RRosternomics
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Dan Evans

Born Jan 27, 1960 · Chicago, IL · age 66

General manager for the Dodgers (2002–2004).

3 seasons with salary-era data across 1 stint. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

Overview

Titles0
Pennants0
Playoffs1
Record270–216
Win %0.556
+1.0GM WAR — wins above a replacement GM (org-adjusted, shrunk; per season) ±6.552nd/195 execs
8.3Depth — 2+ WAR regulars per season (the breadth that drives TAB, not stars)19th/195 execs
-3.2Dead WAR — WAR/yr bled by sub-replacement players (closer to 0 = better)9th/195 execs
22%Dead money — payroll on <0.5-WAR players (lower = better)14th/195 execs
$16MCheap-talent surplus — $/yr of value from cost-controlled (pre-arb/arb) players above their pay; the selection engine, and the stickiest GM skill we track94th/195 execs
$2MDrafted surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own draftees (the develop-from-the-draft engine)140th/195 execs
$8MTraded-for surplus — cheap-talent surplus from cost-controlled players he acquired via trade53rd/195 execs
$7MInt'l surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own international signees9th/195 execs
+7.3TAB — talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation), tenure total59th/195 execs
+11.5WAB — realized wins (TAB + the non-repeatable luck of converting talent to wins)46th/195 execs
3.09Acquisition Leverage — playoff pts per acquired WAR, graded once in the year each deal's wins arrive (the repeatable decision skill)42nd/195 execs
-89Roster surplus $M129th/195 execs

Tenure breakdown

TeamRoleYearsSzns WAB WAB/yr TAB WAR surp HG Trade FA R5 AcqLev W-L% POPenWS Surp $M
▸ Dodgers GM 2002–2004 3 +11.5 +3.82 +7.3 -50.9 +112.8 -4.4 -44.1 +0.9 3.09 0.556 1–– -89
Career total (1985+ data) 3 +11.5 +7.3 -50.9 +112.8 -4.4 -44.1 +0.9 3.09 0.556 1– – -89

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

by valueby volume

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+112.8
Trade-4.4
Free agency-44.1
Rule 5 / minor draft+0.9
Sourcing mix: 70% draft · 17% FA · 14% trade · 0% R5

Roster value distribution — career average — depth vs. stars

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR, averaged across Dan Evans's seasons. Bars = his rosters; the black line = the league-average player at each slot. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge.

