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Reds CIN

200476–86 (0.469)
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GM: Dan O'Brien

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2004, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$47M
Surplus $M
-7
Win %
0.469
TAB
-8.9
WAB
-1.5
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
21.1
Dead money %
59%
Depth Players
4.0
Dead WAR
-8.1

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2004 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RJason LaRue111
BJavier Valentin55
RCorky Miller12

1B

LSean Casey145
RTim Hummel13
LAdam Dunn10
BJavier Valentin7
LJacob Cruz6
RJuan Castro4
LJohn Vander Wal4

2B

BD'Angelo Jimenez146
RRyan Freel15
RJuan Castro12
BFelipe López2
LJermaine Clark2
RTim Hummel1

3B

RJuan Castro78
RRyan Freel56
RBrandon Larson35
RTim Hummel32
BFelipe López24

SS

RBarry Larkin85
BFelipe López51
RJuan Castro31
BAnderson Machado17
BRay Olmedo7
BD'Angelo Jimenez5
RTim Hummel1

LF

LAdam Dunn156
RRyan Freel12
LJacob Cruz4
LDarren Bragg⇄2
LJermaine Clark1
RWily Mo Peña1

CF

LKen Griffey Jr.76
RWily Mo Peña46
RRyan Freel42
LDarren Bragg⇄14
RJason Romano⇄5
RAustin Kearns1
LJermaine Clark1

RF

RAustin Kearns60
RWily Mo Peña51
RRyan Freel46
LJacob Cruz26
LDarren Bragg⇄11
LJohn Vander Wal7
RJason Romano⇄6
LJermaine Clark6
RJason LaRue1
LKen Griffey Jr.1

DH

LJacob Cruz2
LAdam Dunn1
RJason LaRue1
LKen Griffey Jr.1
LSean Casey1

Starters

RPaul Wilson1.7 WAR
RCory Lidle⇄1.5 WAR
RAaron Harang1.3 WAR
RJose Acevedo0.9 WAR
RLuke Hudson0.8 WAR
LBrandon Claussen0.6 WAR
RTodd Van Poppel0.4 WAR
LJung Bong-0.1 WAR
RJimmy Haynes-0.2 WAR
RJoe Valentine-0.2 WAR
LJesus Sanchez-0.3 WAR
RJosh Hancock⇄-0.4 WAR

Bullpen

★ RDanny Graves41 sv
RJohn Riedling14 h
LGabe White⇄12 h
LPhil Norton9 h
RRyan Wagner8 h
LMike Matthews5 h
RJoe Valentine5 h
RTodd Jones⇄0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2003)

PlayerfWAR
Cory Lidle1.5
Luke Hudson0.8
Darren Bragg0.8
Todd Jones0.8
Brandon Claussen0.6
Anderson Machado0.1

Key subtractions (gone from 2003)

Player2003 fWAR
Jose Guillen3.2
Aaron Boone1.6
Russell Branyan1.2
Scott Randall0.6
John Bale0.5
Dernell Stenson0.5

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Reds. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2004; everyone else is shown as a 2004 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Adam Dunn 2004 +5.3 +86.3 0.4 +85.9 $0.1M 2.05× –
D'Angelo Jimenez 2004 +3.1 +26.5 1.6 +24.8 $0.5M 1.07× –
Ryan Freel 2004 +2.6 +23.2 0.3 +22.9 $0.1M 1.12× –
Sean Casey 2004 +3.4 +29.2 6.8 +22.4 $2.0M 1.07× –
Wily Mo Peña 2004 +1.9 +18.6 0.3 +18.3 $0.2M 1.22× –
Paul Wilson 2004 +1.7 +20.7 3.5 +17.2 $2.0M 1.49× –
Aaron Harang 2004 +1.3 +10.9 0.4 +10.6 $0.3M 1.02× –
Cory Lidle↔ 2004 +1.5 +12.1 1.9 +10.2 $1.3M 1.02× –
Barry Larkin 2004 +1.5 +10.8 0.7 +10.1 $0.5M 0.89× –
Jason LaRue 2004 +1.7 +10.4 2.6 +7.8 $1.5M 0.76× –
Jose Acevedo 2004 +0.9 +7.6 0.3 +7.2 $0.4M 1.02× –
Todd Jones↔ 2004 +0.8 +4.1 0.3 +3.7 $0.4M 0.67× –
Todd Van Poppel 2004 +0.4 +2.3 0.3 +2.0 $0.7M 0.67× –
Felipe Lopez 2004 +0.4 +1.8 0.4 +1.5 $1.0M 0.61× –
Austin Kearns 2004 +0.2 +1.2 0.4 +0.8 $2.3M 0.83× –
Phil Norton 2004 +0.2 +0.9 0.3 +0.6 $1.8M 0.67× –
Anderson Machado 2004 +0.1 +0.7 0.3 +0.4 $2.2M 0.61× –
Ray Olmedo 2004 +0.0 +0.2 0.3 -0.1 $8.3M 0.61× –
Javier Valentin 2004 -0.1 -0.2 0.5 -0.7 – 0.52× –
Ryan Wagner 2004 -0.2 -1.3 0.3 -1.6 – 0.67× –
Brian Reith 2004 -0.4 -2.3 0.3 -2.7 – 0.67× –
Brandon Larson 2004 -0.5 -2.5 0.3 -2.8 – 0.58× –
Corky Miller 2004 -0.6 -2.6 0.3 -2.9 – 0.52× –
Juan Castro 2004 -0.5 -2.3 1.0 -3.3 – 0.58× –
Jimmy Haynes 2004 -0.2 -1.3 2.5 -3.8 – 1.02× –
Gabe White↔ 2004 -0.3 -3.3 1.2 -4.5 – 1.34× –
John Riedling 2004 -0.5 -5.6 0.7 -6.2 – 1.34× –
Danny Graves 2004 -0.1 -1.0 6.0 -7.0 – 1.34× –
Ken Griffey Jr. 2004 -0.2 -1.0 12.5 -13.5 – 0.83× –
Aaron Myette 2004 -0.1 -0.3 – – – 0.67× –
Brandon Claussen 2004 +0.6 +4.7 – – – 1.02× –
Darren Bragg↔ 2004 +0.8 +5.2 – – – 0.83× –
Jacob Cruz 2004 -0.7 -4.8 – – – 0.83× –
Jason Romano↔ 2004 -0.1 -0.7 – – – 0.83× –
Jermaine Clark 2004 -0.4 -2.4 – – – 0.83× –
Jesus Sanchez 2004 -0.3 -2.4 – – – 1.02× –
Joe Valentine 2004 -0.2 -1.0 – – – 0.67× –
John Vander Wal 2004 -0.6 -4.1 – – – 0.83× –
Josh Hancock↔ 2004 -0.4 -3.2 – – – 1.02× –
Juan Padilla↔ 2004 -0.4 -2.4 – – – 0.67× –
Jung Keun Bong 2004 -0.1 -1.0 – – – 1.02× –
Luke Hudson 2004 +0.8 +6.6 – – – 1.02× –
Mike Matthews 2004 -0.6 -3.1 – – – 0.67× –
Tim Hummel 2004 -0.6 -2.8 – – – 0.58× –
Total—+21.1+232.446.7+197.3—

