RRosternomics
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Blue Jays TOR

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GM: Gord Ash

Overview

WINDOW ↘ cooling
cheap & winning · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.9× league · TAB +1.8
+1.8TAB — talent above budget13th/30
+2.5WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)12th/30
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars10th/30
-8.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag26th/30
30%dead money %16th/30
0.512win %14th/30
34.7roster fWAR16th/30
+3surplus $M (value vs cost)10th/30
$49Mpayroll $M19th/30

Roster

CFJosé Cruz Jr. 162GVernon Wells 3GShannon Stewart 1G
LFShannon Stewart 136GMarty Cordova 23GDewayne Wise 14G
RFDave Martinez 110GRaúl Mondesi 96GMarty Cordova 18G
SSAlex Gonzalez 141GChris Woodward 22GCraig Grebeck 8G
2BMickey Morandini 120GHomer Bush 75GCraig Grebeck 56G
3BTony Batista 154GChris Woodward 9G
1BCarlos Delgado 162GChris Woodward 3GBrad Fullmer 1G
STARTERSDavid Wells 6.2WARFrank Castillo 1.9WAREsteban Loaiza 1.9WARKelvim Escobar 1.8WARChris Carpenter 0.7WAR
CDarrin Fletcher 117GAlberto Castillo 66GCharlie Greene 3G
DHBrad Fullmer 116GTodd Greene 21GMarty Cordova 14G
BULLPEN★ Billy Koch 33svPaul Quantrill 13hJohn Frascatore 12hPedro Borbón 11hMark Guthrie 10hLance Painter 4hPete Munro 0hClayton Andrews 0h
CDarrin Fletcher 117 · Alberto Castillo 66 · Charlie Greene 3
1BCarlos Delgado 162 · Chris Woodward 3 · Brad Fullmer 1
2BMickey Morandini 120 · Homer Bush 75 · Craig Grebeck 56
3BTony Batista 154 · Chris Woodward 9
SSAlex Gonzalez 141 · Chris Woodward 22 · Craig Grebeck 8
LFShannon Stewart 136 · Marty Cordova 23 · Dewayne Wise 14
CFJosé Cruz Jr. 162 · Vernon Wells 3 · Shannon Stewart 1
RFDave Martinez 110 · Raúl Mondesi 96 · Marty Cordova 18
DHBrad Fullmer 116 · Todd Greene 21 · Marty Cordova 14
SPDavid Wells 6.2 · Frank Castillo 1.9 · Esteban Loaiza 1.9 · Kelvim Escobar 1.8 · Chris Carpenter 0.7
BP★ Billy Koch 33 · Paul Quantrill 13 · John Frascatore 12 · Pedro Borbón 11 · Mark Guthrie 10 · Lance Painter 4 · Pete Munro 0 · Clayton Andrews 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2000 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Carlos Delgado 28 FA-elig 1627.4 6.6 +3.8
David Wells 37 FA-elig 356.2 5.5 +3.3
Shannon Stewart 26 arb 1364.9 0.7 +6.3
Darrin Fletcher 33 FA-elig 1222.8 2.5 +1.5
Tony Batista 26 arb 1542.7 1.2 +2.6
Raul Mondesi 29 FA-elig 962.5 10.0 -6.4
José Cruz Jr. 26 arb 1622.3 0.4 +2.9
Frank Castillo 31 FA-elig 251.9 0.4 +2.4
Esteban Loaiza↔ TEX 28 arb 141.9 1.1 +1.6
Kelvim Escobar 24 arb 431.8 0.5 +2.0
Billy Koch 25 pre-arb 681.8 0.3 +2.2
Brad Fullmer 25 arb 1331.6 0.3 +2.0
Paul Quantrill 31 FA-elig 681.0 1.8 -0.4
Dave Martinez↔ CHC 35 FA-elig 470.8 0.7 +0.5
Chris Carpenter 25 arb 340.7 0.7 +0.2
Craig Grebeck 35 FA-elig 660.7 0.8 +0.1
Lance Painter 32 FA-elig 420.6 0.9 -0.1
Joey Hamilton 29 FA-elig 60.5 5.5 -4.8
Steve Trachsel↔ TBR 29 FA-elig 110.4 0.3 +0.3
Pete Munro 25 pre-arb 90.2 0.2 +0.1
Mark Guthrie↔ CHC 34 FA-elig 230.1 0.5 -0.3
Eric Gunderson 34 – 60.1 – –
Leo Estrella 25 – 20.0 – –
Andy Thompson 24 – 20.0 – –
Josh Phelps 22 – 1-0.0 – –
Chad Mottola 28 – 3-0.1 – –
Alberto Castillo 30 arb 66-0.1 0.4 -0.5
John Bale 26 – 2-0.1 – –
Dewayne Wise 22 pre-arb 28-0.1 0.2 -0.3
Pasqual Coco 22 – 1-0.1 – –
Charlie Greene 29 – 3-0.1 – –
Vernon Wells 21 – 3-0.1 – –
Rob Ducey↔ PHI 35 FA-elig 5-0.2 0.0 -0.3
Todd Greene 29 – 34-0.2 – –
Mickey Morandini↔ PHI 34 FA-elig 35-0.2 0.2 -0.6
Roy Halladay 23 pre-arb 19-0.3 0.4 -0.8
Alex Gonzalez 27 FA-elig 141-0.3 3.0 -3.5
Matt DeWitt 22 – 8-0.3 – –
Darwin Cubillan↔ TEX 27 – 7-0.3 – –
Clayton Andrews 22 – 8-0.4 – –
Chris Woodward 24 pre-arb 37-0.4 0.2 -0.8
Pedro Borbon Jr. 32 FA-elig 59-0.6 0.8 -1.6
John Frascatore 30 FA-elig 60-1.1 0.7 -2.2
Marty Cordova 30 arb 62-1.5 0.5 -2.6
Homer Bush 27 arb 76-1.6 1.4 -3.7

