Rosternomics
EL

Ed Lynch

Born Feb 25, 1956 · Brooklyn, NY · age 70

General manager for the Cubs (1995–2000).

Across the full 6-season sample, the profile does not currently place a measured dimension in the top quartile of the site’s qualified executive pool. The clearest contrast is payroll-adjusted winning (7th percentile): the measured clubs have produced fewer wins relative to payroll-based expectations than most peers.

6 seasons with salary-era data across 1 stint. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

0 pennants · 1 playoff appearance · 439–516 (0.460)

Percentile Rankings

vs. execs with toyrs exp.
PoorAverageGreat
Trade Decision Quality
Roster Construction
Depth
6.0
Dead WAR
-6.2
Dead money %
31%
PoorAverageGreat
Talent Creation
Cheap-talent surplus
$0M
Drafted surplus
$2M
Traded-for surplus
$-2M
Int'l surplus
$0M
Results & Efficiency
GM WAR
-3.7
TAB
-42.1
WAB
-47.8
$ / WAR
$1.3M
Net WAR/trade
-0.84

Overview

TeamRoleYear Pay
$M
Rel
Pay
Surp
$M
Surp
WAR
Dead
%
Cheap
$M
Draft
$M
Trd
$M
Int'l
$M
$ /
WAR
WAR Depth Dead
WAR
HG Trade Net/
Trd
FA R5 RFA PPA CPA WAB TAB W-L% POPenWS
Cubs GM 1995 73–71 $31 93 -2 -2.2 48% +8 +4 +3 +0 $0.9M 29.6 7.0 -5.4 +24.0 +10.0 +3.34 -24.4 -0.2 +0.01 0.96 0.11 +1.0 -0.1 0.507
Cubs GM 1996 76–86 $29 89 -2 -2.9 14% -0 +1 -1 -0 $0.8M 31.1 6.0 -3.8 -1.5 +0.2 -30.5 -1.5 +0.20 0.84 0.12 -4.4 -1.7 0.469
Cubs GM 1997 68–94 $39 98 -16 -15.7 25% +0 +2 -3 +1 $1.4M 22.5 4.0 -5.7 +40.4 -5.9 -0.99 -11.1 +0.6 +0.11 0.11 0.05 -13.7 -11.5 0.420
Cubs GM 1998 90–73 $52 124 -12 -11.0 32% +2 +5 -3 +1 $1.3M 36.5 8.0 -4.9 +7.4 -16.7 -2.79 +0.0 +0.0 -0.05 2.57 0.21 +4.8 -0.6 0.552
Cubs GM 1999 67–95 $62 127 -34 -27.4 32% -5 -3 -2 +0 $2.1M 19.8 6.0 -9.7 +5.7 -13.8 -2.76 -8.4 +0.0 +0.42 0.12 0.05 -18.0 -17.4 0.414
Cubs GM 2000 65–97 $56 103 -21 -14.9 32% -3 +0 -3 +0 $1.8M 23.8 5.0 -7.5 -0.5 +0.3 +0.03 +8.2 -0.4 +0.01 0.21 0.06 -17.4 -10.9 0.401
Career total (1985+ data) $269 106 -88 -74.0 31% +0 +2 -2 +0 $1.3M 163.3 6.0 -6.2 +75.6 -26.0 -0.84 -66.2 -1.6 +0.03 0.88 0.10 -47.8 -42.1 0.460 1

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+75.6
Trade-26.0
Free agency-66.2
Rule 5 / minor draft-1.6
Sourcing mix: 55% draft · 32% FA · 13% trade · 0% R5

Trades

Trades made — 42 deals credited to Ed Lynch, best expected value first; surplus is realized value in $M