Trades

Every graded 2004 deal involving the Reds — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 5 total.

2004 · PHI / CIN
PHI · Ed Wade +$4.0M
Todd Jones, Brad Correll
CIN · Dan O'Brien −$4.0M
Josh Hancock, Anderson Machado
PHI came out ahead by $4.0M
2004 · ANA / CIN
ANA · Bill Stoneman +$11.2M
Dustin Moseley
CIN · Dan O'Brien −$11.2M
Ramón Ortiz
ANA came out ahead by $11.2M
2004 · CIN / ATL
CIN · Dan O'Brien +$2.4M
Jung Bong, Bubba Nelson#75
ATL · John Schuerholz −$2.4M
Chris Reitsma
CIN came out ahead by $2.4M
2004 · NYY / CIN
NYY · Brian Cashman +$6.4M
Charlie Manning
CIN · Dan O'Brien −$6.4M
Gabe White
NYY came out ahead by $6.4M
2004 · PHI / CIN
PHI · Ed Wade +$50.4M
Cory Lidle
CIN · Dan O'Brien −$50.4M
Javon Moran, Joe Wilson, Elizardo Ramírez
PHI came out ahead by $50.4M

Current & Historical Payroll

2004 payroll
$46.9M

What the front office was committed to as of 2004, 2004–2010. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (16)

PlayerAgeSvc2004200520062007200820092010
Ken Griffey Jr.3415.000$12.5M$12.5M$10.5M$8.4M$5.9MFREE AGENT
Sean Casey297.000$6.8M$7.8MFREE AGENT
Danny Graves308.000$6.0M$3.1MFREE AGENT
Paul Wilson318.000$3.5M$3.6MFREE AGENT
Jimmy Haynes319.000$2.5MFREE AGENT
Cory Lidle327.000$1.9MFREE AGENT
Gabe White3210.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Juan Castro329.000$1.0MFREE AGENT$519k$925k$863k
Barry Larkin4018.000$700kFREE AGENT
Javier Valentin287.000$500k$450k$1.1M$1.2MFREE AGENT
Todd Jones3611.000$327kFREE AGENT
Todd Van Poppel3213.000$300kFREE AGENT
Darren Bragg3410.000—FREE AGENT
Jacob Cruz318.000—$500kFREE AGENT
John Vander Wal3813.000—FREE AGENT
Jesus Sanchez296.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2004200520062007200820092010
Jason LaRue305.000$2.6MFREE AGENT
D'Angelo Jimenez265.000$1.6MFREE AGENT
John Riedling284.000$650kARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Dunn243.000$445kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Felipe Lopez243.000$360kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Acevedo263.000$340kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Reith263.000$327kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Freel283.000$320kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Larson283.000$318kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Corky Miller283.000$317kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Phil Norton284.000$304kARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Myette265.000—FREE AGENT
Mike Matthews304.000—ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jermaine Clark273.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2004200520062007200820092010
Austin Kearns242.000$400kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Harang262.000$360kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wily Mo Peña222.000$345kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ray Olmedo231.000$322kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Wagner211.000$302kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anderson Machado231.000$300kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luke Hudson272.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Hummel25–—
Jason Romano252.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jung Keun Bong232.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Claussen251.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Hancock262.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Valentine241.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Padilla27–—

Graphs

How each 2004 acquisition stacked onto Reds's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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