Rosternomics
DO

Dan O'Brien

Mar 26, 1929 (Elizabeth, NJ) – Jan 16, 2017 · died at 87

General manager for the Rangers, Mariners, Angels, and Reds (1974–2008).

Across the full 7-season sample, the measured profile stands out most for traded-for surplus (81st percentile). The clearest contrast is payroll-adjusted roster quality (9th percentile): the measured clubs have produced less roster quality relative to payroll-based expectations than most peers.

7 seasons with salary-era data across 4 stints. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

0 pennants · 0 playoff appearances · 518–616 (0.457)

Percentile Rankings

vs. execs with toyrs exp.
PoorAverageGreat
Trade Decision Quality
Roster Construction
Depth
6.1
Dead WAR
-6.7
Dead money %
48%
PoorAverageGreat
Talent Creation
Cheap-talent surplus
$15M
Drafted surplus
$4M
Traded-for surplus
$12M
Int'l surplus
$-0M
Results & Efficiency
GM WAR
-4.2
TAB
-43.3
WAB
-36.5
$ / WAR
$1.6M
Net WAR/trade
+0.24

Overview

TeamRoleYear Pay
$M
Rel
Pay
Surp
$M
Surp
WAR
Dead
%
Cheap
$M
Draft
$M
Trd
$M
Int'l
$M
$ /
WAR
WAR Depth Dead
WAR
HG Trade Net/
Trd
FA R5 RFA PPA CPA WAB TAB W-L% POPenWS
Angels GM 1992 72–90 $30 101 -15 -19.4 57% -1 +4 -2 -3 $1.1M 18.6 4.0 -8.6 -0.1 -3.8 -1.26 +6.2 +0.0 0.08 0.04 -10.1 -15.8 0.444
Angels GM 1993 71–91 $27 84 -10 -11.7 50% +4 +5 -1 +0 $1.0M 20.6 5.0 -7.4 +6.8 +2.5 +2.55 -10.9 +0.0 0.10 0.05 -8.7 -11.5 0.438
Reds GM 2004 76–86 $47 70 -7 -3.9 59% +16 +5 +12 -0 $1.6M 21.1 4.0 -8.1 +31.1 -2.6 -0.66 +6.7 +0.6 +0.01 0.17 0.06 -1.5 -8.9 0.469
Reds GM 2005 73–89 $58 80 +2 +0.9 32% +23 +5 +18 -0 $1.7M 30.2 8.0 -4.1 +20.8 +0.2 +0.06 +5.3 +0.0 +0.02 0.51 0.09 -6.1 -1.3 0.451
Reds GM 2006 80–82 $62 81 +4 +1.8 46% +24 +1 +23 +0 $1.6M 34.5 6.0 -4.8 +13.4 +31.8 +3.98 +7.9 +1.0 +0.12 1.04 0.12 +0.8 +2.8 0.494
Reds GM 2007 72–90 $67 81 -4 -1.8 53% +26 -2 +28 +0 $1.8M 30.5 10.0 -7.0 +26.2 +0.9 +0.12 +0.2 +0.0 +0.20 1.25 0.14 -7.3 -1.2 0.444
Reds GM 2008 74–88 $63 72 -18 -7.9 40% +13 +7 +5 +1 $2.1M 22.7 6.0 -6.8 -0.1 +5.9 +1.96 -4.8 +0.0 +0.23 0.13 0.05 -3.7 -7.5 0.457
Career total (1985+ data) $352 81 -48 -42.0 48% +15 +4 +12 -0 $1.6M 178.2 6.1 -6.7 +238.4 +19.4 +0.24 -3.4 +0.2 +0.11 0.58 0.09 -36.5 -43.3 0.457

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+238.4
Trade+19.4
Free agency-3.4
Rule 5 / minor draft+0.2
Sourcing mix: 75% draft · 8% FA · 17% trade · 0% R5

Trades

Trades made — 44 deals credited to Dan O'Brien, best expected value first; surplus is realized value in $M

