RRosternomics
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Dodgers LAD

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GM: Dan Evans

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↗ rising
expensive & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.65× league · TAB -3.2
-3.2TAB — talent above budget18th/30
-3.5WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)20th/30
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars12th/30
-3.0dead WAR — sub-replacement drag5th/30
23%dead money %6th/30
0.525win %14th/30
37.2roster fWAR13th/30
-56surplus $M (value vs cost)29th/30
$113Mpayroll $M2nd/30

Roster

CFDave Roberts 105GJolbert Cabrera 38GJeromy Burnitz 33G
LFJeromy Burnitz 64GBrian Jordan 54GMike Kinkade 34G
RFShawn Green 157GJeromy Burnitz 50GJolbert Cabrera 4G
SSCésar Izturis 158GAlex Cora 15GJolbert Cabrera 9G
2BAlex Cora 141GJolbert Cabrera 59GJoe Thurston 3G
3BAdrian Beltré 157GRobin Ventura 83GRon Coomer 11G
1BFred McGriff 79GRobin Ventura 42GRon Coomer 24G
STARTERSKevin Brown 6.0WARHideo Nomo 3.4WARWilson Alvarez 2.6WAROdalis Perez 1.9WARDarren Dreifort 1.4WAR
CPaul Lo Duca 123GDavid Ross 38GTodd Hundley 10G
DHRon Coomer 4GShawn Green 2GBrian Jordan 2G
BULLPEN★ Eric Gagne 55svPaul Quantrill 27hTom Martin 27hGuillermo Mota 13hPaul Shuey 10hTroy Brohawn 1hSteve Colyer 0hVictor Alvarez 0h
CPaul Lo Duca 123 · David Ross 38 · Todd Hundley 10
1BFred McGriff 79 · Robin Ventura 42 · Ron Coomer 24
2BAlex Cora 141 · Jolbert Cabrera 59 · Joe Thurston 3
3BAdrian Beltré 157 · Robin Ventura 83 · Ron Coomer 11
SSCésar Izturis 158 · Alex Cora 15 · Jolbert Cabrera 9
LFJeromy Burnitz 64 · Brian Jordan 54 · Mike Kinkade 34
CFDave Roberts 105 · Jolbert Cabrera 38 · Jeromy Burnitz 33
RFShawn Green 157 · Jeromy Burnitz 50 · Jolbert Cabrera 4
DHRon Coomer 4 · Shawn Green 2 · Brian Jordan 2
SPKevin Brown 6.0 · Hideo Nomo 3.4 · Wilson Alvarez 2.6 · Odalis Perez 1.9 · Darren Dreifort 1.4
BP★ Eric Gagne 55 · Paul Quantrill 27 · Tom Martin 27 · Guillermo Mota 13 · Paul Shuey 10 · Troy Brohawn 1 · Steve Colyer 0 · Victor Alvarez 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2003 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Kevin Brown 38 FA-elig 326.0 15.7 -5.0
Eric Gagne 27 arb 774.7 0.6 +7.8
Hideo Nomo 34 FA-elig 333.4 7.8 -1.7
Adrian Beltré 24 arb 1583.2 3.7 +2.0
Paul Lo Duca 31 arb 1472.6 2.6 +2.0
Wilson Alvarez 33 – 212.6 – –
Guillermo Mota 29 arb 762.2 0.7 +3.2
Odalis Perez 25 arb 301.9 3.4 -0.1
Shawn Green 30 FA-elig 1601.8 15.7 -12.5
Brian Jordan 36 FA-elig 661.6 9.6 -6.8
David Ross 26 – 401.5 – –
Paul Quantrill 34 FA-elig 891.5 3.3 -0.7
Darren Dreifort 31 FA-elig 101.4 12.4 -9.9
Dave Roberts 31 arb 1071.3 0.4 +2.0
Kaz Ishii 29 pre-arb 270.9 2.6 -1.1
Andy Ashby 35 FA-elig 210.6 8.5 -7.4
Jolbert Cabrera 30 arb 1280.6 0.4 +0.6
Fred McGriff 39 FA-elig 860.4 3.8 -3.1
Masao Kida 34 – 30.3 – –
Tom Martin 33 – 800.3 – –
Steve Colyer 24 pre-arb 130.3 0.3 +0.2
Paul Shuey 32 FA-elig 620.3 3.9 -3.5
Ron Coomer 36 – 690.2 – –
Wilkin Ruan 24 – 210.2 – –
Edwin Jackson 19 – 40.2 – –
Troy Brohawn 30 – 120.1 – –
Todd Hundley 34 FA-elig 210.1 6.5 -6.4
Rickey Henderson 44 – 300.1 – –
Koyie Hill 24 – 30.0 – –
Robin Ventura↔ NYY 35 FA-elig 49-0.0 1.8 -1.8
Chin-Feng Chen 25 – 1-0.0 – –
Larry Barnes 28 – 30-0.0 – –
Rodney Myers 34 – 4-0.1 – –
Chad Hermansen 25 arb 11-0.1 0.3 -0.4
Scott Mullen↔ KCR 28 – 1-0.1 – –
Joe Thurston 23 – 12-0.1 – –
Alex Cora 27 arb 148-0.1 1.1 -1.4
Bubba Crosby 26 – 9-0.1 – –
Mike Kinkade 30 arb 88-0.1 0.3 -0.6
Jeromy Burnitz↔ NYM 34 FA-elig 61-0.2 5.9 -6.2
Victor Alvarez 26 – 5-0.2 – –
Cesar Izturis 23 pre-arb 158-0.2 0.3 -0.7
Jason Romano 24 pre-arb 37-0.5 0.3 -1.2
Daryle Ward 28 arb 52-1.1 1.4 -3.3

