RRosternomics

Red Sox BOS

GM: Lou Gorman

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.19× league · TAB +0.5
+0.5TAB — talent above budget13th/28
-4.2WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)20th/28
9.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars8th/28
-5.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag14th/28
39%dead money %22nd/28
0.494win %17th/28
36.9roster fWAR11th/28
-7surplus $M (value vs cost)19th/28
$38Mpayroll $M11th/28

Roster

CFBilly Hatcher 129GBob Zupcic 37GJeff McNeely 13G
LFMike Greenwell 134GBob Zupcic 48GGreg Blosser 9G
RFRob Deer 120GBob Zupcic 54GCarlos Quintana 50G
SSJohn Valentin 144GLuis Rivera 27GJeff Richardson 5G
2BScott Fletcher 116GLuis Rivera 27GErnest Riles 20G
3BScott Cooper 154GErnest Riles 11GTim Naehring 9G
1BMo Vaughn 131GCarlos Quintana 53GScott Cooper 2G
STARTERSRoger Clemens 3.7WARDanny Darwin 2.9WARFrank Viola 2.7WARAaron Sele 2.6WARJohn Dopson 1.8WAR
CTony Peña Sr. 125GBob Melvin 76GJohn Flaherty 13G
DHAndre Dawson 97GMo Vaughn 19GTim Naehring 10G
BULLPEN Jeff Russell 33svGreg Harris 0hTony Fossas 0hKen Ryan 0hScott Bankhead 0hScott Taylor 0hCory Bailey 0hJose Melendez 0h
CTony Peña Sr. 125 · Bob Melvin 76 · John Flaherty 13
1BMo Vaughn 131 · Carlos Quintana 53 · Scott Cooper 2
2BScott Fletcher 116 · Luis Rivera 27 · Ernest Riles 20
3BScott Cooper 154 · Ernest Riles 11 · Tim Naehring 9
SSJohn Valentin 144 · Luis Rivera 27 · Jeff Richardson 5
LFMike Greenwell 134 · Bob Zupcic 48 · Greg Blosser 9
CFBilly Hatcher 129 · Bob Zupcic 37 · Jeff McNeely 13
RFRob Deer 120 · Bob Zupcic 54 · Carlos Quintana 50
DHAndre Dawson 97 · Mo Vaughn 19 · Tim Naehring 10
SPRoger Clemens 3.7 · Danny Darwin 2.9 · Frank Viola 2.7 · Aaron Sele 2.6 · John Dopson 1.8
BP Jeff Russell 33 · Greg Harris 0 · Tony Fossas 0 · Ken Ryan 0 · Scott Bankhead 0 · Scott Taylor 0 · Cory Bailey 0 · Jose Melendez 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1993 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
John Valentin 26 pre-arb 1445.2 0.2 +4.1
Scott Fletcher 34 FA-elig 1213.9 0.8 +2.4
Mike Greenwell 29 FA-elig 1463.9 3.4 -0.2
Roger Clemens 30 FA-elig 293.7 4.7 -1.6
Mo Vaughn 25 pre-arb 1523.4 0.3 +2.5
Danny Darwin 37 FA-elig 342.9 2.8 -0.4
Scott Cooper 25 arb 1562.9 0.2 +2.1
Frank Viola 33 FA-elig 292.7 4.8 -2.7
Aaron Sele 23 pre-arb 182.6 0.1 +2.0
Jeff Russell 31 FA-elig 511.8 2.2 -0.7
John Dopson 29 FA-elig 341.8 0.8 +0.7
Billy Hatcher 32 FA-elig 1361.4 1.0 +0.2
Paul Quantrill 24 pre-arb 491.2 0.1 +0.9
Greg Harris 37 FA-elig 801.2 1.5 -0.5
Ken Ryan 24 pre-arb 470.7 0.1 +0.5
Tony Fossas 35 arb 710.5 0.5 -0.1
Tim Naehring 26 arb 390.4 0.2 +0.1
Jeff Richardson 27 arb 150.4 0.1 +0.2
Joe Hesketh 34 FA-elig 280.3 1.8 -1.5
Nate Minchey 23 50.3
Jeff McNeely 23 210.2
Bob Zupcic 26 pre-arb 1410.2 0.2 -0.1
Jose Melendez 27 arb 90.2 0.2 -0.1
Scott Bankhead 29 FA-elig 400.1 1.1 -1.0
Rob Deer↔ DET 32 FA-elig 380.1 0.6 -0.5
Cory Bailey 22 110.1
Ivan Calderon↔ CHW 31 FA-elig 730.0 0.1 -0.1
Jim Byrd 24 20.0
John Flaherty 25 pre-arb 13-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Steve Lyons 33 28-0.1
Luis Ortiz 23 pre-arb 9-0.2 0.1 -0.3
Scott Taylor 25 16-0.2
Ernest Riles 32 FA-elig 94-0.3 0.4 -0.7
Greg Blosser 22 17-0.3
Luis Rivera 29 FA-elig 62-0.4 1.1 -1.4
Andre Dawson 38 FA-elig 121-0.4 4.9 -5.2
Bob Melvin 31 FA-elig 77-0.8 0.7 -1.4
Tony Peña Sr. 36 FA-elig 126-1.1 2.2 -3.1
Carlos Quintana 27 arb 101-1.1 0.3 -1.3

