Rosternomics
DE

Dan Evans

Born Jan 27, 1960 · Chicago, IL · age 66

General manager for the Dodgers (2002–2004).

Across the full 3-season sample, the measured profile stands out most for avoidance of negative WAR (96th percentile), future-foundation returns (91st percentile), and payroll-adjusted winning (77th percentile). Because the sample covers fewer than five seasons, those comparisons are descriptive rather than stable.

3 seasons with salary-era data across 1 stint. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

0 pennants · 1 playoff appearance · 270–216 (0.556)

Percentile Rankings

vs. execs with toyrs exp.
PoorAverageGreat
Trade Decision Quality
Roster Construction
Depth
8.3
Dead WAR
-3.2
Dead money %
22%
PoorAverageGreat
Talent Creation
Cheap-talent surplus
$16M
Drafted surplus
$2M
Traded-for surplus
$8M
Int'l surplus
$7M
Results & Efficiency
GM WAR
+1.0
TAB
+7.6
WAB
+11.8
$ / WAR
$2.1M
Net WAR/trade
-0.19

Overview

TeamRoleYear Pay
$M
Rel
Pay
Surp
$M
Surp
WAR
Dead
%
Cheap
$M
Draft
$M
Trd
$M
Int'l
$M
$ /
WAR
WAR Depth Dead
WAR
HG Trade Net/
Trd
FA R5 RFA PPA CPA WAB TAB W-L% POPenWS
Dodgers GM 2002 92–70 $86 130 -18 -10.8 9% +28 +8 +11 +10 $2.0M 40.7 9.0 -3.2 +41.5 -9.4 -1.57 -1.8 +0.2 +0.49 2.72 0.21 +6.7 +3.3 0.568
Dodgers GM 2003 85–77 $113 165 -56 -31.4 23% +9 +1 -0 +10 $2.8M 37.2 7.0 -3.0 +46.5 +3.2 +0.53 +0.3 +0.0 -0.33 2.91 0.22 -3.3 -3.0 0.525
Dodgers GM 2004 93–69 $82 124 -15 -8.6 33% +10 -2 +12 +1 $1.7M 44.2 9.0 -3.6 +24.8 +1.8 +0.15 -42.5 +0.6 +0.78 3.41 0.27 +8.4 +7.4 0.574
Career total (1985+ data) $281 139 -89 -50.9 22% +16 +2 +8 +7 $2.1M 122.1 8.3 -3.2 +112.8 -4.4 -0.19 -44.1 +0.9 +0.56 3.09 0.24 +11.8 +7.6 0.556 1

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+112.8
Trade-4.4
Free agency-44.1
Rule 5 / minor draft+0.9
Sourcing mix: 70% draft · 17% FA · 14% trade · 0% R5

Trades

Trades made — 30 deals credited to Dan Evans, best expected value first; surplus is realized value in $M