Players acquired — 80 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr Lev
Matt Kemp OF LAD Draft 2003 9 +25.1 +2.8 –
Russell Martin C LAD Draft 2002 6 +21.9 +3.7 –
Kenley Jansen P LAD Intl FA 2004 12 +21.5 +1.8 –
Chad Billingsley P LAD Draft 2003 7 +19.5 +2.8 –
Odalis Pérez P LAD Trade 2002 5 +11.5 +2.3 13.1
Jonathan Broxton P LAD Draft 2002 6 +9.0 +1.5 –
Jeff Kent 2B LAD Free agency 2004 4 +8.4 +2.1 0.3
Jeff Weaver P LAD Trade 2003 3 +7.5 +2.5 15.8
J. D. Drew OF LAD Free agency 2004 2 +6.9 +3.5 0.2
James Loney 1B LAD Draft 2002 5 +6.2 +1.2 –
Milton Bradley OF LAD Trade 2004 2 +4.9 +2.4 11.0
Dave Roberts OF LAD Trade 2002 3 +4.7 +1.6 7.3
Wilson Álvarez P LAD Free agency 2003 2 +4.4 +2.2 7.5
Brian Jordan OF LAD Trade 2002 2 +4.1 +2.0 6.8
Jayson Werth OF LAD Trade 2004 2 +3.6 +1.8 8.0
Guillermo Mota P LAD Trade 2002 4 +3.5 +0.9 1.2
A. J. Ellis C LAD Draft 2003 4 +3.1 +0.8 –
Paul Quantrill P LAD Trade 2002 2 +2.9 +1.5 4.2
César Izturis SS LAD Trade 2004 2 +2.7 +1.3 12.5
José Hernández 3B/SS LAD Free agency 2004 1 +2.0 +2.0 6.9
Olmedo Sáenz 1B/3B LAD Free agency 2004 3 +2.0 +0.7 2.2
Kazuhisa Ishii P LAD Draft 2002 3 +1.9 +0.6 –
Blake DeWitt 2B/3B LAD Draft 2004 2 +1.4 +0.7 –
Eric Stults P LAD Draft 2002 4 +1.3 +0.3 –
Hee-Seop Choi 1B LAD Trade 2004 1 +1.1 +1.1 0.1
Steve Finley OF LAD Trade 2004 1 +1.1 +1.1 3.7
Javy Guerra P LAD Draft 2004 2 +1.0 +0.5 –
José Lima P LAD Free agency 2004 1 +0.9 +0.9 3.0
Mike Kinkade OF LAD Free agency 2002 1 +0.8 +0.8 2.6
Antonio Pérez 2B/3B LAD Trade 2004 1 +0.8 +0.8 0.1
Tony Abreu 2B/3B LAD Intl FA 2002 2 +0.7 +0.3 –
Ricky Ledée OF LAD Free agency 2004 1 +0.7 +0.7 0.1
Marquis Grissom OF LAD Trade 2002 1 +0.7 +0.7 4.4
Juan Encarnación OF LAD Trade 2004 1 +0.6 +0.6 1.9
Jolbert Cabrera OF LAD Trade 2003 1 +0.6 +0.6 1.7
Scott Elbert P LAD Draft 2004 3 +0.5 +0.2 –
Robin Ventura 3B LAD Free agency 2003 1 +0.5 +0.5 1.6
Duaner Sánchez P LAD Trade 2004 2 +0.5 +0.3 0.0
Elmer Dessens P LAD Trade 2004 2 +0.4 +0.2 0.1
Fred McGriff 1B LAD Free agency 2002 1 +0.4 +0.4 1.1
Yhency Brazobán P LAD Trade 2003 3 +0.3 +0.1 –
Masao Kida P LAD Free agency 2003 2 +0.3 +0.2 1.0
Tom Martin P LAD Free agency 2003 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.8
Paul Shuey P LAD Trade 2002 2 +0.3 +0.1 0.0
Derek Thompson P LAD Trade 2002 1 +0.3 +0.3 –
Ramón Troncoso P LAD Intl FA 2002 2 +0.3 +0.1 –
Cory Wade P LAD Draft 2004 1 +0.3 +0.3 –
Delwyn Young 2B/OF LAD Draft 2002 1 +0.3 +0.3 –
Ron Coomer 1B/3B LAD Free agency 2003 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.6
D. J. Houlton P LAD Rule 5 2004 1 +0.2 +0.2 –
Andy LaRoche 3B LAD Draft 2003 1 +0.2 +0.2 –
Wilkin Ruan OF LAD Trade 2002 1 +0.2 +0.2 –
Troy Brohawn P LAD Free agency 2002 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.4
Rickey Henderson OF LAD Free agency 2003 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.2
Eric Hull P LAD Intl FA 2002 1 +0.1 +0.1 –
Brian Myrow 1B LAD Trade 2004 1 +0.1 +0.1 –
José Valentín SS LAD Free agency 2004 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Kelly Wunsch P LAD Free agency 2004 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Larry Barnes 1B LAD Free agency 2002 – -0.0 – –
Jose Flores 2B LAD Free agency 2004 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.1
Elián Herrera 2B/3B/OF LAD Intl FA 2003 1 +0.0 +0.0 –
Jamie Hoffmann OF LAD Intl FA 2003 1 -0.0 -0.0 –
James McDonald P LAD Draft 2002 1 -0.0 -0.0 –
Rodney Myers P LAD Free agency 2002 1 -0.0 -0.0 0.1
Cody Ross OF LAD Trade 2004 2 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Tanyon Sturtze P LAD Free agency 2003 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Mike Venafro P LAD Trade 2004 – -0.0 – –
Bryan Corey P LAD Trade 2002 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Robert Ellis P LAD Free agency 2002 – -0.1 – –
Chad Hermansen OF LAD Trade 2002 – -0.1 – –
Steve Schmoll P LAD Intl FA 2003 – -0.1 – –
Buddy Carlyle P LAD Free agency 2004 – -0.2 – –
Brian Falkenborg P LAD Free agency 2003 – -0.2 – –
Xavier Paul OF LAD Draft 2003 1 -0.2 -0.2 –
Mike Rose C LAD Free agency 2004 – -0.2 – –
Mike Edwards 3B/OF LAD Free agency 2004 – -0.5 – –
Jason Romano OF LAD Trade 2003 – -0.5 – –
Chin-lung Hu 2B/SS LAD Intl FA 2003 2 -0.6 -0.3 –
Russ Mitchell 1B/3B LAD Draft 2003 – -0.6 – –
Daryle Ward 1B/OF LAD Trade 2003 – -1.1 – –

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.