RRosternomics
LG

Lou Gorman

Feb 18, 1929 (Providence, RI) – Apr 1, 2011 (Boston, MA) · died at 82

General manager for the Mariners and Red Sox (1976–1994).

10 seasons with salary-era data across 2 stints. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

Overview

Titles0
Pennants1
Playoffs3
Record805–767
Win %0.512
-0.0GM WAR — wins above a replacement GM (org-adjusted, shrunk; per season) ±4.677th/195 execs
7.3Depth — 2+ WAR regulars per season (the breadth that drives TAB, not stars)37th/195 execs
-4.6Dead WAR — WAR/yr bled by sub-replacement players (closer to 0 = better)58th/195 execs
37%Dead money — payroll on <0.5-WAR players (lower = better)116th/195 execs
$4MCheap-talent surplus — $/yr of value from cost-controlled (pre-arb/arb) players above their pay; the selection engine, and the stickiest GM skill we track143rd/195 execs
$4MDrafted surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own draftees (the develop-from-the-draft engine)114th/195 execs
$-0MTraded-for surplus — cheap-talent surplus from cost-controlled players he acquired via trade156th/195 execs
$0MInt'l surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own international signees111th/195 execs
+9.5TAB — talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation), tenure total53rd/195 execs
-20.4WAB — realized wins (TAB + the non-repeatable luck of converting talent to wins)145th/195 execs
3.62Acquisition Leverage — playoff pts per acquired WAR, graded once in the year each deal's wins arrive (the repeatable decision skill)26th/195 execs
-69Roster surplus $M118th/195 execs

Tenure breakdown

TeamRoleYearsSzns WAB WAB/yr TAB WAR surp HG Trade FA R5 AcqLev W-L% POPenWS Surp $M
Red Sox GM 1985–1994 10 -20.4 -2.04 +9.5 -99.4 +159.0 -143.7 -34.0 +2.1 3.62 0.512 31 -69
Mariners GM 1976–1980 0 +0.0 +0.0 +0.0 +38.1 -1.4 -0.1 +0.0
Career total (1985+ data) 10 -20.4 +9.5 -99.4 +197.1 -145.1 -34.1 +2.1 3.62 0.512 31 -69

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+197.1
Trade-145.1
Free agency-34.1
Rule 5 / minor draft+2.1
Sourcing mix: 73% draft · 16% FA · 10% trade · 1% R5

Roster value distribution — career average — depth vs. stars

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR, averaged across Lou Gorman's seasons. Bars = his rosters; the black line = the league-average player at each slot. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge.