2003 · LAD / NYY
LAD · Dan Evans +$88.0M
Jeff Weaver, Brandon Weeden, Yhency Brazobán
NYY · Brian Cashman −$88.0M
Kevin Brown
LAD came out ahead by $88.0M
2004 · LAD / MIA
LAD · Dan Evans +$98.4M
Hee-Seop Choi, Brad Penny, Bill Murphy
MIA · Larry Beinfest −$98.4M
Paul Lo Duca, Guillermo Mota, Juan Encarnación
LAD came out ahead by $98.4M
2004 · LAD / CLE
LAD · Dan Evans +$20.8M
Milton Bradley
CLE · Mark Shapiro −$20.8M
Franklin Gutiérrez, Andrew Brown
LAD came out ahead by $20.8M
2002 · ATL / LAD
ATL · John Schuerholz +$15.2M
Gary Sheffield
LAD · Dan Evans −$15.2M
Brian Jordan, Odalis Pérez, Andrew Brown
ATL came out ahead by $15.2M
2004 · LAD / TBR
LAD · Dan Evans +$3.2M
Antonio Pérez
TBR · Chuck Lamar −$3.2M
Jason Romano
LAD came out ahead by $3.2M
2004 · ARI / LAD
ARI · Joe Garagiola +$14.4M
Jereme Milons
LAD · Dan Evans −$14.4M
Elmer Dessens
ARI came out ahead by $14.4M
2002 · LAD / CHC
LAD · Dan Evans +$4.0M
Todd Hundley, Chad Hermansen
CHC · Andy MacPhail −$4.0M
Mark Grudzielanek, Eric Karros
LAD came out ahead by $4.0M
2004 · LAD / TOR
LAD · Dan Evans +$1.6M
Jayson Werth
TOR · JP Ricciardi −$1.6M
Jason Frasor
LAD came out ahead by $1.6M
2004 · LAD / ATL
LAD · Dan Evans +$9.6M
Matt Merricks
ATL · John Schuerholz −$9.6M
Tom Martin
LAD came out ahead by $9.6M
2003 · NYY / LAD
NYY · Brian Cashman +$3.2M
Bubba Crosby, Scott Proctor
LAD · Dan Evans −$3.2M
Robin Ventura
NYY came out ahead by $3.2M
2004 · SEA / LAD
SEA · Bill Bavasi +$3.2M
Jolbert Cabrera
LAD · Dan Evans −$3.2M
Aaron Looper, Ryan Ketchner
SEA came out ahead by $3.2M
2002 · LAD / DET
LAD · Dan Evans +$8.0M
Tom Farmer, Jason Frasor
DET · Randy Smith −$8.0M
Hiram Bocachica
LAD came out ahead by $8.0M
2004 · KCR / LAD
KCR · Allard Baird +$0.8M
Elvin Nina
LAD · Dan Evans −$0.8M
Mike Venafro
KCR came out ahead by $0.8M
2003 · LAD / CLE
LAD · Dan Evans +$1.6M
Alex Requena
CLE · Mark Shapiro −$1.6M
David Lee
LAD came out ahead by $1.6M
2003 · MIA / LAD
MIA · Larry Beinfest +$4.0M
Travis Ezi
LAD · Dan Evans −$4.0M
Juan Encarnación
MIA came out ahead by $4.0M
2003 · KCR / LAD
KCR · Allard Baird +$0.8M
Travis Dawkins
LAD · Dan Evans −$0.8M
Scott Mullen, Victor Rodriguez
KCR came out ahead by $0.8M
2004 · LAD / SEA
LAD · Dan Evans +$0.0M
Glenn Bott
SEA · Bill Bavasi +$0.0M
Aaron Looper
Even trade
2004 · LAD / NYY
LAD · Dan Evans +$2.4M
Brian Myrow
NYY · Brian Cashman −$2.4M
Tanyon Sturtze
LAD came out ahead by $2.4M
2004 · LAD / CLE
LAD · Dan Evans +$5.6M
Trey Dyson
CLE · Mark Shapiro −$5.6M
Rick White
LAD came out ahead by $5.6M
2004 · NYM / LAD
NYM · Jim Duquette +$1.6M
Tony Socarras
LAD · Dan Evans −$1.6M
Tom Wilson
NYM came out ahead by $1.6M
2004 · LAD / DET
LAD · Dan Evans +$5.6M
Cody Ross
DET · Dave Dombrowski −$5.6M
Steve Colyer
LAD came out ahead by $5.6M
2003 · COL / LAD
COL · Daniel O'Dowd +$1.6M
Luke Allen
LAD · Dan Evans −$1.6M
Jason Romano
COL came out ahead by $1.6M
2003 · HOU / LAD
HOU · Gerry Hunsicker +$8.8M
Ruddy Lugo
LAD · Dan Evans −$8.8M
Daryle Ward
HOU came out ahead by $8.8M
2002 · LAD / WSN
LAD · Dan Evans +$12.8M
Guillermo Mota, Wilkin Ruan
WSN · Larry Beinfest −$12.8M
Matt Herges, Jorge Nunez
LAD came out ahead by $12.8M
2002 · LAD / CLE
LAD · Dan Evans +$2.4M
Jolbert Cabrera
CLE · Mark Shapiro −$2.4M
Lance Caraccioli
LAD came out ahead by $2.4M
2002 · CLE / LAD
CLE · Mark Shapiro +$1.6M
Ricardo Rodríguez, Terry Mulholland, Francisco Cruceta
LAD · Dan Evans −$1.6M
Paul Shuey
CLE came out ahead by $1.6M
2002 · MIL / LAD
MIL · Dean Taylor +$4.0M
Ben Diggins, Shane Nance
LAD · Dan Evans −$4.0M
Tyler Houston, Brian Mallette
MIL came out ahead by $4.0M
2003 · NYM / LAD
NYM · Jim Duquette +$28.0M
Víctor Díaz, Jose Díaz, Kole Strayhorn
LAD · Dan Evans −$28.0M
Jeromy Burnitz
NYM came out ahead by $28.0M
2004 · LAD / BOS
LAD · Dan Evans +$1.6M
Henri Stanley
BOS · Theo Epstein −$1.6M
Dave Roberts
LAD came out ahead by $1.6M
2004 · ARI / LAD
ARI · Joe Garagiola +$11.2M
Koyie Hill, Bill Murphy, Reggie Abercrombie
LAD · Dan Evans −$11.2M
Steve Finley, Brent Mayne
ARI came out ahead by $11.2M