1997 · CHC / NYM
CHC · Ed Lynch +$61.6M
Lance Johnson, Mark Clark, Manny Alexander
NYM · Joe McIlvaine −$61.6M
Brian McRae, Mel Rojas, Turk Wendell
CHC came out ahead by $61.6M
2000 · WSN / CHC
WSN · Jim Beattie +$7.2M
Scott Downs
CHC · Ed Lynch −$7.2M
Rondell White
WSN came out ahead by $7.2M
2000 · CHC / SFG
CHC · Ed Lynch +$15.2M
Bill Mueller
SFG · Brian Sabean −$15.2M
Tim Worrell
CHC came out ahead by $15.2M
1995 · CHC / HOU
CHC · Ed Lynch +$61.6M
Scott Servais, Luis Gonzalez
HOU · Bob Watson −$61.6M
Rick Wilkins
CHC came out ahead by $61.6M
1996 · ATL / CHC
ATL · John Schuerholz +$4.0M
Ismael Villegas
CHC · Ed Lynch −$4.0M
Tyler Houston
ATL came out ahead by $4.0M
2000 · CHC / SDP
CHC · Ed Lynch +$1.6M
Gary Matthews
SDP · Kevin Towers −$1.6M
Rodney Myers
CHC came out ahead by $1.6M
1999 · CHC / BOS
CHC · Ed Lynch +$15.2M
Mark Guthrie, Cole Liniak
BOS · Dan Duquette −$15.2M
Rod Beck
CHC came out ahead by $15.2M
2000 · MIL / CHC
MIL · Dean Taylor +$6.4M
Ray King
CHC · Ed Lynch −$6.4M
Doug Johns
MIL came out ahead by $6.4M
2000 · TBR / CHC
TBR · Chuck Lamar +$4.0M
Mark Guthrie
CHC · Ed Lynch −$4.0M
Dave Martinez
TBR came out ahead by $4.0M
1995 · STL / CHC
STL · Walt Jocketty +$10.4M
Mike Morgan, Paul Torres, Francisco Morales
CHC · Ed Lynch −$10.4M
Todd Zeile
STL came out ahead by $10.4M
1999 · BOS / CHC
BOS · Dan Duquette +$0.8M
Manny Alexander
CHC · Ed Lynch −$0.8M
Damon Buford
BOS came out ahead by $0.8M
1999 · LAD / CHC
LAD · Kevin Malone +$37.6M
Terry Adams, Chad Ricketts, Brian Stephenson
CHC · Ed Lynch −$37.6M
Ismael Valdez, Eric Young
LAD came out ahead by $37.6M
1999 · COL / CHC
COL · Gary Hughes +$0.8M
John Cotton, Kevin Rawitzer
CHC · Ed Lynch −$0.8M
Tarrik Brock
COL came out ahead by $0.8M
1999 · CHC / ATL
CHC · Ed Lynch +$5.6M
Micah Bowie, Rubén Quevedo, Joey Nation
ATL · John Schuerholz −$5.6M
José Hernández, Terry Mulholland
CHC came out ahead by $5.6M
2000 · CHC / MIA
CHC · Ed Lynch +$12.0M
Ross Gload, Dave Noyce
MIA · Dave Dombrowski −$12.0M
Henry Rodríguez
CHC came out ahead by $12.0M
2000 · CHC / OAK
CHC · Ed Lynch +$0.8M
Matt Stairs
OAK · Billy Beane −$0.8M
Eric Ireland
CHC came out ahead by $0.8M
1999 · CHC / SDP
CHC · Ed Lynch +$1.6M
Brandon Pernell
SDP · Kevin Towers −$1.6M
Dan Serafini
CHC came out ahead by $1.6M
1997 · CHC / WSN
CHC · Ed Lynch +$0.0M
Gil Heredia
WSN · Jim Beattie +$0.0M
Saul Bustos, Dave Jefferson
Even trade
1999 · BAL / CHC
BAL · Frank Wren +$7.2M
Richard Negrette
CHC · Ed Lynch −$7.2M
Augie Ojeda
BAL came out ahead by $7.2M
1996 · CHC / NYM
CHC · Ed Lynch +$2.4M
Chris DeWitt
NYM · Joe McIlvaine −$2.4M
Matt Franco
CHC came out ahead by $2.4M
2000 · CHC / ANA
CHC · Ed Lynch +$0.0M
Brett Hinchliffe, Keith Luuloa
