RRosternomics

Red Sox BOS

GM: Lou Gorman

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 4 in this regime · payroll 1.29× league · TAB +13.0
+13.0TAB — talent above budget3rd/26
+3.7WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)11th/26
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars7th/26
-4.0dead WAR — sub-replacement drag13th/26
16%dead money %4th/26
0.549win %5th/26
50.4roster fWAR2nd/26
+0surplus $M (value vs cost)12th/26
$15Mpayroll $M4th/26

1988: made playoffs · 89–73. Ranks are vs the 26 teams that season.

Roster

CFEllis Burks 142GKevin Romine 9GDwight Evans 1G
LFMike Greenwell 143GJim Rice 19GTodd Benzinger 5G
RFDwight Evans 84GTodd Benzinger 43GKevin Romine 38G
SSJody Reed 94GSpike Owen 76GEd Romero 8G
2BMarty Barrett 150GJody Reed 11GEd Romero 5G
3BWade Boggs 151GEd Romero 15GJody Reed 4G
1BTodd Benzinger 85GDwight Evans 64GLarry Parrish 36G
STARTERSRoger Clemens 9.2WARBruce Hurst 3.8WARMike Boddicker 2.1WARWes Gardner 0.9WARJeff Sellers 0.3WAR
CRich Gedman 92GRick Cerone 83GJohn Marzano 10G
DHJim Rice 110GLarry Parrish 80GSam Horn 16G
BULLPEN Lee Smith 29svBob Stanley 0hDennis Lamp 0hTom Bolton 0hJohn Trautwein 0hSteve Curry 0hZach Crouch 0hMike Rochford 0h
CRich Gedman 92 · Rick Cerone 83 · John Marzano 10
1BTodd Benzinger 85 · Dwight Evans 64 · Larry Parrish 36
2BMarty Barrett 150 · Jody Reed 11 · Ed Romero 5
3BWade Boggs 151 · Ed Romero 15 · Jody Reed 4
SSJody Reed 94 · Spike Owen 76 · Ed Romero 8
LFMike Greenwell 143 · Jim Rice 19 · Todd Benzinger 5
CFEllis Burks 142 · Kevin Romine 9 · Dwight Evans 1
RFDwight Evans 84 · Todd Benzinger 43 · Kevin Romine 38
DHJim Rice 110 · Larry Parrish 80 · Sam Horn 16
SPRoger Clemens 9.2 · Bruce Hurst 3.8 · Mike Boddicker 2.1 · Wes Gardner 0.9 · Jeff Sellers 0.3
BP Lee Smith 29 · Bob Stanley 0 · Dennis Lamp 0 · Tom Bolton 0 · John Trautwein 0 · Steve Curry 0 · Zach Crouch 0 · Mike Rochford 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1988 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Roger Clemens 25 arb 359.2 1.4 +1.5
Wade Boggs 30 FA-elig 1558.7 1.6 +1.1
Mike Greenwell 24 arb 1587.8 0.2 +2.2
Ellis Burks 23 pre-arb 1445.2 0.1 +1.5
Bruce Hurst 30 FA-elig 333.8 0.9 +0.3
Dwight Evans 36 FA-elig 1493.5 1.6 -0.5
Jody Reed 25 pre-arb 1093.4 0.1 +1.0
Mike Boddicker↔ BAL 30 FA-elig 152.1 0.4 +0.3
Lee Smith 30 FA-elig 641.6 0.8 -0.3
Dennis Lamp 35 FA-elig 461.3 0.2 +0.2
Rich Gedman 28 FA-elig 951.3 1.0 -0.5
Rick Cerone 34 841.0
Wes Gardner 27 arb 360.9 0.1 +0.2
Spike Owen 27 arb 890.9 0.5 -0.2
Marty Barrett 30 FA-elig 1500.9 0.7 -0.4
Bob Stanley 33 FA-elig 570.8 1.1 -0.8
Jim Rice 35 FA-elig 1350.7 2.2 -2.0
Todd Benzinger 25 pre-arb 1200.4 0.1 +0.0
Tom Bolton 26 pre-arb 280.3 0.1 +0.0
Jeff Sellers 24 arb 180.3 0.1 -0.1
Brady Anderson↔ BAL 24 pre-arb 410.2 0.0 +0.0
Carlos Quintana 22 50.2
Larry Parrish↔ TEX 34 FA-elig 520.1 0.2 -0.2
Mike Rochford 25 20.0
Bob Woodward 25 arb 1-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Zach Crouch 22 3-0.0
Randy Kutcher 28 19-0.0
Steve Curry 22 3-0.1
John Trautwein 25 pre-arb 9-0.2 0.1 -0.1
John Marzano 25 pre-arb 10-0.3 0.1 -0.2
Pat Dodson 28 17-0.3
Oil Can Boyd 28 FA-elig 23-0.3 0.6 -0.6
Steve Ellsworth 27 pre-arb 8-0.4 0.1 -0.2
Ed Romero 30 FA-elig 31-0.5 0.4 -0.6
Sam Horn 24 pre-arb 24-0.5 0.1 -0.2
Mike Smithson 33 FA-elig 31-0.6 0.4 -0.6
Kevin Romine 27 arb 57-0.8 0.1 -0.3

Key additions (new vs 1987)

PlayerfWAR
Mike Boddicker2.1
Lee Smith1.6
Dennis Lamp1.3
Rick Cerone1.0
Brady Anderson0.2
Carlos Quintana0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 1987)

Player1987 fWAR
Al Nipper0.5
Don Baylor0.4
Calvin Schiraldi0.3
Dave Henderson0.2
Glenn Hoffman0.1
Dave Sax-0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

1988 payroll
$15.2M

What the front office was committed to as of 1988, 1988–1994. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (15)

PlayerAgeSvc1988198919901991199219931994
Jim Rice3514.000$2.2M$2.4MFREE AGENT
Wade Boggs306.000$1.6M$1.9M$1.9M$2.8M$2.7MFREE AGENT
Dwight Evans3616.000$1.6M$1.1M$1.5MFREE AGENT
Bob Stanley3311.000$1.1M$1.1MFREE AGENT
Rich Gedman288.000$953k$1.1M$736kFREE AGENT
Bruce Hurst308.000$900kFREE AGENT
Lee Smith308.000$850k$1.4M$994kFREE AGENT
Marty Barrett306.000$675k$775k$1.0MFREE AGENT
Oil Can Boyd286.000$550k$550kFREE AGENT
Ed Romero3011.000$415k$46kFREE AGENT
Mike Smithson336.000$395k$540kFREE AGENT
Mike Boddicker308.000$354k$1.4M$675kFREE AGENT
Larry Parrish3414.000$238kFREE AGENT
Dennis Lamp3511.000$235k$380k$725k$750kFREE AGENT
Rick Cerone3413.000$490kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (7)

PlayerAgeSvc1988198919901991199219931994
Roger Clemens254.000$1.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Spike Owen275.000$525kFREE AGENT
Mike Greenwell243.000$205kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Sellers243.000$135kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wes Gardner274.000$117kARB 3FREE AGENT
Bob Woodward253.000$86kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Romine273.000$78kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (15)

PlayerAgeSvc1988198919901991199219931994
Ellis Burks231.000$125kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Todd Benzinger251.000$85kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sam Horn241.000$80kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Marzano251.000$77kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tom Bolton261.000$75kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jody Reed251.000$64kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Ellsworth270.000$62kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Trautwein250.000$62kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brady Anderson240.000$27kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach Crouch22
Steve Curry22
Pat Dodson28
Randy Kutcher282.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Quintana220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Rochford250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Red Sox 1988; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3