Players acquired — 80 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr RFA PPA CPA
Matt Kemp OF LAD Draft 2003 9 +25.1 +2.8
Russell Martin C LAD Draft 2002 6 +21.9 +3.7
Kenley Jansen P LAD Intl FA 2004 12 +21.5 +1.8
Chad Billingsley P LAD Draft 2003 7 +19.5 +2.8
Odalis Pérez P LAD Trade 2002 5 +11.5 +2.3 +1.03 13.3% 1.05%
Jonathan Broxton P LAD Draft 2002 6 +9.0 +1.5
Jeff Kent 2B LAD Free agency 2004 4 +8.4 +2.1 0.3% 0.12%
Jeff Weaver P LAD Trade 2003 3 +7.5 +2.5 +2.44 15.7% 1.23%
J. D. Drew OF LAD Free agency 2004 2 +6.9 +3.5 0.2% 0.09%
James Loney 1B LAD Draft 2002 5 +6.2 +1.2
Milton Bradley OF LAD Trade 2004 2 +4.9 +2.4 -1.28 11.2% 0.86%
Dave Roberts OF LAD Trade 2002 3 +4.7 +1.6 -0.97 7.1% 0.56%
Wilson Álvarez P LAD Free agency 2003 2 +4.4 +2.2 7.4% 0.57%
Brian Jordan OF LAD Trade 2002 2 +4.1 +2.0 +1.03 6.9% 0.54%
Jayson Werth OF LAD Trade 2004 2 +3.6 +1.8 +0.80 8.0% 0.66%
Guillermo Mota P LAD Trade 2002 4 +3.5 +0.9 +0.25 1.2% 0.09%
A. J. Ellis C LAD Draft 2003 4 +3.1 +0.8
Paul Quantrill P LAD Trade 2002 2 +2.9 +1.5 -1.12 4.1% 0.32%
César Izturis SS LAD Trade 2004 2 +2.7 +1.3 12.5% 0.99%
José Hernández 3B/SS LAD Free agency 2004 1 +2.0 +2.0 6.8% 0.56%
Olmedo Sáenz 1B/3B LAD Free agency 2004 3 +2.0 +0.7 2.2% 0.19%
Kazuhisa Ishii P LAD Draft 2002 3 +1.9 +0.6
Blake DeWitt 2B/3B LAD Draft 2004 2 +1.4 +0.7
Eric Stults P LAD Draft 2002 4 +1.3 +0.3
Hee-Seop Choi 1B LAD Trade 2004 1 +1.1 +1.1 +0.83 0.1% 0.04%
Steve Finley OF LAD Trade 2004 1 +1.1 +1.1 -2.28 3.7% 0.31%
Javy Guerra P LAD Draft 2004 2 +1.0 +0.5
José Lima P LAD Free agency 2004 1 +0.9 +0.9 3.0% 0.26%
Mike Kinkade OF LAD Free agency 2002 1 +0.8 +0.8 2.6% 0.20%
Antonio Pérez 2B/3B LAD Trade 2004 1 +0.8 +0.8 +2.28 0.1% 0.03%
Tony Abreu 2B/3B LAD Intl FA 2002 2 +0.7 +0.3
Ricky Ledée OF LAD Free agency 2004 1 +0.7 +0.7 0.1% 0.03%
Marquis Grissom OF LAD Trade 2002 1 +0.7 +0.7 +1.06 4.4% 0.34%
Juan Encarnación OF LAD Trade 2004 1 +0.6 +0.6 -1.29 1.9% 0.16%
Jolbert Cabrera OF LAD Trade 2003 1 +0.6 +0.6 1.7% 0.13%
Scott Elbert P LAD Draft 2004 3 +0.5 +0.2
Robin Ventura 3B LAD Trade 2003 1 +0.5 +0.5 -3.74 1.5% 0.13%
Duaner Sánchez P LAD Trade 2004 2 +0.5 +0.3 0.0% 0.00%
Elmer Dessens P LAD Trade 2004 2 +0.4 +0.2 -0.81 0.1% 0.01%
Fred McGriff 1B LAD Free agency 2002 1 +0.4 +0.4 1.1% 0.08%
Yhency Brazobán P LAD Trade 2003 3 +0.3 +0.1 +2.44
Masao Kida P LAD Free agency 2003 2 +0.3 +0.2 1.0% 0.08%
Tom Martin P LAD Free agency 2003 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.8% 0.06%