ANA · Bill Stoneman +$0.0M
Chris Hatcher, Mike Heathcott, Brett King
Even trade
1995 · CHC / CIN
CHC · Ed Lynch +$0.0M
Keith Kessinger
CIN · Jim Bowden +$0.0M
Greg Hillman
Even trade
1996 · TOR / CHC
TOR · Gord Ash +$0.8M
Jason Stevenson
CHC · Ed Lynch −$0.8M
Miguel Cairo
TOR came out ahead by $0.8M
1997 · CHC / NYY
CHC · Ed Lynch +$4.8M
Frisco Parotte
NYY · Bob Watson −$4.8M
Rey Sánchez
CHC came out ahead by $4.8M
1999 · CHC / CLE
CHC · Ed Lynch +$3.2M
Richard Negrette
CLE · John Hart −$3.2M
Tyler Houston
CHC came out ahead by $3.2M
1998 · SDP / CHC
SDP · Kevin Towers +$0.8M
Ben VanRyn
CHC · Ed Lynch −$0.8M
Don Wengert
SDP came out ahead by $0.8M
1997 · CHC / CIN
CHC · Ed Lynch +$0.8M
Curt Lyons
CIN · Jim Bowden −$0.8M
Jay Peterson, Ozzie Timmons
CHC came out ahead by $0.8M
1997 · TOR / CHC
TOR · Gord Ash +$1.6M
Trevor Schaffer
CHC · Ed Lynch −$1.6M
Sandy Martínez
TOR came out ahead by $1.6M
1997 · WSN / CHC
WSN · Jim Beattie +$14.4M
Miguel Batista
CHC · Ed Lynch −$14.4M
Henry Rodríguez
WSN came out ahead by $14.4M
2000 · TEX / CHC
TEX · Douglas Melvin +$2.4M
Dave Martinez
CHC · Ed Lynch −$2.4M
Brant Brown
TEX came out ahead by $2.4M
1998 · MIN / CHC
MIN · Terry Ryan +$7.2M
Scott Downs
CHC · Ed Lynch −$7.2M
Mike Morgan
MIN came out ahead by $7.2M
1998 · CHC / PIT
CHC · Ed Lynch +$213.6M
Jon Lieber
PIT · Cam Bonifay −$213.6M
Brant Brown
CHC came out ahead by $213.6M
2000 · NYY / CHC
NYY · Brian Cashman +$6.4M
Glenallen Hill
CHC · Ed Lynch −$6.4M
Ben Ford, Oswaldo Mairena
NYY came out ahead by $6.4M
1995 · CHC / KCR
CHC · Ed Lynch +$78.4M
Brian McRae
KCR · Herk Robinson −$78.4M
Derek Wallace, Geno Morones
CHC came out ahead by $78.4M
1998 · ATL / CHC
ATL · John Schuerholz +$2.4M
Jon Ratliff
CHC · Ed Lynch −$2.4M
Ray King
ATL came out ahead by $2.4M
1997 · CHC / COL
CHC · Ed Lynch +$4.0M
Matt Pool
COL · Bob Gebhard −$4.0M
Frank Castillo
CHC came out ahead by $4.0M
1999 · MIN / CHC
MIN · Terry Ryan +$40.0M
Kyle Lohse, Jason Ryan
CHC · Ed Lynch −$40.0M
Rick Aguilera, Scott Downs
MIN came out ahead by $40.0M
2000 · CHC / LAD
CHC · Ed Lynch +$13.6M
Jamie Arnold, Jorge Piedra
LAD · Kevin Malone −$13.6M
Ismael Valdez
CHC came out ahead by $13.6M
1998 · CHW / CHC
CHW · Ron Schueler +$92.0M
Jon Garland
CHC · Ed Lynch −$92.0M
Matt Karchner
CHW came out ahead by $92.0M
1995 · LAD / CHC
LAD · Fred Claire +$2.4M
Willie Banks
CHC · Ed Lynch −$2.4M
Dax Winslett
LAD came out ahead by $2.4M
1997 · PHI / CHC
PHI · Lee Thomas +$64.8M
Doug Glanville
CHC · Ed Lynch −$64.8M
Mickey Morandini
PHI came out ahead by $64.8M
1998 · MIA / CHC
MIA · Dave Dombrowski +$1.6M
Justin Speier, Kevin Orie, Todd Noel
CHC · Ed Lynch −$1.6M
Félix Heredia, Steve Hoff
MIA came out ahead by $1.6M