1992 · TOR / ANA
TOR · Pat Gillick +$4.8M
Mark Eichhorn
ANA · Dan O'Brien −$4.8M
Rob Ducey, Greg Myers
TOR came out ahead by $4.8M
2007 · OAK / CIN
OAK · Billy Beane +$0.0M
Julio Mañón
CIN · Dan O'Brien +$0.0M
Dan Denham
Even trade
2005 · CIN / PIT
CIN · Dan O'Brien +$12.8M
David Williams
PIT · Dave Littlefield −$12.8M
Sean Casey
CIN came out ahead by $12.8M
2007 · CIN / NYM
CIN · Dan O'Brien +$6.4M
Jose Castro, Sean Henry
NYM · Omar Minaya −$6.4M
Jeff Conine
CIN came out ahead by $6.4M
2006 · CIN / BOS
CIN · Dan O'Brien +$12.0M
Bronson Arroyo
BOS · Jed Hoyer −$12.0M
Wily Mo Peña
CIN came out ahead by $12.0M
2007 · CIN / KCR
CIN · Dan O'Brien +$3.2M
Jeff Keppinger
KCR · Dayton Moore −$3.2M
Russ Haltiwanger
CIN came out ahead by $3.2M
2006 · BOS / CIN
BOS · Jed Hoyer +$0.0M
Mike Burns
CIN · Dan O'Brien +$0.0M
Tim Bausher
Even trade
2006 · PHI / CIN
PHI · Pat Gillick +$6.4M
Zac Stott
CIN · Dan O'Brien −$6.4M
Ryan Franklin
PHI came out ahead by $6.4M
1993 · ANA / WSN
ANA · Dan O'Brien +$32.8M
Jeff Tuss
WSN · Dan Duquette −$32.8M
Lee Stevens
ANA came out ahead by $32.8M
2006 · CIN / SDP
CIN · Dan O'Brien +$23.2M
David Ross
SDP · Kevin Towers −$23.2M
Bobby Basham
CIN came out ahead by $23.2M
2004 · PHI / CIN
PHI · Ed Wade +$4.0M
Todd Jones, Brad Correll
CIN · Dan O'Brien −$4.0M
Josh Hancock, Anderson Machado
PHI came out ahead by $4.0M
2007 · TBR / CIN
TBR · Andrew Friedman +$0.8M
Calvin Medlock, Brian Shackelford
CIN · Dan O'Brien −$0.8M
Jorge Cantú, Shaun Cumberland
TBR came out ahead by $0.8M
1993 · ANA / LAD
ANA · Dan O'Brien +$8.0M
Mike James
LAD · Fred Claire −$8.0M
Reggie Williams
ANA came out ahead by $8.0M
1992 · OAK / ANA
OAK · Sandy Alderson +$6.4M
Dan Grunhard
ANA · Dan O'Brien −$6.4M
Rod Correia
OAK came out ahead by $6.4M
1992 · ANA / NYM
ANA · Dan O'Brien +$31.2M
Julio Valera
NYM · Al Harazin −$31.2M
Dick Schofield, Julian Vasquez
ANA came out ahead by $31.2M
2007 · TOR / CIN
TOR · JP Ricciardi +$0.0M
Buck Coats
CIN · Dan O'Brien +$0.0M
Justin James
Even trade
2006 · LAD / CIN
LAD · Ned Colletti +$1.6M
Ben Kozlowski
CIN · Dan O'Brien −$1.6M
Cody Ross
LAD came out ahead by $1.6M
2006 · NYM / CIN
NYM · Omar Minaya +$0.0M
David Williams
CIN · Dan O'Brien +$0.0M
Robert Manuel
Even trade
2007 · OAK / CIN
OAK · Billy Beane +$4.0M
David Shafer
CIN · Dan O'Brien −$4.0M
Kirk Saarloos
OAK came out ahead by $4.0M
2006 · CIN / MIN
CIN · Dan O'Brien +$23.2M
Kyle Lohse
MIN · Terry Ryan −$23.2M
Zach Ward
CIN came out ahead by $23.2M
2004 · ANA / CIN
ANA · Bill Stoneman +$11.2M
Dustin Moseley
CIN · Dan O'Brien −$11.2M
Ramón Ortiz
ANA came out ahead by $11.2M
2004 · CIN / ATL
CIN · Dan O'Brien +$2.4M
Jung Bong, Bubba Nelson#75
ATL · John Schuerholz −$2.4M
Chris Reitsma
CIN came out ahead by $2.4M
2006 · CIN / MIA
CIN · Dan O'Brien +$0.0M
Ryan Jorgensen