Paul Shuey P LAD Trade 2002 2 +0.3 +0.1 -1.44 0.0% 0.00%
Derek Thompson P LAD Trade 2002 1 +0.3 +0.3
Ramón Troncoso P LAD Intl FA 2002 2 +0.3 +0.1
Cory Wade P LAD Draft 2004 1 +0.3 +0.3
Delwyn Young 2B/OF LAD Draft 2002 1 +0.3 +0.3
Ron Coomer 1B/3B LAD Free agency 2003 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.6% 0.05%
D. J. Houlton P LAD Rule 5 2004 1 +0.2 +0.2
Andy LaRoche 3B LAD Draft 2003 1 +0.2 +0.2
Wilkin Ruan OF LAD Trade 2002 1 +0.2 +0.2 +0.25
Troy Brohawn P LAD Free agency 2002 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.4% 0.03%
Rickey Henderson OF LAD Free agency 2003 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.2% 0.01%
Eric Hull P LAD Intl FA 2002 1 +0.1 +0.1
Brian Myrow 1B LAD Trade 2004 1 +0.1 +0.1 +0.59
José Valentín SS LAD Free agency 2004 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0% 0.00%
Kelly Wunsch P LAD Free agency 2004 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0% 0.00%
Larry Barnes 1B LAD Free agency 2002 -0.0
Jose Flores 2B LAD Free agency 2004 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.1% 0.01%
Elián Herrera 2B/3B/OF LAD Intl FA 2003 1 +0.0 +0.0
Jamie Hoffmann OF LAD Intl FA 2003 1 -0.0 -0.0
James McDonald P LAD Draft 2002 1 -0.0 -0.0
Rodney Myers P LAD Free agency 2002 1 -0.0 -0.0 0.1% 0.01%
Cody Ross OF LAD Trade 2004 2 +0.0 +0.0 -0.43 0.0% 0.00%
Tanyon Sturtze P LAD Free agency 2003 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0% 0.00%
Mike Venafro P LAD Trade 2004 -0.0 -0.43
Bryan Corey P LAD Trade 2002 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0% 0.00%
Robert Ellis P LAD Free agency 2002 -0.1
Chad Hermansen OF LAD Trade 2002 -0.1 +0.00
Steve Schmoll P LAD Intl FA 2003 -0.1
Buddy Carlyle P LAD Free agency 2004 -0.2
Brian Falkenborg P LAD Free agency 2003 -0.2
Xavier Paul OF LAD Draft 2003 1 -0.2 -0.2
Mike Rose C LAD Free agency 2004 -0.2
Mike Edwards 3B/OF LAD Free agency 2004 -0.5
Jason Romano OF LAD Trade 2003 -0.5 -0.57
Chin-lung Hu 2B/SS LAD Intl FA 2003 2 -0.6 -0.3
Russ Mitchell 1B/3B LAD Draft 2003 -0.6
Daryle Ward 1B/OF LAD Trade 2003 -1.1

Trade-side columns: RFA is playoff-readiness percentage points added to the future roster foundation. It grades the franchise's entire side of a trade, so the same score repeats for every player acquired in that package. PPA/CPA remain player-level arrival-year probability points.

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

drag to zoom · double-click to reset