Players acquired — 125 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr RFA PPA CPA
Carlos Zambrano P CHC Intl FA 1997 10 +36.4 +3.6
Kerry Wood P CHC Draft 1995 11 +24.2 +2.2
Jon Lieber P CHC Trade 1999 4 +16.6 +4.2 -0.09 0.5% 0.21%
Kevin Tapani P CHC Free agency 1996 5 +11.9 +2.4 0.2% 0.08%
Carlos Marmól P CHC Intl FA 1999 6 +7.2 +1.2
Brian McRae OF CHC Trade 1995 3 +7.2 +2.4 -0.20 3.4% 0.45%
Corey Patterson OF CHC Draft 1998 3 +6.7 +2.2
Jaime Navarro P CHC Free agency 1995 2 +6.4 +3.2 3.4% 0.43%
José Hernández 3B/SS CHC Trade 1995 5 +5.5 +1.1 1.4% 0.15%
Mark Clark P CHC Trade 1997 2 +4.9 +2.5 -0.02 0.1% 0.06%
Eric Young 2B CHC Trade 2000 2 +4.9 +2.4 -1.27 0.7% 0.22%
Scott Servais C CHC Trade 1995 3 +4.5 +1.5 +0.02 2.3% 0.26%
Henry Rodríguez OF CHC Free agency 1998 3 +4.0 +1.3 2.8% 0.22%
Jason Bere P CHC Free agency 2000 2 +3.8 +1.9 11.8% 0.85%
Ricky Gutiérrez SS CHC Free agency 1999 2 +3.1 +1.6 0.3% 0.08%
Joe Borowski P CHC Free agency 2000 2 +2.9 +1.5 1.5% 0.17%
Luis Gonzalez OF CHC Trade 1995 2 +2.7 +1.3 +0.02 2.4% 0.26%
Mickey Morandini 2B CHC Trade 1997 1 +2.7 +2.7 -0.63 9.8% 0.81%
Michael Wuertz P CHC Draft 1997 5 +2.4 +0.5
Julián Tavárez P CHC Free agency 2000 1 +2.1 +2.1 8.0% 0.59%
Juan Cruz P CHC Intl FA 1997 3 +1.7 +0.6
Jeff Fassero P CHC Free agency 2000 2 +1.7 +0.9 6.4% 0.48%
Leo Gómez 3B CHC Free agency 1996 1 +1.7 +1.7 1.4% 0.21%
Bill Mueller 3B CHC Trade 2000 2 +1.7 +0.8 +0.00 6.5% 0.48%
Terry Mulholland P CHC Free agency 1996 3 +1.7 +0.6 0.1% 0.05%
Rondell White OF CHC Trade 2000 2 +1.7 +0.8 -0.01 0.1% 0.03%
Tom Gordon P CHC Free agency 2000 2 +1.5 +0.7 5.6% 0.42%
Bob Patterson P CHC Free agency 1996 3 +1.4 +0.5 0.5% 0.07%
Matt Stairs DH/OF CHC Trade 2000 1 +1.4 +1.4 -0.01 5.3% 0.39%
Rod Beck P CHC Free agency 1998 1 +1.1 +1.1 2.9% 0.23%
Will Ohman P CHC Draft 1998 2 +1.1 +0.6
Todd Van Poppel P CHC Free agency 1999 2 +1.1 +0.6 0.1% 0.02%
Lance Johnson OF CHC Trade 1997 3 +1.0 +0.3 -0.02 0.0% 0.01%
Roosevelt Brown OF CHC Rule 5 1997 3 +0.8 +0.3
Jeff Reed C CHC Free agency 1999 2 +0.8 +0.4 0.1% 0.03%
Andrew Lorraine P CHC Free agency 1998 2 +0.7 +0.3 0.1% 0.03%
Benito Santiago C CHC Free agency 1998 1 +0.7 +0.7 0.1% 0.03%
Hee-Seop Choi 1B CHC Intl FA 1999 1 +0.6 +0.6
Dave Magadan 1B/3B CHC Free agency 1996 1 +0.6 +0.6 0.5% 0.07%
Dave Clark OF CHC Free agency 1997 1 +0.5 +0.5 0.1% 0.02%
Willie Greene 3B CHC Free agency 2000 1 +0.5 +0.5 0.1% 0.03%