Key additions (new vs 1992)

PlayerfWAR
Scott Fletcher3.9
Aaron Sele2.6
Jeff Russell1.8
Jeff Richardson0.4
Nate Minchey0.3
Jeff McNeely0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 1992)

Player1992 fWAR
Tom Brunansky1.8
Wade Boggs1.5
Mike Gardiner1.0
Ellis Burks0.7
Tom Bolton0.5
Jeff Reardon0.4

Current & Historical Payroll

1993 payroll
$37.7M

What the front office was committed to as of 1993, 1993–1999. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (19)

PlayerAgeSvc1993199419951996199719981999
Andre Dawson3817.000$4.9M$4.4MFREE AGENT
Frank Viola3311.000$4.8M$4.3MFREE AGENT
Roger Clemens309.000$4.7M$5.2M$5.7M$5.5MFREE AGENT
Mike Greenwell298.000$3.4M$3.3M$3.6M$3.7MFREE AGENT
Danny Darwin3715.000$2.8M$2.6MFREE AGENT
Tony Peña Sr.3613.000$2.2MFREE AGENT
Jeff Russell3110.000$2.2M$2.1MFREE AGENT
Joe Hesketh349.000$1.8M$1.8MFREE AGENT
Greg Harris3712.000$1.5M$1.6MFREE AGENT
Scott Bankhead297.000$1.1M$1.4MFREE AGENT
Luis Rivera297.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Billy Hatcher329.000$1.0M$329kFREE AGENT
Scott Fletcher3412.000$825k$500kFREE AGENT
John Dopson298.000$750kFREE AGENT
Bob Melvin318.000$725kFREE AGENT
Rob Deer329.000$614kFREE AGENT
Ernest Riles328.000$400kFREE AGENT
Ivan Calderon319.000$97kFREE AGENT
Steve Lyons338.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (6)

PlayerAgeSvc1993199419951996199719981999
Tony Fossas355.000$475kFREE AGENT
Carlos Quintana275.000$340kFREE AGENT
Scott Cooper253.000$240kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Melendez273.000$235kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Naehring263.000$200kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Richardson274.000$115kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (14)

PlayerAgeSvc1993199419951996199719981999
Mo Vaughn252.000$290kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bob Zupcic262.000$222kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Valentin261.000$170kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Quantrill241.000$150kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Flaherty251.000$125kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ken Ryan241.000$118kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Ortiz230.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Sele230.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cory Bailey220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Blosser220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jim Byrd24
Jeff McNeely23
Nate Minchey230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Taylor25

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Red Sox 1993; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3