MIA · Larry Beinfest +$0.0M
Carlos Piste
Even trade
2007 · CIN / CHC
CIN · Dan O'Brien +$1.6M
Buck Coats
CHC · Jim Hendry −$1.6M
Marcos Mateo
CIN came out ahead by $1.6M
2005 · CIN / COL
CIN · Dan O'Brien +$0.0M
Allan Simpson
COL · Daniel O'Dowd +$0.0M
Jose Acevedo
Even trade
2004 · NYY / CIN
NYY · Brian Cashman +$6.4M
Charlie Manning
CIN · Dan O'Brien −$6.4M
Gabe White
NYY came out ahead by $6.4M
2006 · ANA / CIN
ANA · Bill Stoneman +$4.0M
Kyle Edens
CIN · Dan O'Brien −$4.0M
Esteban Yan
ANA came out ahead by $4.0M
2006 · TOR / CIN
TOR · JP Ricciardi +$5.6M
Trevor Lawhorn
CIN · Dan O'Brien −$5.6M
Scott Schoeneweis
TOR came out ahead by $5.6M
2007 · PHI / CIN
PHI · Pat Gillick +$2.4M
Kyle Lohse
CIN · Dan O'Brien −$2.4M
Matt Maloney
PHI came out ahead by $2.4M
2006 · CIN / CLE
CIN · Dan O'Brien +$119.2M
Brandon Phillips
CLE · Mark Shapiro −$119.2M
Jeff Stevens
CIN came out ahead by $119.2M
2006 · MIN / CIN
MIN · Terry Ryan +$8.8M
Brandon Roberts
CIN · Dan O'Brien −$8.8M
Juan Castro
MIN came out ahead by $8.8M
2006 · ARI / CIN
ARI · Josh Byrnes +$0.8M
Abe Woody
CIN · Dan O'Brien −$0.8M
Jerry Gil
ARI came out ahead by $0.8M
2006 · PHI / CIN
PHI · Pat Gillick +$11.2M
Justin Germano
CIN · Dan O'Brien −$11.2M
Rheal Cormier
PHI came out ahead by $11.2M
2006 · PHI / CIN
PHI · Pat Gillick +$4.0M
Javon Moran, Brad Key
CIN · Dan O'Brien −$4.0M
Jeff Conine
PHI came out ahead by $4.0M
2006 · SEA / CIN
SEA · Bill Bavasi +$10.4M
Travis Chick
CIN · Dan O'Brien −$10.4M
Eddie Guardado
SEA came out ahead by $10.4M
2005 · NYY / CIN
NYY · Brian Cashman +$4.0M
Kevin Howard, Ben Himes
CIN · Dan O'Brien −$4.0M
Tony Womack
NYY came out ahead by $4.0M
2005 · CIN / SDP
CIN · Dan O'Brien +$3.2M
Justin Germano, Travis Chick
SDP · Kevin Towers −$3.2M
Joe Randa
CIN came out ahead by $3.2M
2004 · PHI / CIN
PHI · Ed Wade +$50.4M
Cory Lidle
CIN · Dan O'Brien −$50.4M
Javon Moran, Joe Wilson, Elizardo Ramírez
PHI came out ahead by $50.4M
1993 · NYY / ANA
NYY · Gene Michael +$17.6M
Jose Musset
ANA · Dan O'Brien −$17.6M
Spike Owen
NYY came out ahead by $17.6M
2007 · CIN / OAK
CIN · Dan O'Brien +$4.8M
Marcus McBeth, Ben Jukich
OAK · Billy Beane −$4.8M
Chris Denorfia
CIN came out ahead by $4.8M
1992 · TOR / ANA
TOR · Pat Gillick +$18.4M
Luis Sojo
ANA · Dan O'Brien −$18.4M
Kelly Gruber
TOR came out ahead by $18.4M
2006 · WSN / CIN
WSN · Jim Bowden +$49.6M
Austin Kearns, Felipe López, Ryan Wagner
CIN · Dan O'Brien −$49.6M
Gary Majewski, Royce Clayton, Bill Bray, Brendan Harris, Daryl Thompson
WSN came out ahead by $49.6M
1992 · NYY / ANA
NYY · Gene Michael +$33.6M
Jim Abbott
ANA · Dan O'Brien −$33.6M
J. T. Snow, Jerry Nielsen, Russ Springer
NYY came out ahead by $33.6M
2007 · TEX / CIN
TEX · Jon Daniels +$256.8M
Josh Hamilton
CIN · Dan O'Brien −$256.8M
Edinson Vólquez, Danny Herrera
TEX came out ahead by $256.8M