Players acquired — 139 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr Lev
Nomar Garciaparra SS BOS Draft 1994 9 +38.5 +4.3
John Valentin 3B/SS BOS Draft 1988 9 +31.2 +3.5
Mo Vaughn 1B BOS Draft 1989 7 +27.6 +3.9
Trot Nixon OF BOS Draft 1993 8 +23.2 +2.9
Harold Reynolds 2B SEA Draft 1980 6 +12.4 +2.1
Tim Naehring 3B BOS Draft 1988 7 +11.8 +1.7
Dave Valle C SEA Draft 1978 8 +10.5 +1.3
Aaron Sele P BOS Draft 1991 5 +9.5 +1.9
Mike Boddicker P BOS Trade 1988 3 +9.0 +3.0 7.7
Matt Young P SEA Draft 1980 3 +8.9 +3.0
Greg Harris P BOS Free agency 1990 5 +6.8 +1.4 1.7
Scott Cooper 3B BOS Draft 1986 4 +6.7 +1.7
Frank Viola P BOS Free agency 1992 3 +6.7 +2.2 0.4
Danny Darwin P BOS Free agency 1990 3 +6.6 +2.2 0.4
Joe Hesketh P BOS Free agency 1990 5 +5.8 +1.2 1.6
Jim Presley 3B SEA Draft 1979 3 +5.5 +1.8
John Dopson P BOS Trade 1988 4 +4.6 +1.2 9.0
Scott Fletcher 2B/SS BOS Free agency 1992 2 +4.5 +2.2 11.9
Nick Esasky 1B/3B BOS Trade 1988 1 +4.2 +4.2 22.7
Dennis Lamp P BOS Free agency 1988 4 +3.6 +0.9 4.8
Lee Smith P BOS Trade 1987 3 +3.1 +1.0 6.0
Lee Tinsley OF BOS Trade 1994 2 +2.8 +1.4 0.7
Scott Hatteberg C/1B BOS Draft 1991 6 +2.5 +0.4
Tom Seaver P BOS Trade 1986 1 +2.3 +2.3 15.0
Jack Clark 1B/OF BOS Free agency 1990 1 +2.2 +2.2 7.8
Phil Plantier OF BOS Draft 1987 1 +2.2 +2.2
Mike Gardiner P BOS Trade 1991 2 +2.2 +1.1 3.9
Jeff Suppan P BOS Draft 1993 4 +2.0 +0.5
Luis Alicea 2B BOS Trade 1994 1 +1.9 +1.9 7.9
Paul Quantrill P BOS Draft 1989 2 +1.9 +1.0
Tom Brunansky OF BOS Trade 1990 3 +1.8 +0.6 6.9
Rick Cerone C BOS Free agency 1988 2 +1.8 +0.9 3.5
Jim Corsi P BOS Free agency 1985 2 +1.8 +0.9 4.9
Jeff Gray P BOS Free agency 1990 2 +1.8 +0.9 4.4
Lou Merloni 2B/3B BOS Draft 1993 5 +1.8 +0.4
Jeff Russell P BOS Free agency 1993 2 +1.8 +0.9 5.8
Don Baylor DH/OF BOS Trade 1986 2 +1.8 +0.9 8.7
Wes Gardner P BOS Trade 1986 4 +1.8 +0.4 0.1
Vaughn Eshelman P BOS Rule 5 1994 2 +1.7 +0.8
Ken Ryan P BOS Intl FA 1986 2 +1.6 +0.8
Iván Calderón OF SEA Intl FA 1979 1 +1.6 +1.6
Calvin Schiraldi P BOS Trade 1985 2 +1.5 +0.8 8.2
Matt Young P BOS Free agency 1990 2 +1.5 +0.8 4.4
Billy Hatcher OF BOS Trade 1992 1 +1.4 +1.4 4.5
Karl Best P SEA Draft 1977 2 +1.4 +0.7
Rob Murphy P BOS Trade 1988 1 +1.3 +1.3 9.7
Bill Haselman C BOS Free agency 1994 2 +1.2 +0.6 1.7
Tony Peña C BOS Free agency 1989 3 +1.1 +0.4 5.6
Bruce Kison P BOS Trade 1985 1 +1.0 +1.0
Luis Rivera SS BOS Trade 1988 2 +1.0 +0.5 3.6
Larry Andersen P BOS Trade 1990 1 +1.0 +1.0 3.9
Tony Fossas P BOS Free agency 1991 3 +0.9 +0.3 0.4
Jim Beattie P SEA Trade 1979 2 +0.8 +0.4
Randy Kutcher OF BOS Trade 1987 1 +0.7 +0.7 5.4
Nate Minchey P BOS Trade 1992 2 +0.7 +0.3
Kevin Morton P BOS Draft 1989 1 +0.6 +0.6
Dave Henderson OF SEA Draft 1977 2 +0.5 +0.2
Brian Snyder P SEA Draft 1979 1 +0.5 +0.5
Ed Vande Berg P SEA Draft 1980 1 +0.5 +0.5
Dave Henderson OF BOS Trade 1986 2 +0.5 +0.3 1.9
Scott Bankhead P BOS Free agency 1992 2 +0.4 +0.2 0.5
Otis Nixon OF BOS Free agency 1993 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.7
Tony Rodríguez SS BOS Draft 1991 1 +0.4 +0.4
Mike Marshall OF BOS Trade 1990 2 +0.4 +0.2 1.3
Spike Owen SS BOS Trade 1987 2 +0.4 +0.2 1.2
Jerry Reed P BOS Trade 1990 1 +0.4 +0.4 1.5
Jeff Richardson SS BOS Trade 1993 1 +0.4 +0.4 1.2
Gar Finnvold P BOS Draft 1990 1 +0.3 +0.3
Joe Hudson P BOS Draft 1992 2 +0.3 +0.2