Key additions (new vs 1999)

PlayerfWAR
Raul Mondesi2.5
Frank Castillo1.9
Esteban Loaiza1.9
Brad Fullmer1.6
Dave Martinez0.8
Lance Painter0.6

Key subtractions (gone from 1999)

Player1999 fWAR
Shawn Green6.0
Tony Fernandez2.5
Pat Hentgen1.9
Norberto Martin0.3
Paul Spoljaric0.3
David Segui0.3

Current & Historical Payroll

2000 payroll
$48.9M

What the front office was committed to as of 2000, 2000–2006. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (18)

PlayerAgeSvc2000200120022003200420052006
Raul Mondesi297.000$10.0M$11.5M$5.7MFREE AGENT
Carlos Delgado287.000$6.6M$13.7M$19.4M$18.7M$19.7MFREE AGENT
Joey Hamilton296.000$5.5M$6.1MFREE AGENT
David Wells3713.000$5.5MFREE AGENT
Alex Gonzalez276.000$3.0M$4.2MFREE AGENT
Darrin Fletcher3311.000$2.5M$3.5M$3.8MFREE AGENT
Paul Quantrill318.000$1.8M$1.8MFREE AGENT
Lance Painter327.000$900k$565kFREE AGENT
Craig Grebeck3510.000$800kFREE AGENT
Pedro Borbon Jr.328.000$800k$1.5M$1.3MFREE AGENT
Dave Martinez3514.000$712kFREE AGENT
John Frascatore306.000$700kFREE AGENT
Mark Guthrie3411.000$484kFREE AGENT
Frank Castillo319.000$375kFREE AGENT
Steve Trachsel297.000$324kFREE AGENT
Mickey Morandini3410.000$208kFREE AGENT
Rob Ducey3513.000$21kFREE AGENT
Eric Gunderson3410.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2000200120022003200420052006
Homer Bush273.000$1.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Batista264.000$1.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Esteban Loaiza285.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Chris Carpenter253.000$733kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shannon Stewart265.000$683kFREE AGENT
Kelvim Escobar243.000$500kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marty Cordova305.000$500kFREE AGENT
Alberto Castillo305.000$425kFREE AGENT
José Cruz Jr.263.000$395kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Fullmer253.000$310kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Todd Greene294.000—ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (16)

PlayerAgeSvc2000200120022003200420052006
Roy Halladay232.000$383kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Billy Koch251.000$333kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pete Munro251.000$220kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Woodward241.000$205kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dewayne Wise220.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Charlie Greene29–—
Chad Mottola28–—
Matt DeWitt22–—
Clayton Andrews22–—
John Bale261.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Leo Estrella250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Phelps220.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Vernon Wells211.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andy Thompson24–—
Pasqual Coco22–—
Darwin Cubillan27–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Blue Jays 2000; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.