Players acquired — 189 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr RFA PPA CPA
Edgar Martínez 3B/DH SEA Intl FA 1982 16 +65.5 +4.1
Brandon Phillips 2B CIN Trade 2006 10 +30.1 +3.0 1.5% 0.17%
Mike Moore P SEA Draft 1981 4 +17.3 +4.3
Jay Bruce OF CIN Draft 2005 8 +16.9 +2.1
Alvin Davis 1B/DH SEA Draft 1982 6 +15.9 +2.6
Johnny Cueto P CIN Intl FA 2004 8 +15.8 +2.0
Todd Frazier 3B CIN Draft 2007 5 +15.0 +3.0
Homer Bailey P CIN Draft 2004 9 +13.9 +1.5
Mark Langston P SEA Draft 1981 4 +13.8 +3.4
Pete O'Brien 1B TEX Draft 1979 4 +13.3 +3.3
Bronson Arroyo P CIN Trade 2006 7 +13.3 +1.9 -0.08 4.2% 0.53%
Zack Cozart SS CIN Draft 2007 7 +11.7 +1.7
Phil Bradley OF SEA Draft 1981 3 +11.0 +3.7
Drew Stubbs OF CIN Draft 2006 4 +8.3 +2.1
Bengie Molina C ANA Intl FA 1993 7 +7.5 +1.1
Felipe López 2B/SS CIN Trade 2004 3 +5.4 +1.8 0.1% 0.02%
David Ross C CIN Trade 2006 3 +5.4 +1.8 +0.06 2.7% 0.31%
Ken Phelps DH SEA Trade 1983 4 +5.3 +1.3
Chris Heisey OF CIN Draft 2006 5 +5.1 +1.0
Rich Aurilia SS CIN Free agency 2005 2 +5.0 +2.5 1.0% 0.19%
Edinson Vólquez P CIN Trade 2008 3 +3.5 +1.2 -3.22 0.4% 0.16%
Kyle Lohse P CIN Trade 2006 2 +3.4 +1.7 -0.20 1.5% 0.17%
Scott Hatteberg C/1B CIN Free agency 2006 2 +3.3 +1.6 2.2% 0.25%
Javier Valentín C CIN Free agency 2004 3 +3.3 +1.1 1.1% 0.20%
Travis Wood P CIN Draft 2005 2 +3.3 +1.6
Julio Valera P ANA Trade 1992 2 +3.2 +1.6 0.2% 0.13%
Rene Gonzales 2B/3B ANA Free agency 1992 3 +2.8 +0.9 0.2% 0.09%
Jerry Hairston 2B/OF CIN Free agency 2008 2 +2.7 +1.3 0.4% 0.14%
Brandon Claussen P CIN Trade 2004 3 +2.7 +0.9 +0.25 0.1% 0.03%
Laynce Nix OF CIN Free agency 2008 2 +2.6 +1.3 0.3% 0.08%
Nick Masset P CIN Trade 2008 3 +2.5 +0.8 +0.21 0.3% 0.09%
Eric Milton P CIN Free agency 2004 3 +2.5 +0.8 0.4% 0.07%
Francisco Cordero P CIN Free agency 2007 4 +2.4 +0.6 0.1% 0.04%
Mike James P ANA Trade 1993 4 +2.3 +0.6
Josh Hamilton OF CIN Trade 2006 1 +2.3 +2.3
Álex González SS CIN Free agency 2006 1 +2.2 +2.2 2.7% 0.31%
Norris Hopper OF CIN Trade 2006 2 +2.1 +1.0
Sam LeCure P CIN Draft 2005 4 +2.1 +0.5
Bob Kearney C SEA Trade 1983 3 +2.1 +0.7
Jack Perconte 2B SEA Trade 1983 1 +2.1 +2.1
Devin Mesoraco C CIN Draft 2007 2 +1.9 +0.9
Bill Wilkinson P SEA Draft 1983 2 +1.9 +1.0
Lee Guetterman P SEA Draft 1981 3 +1.8 +0.6
Arthur Rhodes P CIN Free agency 2008 2 +1.7 +0.8 0.2% 0.06%
Spike Owen SS SEA Draft 1982 2 +1.7 +0.8
Paul Bako C CIN Free agency 2008 1 +1.6 +1.6
David Weathers P CIN Free agency 2004 4 +1.6 +0.4 0.5% 0.10%
Joe Randa 3B CIN Trade 2005 1 +1.6 +1.6 0.8% 0.15%
Cory Lidle P CIN Trade 2004 1 +1.5 +1.5 0.2% 0.09%
