RRosternomics

Red Sox BOS

GM: Lou Gorman

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 5 in this regime · payroll 1.37× league · TAB +5.4
+5.4TAB — talent above budget7th/26
-3.1WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)16th/26
0.512win %12th/26
43.6roster fWAR5th/26
-3surplus $M (value vs cost)20th/26
$19Mpayroll $M3rd/26

Roster

CFEllis Burks 95GKevin Romine 48GRandy Kutcher 21G
LFMike Greenwell 139GDanny Heep 17GRandy Kutcher 11G
RFDwight Evans 77GDanny Heep 59GKevin Romine 32G
SSLuis Rivera 89GJody Reed 78G
2BMarty Barrett 80GJody Reed 69GLuis Rivera 2G
3BWade Boggs 152GRandy Kutcher 6GJody Reed 4G
1BNick Esasky 153GDanny Heep 19GSam Horn 2G
STARTERSRoger Clemens 5.1WARMike Boddicker 2.9WARJohn Dopson 1.8WARWes Gardner 0.7WAROil Can Boyd 0.2WAR
CRick Cerone 97GRich Gedman 91GJohn Marzano 7G
DHDwight Evans 69GJim Rice 53GSam Horn 11G
BULLPEN Lee Smith 25svRob Murphy 0hGreg Harris 0hBob Stanley 0hDennis Lamp 0hMike Rochford 0hTom Bolton 0h
CRick Cerone 97 · Rich Gedman 91 · John Marzano 7
1BNick Esasky 153 · Danny Heep 19 · Sam Horn 2
2BMarty Barrett 80 · Jody Reed 69 · Luis Rivera 2
3BWade Boggs 152 · Randy Kutcher 6 · Jody Reed 4
SSLuis Rivera 89 · Jody Reed 78
LFMike Greenwell 139 · Danny Heep 17 · Randy Kutcher 11
CFEllis Burks 95 · Kevin Romine 48 · Randy Kutcher 21
RFDwight Evans 77 · Danny Heep 59 · Kevin Romine 32
DHDwight Evans 69 · Jim Rice 53 · Sam Horn 11
SPRoger Clemens 5.1 · Mike Boddicker 2.9 · John Dopson 1.8 · Wes Gardner 0.7 · Oil Can Boyd 0.2
BP Lee Smith 25 · Rob Murphy 0 · Greg Harris 0 · Bob Stanley 0 · Dennis Lamp 0 · Mike Rochford 0 · Tom Bolton 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1989 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Wade Boggs 31 FA-elig 1568.3 1.9 +1.1
Roger Clemens 26 arb 355.1 2.3 -0.5
Nick Esasky 29 FA-elig 1544.2 0.6 +0.9
Mike Greenwell 25 arb 1453.4 0.5 +0.7
Dwight Evans 37 FA-elig 1463.4 1.1 +0.1
Ellis Burks 24 pre-arb 973.2 0.3 +0.9
Jody Reed 26 pre-arb 1463.1 0.2 +0.9
Mike Boddicker 31 FA-elig 342.9 1.4 -0.3
Rob Murphy 29 arb 741.9 0.3 +0.4
John Dopson 25 arb 291.8 0.1 +0.5
Dennis Lamp 36 FA-elig 421.6 0.4 +0.2
Lee Smith 31 FA-elig 641.5 1.4 -0.9
Randy Kutcher 29 arb 771.0 0.1 +0.3
Rick Cerone 35 FA-elig 1020.8 0.5 -0.2
Marty Barrett 31 FA-elig 860.8 0.8 -0.5
Luis Rivera 25 arb 930.7 0.1 +0.2
Wes Gardner 28 arb 220.7 0.3 -0.0
Danny Heep 31 FA-elig 1130.6 0.4 -0.1
Bob Stanley 34 FA-elig 430.5 1.1 -0.9
John Marzano 26 70.4
Kevin Romine 28 arb 920.4 0.2 -0.1
Greg Harris↔ PHI 33 FA-elig 150.3 0.1 +0.0
Joe Price↔ SFG 32 FA-elig 310.2 0.1 +0.0
Oil Can Boyd 29 FA-elig 100.2 0.6 -0.5
Tom Bolton 27 40.1
Dana Williams 26 80.0
Mike Rochford 26 4-0.1
Eric Hetzel 25 pre-arb 12-0.1 0.1 -0.1
Jeff Stone↔ TEX 28 18-0.2
Mike Smithson 34 FA-elig 40-0.3 0.5 -0.6
Rich Gedman 29 FA-elig 93-0.3 1.1 -1.3
Sam Horn 25 33-0.5
Carlos Quintana 23 pre-arb 34-0.5 0.1 -0.3
Jim Rice 36 FA-elig 56-0.7 2.4 -2.6
Ed Romero↔ ATL 31 FA-elig 46-0.8 0.0 -0.3

Key additions (new vs 1988)

PlayerfWAR
Nick Esasky4.2
Rob Murphy1.9
John Dopson1.8
Luis Rivera0.7
Danny Heep0.6
Greg Harris0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 1988)

Player1988 fWAR
Bruce Hurst3.8
Spike Owen0.9
Todd Benzinger0.4
Jeff Sellers0.3
Brady Anderson0.2
Larry Parrish0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

1989 payroll
$18.7M

What the front office was committed to as of 1989, 1989–1995. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (18)

PlayerAgeSvc1989199019911992199319941995
Jim Rice3615.000$2.4MFREE AGENT
Wade Boggs317.000$1.9M$1.9M$2.8M$2.7MFREE AGENT
Lee Smith319.000$1.4M$994kFREE AGENT
Mike Boddicker319.000$1.4M$675kFREE AGENT
Rich Gedman299.000$1.1M$736kFREE AGENT
Dwight Evans3717.000$1.1M$1.5MFREE AGENT
Bob Stanley3412.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Marty Barrett317.000$775k$1.0MFREE AGENT
Nick Esasky296.000$570kFREE AGENT
Oil Can Boyd297.000$550kFREE AGENT
Mike Smithson347.000$540kFREE AGENT
Rick Cerone3514.000$490kFREE AGENT
Dennis Lamp3612.000$380k$725k$750kFREE AGENT
Danny Heep3110.000$365k$595kFREE AGENT
Greg Harris338.000$83k$590k$1.3M$1.4M$1.5M$1.6MFREE AGENT
Joe Price329.000$55kFREE AGENT
Ed Romero3112.000$46kFREE AGENT
Jeff Stone286.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (8)

PlayerAgeSvc1989199019911992199319941995
Roger Clemens265.000$2.3MFREE AGENT
Mike Greenwell254.000$500kARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Murphy294.000$295kARB 3FREE AGENT
Wes Gardner285.000$285kFREE AGENT
Kevin Romine284.000$200kARB 3FREE AGENT
John Dopson254.000$125kARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Rivera253.000$105kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Randy Kutcher293.000$90kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (9)

PlayerAgeSvc1989199019911992199319941995
Ellis Burks242.000$275kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jody Reed262.000$175kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Quintana231.000$71kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Hetzel250.000$68kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tom Bolton272.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sam Horn252.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Marzano262.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Rochford261.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dana Williams26

Graphs

Red Sox's path through relative payroll × TAB, smoothed; markers grow and the arrow points toward the present. WINDOW cheap&winning · CONTEND expensive&winning · FORCED-SPEND dead zone · REBUILD cheap&losing. Compare franchises →

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3