Jeff Reardon P BOS Free agency 1989 3 +0.3 +0.1 0.8
Eric Wedge DH BOS Draft 1989 2 +0.3 +0.1
Ed Núñez P SEA Intl FA 1979 2 +0.3 +0.2
Chris Howard P BOS Free agency 1994 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.3
Jeff McNeely OF BOS Draft 1989 1 +0.2 +0.2
Carlos Rodríguez 2B/SS BOS Free agency 1993 2 +0.2 +0.1 0.2
Joe Price P BOS Trade 1989 1 +0.2 +0.2 1.1
Danny Heep OF BOS Free agency 1989 1 +0.1 +0.1 3.1
Jeff Pierce P BOS Trade 1994 1 +0.1 +0.1
Rich Rowland C BOS Trade 1994 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.7
Joe Sambito P BOS Free agency 1986 1 +0.1 +0.1 2.1
Dave Sax C BOS Trade 1985 1 +0.1 +0.1
Bob Zupcic OF BOS Draft 1987 2 +0.1 +0.0
Darnell Coles 3B/OF SEA Draft 1980 2 +0.1 +0.0
Donell Nixon OF SEA Draft 1980 1 +0.1 +0.1
Rob Deer OF BOS Trade 1993 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.3
Chris Nabholz P BOS Trade 1994 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.1
Larry Parrish 3B BOS Trade 1988 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.3
Tommy Barrett 2B BOS Free agency 1991 -0.0
Damon Berryhill C BOS Free agency 1994 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Jim Byrd PH/PR BOS Draft 1987 +0.0
Alex Delgado C BOS Intl FA 1987 -0.0
Eric Hetzel P BOS Draft 1985 1 +0.0 +0.0
Peter Hoy P BOS Draft 1988 1 +0.0 +0.0
Jeff Plympton P BOS Draft 1987 -0.0
Donnie Sadler 2B/OF BOS Draft 1994 1 +0.0 +0.0
Keith Shepherd P BOS Trade 1994 -0.0
Mike Stenhouse OF BOS Trade 1985 -0.0
Jeff Stone OF BOS Free agency 1989 -0.0
Andy Tomberlin DH/OF BOS Free agency 1994 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Iván Calderón OF BOS Trade 1993 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.1
Steve Farr P BOS Trade 1994 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.1
Cory Bailey P BOS Draft 1991 1 -0.1 -0.1
Mike Brumley SS BOS Free agency 1991 -0.1
Wayne Housie DH/OF BOS Trade 1990 -0.1
Daryl Irvine P BOS Draft 1985 1 -0.1 -0.1
Joel Johnston P BOS Free agency 1994 -0.1
Ron Mahay P BOS Draft 1991 1 -0.1 -0.1
Walt McKeel C BOS Draft 1990 -0.1
Brian Rose P BOS Draft 1994 2 -0.1 -0.0
Al Chambers DH/OF SEA Draft 1979 -0.1
Jim Lewis P SEA Intl FA 1977 -0.1
José Meléndez P BOS Trade 1993 1 -0.1 -0.1 0.5
Juan Bell 2B/SS BOS Free agency 1994 -0.2
Michael Coleman OF BOS Draft 1994 -0.2
Todd Frohwirth P BOS Free agency 1994 -0.2
Rick Lancellotti 1B/OF BOS Free agency 1989 -0.2
Billy Jo Robidoux 1B BOS Free agency 1989 -0.2
John Trautwein P BOS Draft 1988 -0.2
Tim Van Egmond P BOS Draft 1991 -0.2
Brian Barkley P BOS Draft 1994 -0.3
Ernie Riles 3B/SS BOS Free agency 1993 -0.3
Bill Selby 2B/3B BOS Draft 1992 -0.3
Sergio Valdez P BOS Free agency 1994 -0.3
Greg Blosser OF BOS Draft 1989 -0.4
John Flaherty C BOS Draft 1988 -0.4
José Malavé OF BOS Intl FA 1989 -0.5
Luis Ortiz 3B BOS Draft 1991 -0.5
Sammy Stewart P BOS Trade 1985 -0.5
Scott Taylor P BOS Draft 1988 -0.5
Mario Díaz SS SEA Intl FA 1978 2 -0.6 -0.3
Tim Lollar P BOS Trade 1985 -0.7
La Schelle Tarver OF BOS Trade 1985 -0.7
Greg Litton 2B/OF BOS Free agency 1994 -0.8
Bob Melvin C BOS Free agency 1992 -0.8
Herm Winningham OF BOS Free agency 1992 -0.8
Mike Smithson P BOS Free agency 1988 -0.9
Andre Dawson OF BOS Free agency 1992 -1.1
Ed Romero 2B/SS BOS Trade 1985 -2.5
John Moses OF SEA Draft 1980 -3.5

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

drag to zoom · double-click to reset