Bert Blyleven P ANA Free agency 1992 3 +1.4 +0.5 17.2% 1.26%
Wayne Tolleson 2B/SS TEX Draft 1978 1 +1.3 +1.3
Gorman Thomas OF SEA Trade 1983 1 +1.2 +1.2
Dave Schmidt P TEX Draft 1979 1 +1.2 +1.2
Brian Anderson P ANA Draft 1993 2 +1.1 +0.6
Bobby Livingston P CIN Trade 2007 1 +1.1 +1.1 1.4% 0.16%
Stan Javier OF ANA Free agency 1993 1 +1.0 +1.0 0.1% 0.05%
Jared Burton P CIN Rule 5 2006 4 +1.0 +0.2
Jeff Keppinger 2B CIN Trade 2007 1 +1.0 +1.0 +0.75 2.5% 0.29%
Greg Myers C ANA Trade 1992 2 +0.9 +0.5 0.1% 0.03%
Mickey Brantley OF SEA Draft 1983 2 +0.9 +0.4
Elizardo Ramírez P CIN Trade 2006 1 +0.9 +0.9 1.7% 0.19%
Bill Bray P CIN Trade 2006 5 +0.8 +0.2 +0.90 0.4% 0.04%
Juan Francisco 1B/3B CIN Intl FA 2004 3 +0.8 +0.3
Roy Thomas P SEA Trade 1981 2 +0.8 +0.4
Darren Bragg OF CIN Trade 2004 1 +0.8 +0.8 0.1% 0.05%
Todd Jones P CIN Trade 2004 1 +0.8 +0.8 0.1% 0.04%
Micah Owings P CIN Trade 2008 3 +0.8 +0.3 +2.58 0.0% 0.01%
Jason Ellison OF CIN Trade 2007 1 +0.7 +0.7 0.9% 0.10%
Paul Janish SS CIN Draft 2004 2 +0.6 +0.3
Torey Lovullo 2B ANA Free agency 1992 1 +0.5 +0.5 0.1% 0.03%
Scott Sanderson P ANA Free agency 1993 2 +0.5 +0.3 0.2% 0.09%
Chris Valaika 2B CIN Draft 2006 2 +0.5 +0.2
Jeremy Affeldt P CIN Free agency 2008 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.1% 0.02%
Danny Herrera P CIN Trade 2007 2 +0.4 +0.2 -3.22
Mike Stanton P CIN Free agency 2006 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.5% 0.05%
Gene Nelson P ANA Trade 1993 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.0% 0.02%
Don Robinson P ANA Trade 1992 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.0% 0.02%
Ryan Hancock P ANA Draft 1993 1 +0.3 +0.3
Yonder Alonso 1B CIN Draft 2008 1 +0.3 +0.3
Daniel Corcino P CIN Intl FA 2008 1 +0.3 +0.3
Marcus McBeth P CIN Trade 2007 1 +0.3 +0.3 -0.78
Dave Sappelt OF CIN Draft 2008 1 +0.3 +0.3
Kurt Stillwell SS ANA Trade 1993 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.0% 0.01%
Kelly Gruber 3B ANA Trade 1992 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.0% 0.01%
Randy Keisler P CIN Free agency 2004 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.1% 0.02%
Terry Taylor P SEA Draft 1982 1 +0.2 +0.2
Anthony Chavez P ANA Draft 1992 1 +0.1 +0.1
Mike Fitzgerald C ANA Free agency 1992 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0% 0.00%
Jerry Nielsen P ANA Trade 1992 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0% 0.00%
Matt Perisho P ANA Draft 1993 1 +0.1 +0.1
Ty Van Burkleo 1B ANA Trade 1993 1 +0.1 +0.1
Jon Coutlangus P CIN Trade 2006 1 +0.1 +0.1
