 1999 2 +1.9 +1.0 9.1
Brad Fullmer 1B/DH TOR Trade 2000 2 +1.8 +0.9 5.0
Craig Grebeck 2B/SS TOR Free agency 1997 3 +1.6 +0.5 3.5
José Canseco DH/OF TOR Free agency 1998 1 +1.3 +1.3 5.9
Dan Plesac P TOR Free agency 2000 5 +1.2 +0.2 0.3
Mike Stanley C TOR Trade 1998 1 +1.2 +1.2 5.5
Felipe López 2B/SS TOR Draft 1998 2 +0.9 +0.4
Brandon Lyon P TOR Draft 1999 2 +0.9 +0.5
Benito Santiago C TOR Free agency 1996 1 +0.9 +0.9 0.4
Dave Martinez OF TOR Trade 2000 1 +0.8 +0.8 2.6
Tony Phillips 2B/OF TOR Trade 1998 1 +0.8 +0.8 3.6
Brandon League P TOR Draft 2001 4 +0.7 +0.2
Otis Nixon OF TOR Free agency 1995 2 +0.7 +0.4 0.3
Omar Daal P TOR Trade 1997 1 +0.7 +0.7 0.3
Kevin Brown C TOR Trade 1998 2 +0.6 +0.3 2.2
Peter Munro P TOR Trade 1998 2 +0.6 +0.3
Chris Latham OF TOR Free agency 2000 1 +0.5 +0.5 0.7
Jayson Werth OF TOR Trade 2000 2 +0.4 +0.2
Steve Trachsel P TOR Trade 2000 1 +0.4 +0.4 1.4
Vinnie Chulk P TOR Draft 2000 4 +0.3 +0.1
Scott Eyre P TOR Trade 2000 2 +0.3 +0.2 0.4
Mike Huff OF TOR Free agency 1995 2 +0.3 +0.2 2.9
Norberto Martin 2B TOR Free agency 1999 1 +0.3 +0.3 1.2
Lance Painter P TOR Trade 2000 1 +0.3 +0.3 1.8
Steve Parris P TOR Trade 2001 2 +0.3 +0.2 0.1
David Segui 1B TOR Trade 1999 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.9
Dane Johnson P TOR Free agency 1996 1 +0.2 +0.2
Juan Samuel 2B TOR Free agency 1996 2 +0.2 +0.1 0.1
Bob File P TOR Draft 1998 2 +0.1 +0.1
Eric Gunderson P TOR Free agency 2000 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.2
César Izturis SS TOR Intl FA 1996 1 +0.1 +0.1
Graeme Lloyd P TOR Trade 1999 1 +0.1 +0.1
Chris Michalak P TOR Free agency 2000 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.7
Davis Romero P TOR Intl FA 1999 1 +0.1 +0.1
Danny Darwin P TOR Trade 1995 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Mark Guthrie P TOR Trade 2000 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.4
Lance Parrish C TOR Trade 1995 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Ben VanRyn P TOR Trade 1998 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.4
Luis Andújar P TOR Free agency 1997 1 -0.0 -0.0 0.2
Leo Estrella P TOR Trade 1998 1 +0.0 +0.0
Ryan Freel OF TOR Draft 1995 1 +0.0 +0.0
Félix Heredia P TOR Trade 2001 -0.0
Pat Kelly 2B TOR Free agency 1997 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.1
Randy Myers P TOR Free agency 1997 1 -0.0 -0.0 1.3
Shannon Withem P TOR Trade 1998 1 +0.0 +0.0
John Bale P TOR Draft 1996 -0.1
Casey Blake 3B TOR Draft 1996 -0.1
Miguel Cairo 2B TOR Trade 1995 -0.1
Charlie Greene C TOR Free agency 1999 -0.1
Francisco Rosario P TOR Intl FA 1999 -0.1
Mike Smith P TOR Draft 2000 -0.1
Gerónimo Berroa DH/OF TOR Free agency 1998 -0.2
Alberto Castillo C TOR Trade 1999 -0.2
Mark Dalesandro C TOR Free agency 1997 1 -0.2 -0.2 0.7
Todd Greene C TOR Free agency 2000 -0.2
Gabe Gross OF TOR Draft 2001 -0.2
Pat Lennon DH/OF TOR Free agency 1998 1 -0.2 -0.2 0.5
Brian Lesher OF TOR Free agency 2001 -0.2
Mike Matheny C TOR Free agency 1998 -0.2
Justin Miller P TOR Trade 2001 1 -0.2 -0.2
Frank Viola P TOR Free agency 1995 -0.2
Dewayne Wise OF TOR Rule 5 1999 1 -0.2 -0.2
Pedro Borbón P TOR Trade 1999 1 -0.3 -0.3 0.4
Jacob Brumfield OF TOR Trade 1996 2 -0.3 -0.1 0.1
Jeff Frye 2B TOR Free agency 2000 -0.3
Luis Lopez 1B/3B TOR Draft 2001 -0.3
Nerio Rodríguez P TOR Trade 1998 -0.3
Robert Person P TOR Trade 1997 1 -0.3 -0.3 0.4
Clayton Andrews P TOR Draft 1996 -0.4
Brian Bohanon P TOR Free agency 1996 -0.4
Matt DeWitt P TOR Trade 1999 -0.4
Marty Janzen P TOR Trade 1995 -0.4
Chad Mottola OF TOR Free agency 1999 -0.4
Guillermo Quiroz C TOR Intl FA 1998 -0.5
Dave Hollins 3B TOR Trade 1999 -0.6
Luke Prokopec P TOR Trade 2001 -0.6
Corey Thurman P TOR Rule 5 2001 -0.6
Scott Cassidy P TOR Intl FA 1998 -0.7
Willie Greene 3B TOR Free agency 1999 -0.9
Joe Lawrence 2B TOR Draft 1996 -0.9
John Frascatore P TOR Trade 1999 1 -1.2 -1.2 0.7
Kevin Cash C TOR Intl FA 1999 -1.4
Marty Cordova OF TOR Free agency 2000 -1.5
Carlos García 2B TOR Trade 1996 -2.2

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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