Key additions (new vs 2002)

PlayerfWAR
Wilson Alvarez2.6
Darren Dreifort1.4
Fred McGriff0.4
Masao Kida0.3
Tom Martin0.3
Steve Colyer0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 2002)

Player2002 fWAR
Omar Daal1.6
Marquis Grissom1.6
Eric Karros1.4
Mark Grudzielanek1.2
Chad Kreuter0.5
Dave Hansen0.4

Current & Historical Payroll

2003 payroll
$113.2M

What the front office was committed to as of 2003, 2003–2009. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (17)

PlayerAgeSvc2003200420052006200720082009
Kevin Brown3817.000$15.7MFREE AGENT
Shawn Green3010.000$15.7M$16.7MFREE AGENT
Darren Dreifort319.000$12.4M$12.4MFREE AGENT
Brian Jordan3611.000$9.6MFREE AGENT
Andy Ashby3512.000$8.5MFREE AGENT
Hideo Nomo348.000$7.8M$9.0MFREE AGENT
Todd Hundley3413.000$6.5MFREE AGENT
Jeromy Burnitz3410.000$5.9MFREE AGENT
Paul Shuey329.000$3.9MFREE AGENT
Fred McGriff3917.000$3.8MFREE AGENT
Paul Quantrill3411.000$3.3MFREE AGENT
Robin Ventura3514.000$1.8M$1.2MFREE AGENT
Wilson Alvarez3314.000—$1.5M$2.0MFREE AGENT
Ron Coomer368.000—FREE AGENT
Rickey Henderson4424.000—FREE AGENT
Tom Martin336.000—$866kFREE AGENT
Rodney Myers347.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2003200420052006200720082009
Adrian Beltré245.000$3.7MFREE AGENT
Odalis Perez255.000$3.4MFREE AGENT
Paul Lo Duca315.000$2.6MFREE AGENT
Daryle Ward285.000$1.4MFREE AGENT
Alex Cora275.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Guillermo Mota294.000$675kARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Gagne274.000$550kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jolbert Cabrera305.000$435kFREE AGENT
Dave Roberts314.000$400kARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Kinkade305.000$320kFREE AGENT
Chad Hermansen254.000$312kARB 3FREE AGENT
Masao Kida344.000—ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Mullen283.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2003200420052006200720082009
Kaz Ishii291.000$2.6MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cesar Izturis232.000$335kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Romano241.000$302kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Colyer240.000$300kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Troy Brohawn30–—
Larry Barnes28–—
Chin-Feng Chen25–—
Wilkin Ruan24–—
Joe Thurston231.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Victor Alvarez26–—
David Ross261.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Koyie Hill240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bubba Crosby260.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edwin Jackson190.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Dodgers 2003; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.