RRosternomics
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Dodgers LAD

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GM: Dan Evans

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.3× league · TAB +3.2
+3.2TAB — talent above budget14th/30
+6.6WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)11th/30
9.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars6th/30
-3.2dead WAR — sub-replacement drag11th/30
9%dead money %2nd/30
0.568win %11th/30
40.7roster fWAR11th/30
-18surplus $M (value vs cost)20th/30
$86Mpayroll $M7th/30

Roster

CFDave Roberts 115GMarquis Grissom 72GWilkin Ruan 5G
LFBrian Jordan 121GMarquis Grissom 36GPaul Lo Duca 9G
RFShawn Green 156GJolbert Cabrera 14GBrian Jordan 4G
SSCésar Izturis 128GAlex Cora 61GJeff Reboulet 5G
2BMark Grudzielanek 147GAlex Cora 40GJeff Reboulet 11G
3BAdrian Beltré 157GTyler Houston 74GDave Hansen 11G
1BEric Karros 142GDave Hansen 27GPaul Lo Duca 18G
STARTERSOdalis Perez 5.1WARHideo Nomo 2.7WARAndy Ashby 1.7WAROmar Daal 1.6WARKevin Brown 0.8WAR
CPaul Lo Duca 137GChad Kreuter 41GDavid Ross 6G
DHDave Hansen 3GBrian Jordan 3GShawn Green 1G
BULLPEN★ Eric Gagne 52svPaul Quantrill 32hPaul Shuey 19hJesse Orosco 16hGiovanni Carrara 13hGuillermo Mota 4hKevin Beirne 0hJeff Williams 0h
CPaul Lo Duca 137 · Chad Kreuter 41 · David Ross 6
1BEric Karros 142 · Dave Hansen 27 · Paul Lo Duca 18
2BMark Grudzielanek 147 · Alex Cora 40 · Jeff Reboulet 11
3BAdrian Beltré 157 · Tyler Houston 74 · Dave Hansen 11
SSCésar Izturis 128 · Alex Cora 61 · Jeff Reboulet 5
LFBrian Jordan 121 · Marquis Grissom 36 · Paul Lo Duca 9
CFDave Roberts 115 · Marquis Grissom 72 · Wilkin Ruan 5
RFShawn Green 156 · Jolbert Cabrera 14 · Brian Jordan 4
DHDave Hansen 3 · Brian Jordan 3 · Shawn Green 1
SPOdalis Perez 5.1 · Hideo Nomo 2.7 · Andy Ashby 1.7 · Omar Daal 1.6 · Kevin Brown 0.8
BP★ Eric Gagne 52 · Paul Quantrill 32 · Paul Shuey 19 · Jesse Orosco 16 · Giovanni Carrara 13 · Guillermo Mota 4 · Kevin Beirne 0 · Jeff Williams 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2002 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Odalis Perez 24 arb 325.1 0.6 +8.2
Shawn Green 29 FA-elig 1584.9 13.4 -5.1
Adrian Beltré 23 arb 1594.0 2.8 +4.0
Eric Gagne 26 arb 773.6 0.3 +5.9
Hideo Nomo 33 FA-elig 342.7 4.5 +0.2
Paul Lo Duca 30 arb 1492.7 0.5 +4.1
Dave Roberts 30 arb 1272.6 0.2 +4.3
Alex Cora 26 arb 1152.5 0.6 +3.7
Brian Jordan 35 FA-elig 1282.5 6.6 -2.3
Andy Ashby 34 FA-elig 301.7 8.0 -5.0
Omar Daal 30 FA-elig 391.6 5.0 -2.3
Marquis Grissom 35 FA-elig 1111.6 5.0 -2.3
Paul Quantrill 33 FA-elig 861.5 2.8 -0.3
Eric Karros 34 FA-elig 1421.4 6.9 -4.4
Mark Grudzielanek 32 FA-elig 1501.2 5.0 -2.9
Mike Kinkade 29 – 370.9 – –
Kevin Brown 37 FA-elig 170.8 15.7 -14.4
Chad Kreuter 37 FA-elig 410.5 1.1 -0.3
Guillermo Mota 28 – 430.4 – –
Kaz Ishii 28 pre-arb 280.4 0.9 -0.2
Dave Hansen 33 FA-elig 960.4 0.7 -0.0
Victor Alvarez 25 – 40.3 – –
David Ross 25 – 80.2 – –
Joe Thurston 22 – 80.2 – –
Hiram Bocachica↔ DET 26 pre-arb 490.1 0.1 +0.1
Bryan Corey 28 – 10.0 – –
Paul Shuey↔ CLE 31 FA-elig 280.0 1.4 -1.4
Jolbert Cabrera↔ CLE 29 arb 10-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Luke Allen 23 – 6-0.0 – –
Wilkin Ruan 23 – 12-0.0 – –
Jeff Williams 30 – 10-0.0 – –
Dennis Springer 37 – 1-0.0 – –
Jesse Orosco 45 – 56-0.0 – –
Robert Ellis 31 – 3-0.1 – –
Kevin Beirne 28 – 12-0.1 – –
Chin-Feng Chen 24 – 3-0.1 – –
Jeff Reboulet 38 FA-elig 38-0.3 0.5 -0.9
Giovanni Carrara 34 FA-elig 63-0.5 0.4 -1.2
Tyler Houston↔ MIL 31 FA-elig 35-0.6 0.5 -1.5
Terry Mulholland↔ CLE 39 FA-elig 21-0.6 1.8 -2.9
Cesar Izturis 22 pre-arb 135-0.8 0.2 -1.5