Didi Gregorius SS CIN Intl FA 2007 1 +0.1 +0.1
Eddie Guardado P CIN Free agency 2007 2 +0.1 +0.0 0.4% 0.04%
Josh Hancock P CIN Trade 2004 1 +0.1 +0.1 +0.01 0.1% 0.01%
Ryan Jorgensen C CIN Trade 2006 1 +0.1 +0.1 +0.08 0.1% 0.01%
Robert Manuel P CIN Trade 2006 1 +0.1 +0.1 +0.17
Denis Phipps OF CIN Intl FA 2004 1 +0.1 +0.1
Ramón Ramírez P CIN Trade 2008 1 +0.1 +0.1
Josh Roenicke P CIN Draft 2006 2 +0.1 +0.0
Willy Taveras OF CIN Free agency 2008 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0% 0.01%
Nick Capra OF TEX Draft 1979 1 +0.1 +0.1
Junior Félix OF ANA Trade 1992 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0% 0.00%
Tony Womack 2B/SS CIN Trade 2006 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.1% 0.01%
Scott Schoeneweis P CIN Trade 2006 1 +0.1 +0.1 -0.20 0.1% 0.01%
Joe Mays P CIN Trade 2006 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.2% 0.02%
Anderson Machado SS CIN Trade 2004 1 +0.1 +0.1 +0.01 0.0% 0.01%
Justin Germano P CIN Trade 2006 1 +0.1 +0.1 +0.03 0.1% 0.01%
George Arias 3B ANA Draft 1993 -0.0
Jamie Burke C ANA Draft 1993 -0.0
Mike Butcher P ANA Trade 1992 2 +0.0 +0.0
Jim Walewander 2B ANA Free agency 1993 -0.0
Jerome Walton OF ANA Free agency 1993 -0.0
Andy Abad 1B CIN Free agency 2005 -0.0
Jolbert Cabrera OF CIN Free agency 2007 -0.0
Wilkin Castillo OF CIN Trade 2008 1 +0.0 +0.0 +2.58
Buck Coats OF CIN Trade 2007 1 +0.0 +0.0 -0.20 0.1% 0.01%
Carlos Fisher P CIN Draft 2005 2 +0.0 +0.0
Jerry Gil SS CIN Free agency 2007 +0.0
Jeremy Horst P CIN Draft 2007 1 +0.0 +0.0
Jason Romano OF CIN Free agency 2004 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0% 0.00%
Jason Standridge P CIN Free agency 2005 -0.0
Ben Weber P CIN Free agency 2004 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0% 0.00%
Al Cowens OF SEA Trade 1982 1 -0.0 -0.0
Dave Geisel P SEA Rule 5 1983 -0.0
Tony Fossas P TEX Draft 1979 2 +0.0 +0.0
Jeff Conine 1B/OF CIN Trade 2007 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0% 0.00%
Jason Johnson P CIN Trade 2006 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.1% 0.01%
Brandon Watson OF CIN Trade 2006 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0% 0.00%
Alvin Davis 1B/DH ANA Free agency 1992 -0.1
Keith Luuloa 2B/SS ANA Draft 1993 -0.1
Jon Adkins P CIN Free agency 2007 -0.1
Kevin Barker 1B CIN Free agency 2008 -0.1
Mark Bellhorn 2B/3B CIN Free agency 2007 -0.1
Jung Bong P CIN Trade 2004 -0.1 +0.01
Enrique Cruz 2B/SS CIN Free agency 2006 -0.1
Justin Freeman P CIN Draft 2008 -0.1
Ramón Hernández C CIN Trade 2008 2 -0.1 -0.0 -0.44 13.6% 1.43%