Dave Hansen 1B/3B CHC Free agency 1997 1 +0.5 +0.5 0.1% 0.03%
Félix Heredia P CHC Trade 1998 3 +0.5 +0.2 -0.37 1.0% 0.08%
Kent Bottenfield P CHC Free agency 1996 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.5% 0.07%
Bobby Hill 2B/3B CHC Draft 2000 1 +0.4 +0.4
Joe Kmak C CHC Trade 1995 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.5% 0.05%
Jeff Blauser SS CHC Free agency 1997 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.1% 0.03%
Courtney Duncan P CHC Draft 1996 2 +0.3 +0.2
Daniel Garibay P CHC Trade 2000 1 +0.3 +0.3
Scott Bullett OF CHC Trade 1995 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.9% 0.10%
Bryan Hickerson P CHC Trade 1995 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.4% 0.04%
Doug Jones P CHC Trade 1996 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.3% 0.04%
Shane Andrews 3B CHC Free agency 1999 2 +0.2 +0.1 0.1% 0.02%
Mike Mahoney C CHC Trade 2000 2 +0.2 +0.1
Mike Pérez P CHC Free agency 1995 2 +0.2 +0.1 0.1% 0.01%
Miguel Cairo 2B CHC Trade 1997 2 +0.2 +0.1 +0.19 0.0% 0.00%
Micah Bowie P CHC Trade 1999 1 +0.1 +0.1 +1.77
Mike Campbell P CHC Free agency 1995 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.1% 0.01%
Brian Williams P CHC Free agency 2000 +0.1
Orlando Merced 1B/OF CHC Trade 1998 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.2% 0.02%
Jamie Arnold P CHC Trade 2000 1 +0.0 +0.0 +0.02 0.1% 0.02%
Bret Barberie 2B CHC Free agency 1996 -0.0
Tarrik Brock OF CHC Trade 1999 -0.0 -0.13
Jason Dubois OF CHC Draft 2000 -0.0
Tom Edens P CHC Free agency 1995 -0.0
Rich Garcés P CHC Free agency 1995 1 -0.0 -0.0 0.2% 0.02%
Joey Nation P CHC Trade 1999 1 +0.0 +0.0 +1.77
Marc Pisciotta P CHC Trade 1996 1 -0.0 -0.0
José Reyes C CHC Intl FA 1999 -0.0
Mel Rojas P CHC Free agency 1996 -0.0
Scott Sanders P CHC Free agency 1998 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0% 0.00%
Jason Smith 2B/SS CHC Draft 1996 -0.0
Jerry Spradlin P CHC Free agency 2000 1 -0.0 -0.0 0.0% 0.01%
Ben VanRyn P CHC Free agency 1997 1 -0.0 -0.0 0.0% 0.00%
Tim Worrell P CHC Free agency 2000 1 -0.0 -0.0 0.2% 0.04%
Mark Guthrie P CHC Trade 1999 2 -0.0 -0.0 +0.57 0.0% 0.01%
Kurt Miller P CHC Trade 1998 1 -0.0 -0.0 0.3% 0.02%
Ismael Valdez P CHC Trade 2000 1 +0.0 +0.0 -1.27 0.0% 0.00%
Mike Walker P CHC Trade 1995 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0% 0.00%
Buck Coats OF CHC Draft 2000 -0.1