Key additions (new vs 2001)

PlayerfWAR
Odalis Perez5.1
Hideo Nomo2.7
Dave Roberts2.6
Brian Jordan2.5
Omar Daal1.6
Paul Quantrill1.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2001)

Player2001 fWAR
Gary Sheffield4.6
Chan Ho Park4.4
Terry Adams4.0
Darren Dreifort1.4
James Baldwin0.8
Matt Herges0.7

Current & Historical Payroll

2002 payroll
$85.7M

What the front office was committed to as of 2002, 2002–2008. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (19)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Kevin Brown3716.000$15.7M$15.7MFREE AGENT
Shawn Green299.000$13.4M$15.7M$16.7MFREE AGENT
Andy Ashby3411.000$8.0M$8.5MFREE AGENT
Eric Karros3411.000$6.9MFREE AGENT
Brian Jordan3510.000$6.6M$9.6MFREE AGENT
Mark Grudzielanek327.000$5.0MFREE AGENT
Omar Daal309.000$5.0MFREE AGENT
Marquis Grissom3513.000$5.0MFREE AGENT
Hideo Nomo337.000$4.5M$7.8M$9.0MFREE AGENT
Paul Quantrill3310.000$2.8M$3.3MFREE AGENT
Terry Mulholland3916.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Paul Shuey318.000$1.4M$3.9MFREE AGENT
Chad Kreuter3714.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Dave Hansen3312.000$675kFREE AGENT
Tyler Houston316.000$512kFREE AGENT
Jeff Reboulet3810.000$450kFREE AGENT
Giovanni Carrara347.000$360kFREE AGENT$500k
Jesse Orosco4523.000—FREE AGENT
Dennis Springer377.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Adrian Beltré234.000$2.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Cora264.000$625kARB 3FREE AGENT
Odalis Perez244.000$625kARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Lo Duca304.000$547kARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Gagne263.000$300kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dave Roberts303.000$218kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jolbert Cabrera294.000$55kARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryan Corey284.000—ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Kinkade294.000—ARB 3FREE AGENT
Guillermo Mota283.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Kaz Ishii280.000$900kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cesar Izturis221.000$215kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hiram Bocachica262.000$133kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robert Ellis31–—
Kevin Beirne282.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Williams30–—
Luke Allen23–—
Chin-Feng Chen24–—
Wilkin Ruan23–—
Joe Thurston220.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Victor Alvarez25–—
David Ross250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Dodgers 2002; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.