Darnell McDonald OF CIN Free agency 2008 -0.1
Chris Michalak P CIN Free agency 2006 -0.1
Aaron Myette P CIN Free agency 2004 -0.1
Craig Tatum C CIN Draft 2004 -0.1
Pedro Viola P CIN Intl FA 2005 -0.1
Steve Frey P ANA Trade 1993 1 -0.1 -0.1 0.0% 0.02%
Gary Majewski P CIN Trade 2006 2 -0.1 -0.1 +0.90 0.1% 0.01%
Ken Patterson P ANA Free agency 1993 1 -0.2 -0.2 0.0% 0.00%
Jeff Schmidt P ANA Draft 1992 -0.2
Rheal Cormier P CIN Trade 2006 -0.2
Luis López 2B/SS CIN Free agency 2004 -0.2
Matt Maloney P CIN Trade 2007 2 -0.2 -0.1 +0.47
Adam Pettyjohn P CIN Free agency 2007 -0.2
Henry Rodríguez 2B CIN Intl FA 2007 -0.2
Yorman Rodríguez OF CIN Intl FA 2008 -0.2
Tommy Boggs P TEX Draft 1974 -0.2
Jose Gonzalez OF ANA Free agency 1992 -0.3
Ken Oberkfell 2B/3B ANA Free agency 1992 -0.3
Quinton McCracken OF CIN Free agency 2006 -0.3
Kirk Saarloos P CIN Trade 2007 -0.3 -0.53
Jesús Sánchez P CIN Free agency 2004 -0.3
Tom Shearn P CIN Trade 2007 -0.3
Daryl Thompson P CIN Trade 2006 -0.3 +0.90
Pedro Villarreal P CIN Draft 2008 2 -0.3 -0.2
Ricky Nelson OF SEA Draft 1981 -0.3
Andrew Lorraine P ANA Draft 1993 -0.4
Donald Lutz OF CIN Intl FA 2007 -0.4
Dewayne Wise OF CIN Free agency 2005 1 -0.4 -0.4
Brick Smith 1B SEA Draft 1981 -0.4
Jacob Cruz OF CIN Trade 2005 1 -0.4 -0.4 0.2% 0.04%
Carlos Contreras P CIN Intl FA 2008 -0.5
Adam Rosales 2B/3B/SS CIN Draft 2005 -0.5
Josh Fogg P CIN Free agency 2008 -0.6
Mike Matthews P CIN Free agency 2004 -0.6
Jordan Smith P CIN Draft 2006 -0.6
John Vander Wal OF CIN Free agency 2004 -0.6
Justin Lehr P CIN Free agency 2007 -0.7
Rod Correia SS ANA Trade 1992 -0.8
Neftali Soto 1B CIN Draft 2007 -0.8
Ricky Stone P CIN Free agency 2004 -0.8
Curtis Partch P CIN Draft 2007 -0.9
John Farrell P ANA Free agency 1992 1 -1.0 -1.0 0.0% 0.00%
Logan Ondrusek P CIN Draft 2005 2 -1.0 -0.5
Barry Bonnell OF SEA Trade 1983 -1.0
Joe Magrane P ANA Free agency 1993 1 -1.1 -1.1 0.1% 0.03%
Corey Patterson OF CIN Free agency 2008 -1.1
Mike Lincoln P CIN Free agency 2008 -1.2
Dave Hengel DH/OF SEA Draft 1983 -1.4
Domingo Ramos 3B/SS SEA Rule 5 1981 1 -1.4 -1.4
Todd Greene C ANA Draft 1993 1 -1.7 -1.7
George Wright OF TEX Draft 1977 -3.2

Trade-side columns: RFA is playoff-readiness percentage points added to the future roster foundation. It grades the franchise's entire side of a trade, so the same score repeats for every player acquired in that package. PPA/CPA remain player-level arrival-year probability points.

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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