Doug Creek P CHC Free agency 1999 -0.1
Raúl González OF CHC Trade 2000 -0.1
Robert Machado C CHC Free agency 2000 1 -0.1 -0.1 0.5% 0.05%
Oswaldo Mairena P CHC Trade 2000 -0.1 +0.02
Sandy Martínez C CHC Trade 1997 1 -0.1 -0.1 1.0% 0.08%
Carmen Pignatiello P CHC Draft 2000 -0.1
Roberto Rivera P CHC Trade 1995 -0.1
Félix Sánchez P CHC Intl FA 1998 -0.1
Terry Shumpert 2B CHC Free agency 1996 -0.1
Damon Buford OF CHC Trade 1999 1 -0.2 -0.2 +0.00 0.1% 0.02%
Brian Dorsett C CHC Free agency 1996 -0.2
Félix Fermín SS CHC Free agency 1996 -0.2
David Kelton OF CHC Draft 1998 -0.2
Gary Matthews OF CHC Trade 2000 1 -0.2 -0.2 +0.03 1.1% 0.09%
Brian McNichol P CHC Draft 1995 -0.2
Matt Mieske OF CHC Free agency 1997 -0.2
Rodney Myers P CHC Rule 5 1995 1 -0.2 -0.2
Chris Nabholz P CHC Free agency 1995 -0.2
Danny Young P CHC Rule 5 1997 -0.2
Francis Beltrán P CHC Intl FA 1996 -0.3
Scott Chiasson P CHC Rule 5 2000 -0.3
Ross Gload 1B CHC Trade 2000 -0.3 +0.01
Ray King P CHC Trade 1998 -0.3 -0.04
Terrell Lowery OF CHC Rule 5 1996 1 -0.3 -0.3
Phil Norton P CHC Draft 1996 -0.3
Todd Wellemeyer P CHC Draft 2000 1 -0.3 -0.3
Rick Aguilera P CHC Trade 1999 1 -0.3 -0.3 -0.59 0.1% 0.02%
Larry Casian P CHC Trade 1996 1 -0.3 -0.3 0.0% 0.00%
Todd Hundley C CHC Free agency 2000 1 -0.4 -0.4 0.3% 0.03%
Jon Leicester P CHC Draft 2000 -0.4
Matt Karchner P CHC Trade 1998 -0.5 -0.10
Steve Smyth P CHC Draft 1999 -0.5
Todd Pratt C CHC Free agency 1995 -0.6
Jeff Huson 2B/SS CHC Free agency 2000 -0.7
Cole Liniak 3B CHC Trade 1999 -0.7 +0.57
Todd Haney 2B CHC Trade 1995 1 -0.7 -0.7 0.9% 0.10%
Augie Ojeda 2B/3B/SS CHC Trade 1999 1 -0.8 -0.8 +0.57
Rubén Quevedo P CHC Trade 1999 -0.8 +1.77
Manny Alexander 2B/SS CHC Trade 1997 1 -0.8 -0.8 -0.02 0.0% 0.01%
Howard Johnson 3B CHC Free agency 1995 -1.2
Chad Meyers 2B/OF CHC Draft 1996 1 -1.2 -1.2
Gary Gaetti 3B CHC Free agency 1998 1 -1.3 -1.3 4.0% 0.32%
José Nieves SS CHC Trade 1998 -1.3
Ramón Tatís P CHC Rule 5 1996 -1.3
Ronny Cedeño SS CHC Intl FA 1999 3 -1.5 -0.5

Trade-side columns: RFA is playoff-readiness percentage points added to the future roster foundation. It grades the franchise's entire side of a trade, so the same score repeats for every player acquired in that package. PPA/CPA remain player-level arrival-year probability points.

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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